Waconia
Population 14,113 (2025)
102 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Waconia since 1950, 8 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on June 28, 2025.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 1950102
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19842
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Carver County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Carver County.
Strongest tornado
F4
June 19, 1951, 52.6 mile path
Snowiest season
89.8in
Winter of 2010-11
Tornadoes
About one tornado a year since 1950, 8 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 19, 1951
F4, 52.6 mile path
330 yards wide; 1 killed along the whole path.
Deadliest
May 6, 1965
6 killed, F4
158 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Saturday, June 28, 2025
EF1, 4.4 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Jun 28, 2025 | EF1 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | EF1 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | EF0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | EF0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | EF0 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | EF0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 30, 2022 | EF1 | 18.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2022 | EF0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2021 | EF0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2021 | EF0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2021 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2020 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2020 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2020 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2020 | EF1 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2, 2019 | EF1 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 2, 2019 | EF1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2019 | EF1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2019 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2019 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 2019 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 5, 2019 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 16, 2017 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 16, 2017 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 16, 2017 | EF0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 2016 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2015 | EF1 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2012 | EF0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 23, 2012 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2012 | EF0 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 2011 | EF1 | 13.6 | 48 | 1 |
| May 21, 2011 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 2011 | EF1 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2010 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2010 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2010 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2009 | EF1 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2006 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12, 2005 | F1 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 |
| May 9, 2004 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 3, 2002 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 3, 2002 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 2002 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2001 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2001 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 25, 2000 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 25, 2000 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1999 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1999 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 22, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 1998 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 13, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 1, 1997 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 1, 1997 | F3 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1996 | F0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 6, 1996 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1994 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1992 | F3 | 10.0 | 8 | 0 |
| May 30, 1991 | F0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 25, 1990 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 1989 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 2, 1988 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1986 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 1985 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 14, 1985 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 14, 1985 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 1984 | F1 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1983 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1983 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1983 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1983 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1983 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 1979 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 21, 1977 | F2 | 19.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1975 | F1 | 30.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1969 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1968 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 1967 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 5, 1966 | F2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 1965 | F4 | 17.3 | 158 | 6 |
| May 6, 1965 | F2 | 11.2 | 175 | 1 |
| May 6, 1965 | F3 | 15.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 1965 | F4 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 1965 | F4 | 12.3 | 175 | 3 |
| May 5, 1965 | F1 | 11.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 25, 1964 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 1961 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1952 | F2 | 70.9 | 15 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 1952 | F2 | 104.8 | 10 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 1951 | F3 | 11.6 | 40 | 5 |
| Jun 19, 1951 | F4 | 52.6 | 20 | 1 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
2 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
April 26, 1995
Lv 68 Carver Fire, 529 acres
11.1 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
April 26, 1995
Lv 68 Carver Fire
529 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Lv 68 Carver | 1995 | 11.1 | 529 |
| Unnamed | 1990 | 24.8 | 512 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 80 days
Heavy smoke on 29 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
31.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
23 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 46 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
70 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $215,000 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Carver County, the county that contains Waconia.
Most claims in one year
1993: 23 claims
$22,000 paid.
2nd most
2014: 8 claims
$61,000 paid.
3rd most
1983: 6 claims
$28,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 55315 | 23 | $62,000 |
| 55318 | 19 | $33,000 |
| 55367 | 6 | $8,710 |
| 5 | $11,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain27
- Flash Flood17
- Flood15
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Carver County, the county that contains Waconia.
Most severe crest
June 28, 2024
Minnesota River at Jordan, 35.12 ft
10.12 feet above the 25.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
June 28, 2024
Minnesota River at Jordan, 35.12 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Minnesota River at Jordan | 25.0 | 35.12 ft | 2 |
| South Fork Crow River near Mayer | 11.0 | 19.23 ft | 9 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 114 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 21 months.
The drought index is for Carver County, the county that contains Waconia.
114
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
60
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
August 1934
−7.90, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
21 months
June 1988 to February 1990.
Latest month
September 2026
−0.93, incipient dry spell
Last severe month: September 2023.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
1 earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 2017; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 25, 2017
Magnitude 2.8
Near Mankato, Minnesota; 46.4 miles away, 0.0 miles deep.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
Landslides mapped in Carver County.
259
Landslides mapped, probable or better
17
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by USGS MN (259).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
661 events in the National Weather Service record for Carver County, 594 of them since 1996.
91
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
15
Hail, 2 inches or larger
175
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
122
Winter weather events since 1996
15
Heat events since 1996
22
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 16, 2025
3.25 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 8, 1965
98 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 2 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jun 11, 2001Hail$15.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Fell on the north side of Lake Waconia. Damage total is for all wind and hail damages in Carver County between 1620 and 1640.
- May 30, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$9.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
Roof torn off building injuring 2. South wall of building center blown out. Damage estimate for entire county. Estimated windspeed.
- Jun 18, 2014Flood$9.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
Several sources in Carver County compiled a summary of flood related damages and locations for the flood of June 2014. More than 30 local and county roads were closed due to flooding, including the communities of Chaska, Mayer, Hollywood, Camden, Dahlgren, Young America, Laketown and Watertown. ||The Spring Creek levee failed in Carver. It caused significant mud slides affecting five private properties. In Cologne, 3 private residents had basement flooding. In Victoria, 6-8 homes had flooded basements. In Waconia, 4 homes had flooded basements. ||There were numerous county parks closed and several area lakes had no wake zones due to high water levels. ||During the height of the…
- May 15, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Windows broken. Trees blown down. Partial structural damage to building. Scattered areas damaged to wind driven hail. Estimated windspeed. Damage estimate for entire county.
- Jul 17, 2010Hail$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Several trained spotters reported numerous dime, up to baseball size hail from north of Watertown, southeast to the southeast part of Watertown. Damage was extensive to crops and homes throughout the area.
- May 1, 2001Hail$500,000
- Aug 9, 2020Hail$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous sources from social media pictures, to trained spotters and official NWS observations, reported and measured very large hail for nearly 40 minutes from Victoria, eastward to the Carver, Hennepin County line. This includes some of the smaller communities between the two towns. ||The largest hailstone was measured at 2.75 inches in diameter and fell near Victoria. Two inch hail was measured at the NWS office. Due to the large hail size and almost a continuous line of storms redeveloping in the same areas, many roofs and cars were damaged.
- Jun 17, 2012Thunderstorm Wind$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
North of the city of New Germany, severe straight-line winds caused damage to five sheds, with two completely destroyed. In addition, three corn bins were damaged, one turned over, one was wrapped around a tree, and one damaged by another falling on it.
- Jul 17, 2015Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A storm survey indicated that an EF-1 tornado touched down in Hollywood Township in Carver County. The tornado spun up seven miles west-southwest of Watertown and continued east-northeast to two miles west-southwest of Watertown. The most damage occurred as the tornado crossed Vega Avenue where numerous trees were snapped and some minor structural damage was found. An apple orchard was also damaged with this tornado. There was a private weather station that measured a 99 mph wind gust before it blew off the roof. The path length was 5.1 miles long with a maximum wind speed of 105 mph.
- Jul 1, 2011Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
One half of a large barn was blown down southwest of New Germany, between County Road 30 and 33. In addition, several large trees were blown down near the same area.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Jordan 1SSW, 15.3 miles from the city centre, with records from 1949.
- All-time high
- 105°FJul 31, 1988
- All-time low
- −41°F2 times, most recently Dec 19, 1983
- Warmest night
- 83°FJul 4, 1949
- Coldest day
- −18°FJan 15, 1972
- Wettest day
- 6.04 inSep 15, 1992
- Snowiest day
- 16.5 inDec 28, 1982
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 48.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1989mean 40.7°F
- Wettest year
- 201941.81 in
- Driest year
- 198017.51 in
- Snowiest season
- 89.8 in2010-11
Median first snow
November 22
Earliest: October 10, 1977
Median last snow
March 25
Latest: April 29, 1956
1 of 52 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Jordan 1SSW (USC00214176), 900 ft elevation, 15.3 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1949 to October 28, 2026; 89.6% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, June 28, 2024.
Declarations for Carver County.
| Jun 28, 2024 | Flood | DR-4797-MN |
| Apr 7, 2020 | Biological | DR-4531-MN |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3453-MN |
| Jul 21, 2014 | Flood | DR-4182-MN |
| May 10, 2011 | Flood | DR-1982-MN |
| Oct 13, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1941-MN |
| Apr 19, 2010 | Flood | DR-1900-MN |
| Mar 19, 2010 | Flood | EM-3310-MN |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3242-MN |
| May 16, 2001 | Flood | DR-1370-MN |
| Jun 23, 1998 | Tornado | DR-1225-MN |
| Apr 8, 1997 | Flood | DR-1175-MN |
| Jun 11, 1993 | Severe Storm | DR-993-MN |
| Aug 6, 1987 | Severe Storm | DR-797-MN |
| Jun 17, 1976 | Drought | EM-3013-MN |
| Apr 18, 1969 | Flood | DR-255-MN |
| Apr 11, 1965 | Flood | DR-188-MN |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00214176.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.