Bolivar
Population 11,994 (2025)
96 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Bolivar since 1950, 4 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on April 29, 2025.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195096
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger2
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19843
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Polk County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Polk County.
Strongest tornado
F3
May 4, 2003, 86.0 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
25
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2026
DetailsTornadoes
About one tornado a year since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 4, 2003
F3, 86.0 mile path
880 yards wide; 5 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Tuesday, April 29, 2025
EF0, 8.4 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 29, 2025 | EF0 | 8.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2024 | EF0 | 18.7 | 1 | 0 |
| May 6, 2024 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 2024 | EF1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 2023 | EF0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 27, 2023 | EF0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 2021 | EF1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 2021 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 10, 2020 | EF1 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 28, 2019 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 21, 2019 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2019 | EF0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2019 | EF1 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2019 | EF1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2019 | EF1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2018 | EF1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2018 | EF1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2017 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2017 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 6, 2017 | EF1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 1, 2017 | EF0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 2015 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 2015 | EF0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 2015 | EF0 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 2015 | EF0 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2014 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 20, 2013 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2012 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 2012 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 28, 2012 | EF2 | 9.5 | 12 | 1 |
| Feb 28, 2012 | EF1 | 18.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 2011 | EF0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 2011 | EF1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 2011 | EF1 | 10.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 31, 2010 | EF0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 24, 2010 | EF1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 24, 2010 | EF0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2009 | EF1 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF2 | 4.2 | 2 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF1 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF1 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2008 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2008 | EF2 | 4.7 | 3 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2008 | EF0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 17, 2007 | EF1 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 2007 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 3, 2006 | F0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 12, 2006 | F3 | 17.0 | 19 | 0 |
| Mar 12, 2006 | F0 | 57.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2003 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2003 | F3 | 86.0 | 47 | 5 |
| Dec 18, 2002 | F1 | 11.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Dec 18, 2002 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 25, 2000 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 25, 2000 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 1996 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 1996 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 1996 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 1995 | F1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 25, 1994 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26, 1994 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26, 1994 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 13, 1990 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 1989 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 29, 1983 | F3 | 5.5 | 19 | 1 |
| Dec 24, 1982 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1978 | F1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 1973 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1973 | F3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13, 1972 | F1 | 5.4 | 1 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 1971 | F2 | 48.3 | 22 | 1 |
| Jun 23, 1969 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 24, 1967 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 1967 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 14, 1966 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 22, 1966 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 25, 1961 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 1960 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 11, 1959 | F1 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 1959 | F1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Feb 9, 1959 | F1 | 14.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 17, 1958 | F2 | 12.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 1956 | F1 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 1956 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 1955 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 tropical cyclones passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
September 14, 2008
Ike, Tropical storm
93.7 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
3 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
April 19, 1996
Unnamed Fire, 1,355 acres
24.4 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
August 23, 2012
Fancy Fence Fire
625 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Fancy Fence | 2012 | 5.0 | 625 |
| Walnut Grove | 2012 | 16.0 | 540 |
| Unnamed | 1996 | 24.4 | 1,355 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 63 days
Heavy smoke on 13 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
20.4 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
14 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 31 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
10 federal flood insurance claims since 1993, with $133,000 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Polk County, the county that contains Bolivar.
Claims by ZIP code
| 65613 | 9 | $111,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood163
- Flood59
- Heavy Rain33
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Polk County, the county that contains Bolivar.
Most severe crest
August 20, 2007
Little Sac River near Morrisville, 25.54 ft
11.54 feet above the 14.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 5, 2022
Little Sac River near Morrisville, 21.65 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Lindley Creek near Polk | 17.0 | 25.20 ft | 0 |
| Little Sac River near Morrisville | 14.0 | 25.54 ft | 1 |
| Pomme de Terre River (MO) near Polk | 17.0 | 27.81 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 87 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 20 months.
The drought index is for Polk County, the county that contains Bolivar.
87
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
49
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
35
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1954
−6.16, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
20 months
June 1953 to January 1955.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.97, mild drought
Last severe month: March 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
5 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1988; none reached magnitude 4.
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
May 20, 1988
Magnitude 3.4
15 km WNW of Hartville, Missouri; 45.8 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 30, 2001
Magnitude 3.1
1 km SW of Hermitage, Missouri; 23.1 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
988 events in the National Weather Service record for Polk County, 905 of them since 1996.
172
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
19
Hail, 2 inches or larger
235
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
57
Winter weather events since 1996
9
Heat events since 1996
9
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 21, 2022
4.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 8, 2009
90 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 1, 2024Hail$9.6 million
National Weather Service narrative
Hail ranging from baseball to softball in size fell to the northwest, north and east of Bolivar. 200 homes at an average of $32,000 suffered damages to siding, roofs and windows, and 350 cars were damaged, many totaled.
- Aug 20, 2007Flash Flood$9.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The remnants of Tropical Storm Erin caused serious flooding across southern and central Polk County. Numerous secondary roads were washed out along with many low water crossings. Specific locations that were flooded include a bridge on Highway W near its intersection with Highway 123, a section of Highway 215 west of Eudora where the Turkey Creek intersects the highway, a section Highway 123 south of Eudora, a few streets in the city of Bolivar, a section of Highway 13 near the Polk and Greene county Line experienced 5 feet of flash flood water, all roads leading in and out of Pleasant Hope became impassable, and areas of Pleasant Hope flooded with a few houses impacted.
- May 8, 2009Thunderstorm Wind$7.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Seventy to 90 mph winds caused massive damage across much of Polk County. The central and southern sections of the county was impacted the greatest. Hundreds of outbuildings were either heavily damaged or destroyed. The communities of Bolivar and Pleasant Hope experienced damage to several hundred structures. At Southwest Baptist University, a large tree fell on a car that was occupied by a student. The student was injured and transported to the hospital. The Marion C. Early High School gymnasium experienced significant damage. In Tin Town, a farm experienced signficant damage to the home and all outbuildings.
- Apr 21, 2022Hail$5.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Golf ball to tennis ball sized hail and 50 mph winds were reported in Bolivar. Approximately 150 homes suffered severe damage to roofs, siding and windows. An equal number of cars suffered significant damage, with most 2014 model year and older totaled by insurance companies. This damage figure accounts for all damage in Polk County, Missouri for this event.
- May 4, 2003Tornado$3.7 million
National Weather Service narrative
This tornado is a continuation of the Cedar County tornado that produced F-3 damage in the city of Stockton. The tornado remained on the ground across rural sections of northern Polk County. The tornado destroyed 180 homes and outbuildings while damaging 70. The structural damage was estimated at 3.7 million dollars, with an additional one million dollars of agricultural loss. The tornado continued on the ground into extreme southeastern Hickory County.
- Apr 15, 2023Hail$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Baseball sized hail was reported in town. Emergency management reported 170 houses suffered damaged along with numerous cars. This entry includes all damages reported in Polk County during this event.
- Jun 9, 2024Flash Flood$2.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
A widespread flood event occurred in Polk County during the early morning hours of June 9th. Between 4 and 6 inches of rainfall fell in Polk County which caused the Pomme De Terre River and its tributaries to rapidly increase. There was damage to over 450 miles of gravel roads in the county which caused 2.2 million dollars in damage. Several low water bridges were damaged and a new bridge was damaged which caused 720,000 dollars in damage.
- Nov 1, 2022Drought, Polk$2.1 million
National Weather Service narrative
Drought conditions improved across Morgan County by the end of November. The US Drought Monitor indicated that moderate (D1) drought conditions remained at the end of the month after several rainfall events helped ease drought conditions below severe (D2) drought levels. Impacts across the region were primarily felt in larger scale agriculture with farm and stock ponds low but improved. Dry conditions caused grasses to dry and significantly impact hay production causing losses in hay cutting. Many farmers saw impacts to row crops such as soy beans, corn and other specialty crops.
- May 8, 2009Tornado$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service storm survey revealed that an EF-1 tornado touched down approximately two miles northwest of Brighton, and tracked north across southern Polk County. The tornado lifted approximately two miles east southeast of Bolivar. The tornado damaged or destroyed several outbuildings and barns, and caused moderate to severe damage to frame homes. In addtion, numerous trees were uprooted.
- Jan 12, 2007Ice Storm, Polk$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Ice accumulations resulted in nearly one million dollars in damages across Polk County. Thousands of residents were without power while 200 residents were placed in public shelter.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Bolivar 1 Ne, 1.5 miles from the city centre, with records from 1905.
- All-time high
- 115°FJul 14, 1954
- All-time low
- −25°FJan 13, 1912
- Warmest night
- 85°FSep 8, 1922
- Coldest day
- −2°FDec 23, 1989
- Wettest day
- 9.22 inSep 15, 1914
- Snowiest day
- 20.0 inFeb 21, 1912
- Hottest year
- 1938mean 60.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1917mean 52.3°F
- Wettest year
- 201566.97 in
- Driest year
- 198023.88 in
- Snowiest season
- 24.7 in1939-40
Median first snow
December 11
Earliest: October 28, 1925
Median last snow
March 10
Latest: April 21, 2021
2 of 51 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Bolivar 1 Ne (USC00230789), 987 ft elevation, 1.5 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1905 to October 28, 2026; 98.2% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
25 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, August 3, 2026.
Declarations for Polk County.
| Aug 3, 2026 | Severe Storm | DR-4929-MO |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Severe Storm | DR-4552-MO |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4490-MO |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3482-MO |
| Jan 21, 2016 | Flood | DR-4250-MO |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Flood | EM-3374-MO |
| Aug 7, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4238-MO |
| May 9, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1980-MO |
| Mar 23, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1961-MO |
| Feb 3, 2011 | Severe Storm | EM-3317-MO |
| Jun 19, 2009 | Severe Storm | DR-1847-MO |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3303-MO |
| Jun 25, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1773-MO |
| Mar 19, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1749-MO |
| Dec 12, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3281-MO |
| Sep 21, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1728-MO |
| Jan 15, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1676-MO |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3232-MO |
| Jun 11, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1524-MO |
| May 6, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1463-MO |
| May 6, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1412-MO |
| Oct 14, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1253-MO |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-995-MO |
| Sep 24, 1976 | Drought | EM-3017-MO |
| Apr 19, 1973 | Severe Storm | DR-372-MO |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00230789.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.