Fredericksburg
Population 11,893 (2025)
41 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Fredericksburg since 1950, 3 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on April 12, 2020.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195041
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger7
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19844
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Gillespie County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Gillespie County.
Strongest tornado
F3
May 6, 1969, 38.9 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1886, 15.0 miles away
Federal disaster declarations
20
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2026
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 1.9 years since 1950, 3 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 6, 1969
F3, 38.9 mile path
100 yards wide.
Most recent
Sunday, April 12, 2020
EF1, 11.6 mile path
6 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 12, 2020 | EF1 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 25, 2015 | EF0 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 25, 2015 | EF1 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 2007 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2006 | F1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2006 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 2005 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16, 2004 | F1 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16, 2004 | F0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16, 2004 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 16, 2004 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 25, 2003 | F0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 12, 2001 | F3 | 2.5 | 5 | 0 |
| May 11, 1999 | F3 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1997 | F0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1995 | F0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 1994 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1990 | F0 | 0.2 | 6 | 0 |
| May 17, 1989 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1984 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 4, 1983 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1982 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 10, 1980 | F2 | 47.7 | 20 | 0 |
| May 23, 1976 | F1 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 1976 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 1976 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 1976 | F1 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 30, 1976 | F2 | 15.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 20, 1973 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 23, 1972 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1972 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 1970 | F2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 1969 | F3 | 38.9 | 2 | 0 |
| Jan 18, 1968 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1965 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 1962 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 1962 | F2 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 1962 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 3, 1959 | F2 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 20, 1957 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1886
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
15.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 67 mph.
Most recent
June 24, 1968
Candy, Tropical storm
74.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
4 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
February 12, 2011
Doss Fire, 1,860 acres
17.2 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
August 2, 2022
Big Sky Fire
1,399 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Big Sky | 2022 | 9.7 | 1,399 |
| Buddy | 2022 | 20.1 | 1,521 |
| Doss | 2011 | 17.2 | 1,860 |
| Willow City | 2007 | 12.6 | 1,236 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 23 days
Heavy smoke on 3 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
7.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
2 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 7 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
19 federal flood insurance claims since 1980, with $738,000 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Gillespie County, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
Most claims in one year
2026: 6 claims
$647,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 78624 | 17 | $737,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood105
- Flood4
4 deaths recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Gillespie County, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
Most severe crest
August 2, 1978
Pedernales River at Fredericksburg, 41.60 ft
19.60 feet above the 22.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
July 16, 2026
Pedernales River at Fredericksburg, 35.59 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Pedernales River at Fredericksburg | 22.0 | 41.60 ft | 5 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 201 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 25 months.
The drought index is for Gillespie County, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
201
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
85
Months in extreme drought
13%
Share of all months, severe or worse
101
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
September 2011
−6.10, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
25 months
April 2022 to April 2024.
Latest month
September 2026
+1.05, slightly wet
Last severe month: May 2025.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
1 earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1982; none reached magnitude 4.
1
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
March 28, 1982
Magnitude 3.0
11 km N of Bulverde, Texas; 37.8 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 28, 1982
Magnitude 3.0
11 km N of Bulverde, Texas; 37.8 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
576 events in the National Weather Service record for Gillespie County, 495 of them since 1996.
200
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
42
Hail, 2 inches or larger
31
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
40
Winter weather events since 1996
4
Heat events since 1996
8
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 16, 2023
4.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
August 8, 2003
92 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Jul 16, 2026Flash Flood$6.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Old San Antonio Rd. at the Pedernales River was washed out completely south of Fredericksburg. Many low water crossings around the county were damaged. Total damage in the county was estimated at $6.5 million.
- May 11, 1999Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado was preceded by strong, gusty winds, very heavy rainfall and finally, large hail. Severe winds in advance of the tornado took a roof off the High School in Harper and laid it on the ground on the opposite side of the building. These winds also damaged several other roofs in the area. The tornado began its track around three miles east of Harper, moving toward the southeast. It lifted post oak trees out of the ground with their roots in tact. Approximately 2 miles down the path, it turned toward the south and continued for another 1.5 miles. Along its track, it destroyed. 35 homes, 10 mobile homes, and damaged or destroyed 25 outbuildings and barns. The tornado damage…
- Oct 12, 2001Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The strongest of the Friday night tornadoes struck the town of Stonewall. This tornado, rated F3 on the Fujita Scale, was preceded by brief gusty winds of 30 to 40 miles per hour, very heavy rainfall and spotty .5-inch hail. The tornado formed around 830 pm CST near the intersection of Hahn Road and SH290. It moved north-northeastward for .75 miles, crossing SH290 and the Pedernales River. Just north of the river, it made a slight turn toward the east, now moving another mile toward the northeast. It crossed North River Road and continued over open country until it crossed Ranch Road 1623. After passing RR1623 for approximately .25 miles, it dissipated. The worst damage, F3 level,…
- Mar 19, 2012Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding. This closed roads south of Tivydale.
- Feb 1, 2023Winter Storm, Gillespie$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Freezing rain began around 11 AM on January 30 and continued off and on through February 2. By 4:13 PM on January 30 a quarter of an inch of ice had accumulated in Luckenbach. By the end of the event 0.31 inches of ice had accumulated in Fredericksburg. The ice brought down power lines and tree branches in Fredericksburg. The Central Texas Electric COOP reported $500,000 in damages.
- Jun 1, 2005Thunderstorm Wind$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Storms from a mesoscale complex that formed in the Texas Panhandle arrived in the Texas Hill Country shortly after midnight. The line stretched from Llano to Fredericksburg to Kerrville to Leakey and Rocksprings, moving toward the southeast with speeds varying at times from 25 to 45 mph. The most intense and widespread damage appeared to take place across Gillespie County. In the northwest part of the county several trees were blown over onto FM648 and blocked the road until they were removed. Minor damage was noted southeastward to near US290 where severe damage again was seen around the Gillespie County airport, just southwest of Fredericksburg. The roof was lifted off the…
- Mar 14, 2018Wildfire, Gillespie$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
An arsonist set a house and a recreational vehicle on fire and these spread to consume five acres northwest of Fredericksburg. Two structures and the RV where destroyed.
- Aug 16, 2007Flash Flood$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
The extremely heavy rainfall associated with the remains of Tropical Storm Erin moved into Gillespie County in the late afternoon, producing general 3 to 5 inch amounts. Highest were 9 inches at Cain City just south of Fredericksburg. Most roads in the southern and western part of the county were closed due to flooding. High water rescues were made on Bear Creek Road in the county and on East College Street and Goehmann Lane in Fredericksburg. US290 was blocked by the Pedernales River by early Friday morning and the LBJ Ranch was closed to visitors all day on Friday.
- Mar 7, 2005Hail$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Large hail, propelled by 30 to 40 mph winds broke the windows of homes, dented vehicles, and damaged trees near Fredericksburg.
- May 7, 2006Hail$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Golfball-sized hail dented vehicle bodies, broke windows of cars and homes in the Harper area.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Fredericksburg, 2.7 miles from the city centre, with records from 1896.
- All-time high
- 109°F3 times, most recently Sep 5, 2000
- All-time low
- −5°FJan 31, 1949
- Warmest night
- 88°FAug 6, 1897
- Coldest day
- 17°FJan 10, 1962
- Wettest day
- 8.03 inSep 10, 1952
- Snowiest day
- 6.0 in3 times, most recently Feb 9, 1940
- Hottest year
- 2023mean 69.1°F
- Coldest year
- 1903mean 63.4°F
- Wettest year
- 200750.84 in
- Driest year
- 195611.29 in
- Snowiest season
- 14.0 in1914-15
Median first snow
January 15
Earliest: November 8, 1955
Median last snow
February 6
Latest: March 9, 1915
59 of 87 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Fredericksburg (USC00413329), 1,685 ft elevation, 2.7 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1896 to September 30, 2026; 92.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
20 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 1, 2026.
Declarations for Gillespie County.
| Sep 1, 2026 | Flood | DR-4935-TX |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Flood | EM-3649-TX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Fire | FM-5570-TX |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Winter Storm | DR-4705-TX |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4586-TX |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3554-TX |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4485-TX |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3458-TX |
| May 29, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4223-TX |
| Mar 14, 2008 | Fire | EM-3284-TX |
| Jan 11, 2006 | Fire | DR-1624-TX |
| Sep 24, 2005 | Hurricane | DR-1606-TX |
| Sep 21, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3261-TX |
| Sep 2, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3216-TX |
| Jul 4, 2002 | Flood | DR-1425-TX |
| Sep 1, 1999 | Fire | EM-3142-TX |
| Aug 26, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1239-TX |
| Jul 7, 1997 | Flood | DR-1179-TX |
| Sep 10, 1993 | Drought | EM-3113-TX |
| Dec 26, 1991 | Flood | DR-930-TX |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00413329.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.