Stanislaus County
Population 557,719 (2025) 1,496 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 258,263 acres of Stanislaus County since 1984, 31st most of 58 counties in California; the largest was the Scu Lightning Complex Fire in 2020.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195013
- Wildfire burn scars since 198413
- Major flood years since 19783
At a glance
The record for Stanislaus County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
258,263
31st of 58 in California
13 large fires; the largest was Scu Lightning Complex, 2020
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
April 27, 1953, 0.1 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
20
Most recent: Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, 2023
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 5.8 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 27, 1953
F2, 0.1 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, April 1, 2025
EF0, 0.9 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 1, 2025 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2016 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 24, 2015 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 15, 2015 | EF1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 14, 2006 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 20, 2005 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 12, 1996 | F1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 1996 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 14, 1980 | F1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 4, 1978 | F1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 1, 1978 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 1958 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 1953 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Stanislaus County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
258,263 acres burned in 13 large fires since 1984, equal to 27% of the land.
Largest
August 16, 2020
Scu Lightning Complex, 405,644 acres
175,791 acres inside Stanislaus County.
Most recent
August 16, 2020
Scu Lightning Complex
405,644 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Scu Lightning Complex | 2020 | 175,791 | 405,644 |
| Rock | 2019 | 2,452 | 2,453 |
| Waverly | 2018 | 6,209 | 12,240 |
| Milton | 2011 | 1,171 | 1,172 |
| Canyon | 2006 | 34,767 | 36,840 |
| Stuhr | 2006 | 1,545 | 1,545 |
| Pelican | 2004 | 1,459 | 1,458 |
| Annie | 2003 | 17,316 | 17,377 |
| Del Puerto | 2003 | 6,440 | 6,441 |
| Bird | 2003 | 6,870 | 7,726 |
| Orestimba | 1995 | 2,830 | 2,832 |
| Mt. Stakes | 1994 | 10 | 1,470 |
| Gerber | 1987 | 1,398 | 1,399 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2020: 58 days
Heavy smoke on 35 days in 2020, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
17.0 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
3 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 6 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
242 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $4.7 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1998: 73 claims
$768,000 paid.
2nd most
1997: 48 claims
$2.3 million paid.
3rd most
1995: 40 claims
$408,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 95360 | 60 | $864,000 |
| 95363 | 39 | $302,000 |
| 95354 | 37 | $1.5 million |
| 95351 | 22 | $473,000 |
| 95313 | 18 | $368,000 |
| 95358 | 17 | $301,000 |
| 95380 | 11 | $33,000 |
| 95355 | 7 | $130,000 |
| 95329 | 6 | $22,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood21
- Heavy Rain16
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
January 4, 1997
Tuolumne River at Modesto, 71.21 ft
16.21 feet above the 55.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
January 4, 1997
Tuolumne River at Modesto, 71.21 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| San Joaquin River at Newman | 69.4 | 69.00 ft | 0 |
| San Joaquin River at Patterson | 54.7 | 52.24 ft | 0 |
| Stanislaus River at Orange Blossom Bridge | 16.0 | 31.80 ft | 5 |
| Stanislaus River at Ripon | 60.0 | — | 0 |
| Tuolumne River at Modesto | 55.0 | 71.21 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 267 of 1,581 months since 1895 (17%); the longest spell lasted 32 months.
267
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
107
Months in extreme drought
17%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
July 2014
−7.39, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
32 months
March 2013 to October 2015.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.44, moderate drought
Last severe month: September 2025.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and volcanoes
364 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 6.9 in 1989.
51
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
3,192
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
364
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
44
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
October 17, 1989
The 1989 Loma Prieta, California Earthquake; 27.5 miles away, 10.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
October 22, 2026
Magnitude 3.0
15 km S of Tres Pinos, CA; 33.3 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Volcanoes within 100 miles
| Mammoth Mountain | 74.2 | Moderate |
| Mono-Inyo Chain | 75.8 | High |
| Mono Lake Volcanic Field | 78.3 | Moderate |
| Long Valley Caldera | 83.1 | Very high |
- U.S. volcanoes within 100 miles, from the USGS Volcano Hazards Program. The threat category is the USGS 2018 National Volcanic Threat Assessment, which ranks volcanoes by how hazardous their past eruptions were and how many people and how much infrastructure lie near them. It is not a forecast of eruption.
USGS Volcano Hazards Program, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
80 events in the National Weather Service record, 73 of them since 1996.
0
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
4
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
0
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
0
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
March 11, 1996
0.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
December 24, 2015
100 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Nov 15, 2015Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm produced a tornado with multiple touch downs that moved through the north section of Denair, CA touching down around 1:54 pm PST and ending around 2:15 pm PST on Sunday, November 15, 2015. There were no injuries. About 21 homes were impacted, 2 of them with major damage, but most with minor roof damage. Many fences were knocked down. Numerous trees and tree branches were brought down, including several large trees and numerous sections of trees in walnut groves. Power lines were knocked down causing local power outages. The multiple touch down path was about 3 miles long. The damage path was about 175-200 yards at the widest point.
- Apr 2, 2006Heavy Rain$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
Prolonged heavy precipitation with high snow levels resulted in excessive runoff into area river basins. Hardest hit was the San Joaquin River system and the Delta region. Many area reservoirs had minimal flood storage space as per seasonal norms and the large inflows had to be balanced very carefully with downstream releases to protect the fragile San Joaquin levee system. While the bulk of the flooding affected agricultural and rural properties, some local areas adjacent to waterways experienced flooding of homes and many roads were impassable. However, through the efforts of advance flood-fight measures, careful monitoring of levees, and critical water management coordination…
- Apr 14, 2006Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain from afternoon thunderstorms caused flooding in the Riverbend area of Modesto. Nearby areas had been flooded earlier in the week due to high river levels. Several houses and some local roads were flooded.
- Mar 21, 2017Lightning$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning hit a tree in Oakdale, CA, causing a fire in nearby electrical transformer and resulting in a power outage. Three homes and a few vehicles were reported damaged.
- Dec 24, 2015Thunderstorm Wind$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Straight line winds brought down trees at Coffee Rd. and Athens Rd. A large tree with shallow roots fell on power lines and brought down 12 power poles.
- Jan 1, 2006Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A series of warm winter storms brought heavy rain, mudslides, flooding, and high winds to Northern California. - Levee overtopping, breaching, and river flooding occurred along the Feather and Sacramento mainstem rivers as well as along numerous smaller rivers, creeks, and streams. Several urban areas had significant street flooding. The Sacramento weir was opened for the first time since 1997 with twenty gates opened. - Transportation throughout the area was difficult during the course of the storms as airports were closed due to the high winds and major road closures resulted from flooding and mudslides. Interstate 80...the main artery between Sacramento and the San Francisco…
- Jan 27, 2021Heavy Rain$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
The media reported that street flooding and rockslides occurred due to heavy rain. They also noted that Stanislaus Sheriff Department said a few vehicles were damaged as well. Damage costs are estimated. Location is not approximate as it was provided as a general statement.
- Nov 23, 1996Heavy Rain$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain and large amounts of small hail cause a roof support to give way, taking a portion of the roof.
- Mar 22, 2005Heavy Rain$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain resulted in street flooding and minor property damage.
- Dec 24, 2015Tornado$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
EFO tornado damage was confirmed in Ceres from Davis Rd. to Vinewood Dr. by a NWS damage survey team. A carport collapsed causing damage to a house. Several houses, trees and fences were damaged. The tornado was only on the ground for a brief time.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Modesto Airport, 0.5 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1927.
- All-time high
- 113°F2 times, most recently Jul 24, 2006
- All-time low
- 18°F2 times, most recently Jan 11, 1949
- Warmest night
- 84°FJul 22, 2006
- Coldest day
- 31°FDec 11, 1932
- Wettest day
- 2.72 inMar 4, 1978
- Snowiest day
- 1.5 inJan 21, 1962
- Hottest year
- 2016mean 65.6°F
- Coldest year
- 1948mean 57.9°F
- Wettest year
- 198327.39 in
- Driest year
- 19123.81 in
- Snowiest season
- 1.5 in1961-62
46 of 49 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Modesto Airport (USW00023258), 87 ft elevation, 0.5 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1927 to October 26, 2026; 99.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
20 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, April 3, 2023.
| Apr 3, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4699-CA |
| Mar 10, 2023 | Flood | EM-3592-CA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Flood | DR-4683-CA |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Flood | EM-3591-CA |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Fire | DR-4558-CA |
| Aug 21, 2020 | Fire | FM-5338-CA |
| Mar 22, 2020 | Biological | DR-4482-CA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3428-CA |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Flood | DR-4308-CA |
| Mar 13, 2007 | Freezing | DR-1689-CA |
| Jun 5, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1646-CA |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3248-CA |
| Feb 9, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1203-CA |
| Jan 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1155-CA |
| Mar 12, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1046-CA |
| Feb 11, 1991 | Freezing | DR-894-CA |
| Feb 9, 1983 | Coastal Storm | DR-677-CA |
| Jan 20, 1977 | Drought | EM-3023-CA |
| Jan 26, 1969 | Flood | DR-253-CA |
| Dec 24, 1964 | Flood | DR-183-CA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Stanislaus County stands among 58 counties in California and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 13 | 13 / 58 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 258,263 | 31 / 58 |
| Flood insurance claims | 242 | 32 / 58 |
| Flood insurance paid | $4.7 million | 28 / 58 |
| Disaster declarations | 20 | 44 / 58 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 37 | 47 / 58 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 14 | 48 / 58 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 0 | — |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $2.5 million | 55 / 58 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 7 | 8 / 58 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 267 | 8 / 58 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 17.0 | 33 / 58 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 364 | 24 / 58 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 51 | 45 / 58 |
Neighbouring counties
| Alameda County | 3 | 0 |
| Calaveras County | 2 | 0 |
| Mariposa County | 3 | 0 |
| Merced County | 17 | 0 |
| San Joaquin County | 19 | 0 |
| Santa Clara County | 6 | 0 |
| Tuolumne County | 1 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00023258.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Volcanoes USGS Volcano Hazards Program, U.S. volcanoes and 2018 threat assessment.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.