Guthrie County
Population 10,782 (2025) 591 sq mi
Property owners in Guthrie County have filed 10 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 66th most of 99 counties in Iowa.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195033
At a glance
The record for Guthrie County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Strongest tornado
F4
May 27, 1995, 57.0 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
17
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, 2022
DetailsSnowiest season
62.4in
Winter of 1961-62
Tornadoes
About one every 2.3 years since 1950, 3 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 27, 1995
F4, 57.0 mile path
500 yards wide.
Deadliest
May 22, 2019
1 killed, EF2
1 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Wednesday, December 15, 2021
EF2, 23.4 mile path
5 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF2 | 23.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF2 | 30.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF2 | 19.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF1 | 11.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2020 | EFU | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2020 | EFU | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30, 2019 | EFU | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 30, 2019 | EFU | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 2019 | EF2 | 4.8 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 8, 2018 | EF0 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2016 | EF0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2016 | EF0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 11, 2015 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 6, 2014 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2014 | EF1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2014 | EF2 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 2007 | EF0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2007 | EF1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 11, 2001 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 26, 2000 | F1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1995 | F4 | 30.0 | 1 | 0 |
| May 27, 1995 | F4 | 57.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Mar 22, 1991 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1988 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1983 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 1977 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 1977 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 1970 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 1964 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1963 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1959 | F4 | 41.1 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Guthrie County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 64 days
Heavy smoke on 26 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
27.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
24 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 42 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
10 federal flood insurance claims since 1998, with $157,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain43
- Flash Flood41
- Flood39
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
July 9, 1993
Middle Raccoon River at Panora, 20.04 ft
9.04 feet above the 11.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.
River gauges
| Middle Raccoon River at Panora | 11.0 | 20.04 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 161 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 23 months.
161
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
63
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
30
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−7.61, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
23 months
July 1933 to May 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
+3.20, very wet
Last severe month: March 2013.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.
Severe weather and other events
707 events in the National Weather Service record, 657 of them since 1996.
148
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
21
Hail, 2 inches or larger
144
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
72
Winter weather events since 1996
4
Heat events since 1996
26
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 2, 1999
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 21, 2008
92 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Aug 1, 2003Drought, Guthrie$12.7 million
National Weather Service narrative
Dry weather settled in over Iowa during the month. The last widespread rain occurred on 09 July. With the increasingly dry conditions became a primary concern as the month progressed. An extended period of heat and humidity from the 15th to 25th saw highs into the 90s to over 100 degrees F. in some locations. By month's end drought indices had worsened to severe to extreme drought across south central Iowa and at least moderate drought over the remainder of the HSA. Waterloo had its driest August on record, Des Moines its 3rd driest and Ottumwa its 8th driest. A cold front brought only a brief respite from the intense heat, as temperatures rebounded into the 90s to near 100…
- May 11, 2014Tornado$1.3 million
National Weather Service narrative
An NWS storm survey determined that an EF-2 tornado touched south southwest of Guthrie Center and tracked northeast across Lake Panorama and dissipating shortly thereafter.
- Jun 14, 1998Flood, Guthrie$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
After a brief lull from the rain on the 12th, a large mesoscale convective system developed near the center of an upper level low pressure center over southwest Iowa during the early morning hours of the 14th. Extremely heavy rain fell over southwest and central Iowa from this storm. The rain gage at Atlantic had a 24 hour total rainfall of 13.18 inches. This established a new official record for the greatest amount of rainfall in a 24 hour period. Cass County was covered by a large area of 4 to 8 inch rains, which essentially submerged the entire county. The east Fork of the Nishnabotna at Atlantic 5 SW crested on the 15th at 22.36 feet, missing the all-time record set in…
- Dec 23, 2009Ice Storm, Guthrie$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Part 1 of 2: A major winter storm system affected the central U.S. during Christmas week. There were two upper level systems involved with this storm. The southern stream low dove into the southern U.S. and then turned northeast. The turn was sharper than is typical as the northern stream upper low pushed southeast. The southern stream and polar low interacted with each other, resulting in a Fuji Wara effect. The southern low turned north, then eventually northwest and moved from northern Louisiana into Iowa. This resulted in a considerable amount of warm air being drawn north over Iowa. Cold air remained in place at the surface due to an existing deep snow cover over most of the…
- Oct 26, 1997Heavy Snow, Guthrie$640,000
National Weather Service narrative
The first major winter storm of the season developed over the central Rockies as a powerful upper level jet stream dove into the southern Rockies. Intense low pressure developed over northern Oklahoma, then drifted northeast on the early morning of the 26th. A cold high pressure of Arctic origin was poised to the north of Iowa. The high gradually pushed cold air south into the central U.S. causing the precipitation on the northwest edge of the storm system to change to snow. During the early morning hours, the system went convective with widespread "thundersnow" reported over the south half of Iowa. Lightning struck a tree outside of a house in Nevada causing damage to electrical…
- Jun 30, 2014Hail$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Massive hail and wind storm crossed across southern portions of Guthrie county. Hail as large as baseballs and winds of up to 70 mph produced widespread damage to houses, buildings and crops.
- May 24, 2007Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The cold front mentioned in the event above became stationary for several hours during the early morning of the 24th as low pressure moved from the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on the night of the 23rd, northeast into Iowa by the morning of the 24th. A large area of thunderstorms developed to the north and northwest of the low pressure track. These storms produced significant rainfall, with two to four inch rainfall common from southwest, into central, and north central Iowa. Guthrie Center, in Guthrie County, received 6.50 inches of rain by sunrise on the 24, with additional rainfall after that. Flash flooding became a problem with significant flooding taking place in Cass,…
- May 24, 2007Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The cold front mentioned in the event above became stationary for several hours during the early morning of the 24th as low pressure moved from the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles on the night of the 23rd, northeast into Iowa by the morning of the 24th. A large area of thunderstorms developed to the north and northwest of the low pressure track. These storms produced significant rainfall, with two to four inch rainfall common from southwest, into central, and north central Iowa. Guthrie Center, in Guthrie County, received 6.50 inches of rain by sunrise on the 24, with additional rainfall after that. Flash flooding became a problem with significant flooding taking place in Cass,…
- May 11, 2014Tornado$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
EF-1 tornado started near Sunset Beach on Lake Panorama before heading northeast to just south of Yale.
- Dec 15, 2021Tornado$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
This tornado developed in west central Guthrie county to the west southwest of Wichita. The tornado moved northeast producing EF0 and EF1 damage to trees and outbuildings in rural portions of northwest Guthrie County. The storm passed along the southeast edge of Bayard taking a roof off a house and demolishing a garage on another house. This damage was rated EF2. The tornado exited the county shortly thereafter into Greene County.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Guthrie Center, 3.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1895.
- All-time high
- 113°F3 times, most recently Jul 25, 1936
- All-time low
- −35°F2 times, most recently Feb 2, 1996
- Warmest night
- 82°F3 times, most recently Jul 26, 1936
- Coldest day
- −15°FDec 23, 1989
- Wettest day
- 6.79 inApr 27, 2009
- Snowiest day
- 14.0 inDec 9, 2009
- Hottest year
- 1931mean 55.1°F
- Coldest year
- 1917mean 45.0°F
- Wettest year
- 200752.82 in
- Driest year
- 195520.81 in
- Snowiest season
- 62.4 in1961-62
Median first snow
November 27
Earliest: October 15, 2018
Median last snow
March 20
Latest: April 30, 1903
4 of 89 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Guthrie Center (USC00133509), 1,065 ft elevation, 3.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1895 to October 27, 2026; 96.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, February 23, 2022.
| Feb 23, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4642-IA |
| Aug 17, 2020 | Severe Storm | DR-4557-IA |
| Mar 23, 2020 | Biological | DR-4483-IA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3480-IA |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Flood | DR-4421-IA |
| Jul 31, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4234-IA |
| Jul 29, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1930-IA |
| Mar 2, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1880-IA |
| Feb 25, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1877-IA |
| May 27, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1763-IA |
| Mar 30, 2007 | Snowstorm | EM-3275-IA |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3239-IA |
| May 25, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1518-IA |
| Jul 2, 1998 | Flood | DR-1230-IA |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-996-IA |
| Dec 26, 1991 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-928-IA |
| Jun 24, 1974 | Flood | DR-443-IA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Guthrie County stands among 99 counties in Iowa and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 33 | 53 / 99 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 3 | 41 / 99 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 10 | 66 / 99 |
| Flood insurance paid | $157,000 | 61 / 99 |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 70 / 99 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 123 | 27 / 99 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 376 | 22 / 99 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 72 | 80 / 99 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $27.8 million | 45 / 99 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 161 | 33 / 99 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 27.5 | 49 / 99 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Adair County | 34 | 0 |
| Audubon County | 16 | 0 |
| Carroll County | 37 | 0 |
| Cass County | 43 | 0 |
| Dallas County | 60 | 0 |
| Greene County | 35 | 0 |
| Madison County | 38 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00133509.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.