Warren County

Population 16,222 (2025) 542 sq mi

Warren County has recorded 38 tornadoes since 1950, 38th most of 102 counties in Illinois; the most recent was on June 3, 2025.

Hazard fingerprint for Warren County Tornado: 84th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 36th percentile. Hail & wind: 44th percentile. Heat: 33th percentile. Cold: 68th percentile. Winter: 77th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195038

At a glance

The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tornadoes since 1950

38

38th of 102 in Illinois

27% more than the typical Illinois county

Details

Flood insurance claims

26

73rd of 102 in Illinois

$193,000 paid since 1982

Details

Strongest tornado

F4

May 13, 1995, 50.0 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

9

Most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, 2023

Details

Record high

110°F

July 15, 1936

Details

Record low

−27°F

February 13, 1905

Details

Snowiest season

59.5in

Winter of 1959-60

Costliest event since 1996

$2.0M

Hail, May 8, 2003

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 2 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

May 13, 1995

F4, 50.0 mile path

1,000 yards wide.

Deadliest

September 26, 1959

1 killed, F2

0 injured along the whole path.

Most recent

Tuesday, June 3, 2025

EF1, 7.8 mile path

Within the past year.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 1 1 1960s: 3 3 1970s: 2 2 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 16 16 2000s: 3 3 2010s: 6 6 2020s: 6 6 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 2 A: 11 11 M: 10 J: 4 J: 8 A: 1 S: 1 O: 0 N: 0 D: 1 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Warren County since 1950
Jun 3, 2025EF17.85000
Apr 20, 2025EF04.02500
Mar 14, 2024EF11.115000
May 13, 2022EFU0.11000
May 13, 2022EFU0.11000
Aug 25, 2021EFU0.13000
May 9, 2016EF00.12500
Mar 15, 2016EF18.340000
Dec 23, 2015EF110.75000
Jul 16, 2015EF26.070010
Jul 16, 2015EF21.730000
Jul 16, 2015EF11.45000
May 8, 2009EF00.52500
May 10, 2003F269.230040
Jul 17, 2001F00.11000
Apr 22, 1999F00.11000
Apr 8, 1999F020.01000
Apr 5, 1999F29.410000
Jun 29, 1998F01.03000
Jun 18, 1998F00.13000
Apr 7, 1998F00.13000
Apr 7, 1998F10.13000
Apr 7, 1998F10.53000
Apr 7, 1998F00.13000
Apr 7, 1998F00.13000
May 18, 1997F00.11000
Apr 30, 1997F017.01000
May 9, 1996F00.22500
Jul 27, 1995F00.11000
May 27, 1995F00.15000
May 13, 1995F450.01,00070
May 18, 1982F00.11000
Jun 13, 1975F00.11000
Jul 17, 1972F127.21000
Jul 17, 1968F13.812700
Apr 18, 1963F20.11000
Jul 21, 1961F1147.41000
Sep 26, 1959F24.930001
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 1.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 63 days

Heavy smoke on 20 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

23.5 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

17 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 38 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 11 2012: 19 2013: 11 2014: 11 2015: 21 2016: 3 2017: 7 2018: 14 2019: 13 2020: 21 2021: 47 2022: 18 2023: 63 63 2024: 32 2025: 17 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

26 federal flood insurance claims since 1982, with $193,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1982: 5 5 2008: 5 1982
Claims per year since 1982. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

1982: 5 claims

$16,000 paid.

2nd most

2008: 5 claims

$74,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
614628$57,000
614537$30,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood19
  • Flood7
  • Heavy Rain2

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 174 of 1,581 months since 1895 (11%); the longest spell lasted 21 months.

174

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

83

Months in extreme drought

11%

Share of all months, severe or worse

17

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

August 1934

−6.75, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

21 months

May 1988 to January 1990.

Latest month

September 2026

+2.49, moderately wet

Last severe month: March 2026.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 3 1898: 0 1899: 1 1900: 6 1901: 12 12 1902: 5 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 2 1911: 7 1912: 0 1913: 3 1914: 12 1915: 4 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 1 1921: 5 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 2 1931: 7 1932: 0 1933: 2 1934: 8 1935: 0 1936: 2 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 8 1941: 3 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 3 1954: 2 1955: 0 1956: 9 1957: 4 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 2 1964: 11 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 1 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 3 1988: 8 1989: 12 1990: 1 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 2 2004: 0 2005: 4 2006: 12 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 3 2013: 0 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1934.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

0

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

2

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

November 12, 1934

Magnitude 4.0

1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois; 30.3 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

November 12, 1934

Magnitude 4.0

1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois; 30.3 miles away.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Nov 12, 19344.030.3—1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois
Apr 13, 19054.036.0—Near Keokuk, Iowa
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

489 events in the National Weather Service record, 443 of them since 1996.

43

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

0

Hail, 2 inches or larger

133

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

121

Winter weather events since 1996

5

Heat events since 1996

18

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

May 13, 1995

1.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 29, 2023

100 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning100Aug 11, 2003
Dense fog and smoke900Nov 21, 2012

Costliest events since 1996

  1. May 8, 2003Hail$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…

  2. Jul 16, 2015Tornado$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    An EF-2 tornado with winds estimated at 125 mph tracked about 6 miles from east of Monmouth through the town of Cameron before lifting. A maximum path width of 700 yards was estimated in Cameron. The tornado began at 713 pm CDT 1 mile southeast of Monmouth and lifted at 734 pm 2.2 miles east of Cameron. The most intense damage occurred in Cameron where at least 3 homes were unroofed, numerous garages and outbuildings were destroyed, and a large grain bin at the elevator was destroyed.

  3. May 4, 2003Flash Flood$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    6 inches water covering intersection of US 67 and 210th Ave

  4. May 10, 2003Hail$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A strong spring storm system moved through the Mississippi valley during the late afternoon and evening hours producing widespread severe weather. In an unprecedented move, WFO Quad Cities held a press conference the day before to warn of a high probability of significant tornadoes in the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday May 10th, with the area most at risk south of a Keosauqua, Iowa to Princeton, Illinois line. Supercell thunderstorms developed and continued into the evening hours spawning several long track tornadoes and produced copious amounts of large hail. Luckily, most of the tornado tracks were in open country and therefore damage was minimized. After dark, a severe…

  5. May 10, 2003Tornado$300,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Tornado devleoped in Adams County (WFO LSX) and moved through Hancock and McDonough counties in a general northeast direction and entered Warren County 5.6 miles NNE of Good Hope at 1904 CST. The tornado continued a gradual turn to the left (begun in McDonough County) passing 1.3 miles south and 0.9 miles east of Youngstown and dissipated 5 miles east of Roseville on or just south of highway 116. Length of track in Warren County was 7.8 miles and damage along the path was mainly F0 with sporatic F1.

  6. May 10, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A strong spring storm system moved through the Mississippi valley during the late afternoon and evening hours producing widespread severe weather. In an unprecedented move, WFO Quad Cities held a press conference the day before to warn of a high probability of significant tornadoes in the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday May 10th, with the area most at risk south of a Keosauqua, Iowa to Princeton, Illinois line. Supercell thunderstorms developed and continued into the evening hours spawning several long track tornadoes and produced copious amounts of large hail. Luckily, most of the tornado tracks were in open country and therefore damage was minimized. After dark, a severe…

  7. Aug 23, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Straight-line winds estimated to be around 100 mph blew down several large trees, ripped part of a roof off a house, displaced and dented several grain silos, and flattened numerous corn fields between Kirkwood, IL and Monmouth, IL. Some of the trees fell onto houses and other structures (EF Scale rating: EF1).

  8. Mar 15, 2016Tornado$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado moved from McDonough County into Warren County west of Prairie City. It traveled northeast across Warren County, affecting mainly farm outbuildings and trees before it moved into Fulton County.

  9. Jul 16, 2015Tornado$150,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An EF2 tornado with maximum wind estimated at 120 MPH touched down 2.6 miles east of Kirkwood, IL. The tornado traveled approximately 1.7 miles and lifted 3.2 miles southwest of Monmouth, IL. The maximum path width was about 300 yards. Along the path, the tornado destroyed a grain bin and a cattle barn at Shauman's Corner about 6.4 miles southwest of Monmouth on US 34. Power poles were also snapped.

  10. Sep 22, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Straight line winds flattened several acres of corn throughout the county.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Monmouth, 3.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.

All-time high
110°FJul 15, 1936
All-time low
−27°FFeb 13, 1905
Warmest night
84°FJun 25, 2005
Coldest day
−11°FDec 24, 1983
Wettest day
6.53 inJul 15, 1929
Snowiest day
15.0 inApr 11, 1997
Hottest year
1921mean 54.7°F
Coldest year
2014mean 46.7°F
Wettest year
199854.52 in
Driest year
191021.96 in
Snowiest season
59.5 in1959-60
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Monmouth 32°F 33° 15° 1.8 Jan 38° 19° 1.7 Feb 51° 30° 2.9 Mar 64° 40° 3.9 Apr 74° 52° 5.0 May 82° 61° 5.1 Jun 85° 64° 4.0 Jul 84° 62° 3.9 Aug 79° 55° 3.6 Sep 66° 43° 3.1 Oct 51° 31° 2.1 Nov 38° 21° 2.0 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1975: 136 1976: 142 1977: 118 1978: 134 1979: 128 1980: 138 1981: 119 1982: 125 1983: 116 1984: 134 1985: 129 1986: 123 1987: 117 1988: 134 1989: 138 1990: 132 1991: 112 1992: 99 1993: 126 1994: 117 1995: 128 1996: 142 1997: 129 1998: 89 1999: 120 2003: 132 2004: 117 2005: 128 2006: 121 2007: 124 2008: 128 2012: 122 2013: 138 2014: 144 2015: 123 2016: 109 2017: 118 2018: 158 158 2019: 139 2020: 141 2021: 124 2022: 139 2023: 121 2024: 104 19751985199520082021
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 126.6.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 35.0 in 1977: 47.4 in 1978: 50.6 in 1979: 30.0 in 1980: 12.6 in 1981: 38.6 in 1982: 14.0 in 1983: 44.4 in 1984: 23.3 in 1985: 25.6 in 1986: 14.1 in 1987: 27.0 in 1988: 18.0 in 1989: 20.1 in 1990: 24.9 in 1991: 20.8 in 1992: 36.5 in 1993: 32.2 in 1994: 17.7 in 1995: 18.7 in 1996: 46.2 in 1997: 20.4 in 1998: 29.1 in 1999: 18.6 in 2000: 21.7 in 2001: 20.8 in 2002: 18.9 in 2003: 30.3 in 2004: 22.4 in 2005: 12.2 in 2006: 25.6 in 2007: 32.5 in 2008: 15.9 in 2009: 45.6 in 2012: 19.0 in 2013: 55.2 in 55.2 2014: 23.7 in 2015: 12.9 in 2016: 14.3 in 2017: 28.4 in 2018: 31.0 in 2019: 26.0 in 2020: 25.3 in 2021: 21.0 in 2022: 22.7 in 2023: 28.9 in 2024: 6.9 in 2025: 28.5 in 19761986199620062018
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 26

Earliest: September 25, 1942

Median last snow

March 25

Latest: May 5, 1944

0 of 123 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Monmouth (USC00115768), 720 ft elevation, 3.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to September 28, 2026; 92.2% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

9 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, August 15, 2023.

Federal disaster declarations
Aug 15, 2023Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4728-IL
Mar 26, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4489-IL
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3435-IL
May 10, 2013FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4116-IL
Mar 17, 2011SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1960-IL
Sep 25, 2007Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1729-IL
Sep 7, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3230-IL
Jan 8, 1999SnowstormIl-Winter Storm 1/1/99EmergencyEM-3134-IL
Jul 9, 1993FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-997-IL

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Warren County stands among 102 counties in Illinois and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19503838 / 102701 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger165 / 1021,281 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims2673 / 1021,951 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$193,00079 / 1022,135 / 3,143
Disaster declarations972 / 1022,860 / 3,143
Flood events since 19962890 / 1022,188 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199621262 / 1021,858 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 199612121 / 102704 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$6.9 million71 / 1022,187 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18951743 / 102505 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years23.521 / 102761 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900271 / 1021,151 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Fulton County5000369
Henderson County1500412
Knox County350040
McDonough County440016
Mercer County460061

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00115768.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.