Warren County
Population 16,222 (2025) 542 sq mi
Warren County has recorded 38 tornadoes since 1950, 38th most of 102 counties in Illinois; the most recent was on June 3, 2025.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195038
At a glance
The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Strongest tornado
F4
May 13, 1995, 50.0 mile path
Snowiest season
59.5in
Winter of 1959-60
Tornadoes
About one every 2 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 13, 1995
F4, 50.0 mile path
1,000 yards wide.
Deadliest
September 26, 1959
1 killed, F2
0 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Tuesday, June 3, 2025
EF1, 7.8 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Jun 3, 2025 | EF1 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 14, 2024 | EF1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 2022 | EFU | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 2022 | EFU | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 25, 2021 | EFU | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2016 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 15, 2016 | EF1 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 23, 2015 | EF1 | 10.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 2015 | EF2 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 2015 | EF2 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 2015 | EF1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 2003 | F2 | 69.2 | 4 | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 22, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 8, 1999 | F0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1999 | F2 | 9.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1998 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1998 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1998 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 1997 | F0 | 17.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 1996 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 1995 | F4 | 50.0 | 7 | 0 |
| May 18, 1982 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1975 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 17, 1972 | F1 | 27.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 17, 1968 | F1 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1963 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1961 | F1 | 147.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 26, 1959 | F2 | 4.9 | 0 | 1 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 1.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 63 days
Heavy smoke on 20 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
23.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 38 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
26 federal flood insurance claims since 1982, with $193,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
1982: 5 claims
$16,000 paid.
2nd most
2008: 5 claims
$74,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 61462 | 8 | $57,000 |
| 61453 | 7 | $30,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood19
- Flood7
- Heavy Rain2
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 174 of 1,581 months since 1895 (11%); the longest spell lasted 21 months.
174
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
83
Months in extreme drought
11%
Share of all months, severe or worse
17
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−6.75, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
21 months
May 1988 to January 1990.
Latest month
September 2026
+2.49, moderately wet
Last severe month: March 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1934.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
0
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
2
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
November 12, 1934
Magnitude 4.0
1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois; 30.3 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
November 12, 1934
Magnitude 4.0
1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois; 30.3 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Nov 12, 1934 | 4.0 | 30.3 |
| Apr 13, 1905 | 4.0 | 36.0 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
489 events in the National Weather Service record, 443 of them since 1996.
43
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
133
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
121
Winter weather events since 1996
5
Heat events since 1996
18
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 13, 1995
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 29, 2023
100 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 9 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 8, 2003Hail$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…
- Jul 16, 2015Tornado$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
An EF-2 tornado with winds estimated at 125 mph tracked about 6 miles from east of Monmouth through the town of Cameron before lifting. A maximum path width of 700 yards was estimated in Cameron. The tornado began at 713 pm CDT 1 mile southeast of Monmouth and lifted at 734 pm 2.2 miles east of Cameron. The most intense damage occurred in Cameron where at least 3 homes were unroofed, numerous garages and outbuildings were destroyed, and a large grain bin at the elevator was destroyed.
- May 4, 2003Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
6 inches water covering intersection of US 67 and 210th Ave
- May 10, 2003Hail$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A strong spring storm system moved through the Mississippi valley during the late afternoon and evening hours producing widespread severe weather. In an unprecedented move, WFO Quad Cities held a press conference the day before to warn of a high probability of significant tornadoes in the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday May 10th, with the area most at risk south of a Keosauqua, Iowa to Princeton, Illinois line. Supercell thunderstorms developed and continued into the evening hours spawning several long track tornadoes and produced copious amounts of large hail. Luckily, most of the tornado tracks were in open country and therefore damage was minimized. After dark, a severe…
- May 10, 2003Tornado$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Tornado devleoped in Adams County (WFO LSX) and moved through Hancock and McDonough counties in a general northeast direction and entered Warren County 5.6 miles NNE of Good Hope at 1904 CST. The tornado continued a gradual turn to the left (begun in McDonough County) passing 1.3 miles south and 0.9 miles east of Youngstown and dissipated 5 miles east of Roseville on or just south of highway 116. Length of track in Warren County was 7.8 miles and damage along the path was mainly F0 with sporatic F1.
- May 10, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A strong spring storm system moved through the Mississippi valley during the late afternoon and evening hours producing widespread severe weather. In an unprecedented move, WFO Quad Cities held a press conference the day before to warn of a high probability of significant tornadoes in the afternoon and evening hours of Saturday May 10th, with the area most at risk south of a Keosauqua, Iowa to Princeton, Illinois line. Supercell thunderstorms developed and continued into the evening hours spawning several long track tornadoes and produced copious amounts of large hail. Luckily, most of the tornado tracks were in open country and therefore damage was minimized. After dark, a severe…
- Aug 23, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Straight-line winds estimated to be around 100 mph blew down several large trees, ripped part of a roof off a house, displaced and dented several grain silos, and flattened numerous corn fields between Kirkwood, IL and Monmouth, IL. Some of the trees fell onto houses and other structures (EF Scale rating: EF1).
- Mar 15, 2016Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado moved from McDonough County into Warren County west of Prairie City. It traveled northeast across Warren County, affecting mainly farm outbuildings and trees before it moved into Fulton County.
- Jul 16, 2015Tornado$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
An EF2 tornado with maximum wind estimated at 120 MPH touched down 2.6 miles east of Kirkwood, IL. The tornado traveled approximately 1.7 miles and lifted 3.2 miles southwest of Monmouth, IL. The maximum path width was about 300 yards. Along the path, the tornado destroyed a grain bin and a cattle barn at Shauman's Corner about 6.4 miles southwest of Monmouth on US 34. Power poles were also snapped.
- Sep 22, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Straight line winds flattened several acres of corn throughout the county.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Monmouth, 3.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.
- All-time high
- 110°FJul 15, 1936
- All-time low
- −27°FFeb 13, 1905
- Warmest night
- 84°FJun 25, 2005
- Coldest day
- −11°FDec 24, 1983
- Wettest day
- 6.53 inJul 15, 1929
- Snowiest day
- 15.0 inApr 11, 1997
- Hottest year
- 1921mean 54.7°F
- Coldest year
- 2014mean 46.7°F
- Wettest year
- 199854.52 in
- Driest year
- 191021.96 in
- Snowiest season
- 59.5 in1959-60
Median first snow
November 26
Earliest: September 25, 1942
Median last snow
March 25
Latest: May 5, 1944
0 of 123 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Monmouth (USC00115768), 720 ft elevation, 3.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to September 28, 2026; 92.2% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
9 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, August 15, 2023.
| Aug 15, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4728-IL |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4489-IL |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3435-IL |
| May 10, 2013 | Flood | DR-4116-IL |
| Mar 17, 2011 | Snowstorm | DR-1960-IL |
| Sep 25, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1729-IL |
| Sep 7, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3230-IL |
| Jan 8, 1999 | Snowstorm | EM-3134-IL |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-997-IL |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Warren County stands among 102 counties in Illinois and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 38 | 38 / 102 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 65 / 102 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 26 | 73 / 102 |
| Flood insurance paid | $193,000 | 79 / 102 |
| Disaster declarations | 9 | 72 / 102 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 28 | 90 / 102 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 212 | 62 / 102 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 121 | 21 / 102 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $6.9 million | 71 / 102 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 174 | 3 / 102 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 23.5 | 21 / 102 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 2 | 71 / 102 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Fulton County | 50 | 0 |
| Henderson County | 15 | 0 |
| Knox County | 35 | 0 |
| McDonough County | 44 | 0 |
| Mercer County | 46 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00115768.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.