Scotland County
Population 4,796 (2025) 437 sq mi
Scotland County has recorded 16 tornadoes since 1950, 91st most of 115 counties in Missouri; the most recent was on May 27, 2024.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195016
At a glance
The record for Scotland County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
16
91st of 115 in Missouri
Fewer than the typical Missouri county, which has had 25
DetailsStrongest tornado
F4
January 24, 1967, 25.7 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
24
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2023
DetailsSnowiest season
46.5in
Winter of 1977-78
Tornadoes
About one every 4.8 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
January 24, 1967
F4, 25.7 mile path
440 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, May 27, 2024
EF0, 0.3 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 27, 2024 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 2018 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 14, 2017 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2016 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2016 | EF1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 11, 2015 | EF1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2007 | EF1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 12, 2006 | F0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 2003 | F2 | 22.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 14, 1998 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 1995 | F2 | 8.0 | 3 | 0 |
| May 17, 1991 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1973 | F3 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 21, 1967 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 24, 1967 | F4 | 25.7 | 2 | 0 |
| Mar 14, 1959 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Scotland County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 20 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
23.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
18 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood30
- Flood2
- Heavy Rain1
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 137 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 24 months.
137
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
68
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
13
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−6.41, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
24 months
May 1988 to April 1990.
Latest month
September 2026
−0.90, incipient dry spell
Last severe month: July 2018.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1905.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
0
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 13, 1905
Magnitude 4.0
Near Keokuk, Iowa; 29.7 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
April 13, 1905
Magnitude 4.0
Near Keokuk, Iowa; 29.7 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Apr 13, 1905 | 4.0 | 29.7 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
3
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by MO DNR (3).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
418 events in the National Weather Service record, 392 of them since 1996.
63
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
2
Hail, 2 inches or larger
98
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
113
Winter weather events since 1996
4
Heat events since 1996
12
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
September 10, 1984
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 30, 2013
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 8 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 8, 2003Hail$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…
- May 8, 2003Hail$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…
- May 10, 2003Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Tornado developed northwest of Edina in Knox County (WFO LSX) and moved northeast, entering Scotland County 4.2 miles ESE of Rutledge at 1650 CST, traveled ENE and exited Scotland County into Clark County at 1657 CST. At 3.5 miles SE of South Gorin, the tornado turned slightly to the right and continued moving northeast, exiting Scotland County 4.3 miles ESE of South Gorin at 1657 CST and entered Clark County. Path length in Scotland County was 4.4 miles and rated F0.
- May 8, 2003Hail$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…
- May 8, 2003Hail$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…
- Jun 12, 2008Lightning$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
A lightning strike is believed to have sparked a fire that destroyed the Harmony Grove Baptist Church in rural Scotland County during the late evening of June 12 or early morning of June 13. The fire was reported around 1:30 am, at which time it was in its later stages of burning.
- May 14, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
An upper level disturbance induced a surface low pressure on a boundary across Eastern Iowa that moved into Northwest Illinois and far Northeast Missouri. Subsequent thunderstorms that developed were prolific hail producers due to extremely cold air aloft. Additional outflow boundaries produced by the initial thunderstorms created new storms and brief funnel clouds that fortunately never touched down. Pea sized hail (0.25 inch) continued continuously for 20 minutes in Princeton, Illinois and covered the ground.
- Apr 30, 2003Hail$100,000
- Jun 12, 2010Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains resulted in flash flooding across parts of eastern Scotland County during the afternoon of June 12. Highway 15 just south of the state line was flooded as well as county roads in the vicinities of South Gorin and Arbela. Several streams and creeks were flooded out of their banks.
- Apr 27, 2016Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A trained spotter reported a tornado north of Arbela. A barn and a cattle shed were destroyed along with several other outbuildings in the area. The tornado was on the ground for 0.2 miles and was around 30 yards wide. It was rated EF0 with a peak wind speed of 80 MPH.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Memphis, 1.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1938.
- All-time high
- 106°F3 times, most recently Jul 24, 2012
- All-time low
- −24°FJan 5, 1999
- Warmest night
- 80°F4 times, most recently Aug 7, 2007
- Coldest day
- −8°FJan 19, 1940
- Wettest day
- 7.55 inJul 17, 1946
- Snowiest day
- 17.0 inFeb 2, 2011
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 54.4°F
- Coldest year
- 2014mean 48.0°F
- Wettest year
- 197061.87 in
- Driest year
- 199418.94 in
- Snowiest season
- 46.5 in1977-78
Median first snow
November 30
Earliest: October 27, 1967
Median last snow
March 16
Latest: April 24, 1967
2 of 72 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Memphis (USC00235492), 696 ft elevation, 1.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1938 to October 27, 2026; 88.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 21, 2023.
| Sep 21, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4741-MO |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4490-MO |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3482-MO |
| Jul 9, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4451-MO |
| Aug 7, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4238-MO |
| Jul 18, 2013 | Severe Storm | DR-4130-MO |
| Mar 23, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1961-MO |
| Feb 3, 2011 | Severe Storm | EM-3317-MO |
| Aug 17, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1934-MO |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3303-MO |
| Nov 13, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1809-MO |
| Jun 25, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1773-MO |
| Dec 27, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1736-MO |
| Dec 12, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3281-MO |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3232-MO |
| May 6, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1412-MO |
| Feb 6, 2002 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1403-MO |
| Jun 2, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1054-MO |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-995-MO |
| Oct 14, 1986 | Flood | DR-779-MO |
| Sep 24, 1976 | Drought | EM-3017-MO |
| Jun 10, 1974 | Flood | DR-439-MO |
| Nov 1, 1973 | Flood | DR-407-MO |
| Apr 19, 1973 | Severe Storm | DR-372-MO |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Scotland County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 16 | 91 / 115 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 2 | 47 / 115 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance paid | $0 | — |
| Disaster declarations | 24 | 68 / 115 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 33 | 89 / 115 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 197 | 78 / 115 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 113 | 4 / 115 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $5.2 million | 71 / 115 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 137 | 29 / 115 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 23.6 | 30 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 33 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Adair County | 10 | 0 |
| Clark County | 17 | 0 |
| Davis County IA | 23 | 0 |
| Knox County | 10 | 0 |
| Schuyler County | 9 | 0 |
| Van Buren County IA | 28 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00235492.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.