Scotland County

Population 4,796 (2025) 437 sq mi

Scotland County has recorded 16 tornadoes since 1950, 91st most of 115 counties in Missouri; the most recent was on May 27, 2024.

Hazard fingerprint for Scotland County Tornado: 48th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 48th percentile. Hail & wind: 53th percentile. Heat: 25th percentile. Cold: 56th percentile. Winter: 74th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195016

At a glance

The record for Scotland County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tornadoes since 1950

16

91st of 115 in Missouri

Fewer than the typical Missouri county, which has had 25

Details

Strongest tornado

F4

January 24, 1967, 25.7 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

24

Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2023

Details

Record high

106°F

Reached 3 times, most recently July 24, 2012

Details

Record low

−24°F

January 5, 1999

Details

Snowiest season

46.5in

Winter of 1977-78

Costliest event since 1996

$2.0M

Hail, May 8, 2003

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 4.8 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

January 24, 1967

F4, 25.7 mile path

440 yards wide.

Most recent

Monday, May 27, 2024

EF0, 0.3 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 1 1 1960s: 2 2 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 0 1990s: 3 3 2000s: 3 3 2010s: 5 5 2020s: 1 1 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 1 F: 0 M: 2 A: 4 4 M: 4 J: 2 J: 0 A: 0 S: 0 O: 2 N: 1 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Scotland County since 1950
May 27, 2024EF00.32000
Jun 26, 2018EF00.21000
Oct 14, 2017EF10.11000
Apr 27, 2016EF00.23000
Apr 27, 2016EF10.24000
Nov 11, 2015EF12.57500
Oct 2, 2007EF10.821000
Mar 12, 2006F06.0800
May 10, 2003F222.120000
Jun 14, 1998F00.23000
May 13, 1995F28.020030
May 17, 1991F00.51300
Apr 20, 1973F39.544000
Apr 21, 1967F01.01000
Jan 24, 1967F425.744020
Mar 14, 1959F11.05000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Scotland County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 61 days

Heavy smoke on 20 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

23.6 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

18 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 13 2012: 20 2013: 12 2014: 9 2015: 19 2016: 3 2017: 11 2018: 12 2019: 8 2020: 27 2021: 46 2022: 18 2023: 61 61 2024: 32 2025: 18 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood30
  • Flood2
  • Heavy Rain1

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 137 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 24 months.

137

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

68

Months in extreme drought

9%

Share of all months, severe or worse

13

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

August 1934

−6.41, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

24 months

May 1988 to April 1990.

Latest month

September 2026

−0.90, incipient dry spell

Last severe month: July 2018.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 3 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 5 1902: 5 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 3 1912: 0 1913: 1 1914: 9 1915: 1 1916: 0 1917: 1 1918: 6 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 4 1931: 3 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 7 1935: 0 1936: 3 1937: 2 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 4 1954: 9 1955: 0 1956: 12 12 1957: 3 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 2 1964: 7 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 4 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 8 1989: 12 1990: 4 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 1 2000: 12 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 3 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 1 2013: 0 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes and landslides

1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1905.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

0

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

1

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

April 13, 1905

Magnitude 4.0

Near Keokuk, Iowa; 29.7 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

April 13, 1905

Magnitude 4.0

Near Keokuk, Iowa; 29.7 miles away.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Apr 13, 19054.029.7—Near Keokuk, Iowa
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Mapped landslides

3

Landslides mapped, probable or better

0

With a recorded date

1

Source inventory

Mapped by MO DNR (3).

  1. Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.

USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

418 events in the National Weather Service record, 392 of them since 1996.

63

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

2

Hail, 2 inches or larger

98

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

113

Winter weather events since 1996

4

Heat events since 1996

12

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

September 10, 1984

2.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

May 30, 2013

81 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning400May 9, 2011
Dense fog and smoke801Nov 21, 2012

Costliest events since 1996

  1. May 8, 2003Hail$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…

  2. May 8, 2003Hail$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…

  3. May 10, 2003Tornado$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Tornado developed northwest of Edina in Knox County (WFO LSX) and moved northeast, entering Scotland County 4.2 miles ESE of Rutledge at 1650 CST, traveled ENE and exited Scotland County into Clark County at 1657 CST. At 3.5 miles SE of South Gorin, the tornado turned slightly to the right and continued moving northeast, exiting Scotland County 4.3 miles ESE of South Gorin at 1657 CST and entered Clark County. Path length in Scotland County was 4.4 miles and rated F0.

  4. May 8, 2003Hail$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…

  5. May 8, 2003Hail$150,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The first of 3 severe weather events occurred across Northeast Missouri, Eastern Iowa, and the Northern third of Illinois. Supercell thunderstorms developed in the late afternoon and evening north of a warm front that was associated with a powerful spring storm system. Favorable moisture and shear profiles allowed the storms to produce large hail and heavy rain. In Fort Madison, Iowa it was reported to be the most hail seen since 1993 with a car dealership reporting damage to about 400 cars on its lot along with numerous cars and buildings. In the Burlington, Iowa area, the most severe damage from the hail was on the south side of the city. Three schools and a golf course were…

  6. Jun 12, 2008Lightning$150,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A lightning strike is believed to have sparked a fire that destroyed the Harmony Grove Baptist Church in rural Scotland County during the late evening of June 12 or early morning of June 13. The fire was reported around 1:30 am, at which time it was in its later stages of burning.

  7. May 14, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An upper level disturbance induced a surface low pressure on a boundary across Eastern Iowa that moved into Northwest Illinois and far Northeast Missouri. Subsequent thunderstorms that developed were prolific hail producers due to extremely cold air aloft. Additional outflow boundaries produced by the initial thunderstorms created new storms and brief funnel clouds that fortunately never touched down. Pea sized hail (0.25 inch) continued continuously for 20 minutes in Princeton, Illinois and covered the ground.

  8. Apr 30, 2003Hail$100,000
  9. Jun 12, 2010Flash Flood$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Heavy rains resulted in flash flooding across parts of eastern Scotland County during the afternoon of June 12. Highway 15 just south of the state line was flooded as well as county roads in the vicinities of South Gorin and Arbela. Several streams and creeks were flooded out of their banks.

  10. Apr 27, 2016Tornado$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A trained spotter reported a tornado north of Arbela. A barn and a cattle shed were destroyed along with several other outbuildings in the area. The tornado was on the ground for 0.2 miles and was around 30 yards wide. It was rated EF0 with a peak wind speed of 80 MPH.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Memphis, 1.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1938.

All-time high
106°F3 times, most recently Jul 24, 2012
All-time low
−24°FJan 5, 1999
Warmest night
80°F4 times, most recently Aug 7, 2007
Coldest day
−8°FJan 19, 1940
Wettest day
7.55 inJul 17, 1946
Snowiest day
17.0 inFeb 2, 2011
Hottest year
2024mean 54.4°F
Coldest year
2014mean 48.0°F
Wettest year
197061.87 in
Driest year
199418.94 in
Snowiest season
46.5 in1977-78
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Memphis 32°F 33° 15° 1.6 Jan 38° 18° 1.5 Feb 51° 30° 2.5 Mar 63° 40° 3.5 Apr 73° 51° 5.2 May 83° 61° 5.2 Jun 87° 65° 3.9 Jul 85° 63° 3.6 Aug 79° 55° 3.4 Sep 66° 43° 2.9 Oct 52° 30° 1.8 Nov 39° 21° 1.7 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1988: 23 1990: 11 1991: 10 2006: 9 2007: 8 2008: 1 2009: 1 2010: 4 2011: 15 2012: 28 28 2013: 12 2014: 0 2015: 1 2016: 3 2017: 4 2018: 15 2019: 1 2020: 5 2021: 1 2022: 7 2023: 7 2024: 4 2025: 5 198820132023
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 6.5.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 15.5 in 1977: 46.5 in 46.5 1979: 21.0 in 1981: 20.5 in 1983: 11.4 in 1990: 0.0 in 1993: 13.0 in 1996: 23.0 in 1997: 23.0 in 1998: 1.0 in 1999: 11.2 in 2000: 11.6 in 2001: 0.0 in 2002: 12.5 in 2003: 2.6 in 2005: 12.5 in 2006: 15.9 in 2007: 30.2 in 2008: 21.1 in 2009: 46.3 in 2010: 36.2 in 2011: 8.8 in 2012: 24.2 in 2013: 42.1 in 2014: 24.0 in 2015: 7.9 in 2016: 5.4 in 2017: 16.7 in 2018: 34.8 in 2019: 23.2 in 2020: 20.5 in 2021: 20.8 in 2022: 3.8 in 2023: 16.8 in 2024: 6.1 in 2025: 15.3 in 1976199920102020
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 30

Earliest: October 27, 1967

Median last snow

March 16

Latest: April 24, 1967

2 of 72 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Memphis (USC00235492), 696 ft elevation, 1.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1938 to October 27, 2026; 88.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 21, 2023.

Federal disaster declarations
Sep 21, 2023Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4741-MO
Mar 26, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4490-MO
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3482-MO
Jul 9, 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4451-MO
Aug 7, 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4238-MO
Jul 18, 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4130-MO
Mar 23, 2011Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1961-MO
Feb 3, 2011Severe StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3317-MO
Aug 17, 2010Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disasterDR-1934-MO
Jan 30, 2009Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3303-MO
Nov 13, 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and A TornadoMajor disasterDR-1809-MO
Jun 25, 2008Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1773-MO
Dec 27, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1736-MO
Dec 12, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsEmergencyEM-3281-MO
Sep 10, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3232-MO
May 6, 2002Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1412-MO
Feb 6, 2002Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormMajor disasterDR-1403-MO
Jun 2, 1995Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingMajor disasterDR-1054-MO
Jul 9, 1993FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-995-MO
Oct 14, 1986FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-779-MO
Sep 24, 1976DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3017-MO
Jun 10, 1974FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-439-MO
Nov 1, 1973FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-407-MO
Apr 19, 1973Severe StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disasterDR-372-MO

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Scotland County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501691 / 1151,804 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger247 / 115866 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims0——
Flood insurance paid$0——
Disaster declarations2468 / 115900 / 3,143
Flood events since 19963389 / 1151,981 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199619778 / 1151,991 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19961134 / 115800 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$5.2 million71 / 1152,354 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189513729 / 1151,259 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years23.630 / 115754 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900133 / 1151,397 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Adair County100021
Clark County1700106
Davis County IA23000
Knox County10004
Schuyler County9000
Van Buren County IA280053

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00235492.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.