Mitchell County
Population 15,062 (2025) 221 sq mi
Property owners in Mitchell County have filed 50 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 76th most of 100 counties in North Carolina.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger16
- Wildfire burn scars since 19843
At a glance
The record for Mitchell County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes
No tornado is recorded here in the Storm Prediction Center database, which begins in 1950.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
4 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 22, 1989
Hugo, Tropical storm
15.7 miles at closest approach, winds near 63 mph.
Most recent
September 27, 2024
Helene, Tropical storm
96.9 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Helene | 2024 | 96.9 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 15.8 | Tropical storm |
| Michael | 2018 | 95.8 | Tropical storm |
| Hugo | 1989 | 15.7 | Tropical storm |
| Bob | 1985 | 95.0 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 94.3 | Tropical storm |
| Gracie | 1959 | 22.2 | Tropical storm |
| Able | 1952 | 84.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 39.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1932 | 48.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 64.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 64.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1907 | 33.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 24.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 89.6 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1889 | 98.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 72.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 72.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 76.5 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
3,703 acres burned in 3 large fires since 1984, equal to 2.6% of the land.
Largest
October 31, 2000
Tipton Hill Fire, 2,663 acres
2,660 acres inside Mitchell County.
Most recent
March 31, 2015
Poplar Fire
766 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Poplar | 2015 | 768 | 766 |
| Joe Lewis | 2007 | 274 | 672 |
| Tipton Hill | 2000 | 2,660 | 2,663 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 41 days
Heavy smoke on 5 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
9.9 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
8 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 23 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
50 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $2.7 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2024: 15 claims
$1.8 million paid.
2nd most
1998: 9 claims
$434,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 28705 | 39 | $2.1 million |
| 28777 | 10 | $513,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood19
- Flood11
- Heavy Rain1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
May 6, 2013
Cane Creek near Bakersville, 7.86 ft
1.36 feet above the 6.5 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 6, 2013
Cane Creek near Bakersville, 7.86 ft
Moderate flooding.
| May 6, 2013 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 7.86 | +1.36 |
| May 17, 2013 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 13.04 | +0.04 |
| Jul 4, 2013 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 6.24 | −0.26 |
| May 6, 2013 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 11.84 | −1.16 |
| Jul 4, 2013 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 10.80 | −2.20 |
| Jan 30, 2013 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 10.26 | −2.74 |
| Oct 15, 2014 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 9.58 | −3.42 |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 6.24 | −3.76 |
| Oct 15, 2014 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 5.38 | −4.62 |
| Mar 15, 2009 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 4.36 | −2.14 |
| Dec 25, 2009 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 3.70 | −2.80 |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 3.58 | −2.92 |
| Dec 1, 2010 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 2.76 | −3.74 |
| Jan 25, 2010 | Cane Creek near Bakersville | 2.54 | −3.96 |
| Dec 1, 2010 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 7.68 | −5.32 |
| Sep 18, 2012 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 4.64 | −5.36 |
| Oct 24, 2009 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 4.08 | −5.92 |
| Sep 26, 2009 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 4.02 | −5.98 |
| Jan 18, 2012 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 7.02 | −5.98 |
| Sep 9, 2017 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 7.00 | −6.00 |
| Dec 2, 2015 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 6.96 | −6.04 |
| Feb 3, 2016 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 6.50 | −6.50 |
| Apr 20, 2015 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 6.46 | −6.54 |
| Nov 30, 2010 | Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 3.26 | −6.74 |
| Mar 5, 2011 | N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 5.44 | −7.56 |
River gauges
| Cane Creek near Bakersville | 6.5 | 7.86 ft | 0 |
| Grassy Creek at NC 226 at Grassy Creek | 10.0 | 6.24 ft | 0 |
| N Toe River at Highland Ave, in Spruce Pine | 13.0 | 13.04 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 105 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 16 months.
105
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
27
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
35
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 2008
−5.13, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
16 months
August 2007 to November 2008.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.73, mild drought
Last severe month: June 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
3 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.2 in 1916.
1
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
14
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
3
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
February 21, 1916
Near Asheville, North Carolina; 29.8 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
June 4, 2023
Magnitude 3.2
4 km NNW of West Canton, North Carolina; 42.6 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| May 13, 1957 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| Nov 2, 1928 | 4.5 | 23.1 |
| Feb 21, 1916 | 5.2 | 29.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
51
Landslides mapped, probable or better
14
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by NC GS (51).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
608 events in the National Weather Service record, 601 of them since 1996.
15
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
34
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
385
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
29
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 15, 2003
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 5, 2012
63 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 1 |
| Debris flows | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 27, 2024Flash Flood$30.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Extensive flooding of the North Toe and Nolichucky Rivers, and their tributaries, including Cane Creek developed during the overnight and early morning hours of the 27th as rainfall rates began to intensify again during the evening of the 26th. The most intense rainfall occurred just after sunrise, as the tropical rain bands near the center of Helene swept across the area. A stream gauge on Cane Creek near Bakersville reached major flood stage of 10 feet just after sunrise before it stopped reporting. Dozens of structures were inundated and damaged throughout the county, with some homes completely swept away. Numerous bridges and roads were also damaged, especially near the Yancey…
- Sep 27, 2024Tropical Storm, Mitchell$7.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Perhaps 100,000 trees or more were blown down, with hundreds of trees down on homes, vehicles, and power lines. Frequent gusts up to 80 mph occurred, with occasional gusts of 100 mph on exposed high elevation ridgetops.
- Jan 7, 1998Flash Flood$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Major flooding, the worst since 1977, destroyed 23 homes, wiped an entire trailer park out, and damaged 200 homes. The height of the flooding was between midnight and 2 am on the 8th.
- Sep 8, 2004Debris Flow, Mitchell$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Persistent moderate to heavy rain led to widespread flooding along numerous creeks and streams across the northern foothills and northern mountains during the early evening. By early morning on the 8th, flooding was described as some of the worst in the history of the area. Numerous homes and businesses were damaged or destroyed, particularly in Avery County. One home in Burke County was swept down the Little River. Widespread damage and destruction to roads and bridges also occurred due to flooding or landslides, especially in the southern part of Mitchell County, which experienced severe flooding from Crabtree Creek and the Toe River. Large sections of the Blue Ridge Parkway…
- Sep 7, 2004Flood, Mitchell$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Persistent moderate to heavy rain led to widespread flooding along numerous creeks and streams across the northern foothills and northern mountains during the early evening. By early morning on the 8th, flooding was described as some of the worst in the history of the area. Numerous homes and businesses were damaged or destroyed, particularly in Avery County. One home in Burke County was swept down the Little River. Widespread damage and destruction to roads and bridges also occurred due to flooding or landslides, especially in the southern part of Mitchell County, which experienced severe flooding from Crabtree Creek and the Toe River. Large sections of the Blue Ridge Parkway…
- Jul 3, 2013Flash Flood$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
Cane Creek Road in the northeast part of the county was flooded. Water was reported over the road along 226 N in the northern part of the country. Sparks Road was reportedly flooded during the late afternoon. Heavy rain continued into the evening and overnight hours with more roads flooded as the event transitioned from a short fused flash flood event to one of duration flooding.
- Apr 16, 2007High Wind, Mitchell$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
After an intense, but relatively brief high wind event affected the mountains and foothills on the evening of the 15th, another widespread damaging high wind event developed during the day of the 16th. However, this particular event included much of the piedmont. Thousands of trees fell across the area, resulting in widespread power outages. Numerous trees fell on roads, homes, and vehicles. The Blue Ridge mountains and the foothills received the brunt of the strongest winds. In Highlands, NC, two homes were heavily damaged by fallen trees, while approximately 100 homes received minor to moderate damage. A tree fell on and severely damaged a home in Otto, NC. Two businesses…
- Aug 7, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
County comms reported numerous trees and power lines blown down from the Bakersville area, across the Ledger community, to the southern end of the county. Some trees fell across power lines and others blocked roads. A tree fell on and caused significant damage to a business on S Mitchell Ave in Bakersville. Another tree fell on and damaged a home on Cascading Creek Xing.
- Sep 17, 2004Flood, Mitchell$181,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flooding began shortly after midnight across much of the northern mountains and northern foothills. The hardest hit locations were northern McDowell, Mitchell and Avery Counties, where flooding was at least as severe as that which accompanied Frances. Most of the streams in Mitchell County flooded. Property damage due to mudslides and flooding was extensive in Avery County, and there were numerous rescues and evacuations, particularly around Newland. Numerous roads were washed out, covered with water, or covered with debris from landslides. All roads into Banner Elk were impassable by sunrise on the 17th. Other roads affected included portions of highways 226, 221, and 19. A…
- Sep 27, 2024Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Although heavy rain tapered off across much of the area prior to noon, major flooding persisted across most of the major basins across Mitchell County through the afternoon. This included the North Toe River, the Nolichucky River, and Cane Creek.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Asheville, 35.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1876.
- All-time high
- 100°FJun 30, 2012
- All-time low
- −17°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 77°FJul 17, 1887
- Coldest day
- 4°FFeb 8, 1895
- Wettest day
- 6.40 inOct 18, 1879
- Snowiest day
- 16.0 inMar 13, 1993
- Hottest year
- 2016mean 59.6°F
- Coldest year
- 1917mean 53.2°F
- Wettest year
- 201361.10 in
- Driest year
- 192522.79 in
- Snowiest season
- 40.6 in1959-60
Median first snow
December 6
Earliest: October 1, 1952
Median last snow
March 15
Latest: May 7, 1992
0 of 135 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Asheville (USW00013872), 2,238 ft elevation, 35.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1876 to October 15, 2026; 99.3% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
21 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3637-NC |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4827-NC |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Tropical Storm | EM-3617-NC |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Hurricane | EM-3586-NC |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Hurricane | DR-4617-NC |
| Aug 2, 2020 | Hurricane | EM-3534-NC |
| May 8, 2020 | Severe Storm | DR-4543-NC |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4487-NC |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3471-NC |
| Sep 3, 2019 | Hurricane | EM-3423-NC |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3401-NC |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Flood | DR-4146-NC |
| Feb 2, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1871-NC |
| Sep 5, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3222-NC |
| Sep 18, 2004 | Hurricane | DR-1553-NC |
| Sep 10, 2004 | Hurricane | DR-1546-NC |
| Jan 15, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1200-NC |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1087-NC |
| Oct 23, 1995 | Flood | DR-1073-NC |
| Mar 17, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3110-NC |
| Nov 9, 1977 | Flood | DR-542-NC |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Mitchell County stands among 100 counties in North Carolina and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 0 | — |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 4 | 86 / 100 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 3,703 | 24 / 100 |
| Flood insurance claims | 50 | 76 / 100 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.7 million | 57 / 100 |
| Disaster declarations | 21 | 73 / 100 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 31 | 79 / 100 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 115 | 88 / 100 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 385 | 2 / 100 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $45.7 million | 47 / 100 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 105 | 41 / 100 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 9.9 | 17 / 100 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 3 | 14 / 100 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 1 | 16 / 100 |
Neighbouring counties
| Avery County | 2 | 4 |
| Carter County TN | 4 | 3 |
| McDowell County | 6 | 7 |
| Unicoi County TN | 2 | 3 |
| Yancey County | 3 | 4 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00013872.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.