Keya Paha County

Population 792 (2025) 773 sq mi

Large wildfires have burned 44,486 acres of Keya Paha County since 1984, 12th most of 93 counties in Nebraska; the largest was the Region 24 Complex Fire in 2012.

Hazard fingerprint for Keya Paha County Tornado: 26th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 74th percentile. Flood: 7th percentile. Hail & wind: 30th percentile. Heat: 4th percentile. Cold: 72th percentile. Winter: 47th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195014
  • Wildfire burn scars since 19843

At a glance

The record for Keya Paha County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Acres burned since 1984

44,486

12th of 93 in Nebraska

3 large fires; the largest was Region 24 Complex, 2012

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

14

88th of 93 in Nebraska

Fewer than the typical Nebraska county, which has had 34

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

May 8, 1965, 44.9 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

13

Most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, 2020

Details

Record high

113°F

Reached 2 times, most recently July 20, 1934

Details

Record low

−33°F

February 2, 1917

Details

Snowiest season

83.0in

Winter of 1983-84

Costliest event since 1996

$3.0M

Thunderstorm Wind, August 5, 2021

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 5.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

May 8, 1965

F2, 44.9 mile path

10 yards wide.

Most recent

Saturday, May 22, 2010

EF2, 9.0 mile path

16 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 2 2 1960s: 6 6 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 0 2000s: 3 3 2010s: 1 1 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 0 M: 6 6 J: 6 J: 1 A: 0 S: 0 O: 0 N: 1 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Keya Paha County since 1950
May 22, 2010EF29.02000
May 5, 2007EF116.710010
Jun 24, 2003F00.12000
Jun 9, 2003F00.12000
Jul 17, 1985F11.05000
May 28, 1978F04.92000
Jun 24, 1966F10.11000
May 8, 1965F24.11000
May 8, 1965F29.01000
May 8, 1965F244.91000
Jun 8, 1963F11.01000
Jun 8, 1963F20.33300
Nov 2, 1956F00.11000
Jun 5, 1956F20.11000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Keya Paha County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

44,486 acres burned in 3 large fires since 1984, equal to 9.0% of the land.

Largest

July 20, 2012

Region 24 Complex, 66,306 acres

34,700 acres inside Keya Paha County.

Most recent

July 24, 2012

Unnamed Fire

2,874 acres in total.

Acres burned since 1984, cumulative 2012: 44,486 44,486 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned inside the county (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
Unnamed20122,8752,874
Unnamed20126,9106,909
Region 24 Complex201234,70066,306
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2021: 61 days

Heavy smoke on 28 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

28.1 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

23 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 37 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 10 2012: 27 2013: 17 2014: 6 2015: 18 2016: 8 2017: 16 2018: 26 2019: 8 2020: 28 2021: 61 61 2022: 19 2023: 50 2024: 42 2025: 23 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood4
  • Flood4

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

March 14, 2019

Niobrara River at Mariaville, 7.72 ft

1.72 feet above the 6.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

March 14, 2019

Niobrara River at Mariaville, 7.72 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Mar 14, 2019Niobrara River at Mariaville7.72+1.72Moderate
Jan 9, 2014Niobrara River at Mariaville6.83+0.83Minor
Mar 6, 2018Niobrara River at Mariaville6.000.00Minor
Feb 28, 2024Niobrara River at Mariaville5.84−0.16Action
Feb 16, 2017Niobrara River at Mariaville5.57−0.43Action
Feb 19, 2021Niobrara River at Mariaville4.28−1.72Below flood stage
Jun 9, 2020Niobrara River at Mariaville3.95−2.05Below flood stage
May 2, 2016Niobrara River at Mariaville3.82−2.18Below flood stage
Mar 17, 2021Niobrara River at Mariaville3.70−2.30Below flood stage
Apr 30, 2022Niobrara River at Mariaville3.64−2.36Below flood stage
Jul 18, 2023Niobrara River at Mariaville3.55−2.45Below flood stage

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Niobrara River at Mariaville6.07.72 ftMar 14, 20190
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 169 of 1,581 months since 1895 (11%); the longest spell lasted 22 months.

169

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

53

Months in extreme drought

11%

Share of all months, severe or worse

44

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

August 1934

−7.91, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

22 months

July 1933 to April 1935.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.60, mild drought

Last severe month: May 2026.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 1 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 0 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 9 1927: 2 1928: 5 1929: 0 1930: 0 1931: 1 1932: 0 1933: 6 1934: 12 12 1935: 7 1936: 6 1937: 11 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 8 1941: 8 1942: 0 1943: 6 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 6 1956: 12 1957: 3 1958: 0 1959: 3 1960: 0 1961: 1 1962: 0 1963: 0 1964: 0 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 4 1968: 1 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 7 1977: 1 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 3 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 7 1990: 4 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 1 2001: 0 2002: 6 2003: 8 2004: 7 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 6 2013: 1 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 5 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.3 in 2002.

1

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

12

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

1

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

November 3, 2002

Magnitude 4.3

16 km SSW of Butte, Nebraska; 18.5 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 1, 2025

Magnitude 3.0

4 km S of Brownlee, Nebraska; 46.0 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 1 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 1 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 1 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 1 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 1 2015: 2 2 2016: 1 2017: 0 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 2 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 1 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Nov 3, 20024.318.53.116 km SSW of Butte, Nebraska
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

417 events in the National Weather Service record, 378 of them since 1996.

123

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

8

Hail, 2 inches or larger

44

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

65

Winter weather events since 1996

1

Heat events since 1996

22

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

July 2, 2001

2.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 22, 1999

115 mph

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Aug 5, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$3.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Wind gust were estimated at 80 mph by public. Reports of several trees uprooted. A camper was rolled and a grain bin was damaged. Estimated a half mile of power poles snapped, power lost.

  2. Jul 1, 2012Drought, Keya Paha$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Severe drought conditions (D2) set in during the second week of July intensified to extreme drought conditions (D3) by the end of the month. A range fire ignited by lightning consumed around 44,000 acres of range land from July 20th through the 30th. Pasture conditions that makes up 73 percent of land use (2007 Census USDA) by the end of July were rated 69% poor or very poor. Range land provided limited grazing capacity. On July 23rd all counties in Nebraska were approved for CRP Emergency Haying and Grazing. The drought continued into August.

  3. Feb 19, 1997Flood, Keya Paha$750,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Several days of temperatures above freezing caused snow to melt and ice to break up on Ponca Creek and Keya Paha River in northcentral Nebraska. The extra runoff from snowmelt combined with ice jams along the waterways caused flooding from Bristow east to the Boyd County line. In Keya Paha County flooding occurred near the community of Burton. Numerous homes and businesses incurred damage. County roads and bridges also sustained damage with Keya Paha County reporting $286,701 damage to its roads and bridges. Also, considerable soil erosion occurred to agricultural land.

  4. May 5, 2007Flash Flood$120,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Heavy rains from thunderstorms caused flash flooding and washed out some bridges, roads, and culverts. Emergency management reported that 67 miles of roads were closed in the county.

  5. May 22, 2010Tornado$120,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    At 930 PM CDT, a tornado touched down approximately 12 miles northwest of Springview and traveled northeast for 20 minutes before lifting 11 miles north of Springview. The tornado did extensive tree damage when it touched down, then moved northeast and struck two farmsteads. At the first farmstead, a loafing shed and stock trailer were destroyed, extensive tree and fence damage occurred, and a roof was torn off an old hog building. The most extensive damage occurred north of the farmstead where six rural electric association poles where broken. The tornado continued to move northeast and destroy a windmill. Then a second farmstead was hit with the tornado destroying a 40 by 60…

  6. Jul 19, 1999Flash Flood$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Numerous roads and culverts were washed out.

  7. Jun 22, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A storm system moved through Springview causing major damage to buildings, power poles and numerous trees. Surface wind estimates were 100 mph. The wind at the top of wind turbines west of Springview were measured at 136 mph about 200 feet above the surface.

  8. May 5, 2007Tornado$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The cyclic supercell produced a tornado just as it entered southern Keya Paha County approximately 7 miles south southeast of Springview. The tornado tracked north northeastward for around 17 miles before lifting 5 miles north northeast of Burton. Along the path, the tornado took part of a roof off two homes, snapped trees, destroyed a barn and small outbuildings, overturned a center pivot irrigation system, and snapped 40 power poles. The tornado caused minor injuries to a gentleman that was on a farm tractor.

  9. Aug 3, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$80,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorm wind gusts overturned 2 center pivots, damaged a wind mill and some small sheds and uprooted several trees.

  10. Mar 16, 2019Flood$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Flooding reported along the Niobrara River south of Norden.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Ainsworth, 23.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1905.

All-time high
113°F2 times, most recently Jul 20, 1934
All-time low
−33°FFeb 2, 1917
Warmest night
83°F3 times, most recently Jul 5, 1933
Coldest day
−15°FJan 13, 2024
Wettest day
4.95 inJul 1, 1962
Snowiest day
25.0 inNov 2, 1972
Hottest year
2012mean 54.0°F
Coldest year
1924mean 43.4°F
Wettest year
191545.48 in
Driest year
19899.50 in
Snowiest season
83.0 in1983-84
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Ainsworth 32°F 36° 15° 0.5 Jan 39° 17° 0.6 Feb 51° 26° 1.1 Mar 61° 35° 2.4 Apr 71° 47° 3.8 May 82° 58° 3.8 Jun 88° 64° 3.1 Jul 85° 61° 2.8 Aug 79° 53° 2.4 Sep 64° 39° 1.6 Oct 50° 27° 0.6 Nov 38° 18° 0.6 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 12 1977: 8 1978: 14 1979: 8 1980: 31 1981: 8 1982: 9 1983: 15 1984: 12 1985: 11 1986: 10 1987: 10 1988: 20 1989: 9 1990: 6 1991: 12 1992: 1 1993: 2 1994: 2 1995: 12 1996: 2 1997: 6 1998: 10 1999: 10 2000: 17 2001: 14 2002: 26 2003: 9 2004: 8 2005: 8 2006: 17 2007: 6 2008: 4 2009: 0 2010: 15 2011: 8 2012: 39 39 2013: 8 2014: 2 2015: 5 2016: 8 2017: 19 2018: 8 2019: 4 2020: 13 2021: 11 2022: 34 2023: 13 2024: 15 2025: 11 19761986199620062016
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 11.7.
Snowfall by winter 1975: 42.0 in 1976: 43.0 in 1977: 37.0 in 1978: 60.5 in 1979: 60.0 in 1980: 13.0 in 1981: 43.0 in 1982: 39.0 in 1983: 83.0 in 83.0 1984: 21.0 in 1985: 58.0 in 1986: 36.5 in 1987: 80.5 in 1989: 25.5 in 1990: 39.0 in 1991: 26.5 in 1992: 39.5 in 1993: 30.6 in 1994: 54.3 in 1995: 33.6 in 1996: 36.0 in 1997: 26.8 in 1998: 26.5 in 1999: 5.0 in 2001: 27.7 in 2002: 34.5 in 2003: 28.0 in 2004: 19.2 in 2006: 38.0 in 2007: 48.5 in 2008: 39.0 in 2009: 22.0 in 2010: 51.3 in 2011: 12.5 in 2012: 50.5 in 2013: 29.0 in 2014: 25.5 in 2015: 33.5 in 2016: 51.0 in 2017: 53.5 in 2018: 53.5 in 2019: 36.5 in 2020: 35.0 in 2021: 6.5 in 2022: 45.3 in 2024: 21.3 in 19751985199620082018
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 3

Earliest: September 16, 1973

Median last snow

April 11

Latest: May 20, 2017

0 of 85 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Ainsworth (USC00250050), 2,518 ft elevation, 23.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1905 to October 27, 2026; 98.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

13 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, April 4, 2020.

Federal disaster declarations
Apr 4, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4521-NE
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3483-NE
Mar 21, 2019FloodSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4420-NE
Jul 15, 2010Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1924-NE
Feb 25, 2010Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1878-NE
Jul 31, 2009Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disasterDR-1853-NE
Jun 20, 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1770-NE
Jun 6, 2007Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disasterDR-1706-NE
Jan 7, 2007Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1674-NE
Sep 13, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacueesEmergencyEM-3245-NE
May 16, 2001Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding and TornadoesMajor disasterDR-1373-NE
Jan 18, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3022-NE
Jul 18, 1967FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-228-NE

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Keya Paha County stands among 93 counties in Nebraska and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501488 / 931,935 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 198444,48612 / 93480 / 3,143
Flood insurance claims0——
Flood insurance paid$0——
Disaster declarations1369 / 932,537 / 3,143
Flood events since 1996885 / 932,967 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199623075 / 931,701 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19966566 / 931,598 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$5.8 million67 / 932,306 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189516936 / 93565 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years28.113 / 93343 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900120 / 931,397 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973112 / 93826 / 3,143

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Boyd County1101,96418
Brown County38030,0720
Cherry County1070242,5900
Gregory County SD28003
Holt County81016
Rock County1805,2750
Tripp County SD3802,7190

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00250050.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.