Keya Paha County
Population 792 (2025) 773 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 44,486 acres of Keya Paha County since 1984, 12th most of 93 counties in Nebraska; the largest was the Region 24 Complex Fire in 2012.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195014
- Wildfire burn scars since 19843
At a glance
The record for Keya Paha County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
44,486
12th of 93 in Nebraska
3 large fires; the largest was Region 24 Complex, 2012
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
14
88th of 93 in Nebraska
Fewer than the typical Nebraska county, which has had 34
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
May 8, 1965, 44.9 mile path
Snowiest season
83.0in
Winter of 1983-84
Tornadoes
About one every 5.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 8, 1965
F2, 44.9 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Saturday, May 22, 2010
EF2, 9.0 mile path
16 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 22, 2010 | EF2 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 2007 | EF1 | 16.7 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 9, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 17, 1985 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 1978 | F0 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1966 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1965 | F2 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1965 | F2 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1965 | F2 | 44.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 8, 1963 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 8, 1963 | F2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1956 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 1956 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Keya Paha County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
44,486 acres burned in 3 large fires since 1984, equal to 9.0% of the land.
Largest
July 20, 2012
Region 24 Complex, 66,306 acres
34,700 acres inside Keya Paha County.
Most recent
July 24, 2012
Unnamed Fire
2,874 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Unnamed | 2012 | 2,875 | 2,874 |
| Unnamed | 2012 | 6,910 | 6,909 |
| Region 24 Complex | 2012 | 34,700 | 66,306 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 28 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
28.1 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
23 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 37 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood4
- Flood4
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
March 14, 2019
Niobrara River at Mariaville, 7.72 ft
1.72 feet above the 6.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
March 14, 2019
Niobrara River at Mariaville, 7.72 ft
Moderate flooding.
| Mar 14, 2019 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 7.72 | +1.72 |
| Jan 9, 2014 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 6.83 | +0.83 |
| Mar 6, 2018 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 5.84 | −0.16 |
| Feb 16, 2017 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 5.57 | −0.43 |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 4.28 | −1.72 |
| Jun 9, 2020 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 3.95 | −2.05 |
| May 2, 2016 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 3.82 | −2.18 |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 3.70 | −2.30 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 3.64 | −2.36 |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Niobrara River at Mariaville | 3.55 | −2.45 |
River gauges
| Niobrara River at Mariaville | 6.0 | 7.72 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 169 of 1,581 months since 1895 (11%); the longest spell lasted 22 months.
169
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
53
Months in extreme drought
11%
Share of all months, severe or worse
44
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−7.91, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
22 months
July 1933 to April 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.60, mild drought
Last severe month: May 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.3 in 2002.
1
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
12
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
November 3, 2002
Magnitude 4.3
16 km SSW of Butte, Nebraska; 18.5 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 1, 2025
Magnitude 3.0
4 km S of Brownlee, Nebraska; 46.0 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Nov 3, 2002 | 4.3 | 18.5 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
417 events in the National Weather Service record, 378 of them since 1996.
123
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
8
Hail, 2 inches or larger
44
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
65
Winter weather events since 1996
1
Heat events since 1996
22
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 2, 2001
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 22, 1999
115 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Aug 5, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gust were estimated at 80 mph by public. Reports of several trees uprooted. A camper was rolled and a grain bin was damaged. Estimated a half mile of power poles snapped, power lost.
- Jul 1, 2012Drought, Keya Paha$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Severe drought conditions (D2) set in during the second week of July intensified to extreme drought conditions (D3) by the end of the month. A range fire ignited by lightning consumed around 44,000 acres of range land from July 20th through the 30th. Pasture conditions that makes up 73 percent of land use (2007 Census USDA) by the end of July were rated 69% poor or very poor. Range land provided limited grazing capacity. On July 23rd all counties in Nebraska were approved for CRP Emergency Haying and Grazing. The drought continued into August.
- Feb 19, 1997Flood, Keya Paha$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several days of temperatures above freezing caused snow to melt and ice to break up on Ponca Creek and Keya Paha River in northcentral Nebraska. The extra runoff from snowmelt combined with ice jams along the waterways caused flooding from Bristow east to the Boyd County line. In Keya Paha County flooding occurred near the community of Burton. Numerous homes and businesses incurred damage. County roads and bridges also sustained damage with Keya Paha County reporting $286,701 damage to its roads and bridges. Also, considerable soil erosion occurred to agricultural land.
- May 5, 2007Flash Flood$120,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains from thunderstorms caused flash flooding and washed out some bridges, roads, and culverts. Emergency management reported that 67 miles of roads were closed in the county.
- May 22, 2010Tornado$120,000
National Weather Service narrative
At 930 PM CDT, a tornado touched down approximately 12 miles northwest of Springview and traveled northeast for 20 minutes before lifting 11 miles north of Springview. The tornado did extensive tree damage when it touched down, then moved northeast and struck two farmsteads. At the first farmstead, a loafing shed and stock trailer were destroyed, extensive tree and fence damage occurred, and a roof was torn off an old hog building. The most extensive damage occurred north of the farmstead where six rural electric association poles where broken. The tornado continued to move northeast and destroy a windmill. Then a second farmstead was hit with the tornado destroying a 40 by 60…
- Jul 19, 1999Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous roads and culverts were washed out.
- Jun 22, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A storm system moved through Springview causing major damage to buildings, power poles and numerous trees. Surface wind estimates were 100 mph. The wind at the top of wind turbines west of Springview were measured at 136 mph about 200 feet above the surface.
- May 5, 2007Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
The cyclic supercell produced a tornado just as it entered southern Keya Paha County approximately 7 miles south southeast of Springview. The tornado tracked north northeastward for around 17 miles before lifting 5 miles north northeast of Burton. Along the path, the tornado took part of a roof off two homes, snapped trees, destroyed a barn and small outbuildings, overturned a center pivot irrigation system, and snapped 40 power poles. The tornado caused minor injuries to a gentleman that was on a farm tractor.
- Aug 3, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$80,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm wind gusts overturned 2 center pivots, damaged a wind mill and some small sheds and uprooted several trees.
- Mar 16, 2019Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flooding reported along the Niobrara River south of Norden.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Ainsworth, 23.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1905.
- All-time high
- 113°F2 times, most recently Jul 20, 1934
- All-time low
- −33°FFeb 2, 1917
- Warmest night
- 83°F3 times, most recently Jul 5, 1933
- Coldest day
- −15°FJan 13, 2024
- Wettest day
- 4.95 inJul 1, 1962
- Snowiest day
- 25.0 inNov 2, 1972
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 54.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1924mean 43.4°F
- Wettest year
- 191545.48 in
- Driest year
- 19899.50 in
- Snowiest season
- 83.0 in1983-84
Median first snow
November 3
Earliest: September 16, 1973
Median last snow
April 11
Latest: May 20, 2017
0 of 85 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Ainsworth (USC00250050), 2,518 ft elevation, 23.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1905 to October 27, 2026; 98.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
13 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, April 4, 2020.
| Apr 4, 2020 | Biological | DR-4521-NE |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3483-NE |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Flood | DR-4420-NE |
| Jul 15, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1924-NE |
| Feb 25, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1878-NE |
| Jul 31, 2009 | Severe Storm | DR-1853-NE |
| Jun 20, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1770-NE |
| Jun 6, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1706-NE |
| Jan 7, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1674-NE |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3245-NE |
| May 16, 2001 | Severe Storm | DR-1373-NE |
| Jan 18, 1977 | Drought | EM-3022-NE |
| Jul 18, 1967 | Flood | DR-228-NE |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Keya Paha County stands among 93 counties in Nebraska and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 14 | 88 / 93 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 44,486 | 12 / 93 |
| Flood insurance claims | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance paid | $0 | — |
| Disaster declarations | 13 | 69 / 93 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 8 | 85 / 93 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 230 | 75 / 93 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 65 | 66 / 93 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $5.8 million | 67 / 93 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 169 | 36 / 93 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 28.1 | 13 / 93 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 20 / 93 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 1 | 12 / 93 |
Neighbouring counties
| Boyd County | 11 | 0 |
| Brown County | 38 | 0 |
| Cherry County | 107 | 0 |
| Gregory County SD | 28 | 0 |
| Holt County | 81 | 0 |
| Rock County | 18 | 0 |
| Tripp County SD | 38 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00250050.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.