Guadalupe County
Population 4,343 (2025) 3,030 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 117,073 acres of Guadalupe County since 1984, 17th most of 33 counties in New Mexico; the largest was the Perez Fire in 1997.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195013
- Wildfire burn scars since 198432
At a glance
The record for Guadalupe County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
117,073
17th of 33 in New Mexico
32 large fires; the largest was Perez, 1997
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
13
15th of 33 in New Mexico
About as many as the typical New Mexico county
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
June 4, 1978, 2.0 mile path
Snowiest season
33.1in
Winter of 2014-15
Tornadoes
About one every 5.8 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 4, 1978
F2, 2.0 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, May 31, 2023
EFU, 0.4 mile path
3 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 31, 2023 | EFU | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 21, 2017 | EF0 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15, 2016 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 11, 2008 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2008 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2008 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 16, 1979 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1978 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1959 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 9, 1958 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 1956 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Guadalupe County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
117,073 acres burned in 32 large fires since 1984, equal to 6.0% of the land.
Largest
March 16, 1997
Perez Fire, 30,262 acres
30,287 acres inside Guadalupe County.
Most recent
September 10, 2023
Berlier Ranch Fire
1,795 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Berlier Ranch | 2023 | 1,219 | 1,795 |
| Pedro | 2020 | 1,025 | 1,023 |
| Road Runner | 2018 | 2,534 | 2,544 |
| Vaughn | 2018 | 2,735 | 2,733 |
| North Cut | 2015 | 2,796 | 4,351 |
| Horseshoe | 2011 | 39 | 1,639 |
| Milagro | 2011 | 7,102 | 7,098 |
| Brush | 2011 | 3,099 | 3,095 |
| Thompson | 2008 | 2,187 | 2,182 |
| Unnamed | 2006 | 1,907 | 1,902 |
| Rick 20 | 2006 | 1,537 | 1,536 |
| Brown | 2006 | 1,025 | 1,024 |
| Lumbre | 2006 | 9,857 | 15,585 |
| Cowden | 2006 | 3,124 | 3,122 |
| Sheep | 2006 | 1,293 | 1,292 |
| Tejon | 2002 | 446 | 2,022 |
| Vergeti | 2000 | 1,685 | 1,687 |
| Bar-Y | 2000 | 1,463 | 1,465 |
| Milagro | 2000 | 2,571 | 2,572 |
| Vaughn | 2000 | 6,967 | 6,960 |
| I-Do | 1999 | 1,776 | 1,773 |
| Perez | 1998 | 1,160 | 1,160 |
| Perez | 1997 | 30,287 | 30,262 |
| Ulibarri | 1996 | 1,343 | 1,344 |
| Rest Area | 1996 | 2,410 | 2,406 |
| Perez | 1992 | 2,662 | 2,663 |
| Frontier | 1992 | 8,454 | 8,451 |
| Unnamed | 1990 | 2,000 | 1,999 |
| Gazolas | 1989 | 1,650 | 1,649 |
| Perez | 1989 | 1,466 | 1,462 |
| Rosa | 1988 | 7,387 | 7,385 |
| Milagro | 1988 | 1,851 | 1,954 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 32 days
Heavy smoke on 10 days in 2020, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.0 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
7 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 15 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood20
- Flood6
- Heavy Rain6
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
September 11, 2013
Gallinas River above Colonias, 28.41 ft
12.41 feet above the 16.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
September 12, 2013
Pecos River below Puerto De Luna, 15.27 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Gallinas River above Colonias | 16.0 | 28.41 ft | 1 |
| Pecos River below Anton Chico | 15.0 | 24.00 ft | 1 |
| Pecos River below Puerto De Luna | 11.0 | 17.00 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 191 of 1,581 months since 1895 (12%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.
191
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
55
Months in extreme drought
12%
Share of all months, severe or worse
102
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
September 1956
−5.53, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
28 months
April 1955 to July 1957.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.49, moderate drought
Last severe month: August 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes, volcanoes and landslides
32 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1980; none reached magnitude 4.
6
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
17
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 22, 1990
Magnitude 3.7
5 km SE of McIntosh, New Mexico; 42.5 miles away, 6.2 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
April 1, 2025
Magnitude 3.0
22 km S of Newkirk, New Mexico; inside the county.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Volcanoes within 100 miles
| Carrizozo lava flow | 53.1 | Low |
| Valles Caldera | 84.9 | Moderate |
- U.S. volcanoes within 100 miles, from the USGS Volcano Hazards Program. The threat category is the USGS 2018 National Volcanic Threat Assessment, which ranks volcanoes by how hazardous their past eruptions were and how many people and how much infrastructure lie near them. It is not a forecast of eruption.
USGS Volcano Hazards Program, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
7
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by USGS Conterminous (7).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
525 events in the National Weather Service record, 500 of them since 1996.
96
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
5
Hail, 2 inches or larger
38
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
46
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
August 17, 2015
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 30, 2014
85 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
| Dust storms and dust devils | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 11, 2013Flood$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Law enforcement and emergency management reported major flooding along El Rito Creek and at Power Dam. NM 91 was closed between mile markers 0 and 9. The El Rito Creek South Bridge was nearly topped. Large chunks of concrete from Power Dam were destroyed. A railroad bridge over El Rito Creek was compromised and engineers closed rail traffic to assess the bridge. Extensive damage was done to nearby Park Lake Trail. A bridge carrying a water line to Puerto de Luna was extensively damaged. Low lying areas near Brush Dam were flooded in Puerto de Luna. Extensive road damaged has occurred to city and county roads.
- Jan 8, 2024Blizzard, Guadalupe County$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Santa Rosa AWOS measured low visibility below a quarter statute mile for 3 hours while a public weather station north of Santa Rosa measured peak wind gusts of 40 to 47 mph during the morning. There were two reports of 3 and 4 inches of snow north and south of Santa Rosa. The NMDOT reported a 43 to 45 vehicle crash along I-40 at Cuervo, NM that involved one fatality. Media reports shared an official report that weather and driver inattention resulted in the semi-truck driver crashing into a van in front of them. The driver of the van died while the passenger was injured.
- Aug 1, 2015Flash Flood$120,000
National Weather Service narrative
State police had to pull 3 vehicles out of mud on Highway 91 created by the heavy rains. Reilly Road between Highway 91 and Blue Hole was later closed as it was covered by flash flood water. These waters also went into the nearby senior center.
- Jul 3, 2013Hail$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Nickel to golfball sized hail pounded the Santa Rosa area resulting in major damage. Partial roof collapses and broken skylights were common throughout the central and western portions of the community. Smaller hail accumulated to depths of up to two feet in areas. Snow plows were required to clear roads. Many local residents and motorists described the scene as snow in July.
- Jun 5, 2023Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flash flooding reported across Santa Rosa via NM State EOC and County EM. Extent of impacts and potential damages are unknown.
- Jul 6, 2015Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Large wooden doors were blown off a barn. Several trees had severe damage. A plastic roof on a greenhouse was blown off. A metal tail of a windmill was wrapped around the wheel base.
- Jul 10, 1996Thunderstorm Wind$70,000
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm produced 30 minutes of large hail and high winds estimated at 70-80 mph. A survey showed 52 structures with damage, ranging from broken windows to missing roofs and collapsed walls. Many of the structures were older adobe construction located in the historic plaza of Anton Chico. Heavy rain of 2 inches in a hour also caused considerable water damage following the wind damage. No injuries were reported.
- Aug 1, 2015Thunderstorm Wind$60,000
National Weather Service narrative
State police reported thunderstorm winds causing damage to the roofs of several buildings along old route 66 in the center of town.
- Sep 11, 2013Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
State EOC Situation Report #2 reported Blue Hole Road closed due to flooding. The Santa Rosa golf course and a pump house flooded with extensive damage. Entire golf course was under water. Flooding was also reported near the KSRR transmitter.
- Jul 29, 2014Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Five to 6 feet of water from the Alamogordo Creek drainage over Highway 156. Pavement was stripped. Half a mile of fence line was tore out due to the flooding. A bunkhouse located near the water crossing took on water damage and water filled up the basement. Two water retention ponds were over-topped. Part of the Pacific Railroad tracks were left dangling because the base was washed out from the heavy rains.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Sumner Lake, 31.5 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1975.
- All-time high
- 112°FJun 12, 2022
- All-time low
- −15°FFeb 3, 2011
- Warmest night
- 76°FJul 20, 2022
- Coldest day
- 9°F2 times, most recently Feb 15, 2021
- Wettest day
- 5.63 inOct 4, 2017
- Snowiest day
- 8.0 in2 times, most recently Jan 3, 2015
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 62.1°F
- Coldest year
- 1979mean 55.8°F
- Wettest year
- 201526.07 in
- Driest year
- 20125.12 in
- Snowiest season
- 33.1 in2014-15
Median first snow
December 13
Earliest: October 27, 2020
Median last snow
February 26
Latest: April 25, 1997
5 of 43 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Sumner Lake (USC00298596), 4,306 ft elevation, 31.5 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1975 to October 27, 2026; 95.2% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
9 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, April 5, 2020.
| Apr 5, 2020 | Biological | DR-4529-NM |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3460-NM |
| Oct 6, 2014 | Severe Storm | DR-4197-NM |
| Oct 29, 2013 | Flood | DR-4152-NM |
| Aug 30, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1659-NM |
| Sep 7, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3229-NM |
| May 13, 2000 | Fire | DR-1329-NM |
| May 10, 2000 | Fire | EM-3154-NM |
| Jan 29, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1202-NM |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Guadalupe County stands among 33 counties in New Mexico and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 13 | 15 / 33 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 117,073 | 17 / 33 |
| Flood insurance claims | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance paid | $0 | — |
| Disaster declarations | 9 | 24 / 33 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 32 | 26 / 33 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 299 | 17 / 33 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 46 | 25 / 33 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $3.0 million | 28 / 33 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 2 | 4 / 33 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 191 | 26 / 33 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.0 | 10 / 33 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 6 | 16 / 33 |
Neighbouring counties
| De Baca County | 10 | 0 |
| Lincoln County | 23 | 0 |
| Quay County | 41 | 0 |
| San Miguel County | 16 | 0 |
| Torrance County | 18 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00298596.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Volcanoes USGS Volcano Hazards Program, U.S. volcanoes and 2018 threat assessment.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.