Bailey County
Population 6,963 (2025) 827 sq mi
Bailey County has recorded 62 tornadoes since 1950, 42nd most of 254 counties in Texas; the most recent was on April 25, 2025.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195062
- Wildfire burn scars since 198410
At a glance
The record for Bailey County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
25,980
75th of 254 in Texas
10 large fires; the largest was Unnamed, 2008
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
May 10, 1991, 8.5 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
16
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2024
DetailsSnowiest season
32.5in
Winter of 1982-83
Tornadoes
About one every 1.2 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 10, 1991
F3, 8.5 mile path
450 yards wide.
Most recent
Friday, April 25, 2025
EFU, 4.3 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 25, 2025 | EFU | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2022 | EFU | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2022 | EF2 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2019 | EF0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2019 | EFU | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2019 | EFU | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2017 | EFU | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26, 2011 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 23, 2007 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 5, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 7, 1993 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1992 | F2 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1992 | F0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1992 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1992 | F0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27, 1991 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1991 | F0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1991 | F1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1991 | F3 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 3, 1989 | F2 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1988 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1988 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 30, 1988 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 30, 1988 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1986 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1986 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1986 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 1986 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 20, 1985 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 8, 1983 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 1982 | F1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 1982 | F1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 4, 1981 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 1981 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 3, 1979 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 18, 1978 | F0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1978 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 1978 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 3, 1977 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 1974 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2, 1973 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 1972 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1971 | F2 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1971 | F2 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1971 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1971 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1971 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1969 | F0 | 42.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1969 | F0 | 42.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1969 | F0 | 42.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1969 | F0 | 42.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1969 | F0 | 10.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 1969 | F1 | 26.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1968 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 9, 1965 | F2 | 20.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 29, 1963 | F2 | 10.3 | 1 | 0 |
| May 21, 1963 | F3 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 12, 1960 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 1957 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1955 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Bailey County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
25,980 acres burned in 10 large fires since 1984, equal to 4.9% of the land.
Largest
April 7, 2008
Unnamed Fire, 10,087 acres
10,085 acres inside Bailey County.
Most recent
April 4, 2023
Hall Fire
1,007 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Hall | 2023 | 1,006 | 1,007 |
| Dancing Mule | 2022 | 1,364 | 1,366 |
| Toke Plant/Wiseman Complex | 2011 | 3,210 | 3,211 |
| White Lake | 2010 | 1,254 | 1,259 |
| Grass 3 | 2010 | 2,586 | 2,589 |
| 2009081 | 2009 | 1,685 | 1,686 |
| 2009037 | 2009 | 1,196 | 1,198 |
| Unnamed | 2008 | 10,085 | 10,087 |
| Hwy 37 | 2006 | 1,045 | 5,019 |
| Unnamed | 1988 | 2,545 | 3,613 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 34 days
Heavy smoke on 14 days in 2020, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
1 day
Medium or heavy smoke. 11 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood20
- Flood6
- Heavy Rain2
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 157 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.
157
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
42
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
92
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
September 2011
−5.91, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
28 months
June 1953 to September 1955.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.75, moderate drought
Last severe month: August 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
1 earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 2022; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
0
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 29, 2022
Magnitude 2.6
8 km E of Anton, Texas; 31.4 miles away, 1.3 miles deep.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
612 events in the National Weather Service record, 490 of them since 1996.
144
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
32
Hail, 2 inches or larger
52
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
79
Winter weather events since 1996
1
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 7, 1987
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 7, 2014
90 mph
More event types since 1996
| Dust storms and dust devils | 8 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Dec 26, 2015Blizzard, Bailey$6.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Following a mild Christmas, a strong cold front arrived early on the morning of the 26th ahead of temperatures falling to freezing territory throughout the course of the afternoon all in advance of a slow-moving upper low in the Desert Southwest and far north-central Mexico. Northerly winds increased in intensity during the day and by early evening were frequently gusting between 50 and 60 mph over the entire South Plains. These winds created several power outages, minor roof damage, downed tree limbs, and even toppled some trees completely. By mid-evening on the 26th, exceptionally rich moisture from the Gulf of Mexico deepened over the shallow dome of cold air and resulted in…
- Jan 29, 1999Winter Storm, Bailey$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
An intense winter storm severely impacted the northwestern South Plains and the extreme southwest Panhandle on the 29th and 30th. Over a foot of snow fell across parts of Parmer and Bailey Counties, where drifts reached as high as 6 feet and major highways were closed for hours. Five to seven inches of snow fell in Castro, Swisher, Lamb, and Cochran Counties. Some of these same areas received significant accumulations of freezing rain. The combined effect of this storm snapped numerous trees and tree limbs, and caused many thousands of people to lose power (some for more than two full days). In Swisher County alone, approximately 700 power poles were snapped or brought down due to…
- Jun 7, 2014Hail$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Law enforcement personnel estimated hail of ping pong to golf ball size from Muleshoe to just south of the city. Strong to severe winds accompanying the hail enhanced the hail damage to roofs and sidings of homes, vehicles and windows.
- Jun 17, 2008Hail$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Emergency management officials reported that giant hail stones that ranged in size from baseballs to softballs resulted in significant damages throughout the city of Muleshoe around 20:00 CST. Numerous windshields were knocked out of vehicles and many structures sustained heavy roof and window damage. Hail even punctured the interior walls of one mobile home. No injuries were reported.
- Jul 17, 2009Thunderstorm Wind$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The convective complex and embedded high-precipitation supercell that impacted parts of Parmer County subsequently moved southward over Bailey County. A post storm survey by Texas Tech University West Texas Mesonet meteorologists revealed a swath of intense wind damage from between Needmore and Baileyboro southward to Enochs. At least 100 utility poles were blown down, some broken near ground-level, and several center irrigation pivots were destroyed. Minor roof damage was noted to several homes in Enochs. The winds were occasionally accompanied with nickel size hail in the Enochs vicinity. Wind-driven hail contributed to significant cotton losses. Wind speeds were estimated to be…
- Jun 7, 2014Thunderstorm Wind$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A strong low-level mesocyclone accompanied by destructive rear flank downdraft (RFD) winds tracked southeastward from Muleshoe to about 12 miles southeast of Muleshoe. Although law enforcement reported a tornado, no definitive evidence of such could be determined from the NWS storm survey conducted in the following days. Combined with direct accounts from storm chasers, the storm survey determined that significant straight line winds were to blame for the majority of damage discovered generally north of Highway 84. Maximum sustained winds were estimated between 80 and 90 mph and created much damage to rural homes, a dairy business, farm equipment, and area power poles. The worst…
- Mar 13, 2019High Wind, Bailey$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
Measured by a Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet near Muleshoe.
- Sep 17, 2017Hail$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Broadcast media relayed damage photos of a significant hailstorm that struck the community of Bula. Wind-driven hail as large as baseballs pummeled crops and caused extensive damage to siding, windows and roofs to dozens of buildings in the area.
- May 25, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Severe thunderstorm winds resulted in considerable damage in the Muleshoe vicinity between 17:35 and 17:45 CST on the 25th. Extensive damage occurred to a pair of trailer homes just southeast of the city, when one was rolled by the winds and a second home sustained heavy roof damage. A barn was additionally reported to have been destroyed and large pieces of debris obstructed a county road just northeast of Muleshoe. East of the city, extensive damage occurred at a cattle dairy, where 1,500 stables were destroyed and at least three calves were killed. Local utility companies reported nearly 100 power poles were downed by the winds. The damaging winds were accompanied by large…
- Jun 9, 2016Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A farmer in Bailey County reported hail and wind damage to his property north of Muleshoe. Several center pivot irrigation systems were knocked over. Also, a small shed was destroyed by high winds.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Muleshoe #1, 0.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1927.
- All-time high
- 110°F2 times, most recently Aug 3, 1944
- All-time low
- −21°FFeb 8, 1933
- Warmest night
- 75°FJun 29, 2026
- Coldest day
- 5°F2 times, most recently Feb 15, 2021
- Wettest day
- 5.25 inMay 16, 1951
- Snowiest day
- 12.0 inDec 16, 1931
- Hottest year
- 1934mean 60.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1975mean 54.6°F
- Wettest year
- 194143.52 in
- Driest year
- 20117.21 in
- Snowiest season
- 32.5 in1982-83
Median first snow
December 12
Earliest: October 23, 1936
Median last snow
March 2
Latest: May 4, 1935
11 of 96 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Muleshoe #1 (USC00416135), 3,830 ft elevation, 0.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1927 to October 23, 2026; 93.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
16 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, May 17, 2024.
| May 17, 2024 | Flood | DR-4781-TX |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4586-TX |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3554-TX |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4485-TX |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3458-TX |
| Feb 9, 2016 | Severe Storm | DR-4255-TX |
| Jul 1, 2011 | Fire | DR-1999-TX |
| Mar 14, 2008 | Fire | EM-3284-TX |
| Jan 11, 2006 | Fire | DR-1624-TX |
| Sep 24, 2005 | Hurricane | DR-1606-TX |
| Sep 21, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3261-TX |
| Sep 2, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3216-TX |
| Jan 8, 2001 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1356-TX |
| Sep 1, 1999 | Fire | EM-3142-TX |
| Aug 26, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1239-TX |
| Sep 9, 1992 | Severe Storm | DR-960-TX |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Bailey County stands among 254 counties in Texas and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 62 | 42 / 254 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 2 | 83 / 254 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 25,980 | 75 / 254 |
| Flood insurance claims | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance paid | $0 | — |
| Disaster declarations | 16 | 185 / 254 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 28 | 189 / 254 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 255 | 119 / 254 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 79 | 11 / 254 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $12.0 million | 137 / 254 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 157 | 197 / 254 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.6 | 95 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Cochran County | 38 | 0 |
| Curry County NM | 57 | 0 |
| Hockley County | 80 | 0 |
| Lamb County | 97 | 0 |
| Parmer County | 56 | 0 |
| Roosevelt County NM | 63 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00416135.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.