Novato
Population 51,947 (2025)
4 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Novato since 1950, 0 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on December 5, 1998.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 19504
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19848
- Major flood years since 1978, Marin County6
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Marin County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Marin County.
Strongest tornado
F2
June 1, 1958, 15.0 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
26
Most recent: Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, 2023
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 1, 1958
F2, 15.0 mile path
50 yards wide.
Most recent
Saturday, December 5, 1998
F0, 1.5 mile path
28 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Dec 5, 1998 | F0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 23, 1996 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 2, 1992 | F1 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 1958 | F2 | 15.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
8 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
September 27, 2020
Glass Fire, 67,971 acres
24.1 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
September 27, 2020
Glass Fire
67,971 acres in total.
Every large fire
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2020: 44 days
Heavy smoke on 30 days in 2020, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
14.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
2 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 2 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
3,301 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $54.9 million paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Marin County, the county that contains Novato.
Most claims in one year
1982: 626 claims
$4.7 million paid.
2nd most
2005: 555 claims
$28.1 million paid.
3rd most
1983: 498 claims
$4.2 million paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 94901 | 491 | $6.0 million |
| 94941 | 387 | $3.8 million |
| 94947 | 363 | $2.9 million |
| 94960 | 315 | $13.0 million |
| 94903 | 270 | $1.6 million |
| 94957 | 235 | $9.1 million |
| 94904 | 200 | $4.3 million |
| 94925 | 171 | $2.0 million |
| 94970 | 141 | $2.3 million |
| 94930 | 131 | $2.0 million |
| 94920 | 119 | $1.2 million |
| 94939 | 101 | $1.7 million |
| 94965 | 77 | $1.6 million |
| 94945 | 74 | $324,000 |
| 94956 | 57 | $911,000 |
| 94933 | 27 | $603,000 |
| 94949 | 27 | $380,000 |
| 26 | $168,000 | |
| 94924 | 22 | $118,000 |
| 94937 | 18 | $481,000 |
| 94946 | 10 | $31,000 |
| 94938 | 9 | $51,000 |
| 94940 | 8 | $156,000 |
| 94963 | 7 | $29,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood95
- Coastal Flood34
- Flash Flood19
- Heavy Rain10
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Marin County, the county that contains Novato.
Most severe crest
December 31, 2005
Corte Madera Creek at Ross, 22.59 ft
5.59 feet above the 17.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
December 31, 2005
Corte Madera Creek at Ross, 22.59 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Arroyo Corte Madera del Presidio | 8.0 | 8.11 ft | 0 |
| Corte Madera Creek at Ross | 17.0 | 22.59 ft | 0 |
| Coyote Creek (Marin) at Tam Valley | 7.0 | — | 0 |
| Fairfax Creek at RVFD Station 21 | 8.7 | — | 0 |
| Lagunitas Creek near Pt. Reyes Station | 22.0 | — | 0 |
| Novato Creek at Novato (ALERT) | 12.4 | — | 0 |
| Novato Creek at Novato (USGS) | 13.0 | 14.52 ft | 0 |
| Redwood Creek (Marin County) above Highway 1 Bridge at Muir Beach | 7.3 | — | 0 |
| San Anselmo Creek at Bridge Street | 13.3 | — | 0 |
| Sleepy Hollow Creek at RVFD Fire Station 20 | 7.8 | — | 0 |
| Walker Creek (Marin) near Marshall | 28.0 | — | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
High tide flooding
Tide gauges in Marin County.
Most in one year, Point Reyes
8 days
May 2025 to April 2026.
Last ten years
2.0 days a year
At Point Reyes, 2016–26.
Moderate or major
1 day
Since 1975, 0 of them major.
- High tide flooding days are days on which a NOAA tide gauge recorded water at or above NOAA's minor flood threshold, set from the gauge's tide range, counted by meteorological year (May to April). These are the counts in NOAA's annual high tide flooding reports; they are not National Weather Service flood stages. Years with less than 80 percent of data are left out.
NOAA CO-OPS high tide flooding counts, through April 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 125 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 12 months.
The drought index is for Marin County, the county that contains Novato.
125
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
23
Months in extreme drought
8%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
July 2021
−6.32, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
12 months
October 2020 to September 2021.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.58, mild drought
Last severe month: March 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis and landslides
78 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 7.9 in 1906.
751
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
78
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
8
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 18, 1906
The 1906 San Francisco, California Earthquake; 23.2 miles away, 7.3 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
September 12, 2026
Magnitude 3.1
9 km ENE of Blackhawk, CA; 42.5 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Tsunamis
Tsunami records for Marin County.
Highest water recorded
Apr 1, 1946
6.6 ft, Muir Beach, CA
From Unimak Island, AK (magnitude 8.6 earthquake).
On record
30 tsunamis
Since 1877; 1 death recorded here.
| Jul 29, 2025 | Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia, M8.8 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Tonga Islands | 2.6 | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2021 | Kodiak Island, AK, M8.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Kodiak Island, AK, M7.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2015 | Central Chile, M8.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Oct 28, 2012 | British Columbia, M7.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Mar 11, 2011 | Honshu Island, M9.1 | 4.9 | 0 |
| Feb 27, 2010 | Central Chile, M8.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 7, 2009 | Vanuatu Islands, M7.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Sep 29, 2009 | Samoa Islands, M8.1 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Aug 15, 2007 | S. Peru, M8.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Jan 13, 2007 | S. Kuril Islands, M8.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Nov 15, 2006 | S. Kuril Islands, M8.3 | 1.1 | 0 |
| May 3, 2006 | Tonga, M8.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Dec 26, 2004 | Off W. Coast Of Sumatra, M9.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Sep 25, 2003 | Hokkaido Island, M8.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 2001 | S. Peru, M8.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 1996 | Andreanof Islands, AK, M7.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Feb 17, 1996 | Irian Jaya, M8.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Dec 3, 1995 | S. Kuril Islands, M7.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1995 | Northern Chile, M8.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Apr 25, 1992 | Cape Mendocino, N. California, M7.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Nov 29, 1975 | Hawaii, M7.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Mar 28, 1964 | Prince William Sound, AK, M9.2 | 4.9 | 1 |
| May 22, 1960 | Southern Chile, M9.5 | 4.9 | 0 |
| Mar 4, 1952 | Se. Hokkaido Island, M8.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 1946 | Unimak Island, AK, M8.6 | 6.6 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1906 | N. California, M7.9 | — | 0 |
| Jun 15, 1896 | Sanriku, M8.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| May 10, 1877 | Northern Chile, M8.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
- Places where NOAA's Global Historical Tsunami Database records a tsunami's water arriving, with the greatest height it reached above sea level at the time. Only tsunamis NOAA rates probable or definite are counted. Heights from eyewitness accounts and tide gauges are mixed, and older events are less completely recorded.
NOAA NCEI/WDS Global Historical Tsunami Database, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Volcanoes within 100 miles
| Clear Lake Volcanic Field | 62.3 | High |
- U.S. volcanoes within 100 miles, from the USGS Volcano Hazards Program. The threat category is the USGS 2018 National Volcanic Threat Assessment, which ranks volcanoes by how hazardous their past eruptions were and how many people and how much infrastructure lie near them. It is not a forecast of eruption.
USGS Volcano Hazards Program, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
Landslides mapped in Marin County.
4,616
Landslides mapped, probable or better
116
With a recorded date
4
Source inventories
Mapped by CA GS (4,561), NASA (36), USGS CA SF Bay Dec 2022 - Jan 2023 (14), USGS Conterminous (5).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
549 events in the National Weather Service record for Marin County, 549 of them since 1996.
0
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
4
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
1
Winter weather events since 1996
23
Heat events since 1996
13
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
November 4, 2017
0.25 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
December 25, 2025
90 mph
More event types since 1996
| Rip currents | 4 | 2 |
| High surf and sneaker waves | 23 | 23 |
| Storm surge and tide | 3 | 0 |
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 25 | 0 |
| Debris flows | 31 | 1 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Dec 31, 2005Flood$108 million
National Weather Service narrative
Widespread severe flooding affected many towns in Marin County including Fairfax, San Anselmo, Novato, Inverness, Ross and Mill Valley. Across the County, 1600 homes, 240 businesses and 225 government agencies were affected by the flood. San Anselmo was under 2 feet of water with an estimated 150 of its 250 businesses damaged and a price tag of around $40 million. Fairfax is looking at a $25 million tab and Ross around $13 million. An estimated 4 to 7 inches of rain fell on the County in a 24 hour period preceding the flood. The flooding continued into the first few days of January 2006.
- Jan 1, 2006Flood$108 million
National Weather Service narrative
Flooding from heavy rains in late December continued into the early morning of January 1st. Hardest hit areas in the County were Fairfax, San Anselmo, Novato, Inverness, Ross and Mill Valley. Across the County, 1600 homes, 240 businesses and 225 Government agencies were affected by the flood. San Anselmo was under 2 feet of water with an estimated 150 of its 230 businesses damaged at a price tag of around $40 million.
- Apr 1, 2006Debris Flow, North Bay Interior Valleys$14.4 million
National Weather Service narrative
Persistent heavy rainfall caused a massive number of landslides across the Sonoma and Marin County valleys area during the first half of April. About $20 million of damage was done to agriculture, with over $9 million spent in road repair damage in Sonoma County alone. Over $5 million worth of damage was done to single family dwellings in Sonoma - with lesser (but still substantial) amounts of damage experienced to businesses and public buildings. In Marin county the hardest hit areas were Mill Valley, Fairfax and San Rafael. In Mill Valley a man was killed after he was buried in a mudslide in his back yeard.
- Dec 11, 2014Flash Flood$4.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rainfall produced significant rises on Novato Creek between highways 101 and 37 on the east side of the city of Novato. This led to an intentional breach of the levee on a 20 foot section to prevent floodwaters from reaching downtown businesses and nearby subdivisions. This same flooding also resulted in failure of a smaller portion of the levee and overtopped another section. Caltrans levees on highway 37 were breached and a culvert was washed out.
- Feb 6, 1998Flash Flood$1.5 million
- Dec 11, 2014Debris Flow$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A significant mudslide occurred along Tennessee Valley Road.
- Dec 11, 2014Debris Flow$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A slide under sixty feet of Highway 1 near Muir Beach resulted in a full closure of the road which is expected to last for several months.
- Mar 25, 2011Debris Flow, North Bay Interior Valleys$855,000
National Weather Service narrative
In San Anselmo heavy rain and strong wind caused mudslides, trees to blow down and power poles to topple. The following are other damage reports from around the city. On Florence Road trees fell into the public right of way blocking the roadway and crushing a car. It also took down several PGE, cable and telephone poles. On Woodruff Ave, a mudslide traveled 1/4 mile down the road carrying structure debris and blocking a main intersection that accesses 12 homes. On Scenic Ave, a mudslide entered a roadway and wind blew down a few power poles. At 29 Summit Ave, a mudslide closed roads; caused water, gas and sewer lines to break and took out numerous trees. On Redwood Rd, the road…
- Dec 27, 2006Strong Wind, Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Strong winds - sustained at least up to 30 mph hit the Marin County Coast - causing a tree to fall on a restaurant.
- Jan 20, 2010Strong Wind, North Bay Interior Valleys$435,000
National Weather Service narrative
Strong winds and saturated soil combined to knock over a 50-foot Douglas fir tree along Turnagain Road in Kentfield. In Sonoma, a fallen tree smashed a home. In Santa Rosa, a tree crashed down onto a home on Proctor Drive rendering it uninhabitable. In Yountville a 150- to 200-year-old Coast Live Oak toppled next to a home on Humboldt Street causing damage to a fence. Also in Santa Rosa, A 50-foot-plus Cedar tree came down onto a home on Manor Drive damaging the back area of the house. Along State Route 12, a tree fell onto a moving vehicle just east of Glen Ellen causing closure of the roadway. In Sonoma, a redwood tree fell through the roof of the K building at Sonoma Valley…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Kentfield, 8.9 miles from the city centre, with records from 1902.
- All-time high
- 112°FJul 11, 1913
- All-time low
- 17°FDec 31, 1915
- Warmest night
- 75°FMay 15, 2008
- Coldest day
- 31°FJan 20, 1922
- Wettest day
- 11.56 inJan 21, 1967
- Snowiest day
- 1.0 inDec 25, 1948
- Hottest year
- 2014mean 61.5°F
- Coldest year
- 1922mean 54.5°F
- Wettest year
- 198394.38 in
- Driest year
- 20137.80 in
Station Kentfield (USC00044500), 145 ft elevation, 8.9 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1902 to October 26, 2026; 94.4% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
26 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, April 3, 2023.
Declarations for Marin County.
| Apr 3, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4699-CA |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Flood | DR-4683-CA |
| Jan 9, 2023 | Flood | EM-3591-CA |
| Mar 22, 2020 | Biological | DR-4482-CA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3428-CA |
| May 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4434-CA |
| May 1, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4431-CA |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Flood | DR-4308-CA |
| Feb 14, 2017 | Severe Storm | DR-4301-CA |
| Jun 5, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1646-CA |
| Feb 3, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1628-CA |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3248-CA |
| Feb 9, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1203-CA |
| Jan 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1155-CA |
| Mar 12, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1046-CA |
| Jan 10, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1044-CA |
| Feb 11, 1991 | Freezing | DR-894-CA |
| Oct 18, 1989 | Earthquake | DR-845-CA |
| Feb 21, 1986 | Flood | DR-758-CA |
| Feb 9, 1983 | Coastal Storm | DR-677-CA |
| Jan 7, 1982 | Flood | DR-651-CA |
| Jan 20, 1977 | Drought | EM-3023-CA |
| Feb 8, 1973 | Flood | DR-364-CA |
| Feb 16, 1970 | Flood | DR-283-CA |
| Jan 26, 1969 | Flood | DR-253-CA |
| Dec 24, 1964 | Flood | DR-183-CA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00044500.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Tide gauges NOAA CO-OPS high tide flooding counts, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Tsunamis NOAA NCEI/WDS Global Historical Tsunami Database.
- Volcanoes USGS Volcano Hazards Program, U.S. volcanoes and 2018 threat assessment.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.