Buffalo
Population 274,613 (2025)
30 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Buffalo since 1950, 1 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on September 9, 2024.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195030
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
- Major flood years since 1978, Erie County4
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Erie County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Erie County.
Strongest tornado
F3
August 19, 1970, 2.3 mile path
Tornadoes
About one every 2.5 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
August 19, 1970
F3, 2.3 mile path
300 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, September 9, 2024
EF0, 1.2 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Sep 9, 2024 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | EF1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | EF1 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2024 | EF2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 2020 | EF0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 20, 2018 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2017 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 2017 | EF0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 2017 | EF2 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 25, 2009 | EF1 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 2006 | F1 | 3.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 25, 1997 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 1994 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 1994 | F0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 25, 1994 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1994 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23, 1993 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 31, 1993 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 12, 1992 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 1991 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1987 | F2 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1976 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2, 1972 | F2 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 23, 1971 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 19, 1970 | F3 | 2.3 | 3 | 0 |
| Jul 26, 1969 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 9, 1966 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 3, 1963 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 7, 1961 | F2 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 25, 1957 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 tropical cyclones passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
September 15, 2008
Ike, Post-tropical
90.4 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Ike | 2008 | 90.4 | Post-tropical |
| Frances | 2004 | 51.4 | Post-tropical |
| Opal | 1995 | 12.3 | Post-tropical |
| Hugo | 1989 | 20.2 | Post-tropical |
| Agnes | 1972 | 79.2 | Post-tropical |
| Connie | 1955 | 69.4 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 34.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1903 | 94.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 76.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 62.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 65.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 11.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 74.2 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped within 25 miles since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 19 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
18.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
23 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
2,483 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $12.8 million paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Erie County, the county that contains Buffalo.
Most claims in one year
1979: 723 claims
$2.2 million paid.
2nd most
1985: 413 claims
$2.8 million paid.
3rd most
1982: 113 claims
$174,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 14221 | 335 | $1.3 million |
| 14081 | 208 | $1.1 million |
| 14219 | 187 | $2.8 million |
| 14224 | 156 | $724,000 |
| 14210 | 132 | $234,000 |
| 14220 | 99 | $226,000 |
| 14225 | 97 | $207,000 |
| 14006 | 95 | $634,000 |
| 14051 | 94 | $458,000 |
| 14218 | 91 | $105,000 |
| 14075 | 81 | $481,000 |
| 14226 | 70 | $180,000 |
| 14227 | 59 | $790,000 |
| 14027 | 52 | $105,000 |
| 48 | $112,000 | |
| 14043 | 48 | $191,000 |
| 14206 | 47 | $194,000 |
| 14150 | 43 | $133,000 |
| 14228 | 40 | $79,000 |
| 14086 | 37 | $126,000 |
| 14202 | 30 | $18,000 |
| 14072 | 28 | $66,000 |
| 14223 | 26 | $25,000 |
| 14127 | 25 | $81,000 |
| 14004 | 25 | $206,000 |
| 14052 | 22 | $349,000 |
| 14216 | 21 | $108,000 |
| 14026 | 18 | $163,000 |
| 14047 | 18 | $82,000 |
| 14141 | 16 | $342,000 |
| 14211 | 16 | $78,000 |
| 14032 | 16 | $20,000 |
| 14061 | 13 | $68,000 |
| 14215 | 13 | $39,000 |
| 14059 | 12 | $40,000 |
| 14025 | 12 | $74,000 |
| 14070 | 11 | $80,000 |
| 14120 | 11 | $22,000 |
| 14001 | 10 | $28,000 |
| 14085 | 9 | $3,253 |
| 14068 | 8 | $18,000 |
| 14214 | 8 | $14,000 |
| 14212 | 8 | $11,000 |
| 14031 | 6 | $10,000 |
| 14170 | 6 | $13,000 |
| 14207 | 6 | $52,000 |
| 14217 | 6 | $3,377 |
| 14057 | 5 | $25,000 |
| 14010 | 5 | $98,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood96
- Flood81
- Lakeshore Flood31
- Heavy Rain15
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Erie County, the county that contains Buffalo.
Most severe crest
March 21, 1978
Buffalo Creek at Gardenville, 14.34 ft
7.34 feet above the 7.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
December 23, 2022
Lake Erie near Buffalo, 10.67 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Buffalo Creek at Gardenville | 7.0 | 14.34 ft | 6 |
| Cayuga Creek at Lancaster | 8.0 | 13.35 ft | 3 |
| Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer | 10.0 | 15.82 ft | 8 |
| Ellicott Creek below Williamsville | 8.0 | 11.59 ft | 0 |
| Lake Erie at Sturgeon Point (NOS) | 8.0 | 9.48 ft | 0 |
| Lake Erie near Buffalo | 8.0 | 12.08 ft | 3 |
| Tonawanda Creek at Rapids | 12.0 | 16.96 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 104 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 16 months.
The drought index is for Erie County, the county that contains Buffalo.
104
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
30
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
10
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−6.12, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
16 months
September 1930 to December 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
+2.42, moderately wet
Last severe month: November 2016.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
3 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.7 in 1929.
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
3
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 12, 1929
Magnitude 4.7
The 1929 Attica, New York Earthquake; 23.2 miles away, 5.6 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
February 6, 2023
Magnitude 3.8
1 km NE of West Seneca, New York; 4.4 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jun 13, 1967 | 4.1 | 31.9 |
| Jan 1, 1966 | 4.3 | 31.1 |
| Aug 12, 1929 | 4.7 | 23.2 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
Landslides mapped in Erie County.
1
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by USGS Conterminous (1).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
1,412 events in the National Weather Service record for Erie County, 1,242 of them since 1996.
72
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
2
Hail, 2 inches or larger
323
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
314
Winter weather events since 1996
1
Heat events since 1996
60
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 28, 2017
2.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
April 18, 2004
86 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 16 | 0 |
| Seiches | 21 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Oct 12, 2006Lake-Effect Snow, Northern Erie$130 million
National Weather Service narrative
Low pressure over Lake Superior brought a westerly flow of unseasonably cold air across western New York. Lake Effect rain began Thursday (10/13/06) morning. By midday the rain began mixing with graupel and thunder and lightning was reported. The cold air became deep enough to change the precipitation to wet snow across the Niagara Frontier by 2 p.m. Little accumulation resulted for the first few hours of snowfall. By between 5 and 8 p.m. accumulations began to reach the two to three inch mark. The weight of this heavy, wet snow on nearly fully-leafed trees began to weigh down and snap the trees. Conditions only worsened overnight with near constant thunder and lightning for…
- Nov 20, 2000Heavy Snow, Erie$20.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Cold air crossing the warm waters of Lakes Erie and Ontario resulted in lake effect squalls that dropped over two feet downwind of the lakes.Off Lake Erie, the squall developed around midday on the 20th in a southwest flow ahead of a cold front. Snow fell at the rate of two to four inches per hour for several hours. The storm crippled much of the Buffalo metro area. Tens of thousands of people were stranded in autos as city and suburban streets became clogged with traffic and came to a standstill. Three thousand school children were stranded in buses which were unable to complete their routes. Snowfall in this early stage were as high as two feet in a narrow strip about three…
- Oct 12, 2006Lake-Effect Snow, Southern Erie$20.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Low pressure over Lake Superior brought a westerly flow of unseasonably cold air across western New York. Lake Effect rain began Thursday (10/13/06) morning. By midday the rain began mixing with graupel and thunder and lightning was reported. The cold air became deep enough to change the precipitation to wet snow across the Niagara Frontier by 2 p.m. Little accumulation resulted for the first few hours of snowfall. By between 5 and 8 p.m. accumulations began to reach the two to three inch mark. The weight of this heavy, wet snow on nearly fully-leafed trees began to weigh down and snap the trees. Conditions only worsened overnight with near constant thunder and lightning for…
- Nov 16, 2022Lake-Effect Snow, Southern Erie$20.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Several homes, garages, and carports were collapsed in southern Erie County. Additionally, a bowling alley and gas station canopy came down due to the weight of the snow.
- Aug 9, 2009Flash Flood$15.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A massive convective complex moved from lower Michigan across southern Ontario near Toronto then dove southeast across the Niagara Frontier and Western Southern Tier. This followed an earlier round of strong thunderstorms and heavy rains earlier in the day. Damage from the thunderstorm winds was widespread across the Niagara Frontier and Western Southern Tier. Trees as large as two to three feet in diameter were downed. Power outages were scattered throughout the region as the winds downed power lines.|The unprecedented heavy rains that fell���four to six inches in less than two hours���resulted in some of the worst flash flooding the area has seen. Parts of Erie,…
- Dec 23, 2022Blizzard, Northern Erie$15.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A historic lake effect blizzard occurred northeast of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario during the Christmas holiday weekend. The combination of high winds in excess of 70 mph and heavy lake effect snow resulted in devastating impacts across western New York and also east of Lake Ontario from December 23 through December 27. ||Warmer air initially was in place over the majority of the region with widespread middle and upper 30s being common in the pre-dawn hours on December 23. Bombogenesis occurred with an incoming surface low pressure center that crossed the Great Lakes and brought abruptly colder and vastly windier conditions into the area behind its adjoining cold front. Rain quickly…
- Nov 17, 2022Lake-Effect Snow, Northern Erie$10.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The incipient lake effect bands formed over far southern Erie County early in the morning hours of Thursday, November 17. The much more intense portion of this event really started with a bang on Thursday evening as an incredibly strong dominant band of lake effect snow developed into the Buffalo area. This intense band continued through Friday evening and dropped multiple feet of snow that was focused on central Erie County as well as northern Jefferson County.||The band off of Lake Erie migrated north overnight Friday night into early Saturday, impacting downtown Buffalo, the Buffalo Airport, and the Northtowns with rates of up to six inches per hour. It then shifted even…
- Dec 24, 2001Heavy Snow, Erie$10.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Lake effect snowbands developed and persisted for an unprecedented five days meandering north and south across the region. Multiple bands of snow developed over the Niagara peninsula during Monday, the 24th , morning and extended into Niagara and northern Erie counties into early afternoon dropping up to six inches. The activity consolidated into a single band during the mid-afternoon and dropped south across the Buffalo metro area through the evening and early overnight. Snowfall rates of 4" per hour and thunder were reported during the evening. The band drifted back north to the Niagara peninsula on Christmas day. On Wednesday the 26th, the band over the peninsula began to drift…
- Nov 1, 2019Lakeshore Flood, Southern Erie$5.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Lake Erie crested at 12:18 AM at Buffalo Harbor at a height of 10.56 ft above low water datum. Multiple high water rescues occurred on Grand Island, Niagara Street, and Tonawanda Street. Homes were flooded on Grand Island and along Route 5 near Hamburg. Erie County estimated that $5.5 in damage occurred due to the lake seice.
- Nov 1, 2019Lakeshore Flood, Northern Erie$5.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Lake Erie crested at 12:18 AM at Buffalo Harbor at a height of 10.56 ft above low water datum. Multiple high water rescues occurred on Grand Island, Niagara Street, and Tonawanda Street. Homes were flooded on Grand Island and along Route 5 near Hamburg. Erie County estimated that $5.5 in damage occurred due to the lake seice.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Buffalo, 7.3 miles from the city centre, with records from 1938.
- All-time high
- 99°FAug 27, 1948
- All-time low
- −20°FFeb 2, 1961
- Warmest night
- 79°FAug 1, 2006
- Coldest day
- −2°FJan 17, 1982
- Wettest day
- 5.01 inJun 22, 1987
- Snowiest day
- 33.9 inDec 10, 1995
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 53.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1940mean 45.2°F
- Wettest year
- 197753.55 in
- Driest year
- 194126.56 in
- Snowiest season
- 199.4 in1976-77
Median first snow
November 8
Earliest: October 6, 1991
Median last snow
April 13
Latest: May 10, 1945
0 of 83 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Buffalo (USW00014733), 790 ft elevation, 7.3 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1938 to October 27, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
27 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm, March 15, 2023.
Declarations for Erie County.
| Mar 15, 2023 | Snowstorm | DR-4694-NY |
| Dec 26, 2022 | Winter Storm | EM-3590-NY |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Winter Storm | EM-3589-NY |
| Mar 20, 2020 | Biological | DR-4480-NY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3434-NY |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4472-NY |
| Dec 22, 2014 | Snowstorm | DR-4204-NY |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3351-NY |
| Sep 1, 2009 | Severe Storm | DR-1857-NY |
| Oct 24, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1665-NY |
| Oct 15, 2006 | Snowstorm | EM-3268-NY |
| Sep 30, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3262-NY |
| Aug 3, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1534-NY |
| Aug 23, 2003 | Other | EM-3186-NY |
| Mar 1, 2002 | Snowstorm | DR-1404-NY |
| Dec 31, 2001 | Snowstorm | EM-3170-NY |
| Sep 11, 2001 | Fire | DR-1391-NY |
| Dec 4, 2000 | Snowstorm | EM-3157-NY |
| Oct 11, 2000 | Other | EM-3155-NY |
| Jul 21, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1335-NY |
| Jan 15, 1999 | Snowstorm | EM-3136-NY |
| Jul 7, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1233-NY |
| Mar 17, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3107-NY |
| Mar 22, 1985 | Snowstorm | DR-734-NY |
| Feb 5, 1977 | Snowstorm | DR-527-NY |
| Jan 29, 1977 | Snowstorm | EM-3027-NY |
| Mar 19, 1976 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-494-NY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00014733.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.