Watertown
Population 23,517 (2025)
8 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of Watertown since 1950, 0 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on September 9, 2024.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 19508
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger2
- Major flood years since 1978, Jefferson County3
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Jefferson County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Jefferson County.
Strongest tornado
EF1
July 8, 2014, 12.3 mile path
Tornadoes
About one every 9.5 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
July 8, 2014
EF1, 12.3 mile path
300 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, September 9, 2024
EFU, 0.1 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Sep 9, 2024 | EFU | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 2014 | EF1 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 1, 2005 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 20, 1993 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 20, 1993 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 1983 | F1 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 1, 1959 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 tropical cyclones passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
September 15, 2008
Ike, Post-tropical
99.3 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped within 25 miles since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 64 days
Heavy smoke on 17 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
19.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
24 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 21 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
250 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $2.4 million paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Jefferson County, the county that contains Watertown.
Most claims in one year
2017: 45 claims
$752,000 paid.
2nd most
1998: 34 claims
$427,000 paid.
3rd most
2019: 34 claims
$702,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 13619 | 50 | $276,000 |
| 13624 | 42 | $884,000 |
| 13601 | 36 | $93,000 |
| 13634 | 23 | $117,000 |
| 13622 | 15 | $105,000 |
| 13650 | 13 | $126,000 |
| 13607 | 11 | $144,000 |
| 13651 | 10 | $132,000 |
| 13693 | 9 | $51,000 |
| 13608 | 8 | $33,000 |
| 13661 | 5 | $11,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood19
- Flash Flood10
- Coastal Flood7
- Lakeshore Flood5
- Heavy Rain1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Jefferson County, the county that contains Watertown.
Most severe crest
January 10, 1998
Black River at Watertown, 16.02 ft
6.02 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
April 17, 2014
Black River at Watertown, 13.81 ft
Moderate flooding.
| Jan 10, 1998 | Black River at Watertown | 16.02 | +6.02 |
| Apr 12, 1993 | Black River at Watertown | 14.20 | +4.20 |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Black River at Watertown | 13.81 | +3.81 |
| Jan 1, 1985 | Black River at Watertown | 13.15 | +3.15 |
| Mar 16, 1977 | Black River at Watertown | 12.84 | +2.84 |
| Apr 30, 2011 | Black River at Watertown | 12.70 | +2.70 |
| Apr 5, 1963 | Black River at Watertown | 12.43 | +2.43 |
| Apr 18, 1994 | Black River at Watertown | 12.19 | +2.19 |
| May 22, 1969 | Black River at Watertown | 11.86 | +1.86 |
| Apr 20, 1982 | Black River at Watertown | 11.65 | +1.65 |
| Dec 16, 1984 | Black River at Watertown | 11.64 | +1.64 |
| Dec 16, 1983 | Black River at Watertown | 11.64 | +1.64 |
| Apr 9, 1928 | Black River at Watertown | 11.60 | +1.60 |
| Mar 19, 1990 | Black River at Watertown | 11.46 | +1.46 |
| May 5, 1972 | Black River at Watertown | 11.32 | +1.32 |
| Apr 26, 1926 | Black River at Watertown | 11.30 | +1.30 |
| Mar 24, 1948 | Black River at Watertown | 11.09 | +1.09 |
| Feb 23, 1981 | Black River at Watertown | 11.02 | +1.02 |
| Apr 14, 2001 | Black River at Watertown | 11.01 | +1.01 |
| Apr 4, 2005 | Black River at Watertown | 10.99 | +0.99 |
| Apr 13, 2008 | Black River at Watertown | 10.74 | +0.74 |
| Apr 16, 2002 | Black River at Watertown | 10.69 | +0.69 |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Black River at Watertown | 10.55 | +0.55 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Black River at Watertown | 10.52 | +0.52 |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Black River at Watertown | 10.51 | +0.51 |
River gauges
| Black River at Watertown | 10.0 | 16.02 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 53 of 1,581 months since 1895 (3%); the longest spell lasted 11 months.
The drought index is for Jefferson County, the county that contains Watertown.
53
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
9
Months in extreme drought
3%
Share of all months, severe or worse
2
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
December 1934
−4.81, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
11 months
July 1934 to May 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
+2.38, moderately wet
Last severe month: May 2010.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
8 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1980; none reached magnitude 4.
4
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 23, 2023
Magnitude 3.6
New York; 9.4 miles away, 5.4 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
June 28, 2024
Magnitude 3.3
14 km W of Ellisburg, New York; 26.8 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
703 events in the National Weather Service record for Jefferson County, 642 of them since 1996.
17
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
232
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
225
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
38
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 20, 1992
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 16, 2024
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Dec 9, 2009High Wind, Jefferson$100 million
National Weather Service narrative
Deep low pressure strengthened as it moved from near Chicago to Quebec. The strong southerly winds ahead of the system downed trees and power lines across the higher elevations of the western southern Tier of New York during the pre-dawn hours. On the New York State Thruway, several tractor trailers were blown over as winds gusted to near 70 mph. As the system passed to the north, winds shifted to southwest and increased. Gusts were measured to 60 mph at the Buffalo International Airport. The winds downed trees and power lines and utilities reported tens of thousands without power.
- Jan 8, 1998Ice Storm, Jefferson$10.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A devastating ice storm paralyzed Jefferson and parts of Lewis counties. The freezing rain accumulated ice of an inch to an inch and a half thick. The ice coated trees, power lines, and poles and sent them crashing to the ground. Hundreds of thousands of customers were without power for several days to over a week. In Jefferson county, 75% of the county was without power. The county was declared a state and federal disaster area.
- Dec 27, 2001Heavy Snow, Jefferson$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
During the night of the 26th and daytime hours of the 27th, lake effect snowbands intensified over northern Jefferson county. On the 28th the snowband settled south across southern Jefferson and Lewis counties. Thunder and lightning were reported during the evening with snowfall rates of two to four inches per hour. The band oscillated north and south across southern Jefferson and Lewis counties through the 28th. By late on the afternoon of the 29th, the band narrowed and moved into southern Lewis and northern Oswego counties. Specific storm totals included: in Jefferson county: Carthage 54"; Redwood 46"; Mannsville 43"; Alexandria Bay 36"; Watertown 30". In Lewis county: Montague…
- Feb 2, 2007Lake-Effect Snow, Jefferson$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
This lake effect event started dramatically on the weekend of February 3-4 in association with a surge of arctic air and then continue all week off Lake Ontario as ripples in the low level circulation shifted winds and kept bands of snow moving up and down off Lake Ontario. Lake Erie was in the process of freezing up all week, so although conditions were favorable only an inch or two fell each day after the initial burst on the opening weekend.|The activity began on Saturday morning (the third) on a southwest flow as winds backed ahead of an arctic front. Several inches fell across metro Buffalo as well as Watertown. The front whipped through later in the day with another burst of…
- Jun 1, 2019Flood$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Excessive runoff into the Ottawa River Basin in Canada restricted the outlet of Lake Ontario. This combined with above normal precipitation into the Lake Ontario Basin, record levels on the Great Lakes above Lake Ontario, and higher than normal flows into the lake from the Niagara River pushed the lake to well above normal levels. Over the course of June, new records were broken as the lake pushed to nearly 6 feet above low water datum and eclipsed the levels set in 2017. The lake peaked on June 10.
- May 20, 2019Lakeshore Flood, Jefferson$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Excessive runoff into the Ottawa River Basin in Canada restricted the outlet of Lake Ontario. This combined with above normal precipitation into the Lake Ontario Basin, record levels on the Great Lakes above Lake Ontario, and higher than normal flows into the lake from the Niagara River pushed the lake to well above normal levels. Over the course of May, the levels quickly approached those reached in 2017.
- Jan 19, 1996Flood, Jefferson$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Rapid snowmelt of two to three feet of snow combined with heavy rainfall to produce significant flooding on area creeks and the Black River.
- Jul 1, 2019Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Excessive runoff into the Ottawa River Basin in Canada restricted the outlet of Lake Ontario. This combined with above normal precipitation into the Lake Ontario Basin, record levels on the Great Lakes above Lake Ontario, and higher than normal flows into the lake from the Niagara River pushed the lake to well above normal levels. Over the course of July, water levels began to slowly recede, however after starting the month about 5.5 feet above low water datum, the lake only fell to just below 5 feet above low water datum over the entirety of the month.
- Nov 22, 2000Heavy Snow, Jefferson$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Cold air crossing the warm waters of Lakes Erie and Ontario resulted in lake effect squalls that dropped over two feet downwind of the lakes.Off Lake Erie, the squall developed around midday on the 20th in a southwest flow ahead of a cold front. Snow fell at the rate of two to four inches per hour for several hours. The storm crippled much of the Buffalo metro area. Tens of thousands of people were stranded in autos as city and suburban streets became clogged with traffic and came to a standstill. Three thousand school children were stranded in buses which were unable to complete their routes. Snowfall in this early stage were as high as two feet in a narrow strip about three…
- Feb 1, 2002High Wind, Jefferson$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
An intensifying storm moved across the Great Lakes and lifted northeast to the St. Lawrence Valley. Very strong winds behind the low blasted the region with wind gusts exceeding 55 mph. Trees and power lines were downed by the strong winds. Hundreds of thousands were without power...some for several days. Fallen trees and limbs littered the area and closed roads. Numerous reports of damage to homes and automobiles were received from throughout the area. Driving bans and States of Emergency were declared in several counties. Numerous school districts were forced to close on the first and several remained closed through the beginning of the following week. In Monroe county, two…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Watertown Airport, 5.9 miles from the city centre, with records from 1949.
- All-time high
- 97°FJul 18, 1953
- All-time low
- −43°FJan 16, 1994
- Warmest night
- 79°FJul 21, 2011
- Coldest day
- −12°FJan 3, 1981
- Wettest day
- 4.09 inAug 8, 1981
- Snowiest day
- 45.0 inDec 10, 1995
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 49.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1972mean 42.7°F
- Wettest year
- 201748.79 in
- Driest year
- 197419.94 in
Station Watertown Airport (USW00094790), 311 ft elevation, 5.9 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1949 to October 27, 2026; 99.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
21 since 1953. The most recent: Remnants of Tropical Storm Debby, September 24, 2024.
Declarations for Jefferson County.
| Sep 24, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4825-NY |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Winter Storm | EM-3589-NY |
| Mar 20, 2020 | Biological | DR-4480-NY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3434-NY |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4472-NY |
| Nov 14, 2017 | Flood | DR-4348-NY |
| Dec 22, 2014 | Snowstorm | DR-4204-NY |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3351-NY |
| Sep 30, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3262-NY |
| Aug 3, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1534-NY |
| Aug 23, 2003 | Other | EM-3186-NY |
| Sep 11, 2001 | Fire | DR-1391-NY |
| Oct 11, 2000 | Other | EM-3155-NY |
| Jan 15, 1999 | Snowstorm | EM-3136-NY |
| Jan 6, 1998 | Snowstorm | DR-1196-NY |
| Jan 24, 1996 | Flood | DR-1095-NY |
| Mar 17, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3107-NY |
| Mar 21, 1991 | Snowstorm | DR-898-NY |
| Feb 5, 1977 | Snowstorm | DR-527-NY |
| Jan 29, 1977 | Snowstorm | EM-3027-NY |
| Mar 21, 1973 | Flood | DR-367-NY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00094790.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.