Carlisle
Population 22,693 (2025)
12 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Carlisle since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 1).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195060
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger14
- Major flood years since 1978, Cumberland County5
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Cumberland County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Cumberland County.
Strongest tornado
F3
June 7, 1980, 1.5 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 40.8 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 1.3 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 7, 1980
F3, 1.5 mile path
400 yards wide.
Deadliest
December 1, 2006
1 killed, F1
0 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Friday, August 9, 2024
EF1, 3.5 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 9, 2024 | EF1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 12, 2023 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 2022 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 18, 2021 | EF1 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 18, 2021 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 29, 2019 | EF1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 29, 2019 | EF1 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 2018 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 2013 | EF1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2011 | EF1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2011 | EF1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF1 | 8.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 1, 2006 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 28, 2006 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 4, 2004 | F1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 4, 2004 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 4, 2004 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 2004 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2003 | F0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2000 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 3, 1999 | F0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 1998 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 6, 1996 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1996 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 19, 1996 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 1996 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 6, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1994 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 1994 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 1992 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1991 | F1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1991 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 1990 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 20, 1989 | F2 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 31, 1985 | F2 | 3.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jul 31, 1985 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1983 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1980 | F2 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1980 | F3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1977 | F2 | 2.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 28, 1976 | F1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F1 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 26, 1970 | F2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1967 | F2 | 10.2 | 11 | 0 |
| Sep 21, 1967 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 26, 1965 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 3, 1964 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 27, 1963 | F2 | 17.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16, 1961 | F3 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 19, 1955 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 5, 1952 | F0 | 0.1 | 6 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 1 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
40.8 miles at closest approach, winds near 89 mph.
Most recent
August 4, 2020
Isaias, Tropical storm
85.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Isaias | 2020 | 85.2 | Tropical storm |
| Sandy | 2012 | 12.0 | Post-tropical |
| David | 1979 | 14.6 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 43.7 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 5.7 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 0.2 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 41.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 9.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 63.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 10.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 52.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 52.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 56.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 69.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 75.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 40.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 40.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 48.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 13.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 20.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 40.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 38.0 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped within 25 miles since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 53 days
Heavy smoke on 14 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
13.0 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
14 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 26 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
1,600 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $16.9 million paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Cumberland County, the county that contains Carlisle.
Most claims in one year
2011: 274 claims
$6.0 million paid.
2nd most
1996: 263 claims
$4.0 million paid.
3rd most
1984: 234 claims
$620,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 17070 | 298 | $4.6 million |
| 17055 | 257 | $1.5 million |
| 17011 | 255 | $3.5 million |
| 17050 | 188 | $636,000 |
| 17043 | 155 | $2.8 million |
| 17025 | 121 | $1.5 million |
| 17013 | 84 | $371,000 |
| 17015 | 48 | $522,000 |
| 17053 | 48 | $554,000 |
| 17065 | 43 | $204,000 |
| 17007 | 41 | $365,000 |
| 17257 | 27 | $182,000 |
| 17241 | 9 | $83,000 |
| 17324 | 7 | $54,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood45
- Flash Flood41
2 deaths recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Cumberland County, the county that contains Carlisle.
Most severe crest
September 26, 1975
Yellow Breeches Creek near Camp Hill, 18.77 ft
11.77 feet above the 7.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
August 10, 2024
Yellow Breeches Creek near Camp Hill, 10.45 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Conodoguinet Creek near Hogestown | 8.0 | 17.01 ft | 4 |
| Yellow Breeches Creek near Camp Hill | 7.0 | 18.77 ft | 3 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 79 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 12 months.
The drought index is for Cumberland County, the county that contains Carlisle.
79
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
31
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
10
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 2002
−6.29, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
12 months
August 1930 to July 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
+1.35, slightly wet
Last severe month: April 2025.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.5 in 1964.
5
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
2
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
May 12, 1964
Magnitude 4.5
2 km N of Cornwall, Pennsylvania; 42.4 miles away, 0.6 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
June 12, 2019
Magnitude 3.4
9 km N of Blain, Pennsylvania; 22.1 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Apr 22, 1984 | 4.2 | 48.9 |
| May 12, 1964 | 4.5 | 42.4 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
611 events in the National Weather Service record for Cumberland County, 526 of them since 1996.
37
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
221
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
73
Winter weather events since 1996
12
Heat events since 1996
4
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 1, 1976
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 29, 1998
98 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 1 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 7, 2011Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The Yellow Breeches Creek near Camp Hill crested in moderate flood stage at 9.6 feet. Flood stage is 7.0 feet. This is the 10th highest crest on record. The Conodoguinet Creek near Hogestown crested in moderate flood stage at 10.52 feet. Flood stage is 8.0 feet.||Many roads in the county were closed due to flooding from creeks and streams. Flooding was reported along the Susquehanna River in the Wormleysburg area.||A portion of Bridge Street in New Cumberland was underwater and residents in that area evacuated. The street was closed, and Olde Towne Beverage was underwater. The Borough of New Cumberland was under state of emergency.||A preliminary total of 160 structures suffered…
- May 1, 2025Wildfire, Cumberland$800,000
National Weather Service narrative
A wildfire developed during the afternoon of April 23, 2025 in Michaux State Forest, located in southwestern Cumberland County. The wildfire originated along Shippensburg Road between Milesburn and Thompson Road. The wildfire occurred during a stretch of unseasonably dry weather along with gusty winds, and expanded quickly in size to around 2,248 acres at the wildfire's furthest extent. At the fire's peak, aerial support was enlisted to battle the fire, along with firefighting crews on the ground. Evacuations from structures began during the afternoon hours of April 24th and continued through April 25th with 20-30 residences evacuated. This wildfire also caused hazy/smokey…
- Aug 25, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$125,000
National Weather Service narrative
Law enforcement reported trees and wires down in Carlisle. 5 people were injured at a Corvette parade when a tree fell onto one of the cars.
- Jul 23, 2009Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain caused flash flooding just north of Carlisle in North Middletown Township. Three to five feet of water inundated several homes along Echo Road. Water was over the top of resident mailboxes in some areas. Several municipal roads were also closed due to the flooding.
- May 31, 2025Strong Wind, Cumberland$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Strong wind gusts estimated at 40 to 50 mph knocked trees and powerlines down across Cumberland County. Wertzville Road was closed between Sample Bridge and Beard roads after trees and wires fell onto the roadway. One tree landed on a residence in Wormleysburg Borough. Additionally, numerous trees were knocked down on the east side of Carlisle. Widespread power outages occurred, with approximately 9000 customers losing power.
- Jul 23, 2009Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain produced flash flooding just southeast of Mechanicsburg in Upper Allen Township. Several residents were evacuated from flooded homes.
- Sep 28, 2006Tornado$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service survey team along with Cumberland County Emergency Management confirmed a short lived tornado occurred in Silver Spring Township in northeast Cumberland County Pennsylvania late Thursday afternoon September 28.The tornado touched down about one and half miles north of Hogestown near Dewalt Drive and moved rapidly northeast over the Conodoguinet Creek. The tornado touched down again over Interstate 81 and a third time near the intersection of Route 944 and Lambs Gap Road about a mile west of Mt. Zion before dissipating.The tornado path length was near 3 miles with a damage width of about 100 yards. The maximum wind speeds were 80 to 90 mph, placing the…
- Aug 4, 2004Tornado$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms spawned a weak F1 tornado during the late afternoon of Wednesday August 4th in western Cumberland County. The tornado first touched down on Bear Creek Road near the town of Greider, about 4 miles northeast of Newville. The tornado traveled east approximately 3 miles, and lifted near the Pennsylvania Turnpike 4 miles west of Carlisle. Peak winds were estimated at 85 mph. There were no injuries or deaths.The tornado took the roof off two houses, and destroyed a barn. In addition, dozens of trees were knocked down and corn crops were destroyed.
- Dec 26, 2025Winter Weather, Cumberland$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Freezing rain accumulations near one tenth of an inch caused slick roadways in portions of Cumberland County, where the southbound lane of Interstate 81 was closed due to a multi-vehicle accident involving two tractor trailers and a passenger vehicle. Three patients were transported due to injuries, with the roadway remaining closed throughout the evening hours of December 26th.
- May 15, 2018Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm producing winds estimated near 75 mph knocked down numerous trees and wires down along the Route 34 corridor. Some trees fell onto homes, and there was roof damage to some barns in the area.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Middletown Harrisburg International Airport, 22.8 miles from the city centre, with records from 1941.
- All-time high
- 103°F2 times, most recently Jul 3, 2026
- All-time low
- −22°FJan 21, 1994
- Warmest night
- 81°F3 times, most recently Jul 3, 2026
- Coldest day
- −1°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 7.71 inSep 7, 2011
- Snowiest day
- 26.4 inJan 23, 2016
- Hottest year
- 2021mean 56.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1963mean 51.4°F
- Wettest year
- 201173.73 in
- Driest year
- 200125.76 in
- Snowiest season
- 77.6 in1995-96
Median first snow
December 5
Earliest: October 29, 2011
Median last snow
March 20
Latest: April 22, 1993
0 of 56 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Middletown Harrisburg International Airport (USW00014711), 299 ft elevation, 22.8 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1941 to October 27, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
19 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 30, 2020.
Declarations for Cumberland County.
| Mar 30, 2020 | Biological | DR-4506-PA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3441-PA |
| Mar 23, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4267-PA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3356-PA |
| Sep 12, 2011 | Flood | DR-4030-PA |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Flood | EM-3340-PA |
| Apr 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1898-PA |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3235-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Hurricane | DR-1557-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1555-PA |
| Mar 14, 2003 | Severe Storm | EM-3180-PA |
| Sep 13, 1996 | Flood | DR-1138-PA |
| Jan 21, 1996 | Flood | DR-1093-PA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1085-PA |
| Mar 10, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1015-PA |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3105-PA |
| Oct 20, 1976 | Flood | DR-523-PA |
| Sep 26, 1975 | Flood | DR-485-PA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-340-PA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00014711.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.