New Castle
Population 21,175 (2025)
81 tornadoes have tracked within 25 miles of New Castle since 1950, 3 of them rated EF3 or F3 or stronger; the most recent was on May 21, 2025.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195081
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
- Major flood years since 1978, Lawrence County1
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Lawrence County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Lawrence County.
Strongest tornado
F5
May 31, 1985, 47.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Hugo, 1989, 20.3 miles away
Tornadoes
About one tornado a year since 1950, 3 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 31, 1985
F5, 47.0 mile path
450 yards wide; 18 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Wednesday, May 21, 2025
EF0, 0.2 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| May 21, 2025 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 21, 2025 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 6, 2024 | EFU | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | EF0 | 8.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | EF1 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | EF1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 16, 2021 | EF1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 3, 2021 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2020 | EF1 | 9.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2020 | EF0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2020 | EF0 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2020 | EF1 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2019 | EF1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2019 | EF0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2017 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 2017 | EF0 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 25, 2016 | EF0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 10, 2015 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 2015 | EF0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 2015 | EF0 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 2014 | EF1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 2014 | EF1 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2013 | EF1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2012 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2008 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 2007 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 2003 | F1 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2002 | F2 | 7.0 | 19 | 1 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F1 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F1 | 16.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 2001 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 2001 | F2 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 2001 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2, 1998 | F1 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1998 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1995 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 13, 1994 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 1992 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 1992 | F2 | 1.5 | 11 | 0 |
| Jul 13, 1992 | F0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 12, 1992 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 23, 1991 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 6, 1990 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1987 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1987 | F2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 3, 1986 | F2 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F3 | 39.0 | 120 | 9 |
| May 31, 1985 | F2 | 15.0 | 20 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F5 | 47.0 | 310 | 18 |
| Jul 19, 1983 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 19, 1983 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 1981 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 1981 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1978 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1978 | F1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1978 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 24, 1977 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 1977 | F0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 11, 1976 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 24, 1975 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 3, 1970 | F1 | 1.3 | 5 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1967 | F2 | 6.5 | 2 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1967 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 1966 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 15, 1964 | F2 | 0.1 | 4 | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1963 | F2 | 15.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 1956 | F3 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 |
| Mar 22, 1955 | F1 | 5.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 30, 1954 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 1954 | F2 | 7.3 | 3 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 22, 1989
Hugo, Tropical storm
20.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 43 mph.
Most recent
October 31, 2012
Sandy, Post-tropical
7.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Sandy | 2012 | 7.2 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 7.0 | Post-tropical |
| Opal | 1995 | 52.4 | Post-tropical |
| Hugo | 1989 | 20.3 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 82.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 78.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 62.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 45.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 79.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 93.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 66.9 | Post-tropical |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped within 25 miles since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 53 days
Heavy smoke on 18 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
15.3 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
15 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 27 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
207 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $2.0 million paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Lawrence County, the county that contains New Castle.
Most claims in one year
2004: 52 claims
$856,000 paid.
2nd most
2003: 15 claims
$83,000 paid.
3rd most
1994: 14 claims
$49,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 16101 | 52 | $254,000 |
| 16117 | 40 | $418,000 |
| 16105 | 37 | $331,000 |
| 16057 | 20 | $259,000 |
| 16116 | 11 | $208,000 |
| 16102 | 9 | $26,000 |
| 16141 | 9 | $74,000 |
| 16157 | 9 | $132,000 |
| 16123 | 8 | $106,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood99
- Flood35
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Lawrence County, the county that contains New Castle.
Most severe crest
March 26, 1913
Beaver River at Wampum, 29.90 ft
8.90 feet above the 21.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
January 22, 1959
Beaver River at Wampum, 24.86 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Beaver River at Wampum | 21.0 | 29.90 ft | 1 |
| Shenango River at New Castle | 19.0 | 20.60 ft | 0 |
| Slippery Rock Creek at Wurtemburg | 9.0 | 12.05 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 67 of 1,581 months since 1895 (4%); the longest spell lasted 16 months.
The drought index is for Lawrence County, the county that contains New Castle.
67
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
23
Months in extreme drought
4%
Share of all months, severe or worse
2
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−5.45, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
16 months
October 1933 to January 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
+2.44, moderately wet
Last severe month: April 2003.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.2 in 1998.
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
2
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 25, 1998
The 1998 Pymatuning, Pennsylvania Earthquake; 34.6 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 30, 2024
Magnitude 3.0
2 km SSW of Maple Ridge, Ohio; 37.7 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Dec 31, 2011 | 4.0 | 19.7 |
| Sep 25, 1998 | 5.2 | 34.6 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
Landslides mapped in Lawrence County.
1
Landslides mapped, probable or better
1
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by NASA (1).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
745 events in the National Weather Service record for Lawrence County, 677 of them since 1996.
59
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
4
Hail, 2 inches or larger
303
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
72
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
9
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 2, 1998
2.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 28, 1999
104 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jul 9, 2023Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Three to five inches of rain fell in southwest Lawrence over a 3 hour period. At least eight homes were impacted by flooding in Wayne and Shenango Townships. Numerous roads were closed in the area and several water rescues from houses and cars were performed by local firefighters. The most significant damage in Shenango Township occurred around Union Valley, Snake Run, and Lower Boyd School Roads, the latter of which was undermined, creating damage to the asphalt. Roads impacted in Wayne Township included Shenango Stop, Union Valley, Snake Run, Chewton-West Pittsburg, Fletcher Hill, Boyd School, Lower Boyd School, Old Pittsburgh, and Union Valley Roads. McKee Run was reported to…
- Sep 14, 2008High Wind, Lawrence$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Low pressure from the remains of Hurricane Ike moved across central Ohio to Lake Erie on the evening of September 14th and produced very strong winds into the early morning of September 15th across eastern Ohio, northern West Virginia, and western Pennsylvania. Widespread damage to trees and power lines was reported across the region with power outages and damage to some structures from falling trees. Power was not restored to some rural areas for one week after the storm. At the peak of the storm more than 2 million homes were without power. For a period of about 8 hours, sustained winds during the storm were from 30 to 50 MPH, with gusts well over 60 MPH. The highest reported…
- Sep 17, 2004Flood, Lawrence$265,000
National Weather Service narrative
At 236 PM EDT on 17th, numerous roads were flooded in Pulaski and Shenango townships. By 845 PM, Ellwood City had 3.5 inches of rain. As of 6 PM on 18th, many roads were still flooded, and there were a few mud slides, including one on Vanguard Rd in Perry Twp. Part of Mohawk School Rd washed out. (IVAN)
- Jul 28, 1999Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm rains procuded street and basement flooding across the county. Several vehicles became stranded in flooded roadways. In New Castle, several businesses reported up to a foot of water in their stores, ruining carpeting and inventory. An assisted-living center in Neshannock Township reported several inches of water through their first floor. No residents were injured. In addition, many homes across the area reported basement flooding.
- Jul 28, 1999Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms moving across the county dumped over 3 inches of rainfall, producing widespread flash flooding across the county. Numerous reports of basement flooding were reported. In New Castle, the water roared down one street with such force it lifted the blacktop off of the road. Many motorists were trapped inside their vehicles in flooded intersections, with one vanload of children trapped on a New Castle street. Despite the widespread flooding, no injuries were reported.
- Jul 28, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A microburst occurred across the New Wilmington area. Winds estimated to just over 100 MPH occurred along a narrow and sporadic path from about 2 miles west of New Wilmington at the intersection of Routes 18 and 208 to 2.5 miles south of New Wilmington on Route 956. One business, the Farmer's Cheese factory, had a large portion of the roof blown off. One home had the roof completely blown off, and several cars were crushed by falling trees.
- Jul 10, 2013Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
An NWS storm survey confirmed a EF1 tornado just west of the town of Moravia in Lawrence county. The tornado started in a field where it was captured on camera and video by persons traveling on State Route 168. It then crossed State Route 168 and destroyed 2 barns. A gravity wagon was flipped over in a nearby field. The tornado then moved across a soybean field onto Halltown Road snapping and uprooting several trees. The tornado then dissipated. Maximum winds were estimated at 90 MPH, with a path length of just over one mile. The maximum path width was around 250 yards.
- Feb 12, 2009High Wind, Lawrence$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A powerful cold front moved across the Ohio Valley on the evening of the 11th as strong low pressure moved north across the Great Lakes. A convective line along the cold front produced widespread damage across eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia, and Garrett county Maryland with thunderstorm wind gusts of 60 to 70 MPH and a peak wind gust of 92 MPH at Allegheny County Airport near Pittsburgh. High winds gusting to 60 MPH behind the front in a strong pressure gradient produced wind damage across the entire region into midday on the 12th. In all across eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and Garrett county Maryland over one half million…
- Nov 15, 2020Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Widespread tree and power line damage was reported across the county.
- Jul 17, 2010Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Emergency management reportred numerous trees down throughout New Wilmington TWP with a tree reported down on a house in town of New Wilmington.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Youngstown-warren Regional Airport, 24.7 miles from the city centre, with records from 1934.
- All-time high
- 103°FJul 10, 1936
- All-time low
- −22°FJan 19, 1994
- Warmest night
- 81°FAug 17, 1938
- Coldest day
- −6°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 4.65 inJul 21, 2003
- Snowiest day
- 17.2 inJan 24, 1948
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 53.4°F
- Coldest year
- 1980mean 46.2°F
- Wettest year
- 201154.01 in
- Driest year
- 196323.79 in
- Snowiest season
- 118.7 in2010-11
Median first snow
November 5
Earliest: October 2, 2003
Median last snow
April 10
Latest: May 16, 1956
0 of 84 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Youngstown-warren Regional Airport (USW00014852), 1,167 ft elevation, 24.7 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1934 to October 27, 2026; 99.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
12 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 30, 2020.
Declarations for Lawrence County.
| Mar 30, 2020 | Biological | DR-4506-PA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3441-PA |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Severe Storm | DR-4149-PA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3356-PA |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3235-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Hurricane | DR-1557-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1555-PA |
| Aug 23, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1485-PA |
| Jan 21, 1996 | Flood | DR-1093-PA |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3105-PA |
| Jan 29, 1977 | Snowstorm | EM-3026-PA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-340-PA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00014852.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.