Todd County
Population 12,972 (2025) 375 sq mi
Property owners in Todd County have filed 11 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 94th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195021
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger4
At a glance
The record for Todd County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
2
47th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF3
December 10, 2021, 122.6 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1888, 7.5 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 3.6 years since 1950, 3 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
December 10, 2021
EF3, 122.6 mile path
2,000 yards wide.
Deadliest
December 9, 2023
4 killed, EF3
62 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Saturday, November 22, 2025
EF1, 1.6 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Nov 22, 2025 | EF1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 2025 | EF2 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | EF3 | 47.2 | 62 | 4 |
| Jan 1, 2022 | EF0 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 10, 2021 | EF3 | 122.6 | 38 | 0 |
| Dec 6, 2021 | EF0 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 6, 2021 | EF1 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2019 | EF0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 18, 2017 | EF0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 23, 2012 | EF0 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 26, 2010 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2009 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 1, 2007 | EF1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 2, 2006 | F3 | 29.7 | 28 | 0 |
| May 19, 2005 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 30, 2004 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1995 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1991 | F2 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 22, 1991 | F2 | 39.0 | 12 | 1 |
| May 6, 1984 | F0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 4, 1977 | F1 | 0.8 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Todd County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1888
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
7.5 miles at closest approach, winds near 56 mph.
Most recent
October 26, 2019
Olga, Post-tropical
93.1 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 57 days
Heavy smoke on 6 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
14.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
11 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 35 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
11 federal flood insurance claims since 2016, with $140,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
2016: 5 claims
$92,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 42220 | 10 | $140,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood39
- Flood23
- Heavy Rain7
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 136 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 22 months.
136
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
43
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
35
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
April 2026
−5.81, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
22 months
October 1940 to July 1942.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.78, moderate drought
Last severe month: June 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
16 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1973; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
March 23, 1980
Magnitude 3.3
2 km ESE of Fordsville, Kentucky; 44.1 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
May 29, 2023
Magnitude 3.0
6 km W of Calhoun, Kentucky; 32.3 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
6
Landslides mapped, probable or better
1
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by KY GS (6).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
677 events in the National Weather Service record, 628 of them since 1996.
36
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
4
Hail, 2 inches or larger
92
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
95
Winter weather events since 1996
71
Heat events since 1996
67
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 24, 1995
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
December 11, 2021
115 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 70 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jan 26, 2009Ice Storm, Todd$9.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
This historic, prolonged ice storm was called the biggest disaster in modern Kentucky history by the governor of Kentucky. The storm produced at least one inch of ice across western Kentucky. Locally very destructive icing around 1.5 inches occurred from the Mississippi River counties east across Paducah and Madisonville to Owensboro. This resulted in unprecedented damage to utility infrastructure in western Kentucky. One hundred percent of residents in the hardest-hit counties from the Mississippi River to Madisonville were affected by power outages. A utility company serving areas from Ballard to Livingston Counties reported that 20 percent of its system had to be rebuilt. The…
- Apr 2, 2006Tornado$2.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado continued into Todd County from Christian County, crossing the county line near Pilot Rock. The tornado passed less than a mile north of the communities of Allegre and Cedar Grove, then dissipated about 2.5 miles before entering Logan County. Although damage was extensive in Todd County, the tornado was at its strongest and widest in Christian County. In Todd County, the tornado produced mainly F1 damage, although the tornado intensified into the lower F2 range near Allegre. A mobile home was destroyed in Allegre, and buildings were destroyed on Highway 171 about two miles north of Allegre. There was extensive damage to a church in Cedar Grove. Half of its roof was…
- Jan 17, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service damage survey indicated a macroburst containing winds near 100 MPH caused extensive damage across southern Todd County. Most of the damage was in the Zion, Hermon, Allensville, and Trenton areas. Wind destroyed two trailers, three hog houses, and numerous barns and sheds. The injuries occurred to occupants of a trailer. Two people were trapped in the mobile home for a while, and one was transported to a hospital for minor injuries.
- May 16, 2025Tornado$1.1 million
National Weather Service narrative
An EF2 tornado started along Shaw Ovil Road in Christian County, continuing east into Todd County, crossing Hwy 189 and eventually lifting to the west of Hwy 181. The worst damage occurred along Blue Hole Road where several chicken houses were completely destroyed and a mobile home was swept away. Dozens of trees were snapped or uprooted and a few outbuildings were damaged. Peak winds for the Todd County portion of the tornado, and the tornado as a whole, were 120mph.
- Dec 9, 2023Tornado$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
This tornado first touched down on Fort Campbell just north of the Sabre Airfield in Montgomery County, TN. The tornado tracked northeastward through northern Clarksville, entering into Todd County 5 miles west of Guthrie. As the tornado continued into southeastern Todd County, sparsely populated areas were affected initially. Hwys 41, 79, and 848 were blocked by debris or power lines and Hwy 181 was blocked by a train due to debris getting caught under the train. Trees were damaged, along with broken glass at a residence on the Dixie-Beeline Highway and destruction of an outbuilding on Old Railroad Lane. Large sections of a roof were removed from a home on Snardon Mill Rd. Much…
- Jul 7, 2016Flash Flood$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several residents in Elkton were rescued from their homes because of flash flooding of Elk Fork Creek. Seventeen houses were evacuated. Two bridges were closed. Other roads both in and outside the city of Elkton were closed by flooding. A state of emergency was declared for Todd County.
- Feb 28, 2021Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Major flash flooding occurred in Todd County. Initially, a small creek along Stokes Chapel Road near Elkton was out of its banks and flooding the road. The flash flooding became more widespread and intense as the day wore on. Evacuations were underway on a few streets in Elkton. North Main Street was closed coming into Elkton. Elk Fork Road was also closed. A total of 15 residences and 3 businesses were impacted in Elkton, mainly on Water Street, North Main, East Main, West Main, and Washington St. About six people were evacuated from three residences on Water Street and East Main Street. At the peak of the flooding, water was over Highways 181 around Elkton and Guthrie, Highway…
- Sep 1, 2017Flash Flood$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flash flooding in Guthrie prompted evacuations on several residential streets. Homes began flooding before sunrise. Rescue boats were brought in from Muhlenberg County to assist with evacuations. Over 20 homes and businesses were flooded in the Guthrie area. Six of the homes were uninhabitable after sustaining major damage. Three to four feet of water covered the low-lying neighborhood that was evacuated. Standing water over Highways 181 and 171 slowed traffic, but the roads were passable. All county schools were closed due to flooding. A storm total rainfall of 7.81 inches was reported at the Kentucky mesonet site five miles southwest of Elkton. Most of this rain fell in a…
- Jan 30, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
The path of damage averaged about one-third mile wide. The downburst damage exited the northeast corner of Todd County into Muhlenberg County near Lake Malone State Park. A few thousand trees were uprooted by winds estimated near 110 mph. Numerous barns and other sheds were levelled or heavily damaged. Several homes and other buildings had roofs, including decking, partially removed. A couple of homes received damage to walls of attached garages. Many other homes received minor damage, including loss of shingles and siding.
- Dec 11, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
The long-track tornado that ended in western Todd County transitioned to a damaging wind event near Elkton. On the west side of Elkton, a barn roof was damaged, several house roofs were damaged, and dozens of trees were snapped or uprooted. The most intense damage was observed on the northeast side of Elkton, where steel poles for electrical transmission lines were broken or bent. Peak winds there were estimated near 115 mph. Elsewhere northeast of Elkton, a barn was destroyed. Most of the other damage consisted of roof damage to barns and outbuildings, mostly minor. Numerous trees were blown down.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Russellville, 16 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.
- All-time high
- 108°F2 times, most recently Jul 28, 1930
- All-time low
- −22°FFeb 13, 1899
- Warmest night
- 82°FSep 5, 1899
- Coldest day
- −1°FDec 23, 1989
- Wettest day
- 8.80 inJun 23, 1969
- Snowiest day
- 15.2 inMar 9, 1960
- Hottest year
- 1896mean 60.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1976mean 54.4°F
- Wettest year
- 195074.21 in
- Driest year
- 194122.03 in
Station Russellville (USC00157049), 570 ft elevation, 16.0 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to October 27, 2026; 95.4% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
20 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| May 23, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4875-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4804-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Tornado | DR-4630-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Aug 26, 2016 | Severe Storm | DR-4278-KY |
| May 4, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1976-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Feb 8, 2005 | Snowstorm | DR-1578-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Jul 15, 1969 | Flood | DR-265-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Todd County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 21 | 18 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 3 | 16 / 120 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 2 | 47 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 11 | 94 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $140,000 | 101 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 20 | 105 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 69 | 59 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 198 | 56 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 95 | 30 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $20.2 million | 35 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 136 | 38 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 14.7 | 53 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Christian County | 58 | 1 |
| Logan County | 24 | 2 |
| Montgomery County TN | 35 | 2 |
| Muhlenberg County | 25 | 1 |
| Robertson County TN | 29 | 2 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00157049.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.