Gratiot County

Population 41,190 (2025) 568 sq mi

Gratiot County has recorded 15 tornadoes since 1950, 34th most of 83 counties in Michigan; the most recent was on November 10, 2024.

Hazard fingerprint for Gratiot County Tornado: 34th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 18th percentile. Hail & wind: 19th percentile. Heat: 4th percentile. Cold: 0th percentile. Winter: 44th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195015
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1

At a glance

The record for Gratiot County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tornadoes since 1950

15

34th of 83 in Michigan

About as many as the typical Michigan county

Details

Flood insurance claims

36

38th of 83 in Michigan

$149,000 paid since 1986

Details

Tropical cyclones within 100 mi

1

None within 50 miles since 1851

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

April 11, 1965, 15.1 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

12

Most recent: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2026

Details

Record high

111°F

July 13, 1936

Details

Record low

−23°F

February 5, 1918

Details

Snowiest season

87.2in

Winter of 1966-67

Tornadoes

About one every 5.1 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

April 11, 1965

F2, 15.1 mile path

440 yards wide.

Deadliest

May 12, 1956

1 killed, F2

4 injured along the whole path.

Most recent

Sunday, November 10, 2024

EF0, 2.4 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 3 3 1960s: 5 5 1970s: 0 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 0 2000s: 4 4 2010s: 1 1 2020s: 1 1 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 4 M: 5 5 J: 3 J: 0 A: 1 S: 0 O: 1 N: 1 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Gratiot County since 1950
Nov 10, 2024EF02.41000
Aug 9, 2011EF00.75000
May 25, 2006F00.53300
May 25, 2006F03.03300
May 21, 2001F02.55000
May 21, 2001F13.04010
Jun 15, 1982F25.95000
Jun 11, 1968F20.15001
Apr 11, 1965F20.15000
Apr 11, 1965F20.55000
Apr 11, 1965F21.05000
Apr 11, 1965F215.144010
Jun 26, 1956F29.21020
May 12, 1956F23.880041
Oct 14, 1954F22.05000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Gratiot County: 2.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

1 tropical cyclone passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.

Most recent

September 14, 2008

Ike, Post-tropical

74.9 miles at closest approach.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Ike200874.9Post-tropical58Category 4
Connie195585.1Tropical storm43Category 4
Unnamed19410.0Post-tropical49Category 3
Unnamed193228.8Post-tropical48Category 1
Unnamed19234.2Post-tropical40Tropical storm
Unnamed19009.7Post-tropical63Category 4
Unnamed189287.6Post-tropical58Tropical storm
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 80 days

Heavy smoke on 19 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

25.4 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

28 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 6 2012: 11 2013: 9 2014: 14 2015: 12 2016: 2 2017: 11 2018: 17 2019: 9 2020: 15 2021: 46 2022: 13 2023: 80 80 2024: 33 2025: 28 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

36 federal flood insurance claims since 1986, with $149,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1986: 16 16 1986
Claims per year since 1986. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

1986: 16 claims

$108,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
4880133$149,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood6
  • Flood6
  • Heavy Rain1

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

September 12, 1986

Pine River at Alma, 12.82 ft

4.82 feet above the 8.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

May 19, 2020

Pine River at Alma, 10.30 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Sep 12, 1986Pine River at Alma12.82+4.82Major
Mar 19, 1948Pine River at Alma10.81+2.81Moderate
Feb 6, 1938Pine River at Alma10.43+2.43Moderate
May 19, 2020Pine River at Alma10.30+2.30Moderate
Apr 18, 2013Pine River at Alma10.15+2.15Moderate
Mar 8, 1946Pine River at Alma10.02+2.02Moderate
Apr 12, 2013Pine River at Alma9.60+1.60Minor
Mar 5, 1935Pine River at Alma9.50+1.50Minor
Mar 28, 1950Pine River at Alma9.48+1.48Minor
Apr 26, 2009Pine River at Alma9.34+1.34Minor
Feb 21, 1997Pine River at Alma9.27+1.27Minor
Apr 12, 1965Pine River at Alma9.03+1.03Minor
Sep 3, 1975Pine River at Alma8.95+0.95Minor
Apr 4, 1978Pine River at Alma8.82+0.82Minor
Mar 5, 1976Pine River at Alma8.82+0.82Minor
Jun 26, 2017Pine River at Alma8.80+0.80Minor
Apr 22, 1967Pine River at Alma8.69+0.69Minor
Mar 13, 1990Pine River at Alma8.63+0.63Minor
Mar 31, 1960Pine River at Alma8.60+0.60Minor
Dec 30, 2019Pine River at Alma8.50+0.50Minor
Apr 3, 1959Pine River at Alma8.48+0.48Minor
Feb 21, 2018Pine River at Alma8.46+0.46Minor
Apr 28, 2011Pine River at Alma8.40+0.40Minor
Mar 15, 2019Pine River at Alma8.35+0.35Minor
Oct 4, 1987Pine River at Alma8.27+0.27Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Pine River at Alma8.012.82 ftSep 12, 19861
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 91 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.

91

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

35

Months in extreme drought

6%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

April 1931

−6.10, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

17 months

August 1930 to December 1931.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.96, mild drought

Last severe month: October 2003.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 4 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 0 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 5 1931: 12 12 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 8 1935: 1 1936: 2 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 1 1940: 4 1941: 1 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 2 1945: 4 1946: 2 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 2 1954: 1 1955: 0 1956: 0 1957: 1 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 2 1962: 1 1963: 11 1964: 6 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 1 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 8 1978: 0 1979: 2 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 1 1988: 1 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 5 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 3 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

1 earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1994; none reached magnitude 4.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

1

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

0

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

September 2, 1994

Magnitude 3.5

5 km SSW of DeWitt, Michigan; 25.1 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

September 2, 1994

Magnitude 3.5

5 km SSW of DeWitt, Michigan; 25.1 miles away.

  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

242 events in the National Weather Service record, 190 of them since 1996.

18

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

1

Hail, 2 inches or larger

65

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

61

Winter weather events since 1996

1

Heat events since 1996

0

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

September 12, 2021

2.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

August 5, 1988

81 mph

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Mar 8, 2017High Wind, Gratiot$10.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Peak wind gusts of up to 60 mph resulted in numerous downed trees and limbs and power lines and widespread power outages.

  2. Apr 17, 2013Flood$3.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Heavy rainfall caused significant flooding on rivers and streams across Gratiot county.

  3. Feb 24, 2019High Wind, Gratiot$3.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Downed tree limbs and power lines and widespread power outages occurred due to wind gusts of up to around 60 mph.

  4. May 23, 2004Flood, Gratiot$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The biggest and longest duration flooding event in the past ten to twenty years occurred across southwestern and south central lower Michigan from May 20th through the third of June. Flooding in mid May resulted in very high river levels and the ground was saturated on the 20th. Numerous thunderstorm complexes and areas of heavy rainfall developed repeatedly in the vicinity of a quasi stationary frontal boundary draped across southern lower Michigan. The heaviest rain fell on Saturday, May 22nd, when over two inches of rain fell over most of the area. Total rainfall over the Grand River basin from May 20th through June 3rd varied from four to as much as seven inches.The Grand…

  5. Feb 16, 2006Ice Storm, Gratiot$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A major ice storm developed across much of central lower Michigan producing around a quarter to half inch of ice accumulation between Route 10 and I-96. Thousands of homes lost power from just north of Grand Rapids to Lansing north to Route 10 and many areas did not have power for three to five days. There were numerous reports of downed trees and power lines all across that area. Just north and northwest of that area precipitation mainly fell in the form of snow, and six to eight inches of snow fell across northern Mason and Lake counties.

  6. May 31, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$610,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Michigan State Police EMD's Damage and Injury Assessment Report indicated $610,000 in public damage costs, 2675 homes damaged, 10 homes destroyed, and 100 businesses destroyed. Private damage cost estimates were not available. The county reported significant public health and safety risks due to the widespread loss of power and telephone service. The Michigan National Guard supplied a generator and water supply tanker to the Michigan Department of Corrections to address the need for power and water at the Mid-Michigan Correctional Facility in St. Louis, in Gratiot County. Gratiot County declared a local state of emergency and was granted a Governor's declaration to activate state…

  7. Aug 9, 2011Tornado$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A National Weather Service Storm Survey Team confirmed an EF-0 tornado briefly touched down on Tuesday, August 9th, 2011 in Lafayette Township in Gratiot County. This tornado was on the ground for about 250 yards in Lafeyette Township causing significant damage to a 99 year old family farm. This same storm produced a weak EF-0 tornado that touched down briefly for about 200 yards in a corn field in Lakefield Township in Saginaw County. Some very minor crop damage was found along the path between the two tornado touchdowns. Maximum wind gusts were estimated to be around 80mph in Lafayette Township.

  8. Sep 12, 2021Hail$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Hail up to two and a half inches in diameter was reported near Sickles that dented vehicles and caused significant damage. Some wind damage was reported as well.

  9. Apr 3, 2003Ice Storm, Gratiot$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A major ice storm affected much of southern lower Michigan, causing hundreds of thousands of people to lose power. The weight of the ice brought down thousands of trees and limbs and hundreds of power lines. Many people across the area lost power for several days and some people who live in outlying areas were without power for a week. The ice storm resulted in several million dollars worth of damage across the area.The ice storm came in three stages. The first period of freezing rain during the afternoon hours of the 3rd resulted in up to a quarter of an inch of ice across Osceola and Isabella counties, in central lower Michigan. The second period of freezing rain came during the…

  10. May 21, 2001Tornado$150,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A man was slightly injured when a shed he was in collapsed, a pickup truck was flipped over, and two building were partially unroofed by a F1 tornado that touched down in Elwell. The tornado produced maximum estimated wind speeds to 110 m.p.h. It had a path length of 3 miles and a width of 40 yards. The tornado touched down just south of Van Buren road, then moved northwest through the town of Elwell, and ended just north of M-46.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Saginaw Mbs International Airport, 30.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1898.

All-time high
111°FJul 13, 1936
All-time low
−23°FFeb 5, 1918
Warmest night
81°FJul 11, 1911
Coldest day
−4°FJan 18, 1994
Wettest day
6.93 inAug 10, 2012
Snowiest day
21.3 inMar 17, 1973
Hottest year
2024mean 51.9°F
Coldest year
1917mean 43.1°F
Wettest year
192843.36 in
Driest year
193417.56 in
Snowiest season
87.2 in1966-67
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Saginaw Mbs International Airport 32°F 30° 17° 1.8 Jan 33° 18° 1.8 Feb 43° 26° 2.1 Mar 57° 36° 2.9 Apr 69° 48° 3.4 May 79° 58° 3.3 Jun 82° 61° 2.8 Jul 80° 59° 3.6 Aug 74° 52° 2.7 Sep 61° 42° 2.8 Oct 47° 32° 1.9 Nov 35° 23° 1.9 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1976: 144 1977: 135 1978: 165 1979: 140 1980: 146 1981: 142 1982: 144 1983: 145 1984: 136 1985: 128 1986: 145 1987: 137 1988: 146 1989: 161 1990: 145 1991: 142 1992: 145 1993: 158 1994: 138 1995: 145 1996: 157 1997: 155 1998: 111 1999: 137 2000: 130 2001: 128 2002: 167 167 2003: 150 2004: 137 2005: 143 2006: 131 2007: 134 2008: 143 2009: 140 2010: 136 2011: 133 2012: 125 2013: 148 2014: 143 2015: 120 2016: 122 2017: 122 2018: 152 2019: 135 2020: 139 2021: 135 2022: 141 2023: 125 2024: 109 2025: 145 19761986199620062016
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 136.4.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 18.5 in 1977: 55.6 in 1978: 55.9 in 1979: 27.5 in 1980: 41.4 in 1981: 44.4 in 1982: 23.8 in 1983: 25.4 in 1984: 62.2 in 1985: 50.1 in 1986: 25.0 in 1987: 33.4 in 1988: 45.1 in 1989: 44.4 in 1990: 31.7 in 1991: 44.8 in 1992: 47.7 in 1993: 26.8 in 1994: 28.5 in 1995: 68.4 in 1996: 75.0 in 1997: 39.7 in 1998: 53.7 in 1999: 46.4 in 2000: 67.2 in 2001: 55.7 in 2002: 43.6 in 2003: 50.2 in 2004: 75.4 in 2005: 49.7 in 2006: 29.1 in 2007: 80.0 in 80.0 2008: 78.5 in 2009: 45.6 in 2010: 74.3 in 2011: 44.5 in 2012: 43.5 in 2013: 60.3 in 2014: 38.0 in 2015: 50.0 in 2016: 36.1 in 2017: 41.4 in 2018: 44.0 in 2019: 34.4 in 2020: 32.3 in 2021: 36.3 in 2022: 46.7 in 2023: 32.2 in 2024: 32.3 in 2025: 35.6 in 19761986199620062016
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 17

Earliest: October 12, 2006

Median last snow

April 7

Latest: May 20, 2002

0 of 115 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Saginaw Mbs International Airport (USW00014845), 662 ft elevation, 30.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1898 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

12 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, June 30, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jun 30, 2026FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4925-MI
Mar 27, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4494-MI
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3455-MI
Sep 7, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3225-MI
Jan 10, 2001SnowstormSnowEmergencyEM-3160-MI
Jun 24, 1998Severe StormSevere StormsMajor disasterDR-1226-MI
Sep 18, 1986FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-774-MI
Sep 18, 1985FloodSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-744-MI
Jan 27, 1978SnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsEmergencyEM-3057-MI
Mar 19, 1976Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Icing & FloodingMajor disasterDR-495-MI
Sep 30, 1975FloodSevere Storms, High Winds & FloodingMajor disasterDR-486-MI
Apr 14, 1965TornadoTornadoes & Severe StormsMajor disasterDR-190-MI

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Gratiot County stands among 83 counties in Michigan and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501534 / 831,879 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims3638 / 831,803 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$149,00051 / 832,230 / 3,143
Disaster declarations1221 / 832,631 / 3,143
Flood events since 19961343 / 832,802 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199610955 / 832,708 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19966176 / 831,697 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$21.8 million41 / 831,412 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage122 / 831,446 / 3,143
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18959176 / 832,609 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years25.450 / 83624 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 19000——
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Clinton County190029
Ionia County270037
Isabella County130037
Midland County1000547
Montcalm County12009
Saginaw County2700798
Shiawassee County350062

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00014845.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.