Lincoln County
Population 66,676 (2025) 627 sq mi
Property owners in Lincoln County have filed 2,253 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 4th most of 115 counties in Missouri.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195023
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1
- Major flood years since 19786
At a glance
The record for Lincoln County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes
About one every 3.3 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
March 13, 2006
F3, 44.5 mile path
300 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, November 4, 2024
EF0, 6.1 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Nov 4, 2024 | EF0 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2015 | EF1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 29, 2013 | EF0 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2010 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2010 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2010 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 27, 2008 | EF1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2007 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 13, 2006 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 13, 2006 | F3 | 44.5 | 6 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2005 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 18, 2000 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 18, 2000 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 11, 1999 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 29, 1984 | F3 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 1983 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 13, 1973 | F1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 10, 1969 | F2 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1962 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 18, 1957 | F1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 |
| May 27, 1955 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 1955 | F1 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 14, 1953 | F1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Lincoln County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 tropical cyclone passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
September 14, 2008
Ike, Post-tropical
58.4 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 15 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
21.9 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 34 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
2,253 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $37.1 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1993: 511 claims
$11.9 million paid.
2nd most
2008: 296 claims
$10.1 million paid.
3rd most
2019: 176 claims
$6.1 million paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 63343 | 757 | $8.3 million |
| 63347 | 443 | $7.9 million |
| 63389 | 433 | $11.2 million |
| 63369 | 302 | $5.0 million |
| 91 | $878,000 | |
| 63379 | 82 | $1.2 million |
| 63377 | 70 | $1.7 million |
| 63362 | 29 | $292,000 |
| 63330 | 14 | $96,000 |
| 63344 | 6 | $22,000 |
| 65338 | 6 | $199,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood38
- Flood18
- Heavy Rain2
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
August 1, 1993
Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25, 39.62 ft
13.62 feet above the 26.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
July 22, 2025
Cuivre River at Troy, 26.58 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Cuivre River at Old Monroe | 24.0 | 37.40 ft | 21 |
| Cuivre River at Troy | 21.0 | 33.40 ft | 11 |
| Mississippi River at Winfield Lock and Dam 25 | 26.0 | 39.62 ft | 9 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 133 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 25 months.
133
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
50
Months in extreme drought
8%
Share of all months, severe or worse
12
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
March 1954
−7.03, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
25 months
June 1953 to June 1955.
Latest month
September 2026
−3.11, severe drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.5 in 1902.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
4
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
January 24, 1902
Magnitude 4.5
Near St. Louis, Missouri; 30.1 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
December 1, 1980
Magnitude 3.2
3 km E of New Melle, Missouri; 11.5 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jun 5, 1974 | 4.0 | 44.6 |
| Sep 11, 1953 | 4.0 | 31.7 |
| Jun 29, 1947 | 4.2 | 44.2 |
| Jan 24, 1902 | 4.5 | 30.1 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
9
Landslides mapped, probable or better
1
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by MO DNR (9).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
538 events in the National Weather Service record, 462 of them since 1996.
66
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
6
Hail, 2 inches or larger
154
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
57
Winter weather events since 1996
57
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 14, 1974
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
April 26, 1989
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jun 2, 2019Flash Flood$5.4 million
National Weather Service narrative
The Winfield Pin Oaks Levee system was breached during the afternoon hours on Sunday, June 2nd. The breach was at least 100 feet wide. The water rose quickly and reached the houses in the area beginning around 6 pm. An estimated 150 homes were affected by the levee breach and 250 people evacuated the area. No deaths or injuries occurred due to this levee breach.
- Jul 20, 2025Flash Flood$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rain resulted in 42 water rescues in Lincoln County. The only official report of a road closure was MO-79 at Brownsmill Road where swift moving floodwater was reported. In Elsberry, 50 homes and 20 to 30 businesses were affected by the flooding, and a state of emergency was declared.
- Mar 13, 2006Tornado$2.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado that formed in Montgomery County north of Bellflower moved into Lincoln County, strengthened, and caused extensive damage along Highway E on the north side of Olney. A home was completely destroyed as the tornado reached F3 intensity and was about 300 yards wide. The family at home escaped injury as they had taken shelter in the basement. About 1:35 am CST, the tornado destroyed a home and caused damage to a home business along Highway H northwest of Silex. At this point the tornado was a strong F2 and about 200 yards wide. A man in the home that was destroyed suffered a broken leg. At the home business, the home suffered roof damage and had the north side brick wall…
- May 4, 2019Flood$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Portions of the Winfield Main, Foley and Cap Au Gris levees were overtopped due to the rising waters of the Mississippi River. Between 20 and 30 homes were flooded and portions of Highway 79 were flooded as well.
- Jun 4, 2008Flood$1.6 million
National Weather Service narrative
Lincoln County was the area most affected by the Mississippi River flood of 2008. At Winfield, the river crested at 37.08 feet on 6/27/2008. This is the second highest crest ever recorded. All of the land east of Highway 79 was flooded. At the height of the flood, Highway 79 also went underwater near Old Monroe, Winfield, Foley, and Elsberry. Almost all of Foley went underwater. The southeast part of Winfield, about 100 homes, flooded when the Pin Oak levee failed. In Old Monroe, the waste water treatment plant was flooded by water from the Cuivre River, which was back water from the flooded Mississippi. According to damage assessments made by local emergency management officials,…
- Jun 27, 2008Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Pin Oak Levee near the Mississippi River failed causing flood waters to rush towards the town of Winfield. At least 60 homes were flooded in Winfield west of Highway 79.
- Jun 19, 2008Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A levee break was reported near Highway M, southeast of Elsberry. It flooded areas east of Highway 79 to the Mississippi River in the Kings Lake and southern Elsberry Levee districts. The flood waters moved into Foley, flooding a couple dozen homes. Another levee broke further north a couple of hours later affecting the areas to the north of the original levee break.
- Dec 27, 2015Flood$240,000
National Weather Service narrative
Between 4 and 7 inches of rain fell across Lincoln County during a 2 day period. All of this rain caused the creeks and rivers to rise. The Cuivre River went into major flood. Almost 30 structures were either damaged or destroyed from the river flooding. Damage estimates so far were around $235,000.
- Feb 11, 1999Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado formed just southeast of Whiteside and continued northeast for about 6 miles. 2 barns and 2 utility sheds were destroyed near the initial formation point. Several power poles and large trees were either snapped off or uprooted. This damage was rated at F1 while the rest of the damage path was F0. The tornado continued along County Road F destroying a few more utility buildings, downing numerous trees and power poles.
- Jun 18, 2008Flash Flood$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
A 150 foot section of the Cap Au Gris Levee failed about a quarter of a mile south of the Winfield Lock and Dam on the Mississippi River. It flooded mostly farmland as well as a couple of houses and farm buildings. The secondary Winfield Levee (Pin Oak) kept the flood waters away from Winfield at this time.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From St. Louis Lambert International Airport, 34.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1938.
- All-time high
- 115°FJul 14, 1954
- All-time low
- −18°FJan 20, 1985
- Warmest night
- 86°FJul 25, 2012
- Coldest day
- −5°FDec 24, 1983
- Wettest day
- 8.64 inJul 26, 2022
- Snowiest day
- 12.4 inMar 24, 2013
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 61.2°F
- Coldest year
- 1978mean 53.4°F
- Wettest year
- 201561.24 in
- Driest year
- 195320.59 in
- Snowiest season
- 66.0 in1977-78
Median first snow
December 3
Earliest: November 3, 1997
Median last snow
March 19
Latest: May 6, 1998
0 of 83 winters had no measurable snow.
Station St. Louis Lambert International Airport (USW00013994), 531 ft elevation, 34.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1938 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
29 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 1, 2021.
| Sep 1, 2021 | Severe Storm | DR-4612-MO |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4490-MO |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3482-MO |
| Jul 9, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4451-MO |
| Jan 21, 2016 | Flood | DR-4250-MO |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Flood | EM-3374-MO |
| Aug 7, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4238-MO |
| Jul 18, 2013 | Severe Storm | DR-4130-MO |
| Feb 3, 2011 | Severe Storm | EM-3317-MO |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3303-MO |
| Nov 13, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1809-MO |
| Jun 25, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1773-MO |
| Mar 19, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1749-MO |
| Dec 27, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1736-MO |
| Dec 12, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3281-MO |
| Jan 15, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1676-MO |
| Mar 16, 2006 | Severe Storm | DR-1631-MO |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3232-MO |
| May 6, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1463-MO |
| May 6, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1412-MO |
| Jun 2, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1054-MO |
| Apr 21, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1023-MO |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-995-MO |
| May 11, 1993 | Flood | DR-989-MO |
| Dec 10, 1982 | Flood | DR-672-MO |
| Apr 21, 1979 | Tornado | DR-579-MO |
| Sep 24, 1976 | Drought | EM-3017-MO |
| Apr 19, 1973 | Severe Storm | DR-372-MO |
| Jun 14, 1965 | Severe Storm | DR-198-MO |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Lincoln County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 23 | 66 / 115 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 2 | 47 / 115 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 2,253 | 4 / 115 |
| Flood insurance paid | $37.1 million | 6 / 115 |
| Disaster declarations | 29 | 10 / 115 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 58 | 67 / 115 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 258 | 54 / 115 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 57 | 29 / 115 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $18.2 million | 50 / 115 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 41 | 2 / 115 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 133 | 40 / 115 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 21.9 | 54 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 4 | 26 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Calhoun County IL | 10 | 0 |
| Montgomery County | 25 | 0 |
| Pike County | 24 | 0 |
| St. Charles County | 45 | 0 |
| Warren County | 14 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00013994.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.