Warren County

Population 39,016 (2025) 429 sq mi

Property owners in Warren County have filed 102 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 49th most of 115 counties in Missouri.

Hazard fingerprint for Warren County Tornado: 42th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 52th percentile. Hail & wind: 54th percentile. Heat: 85th percentile. Cold: 28th percentile. Winter: 38th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195014
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1
  • Major flood years since 19782

At a glance

The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

102

49th of 115 in Missouri

$2.3 million paid since 1986

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

14

97th of 115 in Missouri

Fewer than the typical Missouri county, which has had 25

Details

Tropical cyclones within 100 mi

1

None within 50 miles since 1851

Details

Strongest tornado

F3

March 13, 2006, 6.0 mile path

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

4.5magnitude

January 24, 1902, 36.1 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

17

Most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, 2020

Details

Record high

109°F

August 18, 2000

Details

Record low

−28°F

December 23, 1989

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 5.4 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

March 13, 2006

F3, 6.0 mile path

300 yards wide.

Deadliest

June 21, 1981

1 killed, F2

6 injured along the whole path.

Most recent

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

EF0, 0.2 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 3 3 1990s: 2 2 2000s: 2 2 2010s: 5 5 2020s: 1 1 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 1 F: 0 M: 2 A: 5 5 M: 1 J: 2 J: 2 A: 1 S: 0 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Warren County since 1950
Jul 16, 2024EF00.22500
Mar 6, 2017EF120.915000
Apr 26, 2016EF15.510000
Jan 29, 2013EF11.24000
Apr 23, 2010EF00.11000
Apr 23, 2010EF00.11000
Mar 13, 2006F36.030010
Apr 10, 2001F00.15000
Apr 13, 1998F018.05000
Aug 3, 1990F10.35000
May 1, 1983F20.520030
Jun 15, 1982F13.55000
Jun 21, 1981F26.530061
Jul 10, 1971F10.37700
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 1.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

1 tropical cyclone passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.

Most recent

September 14, 2008

Ike, Post-tropical

47.2 miles at closest approach.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Ike200847.2Post-tropical48Category 4
Unnamed194192.4Tropical storm40Category 3
Unnamed190222.4Post-tropical40Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 61 days

Heavy smoke on 15 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

21.7 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

17 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 35 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 11 2012: 14 2013: 14 2014: 9 2015: 12 2016: 1 2017: 8 2018: 9 2019: 8 2020: 19 2021: 45 2022: 20 2023: 61 61 2024: 29 2025: 17 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

102 federal flood insurance claims since 1986, with $2.3 million paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1986: 6 1993: 55 55 1994: 5 1995: 26 1986
Claims per year since 1986. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

1993: 55 claims

$883,000 paid.

2nd most

1995: 26 claims

$204,000 paid.

3rd most

1986: 6 claims

$65,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
6335778$1.2 million
6338311$1.0 million
650416$3,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood23
  • Flood10
  • Heavy Rain3

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 146 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 25 months.

146

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

49

Months in extreme drought

9%

Share of all months, severe or worse

7

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

March 1954

−7.36, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

25 months

June 1953 to June 1955.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.15, mild drought

Last severe month: March 2026.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 5 1902: 2 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 1 1914: 3 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 9 1918: 3 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 3 1923: 1 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 7 1932: 0 1933: 2 1934: 7 1935: 0 1936: 3 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 1 1953: 9 1954: 12 12 1955: 8 1956: 4 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 4 1964: 11 1965: 6 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 1 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 2 1980: 11 1981: 3 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 2 1989: 2 1990: 1 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 4 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 4 2008: 1 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes and landslides

4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.5 in 1902.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

6

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

4

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

January 24, 1902

Magnitude 4.5

Near St. Louis, Missouri; 36.1 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

June 7, 2011

Magnitude 3.9

18 km NNW of Potosi, Missouri; 32.6 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 1 1 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 1 1977: 0 1978: 1 1979: 0 1980: 1 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 1 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 1 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Dec 11, 19764.230.10.012 km SE of Sullivan, Missouri
Sep 11, 19534.046.5—eastern Missouri
Jun 29, 19474.242.6—4 km S of Columbia, Illinois
Jan 24, 19024.536.1—Near St. Louis, Missouri
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Mapped landslides

12

Landslides mapped, probable or better

0

With a recorded date

1

Source inventory

Mapped by MO DNR (12).

  1. Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.

USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

414 events in the National Weather Service record, 363 of them since 1996.

77

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

6

Hail, 2 inches or larger

101

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

52

Winter weather events since 1996

55

Heat events since 1996

5

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

April 22, 2011

4.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 19, 2021

81 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning300Sep 19, 2005

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Jan 12, 2007Ice Storm, Warren$96,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An arctic boundary settled south of the area on the 12th and 13th of January bringing subfreezing temperatures to the northwestern half of the county warning area. Three rounds of precipitation occurred during this period, with the first being the most destructive of all. Significant tree and limb damage was reported as a result of this storm, together with widespread power outages. More than 100,000 homes and businesses lost power during this storm. About 1.5 inches of sleet fell and a 1/2 inch of ice accumulation hit parts of Central and Northeast Missouri. From 1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice accumulated from freezing rain across Eastern Missouri and parts of Southwest Illinois.…

  2. Aug 12, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorm winds peeled off a portion of a flat roof on Daniel Boone Elementary School in the Warren County R-III School District.

  3. Jul 26, 2022Flash Flood$25,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Up to 10 inches of rain fell in a 6 to 10 hour period causing flash flooding. Numerous roads were flooded including Highway A at the intersection with Highway W, Morsey Center Road about half a mile east of Highway A, and State Highway 47 just south of Powerline Road. Culvert was washed away on Pin Oak Church Road just east of y intersection near New Truxton Road, making the road impassable.

  4. Apr 10, 2001Tornado$20,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A small tornado formed briefly just west of Wright City. One mobile home on a sales lot was overturned.

  5. Jul 9, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$15,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A swath of wind damage across portions of Warren County. Several manufactured homes sustained minor damage to underpinning, tie downs and supports, about 3 miles north northeast of Warrenton. In Warrenton, a large sign near a shopping center was damaged. Several trees were blown down in and around Warrenton, one of which was about 3 feet in diameter. Just southwest of Wright City, a tree was topped and a small shed was moved several feet.

  6. Aug 3, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$5,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorm winds blew down several large trees onto Highway 94 just west of Marthasville.

  7. Sep 4, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$3,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    One cell amidst a group of disorganized convection produced wind gusts strong enough to bring down multiple power poles along I-70 very near the Montgomery and Warren county line.

  8. Aug 8, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$2,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorm winds blew down several power lines between Hopewell and Marthasville.

  9. Dec 9, 2009Strong Wind, Warren$1,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An intense low pressure moved across the region into the Great Lakes. On December 9, very strong winds developed across Central and Eastern Missouri. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph were common across the area.

  10. Apr 13, 1998Tornado$500
    National Weather Service narrative

    A weak tornado tracked from just east of Warrenton in Warren County to Lake St. Louis in St. Charles County. The tornado was spotted several times along the path by severe storm spotters, intermittently touching down but causing very little damage. The only reported damage of note was to the garage doors at the truck weigh station along Interstate 70 in Foristell.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Weldon Spring NWS, 23.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1957.

All-time high
109°FAug 18, 2000
All-time low
−28°FDec 23, 1989
Warmest night
81°FJul 26, 2012
Coldest day
−2°FJan 24, 1963
Wettest day
6.39 inDec 27, 2015
Snowiest day
14.0 inFeb 27, 1984
Hottest year
2012mean 58.3°F
Coldest year
1958mean 52.5°F
Wettest year
200862.75 in
Driest year
197622.13 in
Snowiest season
39.2 in1959-60
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Weldon Spring NWS 32°F 40° 22° 2.6 Jan 45° 25° 2.4 Feb 57° 34° 4.0 Mar 68° 44° 4.9 Apr 76° 54° 5.1 May 84° 63° 4.8 Jun 88° 67° 4.3 Jul 87° 65° 3.5 Aug 81° 58° 3.1 Sep 69° 46° 3.2 Oct 56° 35° 3.3 Nov 45° 27° 2.7 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1977: 13 1992: 2 1997: 9 1998: 7 1999: 3 2000: 7 2002: 11 2003: 6 2004: 1 2005: 16 2006: 11 2007: 13 2008: 2 2009: 1 2010: 9 2011: 25 2012: 37 37 2013: 6 2014: 5 2015: 1 2016: 6 2017: 10 2018: 8 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 7 2022: 18 2023: 10 2024: 6 2025: 11 197720062016
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 8.8.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 18.3 in 1983: 36.7 in 1989: 13.9 in 1991: 2.0 in 1992: 0.3 in 1993: 0.1 in 1994: 0.0 in 1995: 0.1 in 1996: 16.4 in 1997: 18.2 in 1998: 16.6 in 1999: 10.7 in 2001: 12.5 in 2003: 9.2 in 2004: 16.3 in 2005: 11.1 in 2006: 19.3 in 2007: 20.7 in 2008: 13.6 in 2009: 18.1 in 2010: 38.8 in 38.8 2017: 9.9 in 2018: 28.6 in 2019: 17.8 in 2020: 14.4 in 2021: 12.1 in 2022: 5.6 in 2023: 10.5 in 2024: 22.9 in 2025: 18.2 in 197619982010
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 6

Earliest: November 3, 1997

Median last snow

March 9

Latest: April 21, 2021

1 of 40 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Weldon Spring NWS (USC00238805), 610 ft elevation, 23.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1957 to October 27, 2026; 97.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

17 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 26, 2020.

Federal disaster declarations
Mar 26, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4490-MO
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3482-MO
Jan 2, 2016FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingEmergencyEM-3374-MO
Jun 30, 2011FloodFloodingEmergencyEM-3325-MO
Feb 3, 2011Severe StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3317-MO
Jan 30, 2009Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3303-MO
Mar 19, 2008Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1749-MO
Dec 27, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1736-MO
Dec 12, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsEmergencyEM-3281-MO
Jan 15, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1676-MO
Sep 10, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3232-MO
May 12, 2000FloodSevere Thunderstorms and Flash FloodingMajor disasterDR-1328-MO
Jun 2, 1995Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingMajor disasterDR-1054-MO
Jul 9, 1993FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-995-MO
Oct 14, 1986FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-779-MO
Sep 24, 1976DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3017-MO
Apr 19, 1973Severe StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disasterDR-372-MO

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Warren County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501497 / 1151,935 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger168 / 1151,281 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims10249 / 1151,276 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$2.3 million49 / 1151,094 / 3,143
Disaster declarations17115 / 1152,018 / 3,143
Flood events since 19963686 / 1151,870 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199619778 / 1151,991 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19965253 / 1151,904 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$198,000115 / 1153,081 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189514620 / 1151,041 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years21.763 / 115897 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900426 / 115793 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Franklin County34001,097
Gasconade County800445
Lincoln County23002,253
Montgomery County2500126
St. Charles County45009,999

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00238805.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.