Warren County
Population 39,016 (2025) 429 sq mi
Property owners in Warren County have filed 102 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 49th most of 115 counties in Missouri.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195014
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1
- Major flood years since 19782
At a glance
The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
14
97th of 115 in Missouri
Fewer than the typical Missouri county, which has had 25
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
March 13, 2006, 6.0 mile path
Tornadoes
About one every 5.4 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
March 13, 2006
F3, 6.0 mile path
300 yards wide.
Deadliest
June 21, 1981
1 killed, F2
6 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Tuesday, July 16, 2024
EF0, 0.2 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 16, 2024 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 6, 2017 | EF1 | 20.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26, 2016 | EF1 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 29, 2013 | EF1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2010 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2010 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 13, 2006 | F3 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 10, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13, 1998 | F0 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 3, 1990 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 1983 | F2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0 |
| Jun 15, 1982 | F1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 1981 | F2 | 6.5 | 6 | 1 |
| Jul 10, 1971 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 1.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 tropical cyclone passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
September 14, 2008
Ike, Post-tropical
47.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 15 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
21.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 35 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
102 federal flood insurance claims since 1986, with $2.3 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1993: 55 claims
$883,000 paid.
2nd most
1995: 26 claims
$204,000 paid.
3rd most
1986: 6 claims
$65,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 63357 | 78 | $1.2 million |
| 63383 | 11 | $1.0 million |
| 65041 | 6 | $3,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood23
- Flood10
- Heavy Rain3
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 146 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 25 months.
146
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
49
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
7
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
March 1954
−7.36, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
25 months
June 1953 to June 1955.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.15, mild drought
Last severe month: March 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.5 in 1902.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
6
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
4
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
January 24, 1902
Magnitude 4.5
Near St. Louis, Missouri; 36.1 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
June 7, 2011
Magnitude 3.9
18 km NNW of Potosi, Missouri; 32.6 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Dec 11, 1976 | 4.2 | 30.1 |
| Sep 11, 1953 | 4.0 | 46.5 |
| Jun 29, 1947 | 4.2 | 42.6 |
| Jan 24, 1902 | 4.5 | 36.1 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
12
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by MO DNR (12).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
414 events in the National Weather Service record, 363 of them since 1996.
77
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
6
Hail, 2 inches or larger
101
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
52
Winter weather events since 1996
55
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 22, 2011
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 19, 2021
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jan 12, 2007Ice Storm, Warren$96,000
National Weather Service narrative
An arctic boundary settled south of the area on the 12th and 13th of January bringing subfreezing temperatures to the northwestern half of the county warning area. Three rounds of precipitation occurred during this period, with the first being the most destructive of all. Significant tree and limb damage was reported as a result of this storm, together with widespread power outages. More than 100,000 homes and businesses lost power during this storm. About 1.5 inches of sleet fell and a 1/2 inch of ice accumulation hit parts of Central and Northeast Missouri. From 1/4 to 1/2 inch of ice accumulated from freezing rain across Eastern Missouri and parts of Southwest Illinois.…
- Aug 12, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds peeled off a portion of a flat roof on Daniel Boone Elementary School in the Warren County R-III School District.
- Jul 26, 2022Flash Flood$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
Up to 10 inches of rain fell in a 6 to 10 hour period causing flash flooding. Numerous roads were flooded including Highway A at the intersection with Highway W, Morsey Center Road about half a mile east of Highway A, and State Highway 47 just south of Powerline Road. Culvert was washed away on Pin Oak Church Road just east of y intersection near New Truxton Road, making the road impassable.
- Apr 10, 2001Tornado$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
A small tornado formed briefly just west of Wright City. One mobile home on a sales lot was overturned.
- Jul 9, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$15,000
National Weather Service narrative
A swath of wind damage across portions of Warren County. Several manufactured homes sustained minor damage to underpinning, tie downs and supports, about 3 miles north northeast of Warrenton. In Warrenton, a large sign near a shopping center was damaged. Several trees were blown down in and around Warrenton, one of which was about 3 feet in diameter. Just southwest of Wright City, a tree was topped and a small shed was moved several feet.
- Aug 3, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$5,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds blew down several large trees onto Highway 94 just west of Marthasville.
- Sep 4, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$3,000
National Weather Service narrative
One cell amidst a group of disorganized convection produced wind gusts strong enough to bring down multiple power poles along I-70 very near the Montgomery and Warren county line.
- Aug 8, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$2,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds blew down several power lines between Hopewell and Marthasville.
- Dec 9, 2009Strong Wind, Warren$1,000
National Weather Service narrative
An intense low pressure moved across the region into the Great Lakes. On December 9, very strong winds developed across Central and Eastern Missouri. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph were common across the area.
- Apr 13, 1998Tornado$500
National Weather Service narrative
A weak tornado tracked from just east of Warrenton in Warren County to Lake St. Louis in St. Charles County. The tornado was spotted several times along the path by severe storm spotters, intermittently touching down but causing very little damage. The only reported damage of note was to the garage doors at the truck weigh station along Interstate 70 in Foristell.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Weldon Spring NWS, 23.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1957.
- All-time high
- 109°FAug 18, 2000
- All-time low
- −28°FDec 23, 1989
- Warmest night
- 81°FJul 26, 2012
- Coldest day
- −2°FJan 24, 1963
- Wettest day
- 6.39 inDec 27, 2015
- Snowiest day
- 14.0 inFeb 27, 1984
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 58.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1958mean 52.5°F
- Wettest year
- 200862.75 in
- Driest year
- 197622.13 in
- Snowiest season
- 39.2 in1959-60
Median first snow
December 6
Earliest: November 3, 1997
Median last snow
March 9
Latest: April 21, 2021
1 of 40 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Weldon Spring NWS (USC00238805), 610 ft elevation, 23.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1957 to October 27, 2026; 97.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 26, 2020.
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4490-MO |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3482-MO |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Flood | EM-3374-MO |
| Jun 30, 2011 | Flood | EM-3325-MO |
| Feb 3, 2011 | Severe Storm | EM-3317-MO |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3303-MO |
| Mar 19, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1749-MO |
| Dec 27, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1736-MO |
| Dec 12, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3281-MO |
| Jan 15, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1676-MO |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3232-MO |
| May 12, 2000 | Flood | DR-1328-MO |
| Jun 2, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1054-MO |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-995-MO |
| Oct 14, 1986 | Flood | DR-779-MO |
| Sep 24, 1976 | Drought | EM-3017-MO |
| Apr 19, 1973 | Severe Storm | DR-372-MO |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Warren County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 14 | 97 / 115 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 68 / 115 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 102 | 49 / 115 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.3 million | 49 / 115 |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 115 / 115 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 36 | 86 / 115 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 197 | 78 / 115 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 52 | 53 / 115 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $198,000 | 115 / 115 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 146 | 20 / 115 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 21.7 | 63 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 4 | 26 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Franklin County | 34 | 0 |
| Gasconade County | 8 | 0 |
| Lincoln County | 23 | 0 |
| Montgomery County | 25 | 0 |
| St. Charles County | 45 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00238805.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.