Carbon County
Population 11,466 (2025) 2,048 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 94,049 acres of Carbon County since 1984, 28th most of 56 counties in Montana; the largest was the Robertson Draw Fire in 2021.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19503
- Wildfire burn scars since 198416
At a glance
The record for Carbon County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
94,049
28th of 56 in Montana
16 large fires; the largest was Robertson Draw, 2021
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
3
35th of 56 in Montana
Fewer than the typical Montana county, which has had 6
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF2
June 16, 2010, 1.0 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
13
Most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, 2026
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 25 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 16, 2010
EF2, 1.0 mile path
75 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
EF2, 1.0 mile path
16 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jun 16, 2010 | EF2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 1990 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 23, 1988 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Carbon County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
94,049 acres burned in 16 large fires since 1984, equal to 7.2% of the land.
Largest
June 13, 2021
Robertson Draw Fire, 31,126 acres
31,138 acres inside Carbon County.
Most recent
July 16, 2021
Harris Fire
2,518 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Harris | 2021 | 2,517 | 2,518 |
| Crooked Creek | 2021 | 4,273 | 4,310 |
| Robertson Draw | 2021 | 31,138 | 31,126 |
| Bobcat Pass | 2017 | 1,280 | 1,279 |
| Rosebud | 2012 | 2,481 | 2,481 |
| Skibstad | 2012 | 1,314 | 3,412 |
| Hole In The Wall | 2011 | 4,006 | 6,553 |
| Cascade | 2008 | 10,016 | 10,007 |
| Cow Creek | 2002 | 4,986 | 5,166 |
| Red Waffle | 2002 | 5,063 | 5,064 |
| Willie | 2000 | 1,440 | 1,441 |
| Edgar Fire | 1999 | 1,715 | 1,715 |
| Shepard Mtn | 1996 | 17,377 | 17,376 |
| West Pryor | 1995 | 1,979 | 2,058 |
| Robertson | 1991 | 4,206 | 4,810 |
| Storm Creek | 1988 | 249 | 115,951 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 62 days
Heavy smoke on 45 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
25.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
59 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $2.7 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2022: 20 claims
$2.4 million paid.
2nd most
2011: 13 claims
$99,000 paid.
3rd most
1997: 5 claims
$67,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 59068 | 25 | $1.5 million |
| 59041 | 11 | $110,000 |
| 59029 | 5 | $550,000 |
| 59070 | 5 | $30,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain13
- Flash Flood12
- Flood9
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
June 14, 2022
Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone at Edgar, 13.09 ft
4.09 feet above the 9.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
June 14, 2022
Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone at Edgar, 13.09 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone at Edgar | 9.0 | 13.09 ft | 1 |
| Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone near Belfry | 9.0 | 12.68 ft | 1 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 347 of 1,581 months since 1895 (22%); the longest spell lasted 72 months.
347
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
223
Months in extreme drought
22%
Share of all months, severe or worse
6
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
September 2012
−7.48, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
72 months
November 1999 to October 2005.
Latest month
September 2026
−6.57, extreme drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes, volcanoes and landslides
21 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.9 in 1975.
1
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
92
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
21
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
6
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
June 30, 1975
26 km SSE of Mammoth, Wyoming; 43.3 miles away, 4.3 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
July 16, 2026
Magnitude 3.3
39 km SSE of Mammoth, Wyoming; 40.2 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| May 11, 2022 | 4.2 | 24.2 |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 4.8 | 46.2 |
| Mar 25, 2008 | 4.2 | 24.0 |
| Nov 23, 2000 | 4.2 | 47.1 |
| Oct 19, 1976 | 5.3 | 46.2 |
| Jul 5, 1975 | 4.5 | 45.1 |
| Jul 2, 1975 | 4.5 | 36.6 |
| Jul 2, 1975 | 4.2 | 42.6 |
| Jul 2, 1975 | 4.6 | 49.2 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 4.8 | 39.0 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 4.9 | 44.1 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 4.7 | 40.8 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 4.2 | 42.1 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 5.1 | 47.9 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 5.9 | 43.3 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | 4.6 | 39.1 |
| Oct 18, 1974 | 4.4 | 49.6 |
| Apr 21, 1973 | 4.4 | 35.6 |
| Mar 31, 1973 | 5.1 | 47.9 |
| Mar 27, 1973 | 5.0 | 49.1 |
| Aug 18, 1959 | 5.7 | 47.7 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Volcanoes within 100 miles
| Yellowstone | 47.5 | High |
- U.S. volcanoes within 100 miles, from the USGS Volcano Hazards Program. The threat category is the USGS 2018 National Volcanic Threat Assessment, which ranks volcanoes by how hazardous their past eruptions were and how many people and how much infrastructure lie near them. It is not a forecast of eruption.
USGS Volcano Hazards Program, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
1
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by USGS Conterminous (1).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
668 events in the National Weather Service record, 647 of them since 1996.
68
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
5
Hail, 2 inches or larger
35
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
377
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
0
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 18, 1958
4.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
August 12, 2025
92 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 1 |
| Avalanches | 3 | 3 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 20, 2011Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Significant flooding occurred on creeks and streams across Carbon County with numerous county roads flooded, closing roads and resulting in significant damage. Emergency Travel only was advised at one point due to the severity of the flooding. Specifically, Rock Creek flooded, resulting in adjacent lowland flooding and closure of Grape Vine Road near Fromberg. Creeks were running out of their banks from the Beartooth Foothills between McLeod and Red Lodge, as well as tributaries of the Clarks Fork of the Yellowstone River from Belfry to Bridger. Five Mile Creek flooded and washed out the bridge on East Pryor Road between Edgar and Pryor. Blue Water Creek east of Bridger flooded…
- Jul 1, 2011Flood$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flooding from June continued into July along Rock Creek near Two Mile Road. Emergency repairs were needed on the Two Mile Bridge(which was closed) north of Red Lodge. Rock Creek was also reported to have cut a new channel and was as high as it has ever been. As a result, residents in 4 to 5 homes were stranded in the Fox area about 6 miles north of Red Lodge. In addition, another 3 homes were under water in the Wagon Wheel Estates which is about 3 miles north of Red Lodge. Western Ranch Estates near Roberts was flooded. In addition, Grapevine and Cottonwood Roads near Silesia were closed. Rock Creek at Red Lodge rose above flood stage on the 5th and continued to run above flood…
- Jul 17, 1998Wildfire$525,000
National Weather Service narrative
Dry lightning set off a wildfire which burned 133 acres near the Parkside Campground in the Beartooth National Forest.
- Jun 16, 2010Tornado$12,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Bowler Flats tornado was on the ground for approximately one mile and lasted for five minutes. The tornado destroyed four transmission structures, damaged a transmission pole, shredded two wooden power poles and damaged some fencing.|Otherwise, it remained over open areas. The EF-2 damage was based on power and transmission poles being shredded with winds estimated from 111-135 mph.
- Jun 16, 2010Thunderstorm Wind$2,000
National Weather Service narrative
Downed tree limbs greater than 3 inches in diameter and siding off houses was reported in Warren.
- Aug 15, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$1,000
National Weather Service narrative
Two trees were downed around Boyd during a thunderstorm.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Red Lodge, 13.1 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1894.
- All-time high
- 101°F2 times, most recently Jul 12, 2026
- All-time low
- −42°F2 times, most recently Dec 21, 1990
- Warmest night
- 78°FJul 22, 1894
- Coldest day
- −26°FFeb 2, 1989
- Wettest day
- 7.75 inMay 17, 2000
- Snowiest day
- 36.0 inOct 26, 1996
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 46.4°F
- Coldest year
- 1916mean 36.9°F
- Wettest year
- 197536.65 in
- Driest year
- 19998.63 in
- Snowiest season
- 271.7 in1983-84
Median first snow
October 2
Earliest: August 24, 1910
Median last snow
May 14
Latest: June 29, 1968
0 of 115 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Red Lodge (USC00246918), 5,646 ft elevation, 13.1 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1894 to October 26, 2026; 89.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
13 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, April 7, 2026.
| Apr 7, 2026 | Straight-Line Winds | DR-4902-MT |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Flood | DR-4745-MT |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Flood | DR-4655-MT |
| Jun 16, 2021 | Fire | FM-5392-MT |
| Mar 31, 2020 | Biological | DR-4508-MT |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3476-MT |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Flood | DR-4405-MT |
| Jun 17, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1996-MT |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3253-MT |
| Aug 30, 2000 | Fire | DR-1340-MT |
| Aug 28, 2000 | Fire | FM-2326-MT |
| Jul 25, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1183-MT |
| May 29, 1978 | Flood | DR-558-MT |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Carbon County stands among 56 counties in Montana and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 3 | 35 / 56 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 94,049 | 28 / 56 |
| Flood insurance claims | 59 | 12 / 56 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.7 million | 2 / 56 |
| Disaster declarations | 13 | 13 / 56 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 34 | 18 / 56 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 220 | 43 / 56 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 377 | 7 / 56 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $2.1 million | 29 / 56 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 2 | 14 / 56 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 347 | 1 / 56 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 25.7 | 54 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 21 | 18 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 1 | 30 / 56 |
Neighbouring counties
| Big Horn County WY | 32 | 0 |
| Big Horn County | 11 | 0 |
| Park County WY | 10 | 0 |
| Park County | 2 | 0 |
| Stillwater County | 1 | 0 |
| Yellowstone County | 21 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00246918.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Volcanoes USGS Volcano Hazards Program, U.S. volcanoes and 2018 threat assessment.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.