Keith County
Population 8,100 (2025) 1,062 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 65,168 acres of Keith County since 1984, 9th most of 93 counties in Nebraska; the largest was the Morrill Fire in 2026.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195055
- Wildfire burn scars since 19845
At a glance
The record for Keith County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
65,168
9th of 93 in Nebraska
5 large fires; the largest was Morrill, 2026
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF2
May 23, 2024, 0.3 mile path
Snowiest season
66.6in
Winter of 1979-80
Tornadoes
About one every 1.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 23, 2024
EF2, 0.3 mile path
200 yards wide.
Most recent
Thursday, May 23, 2024
EFU, 6.4 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 23, 2024 | EFU | 6.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF1 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EFU | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2024 | EF1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2018 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2018 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2009 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 28, 2007 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 28, 2007 | EF1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 28, 2007 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 24, 2007 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2006 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2006 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2005 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2004 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2004 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 19, 1999 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1999 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 25, 1997 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 1996 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 1994 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 22, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 1991 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1990 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 6, 1989 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1988 | F0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 6, 1987 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1987 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 27, 1987 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 17, 1986 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 1984 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1984 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1983 | F2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1978 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 27, 1978 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 11, 1977 | F1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 15, 1976 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 1976 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 25, 1975 | F1 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 17, 1971 | F1 | 11.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 25, 1970 | F2 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1967 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 1964 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1962 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 18, 1958 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2, 1958 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1958 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 3, 1957 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Keith County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
65,168 acres burned in 5 large fires since 1984, equal to 9.6% of the land.
Largest
March 13, 2026
Morrill Fire, 645,316 acres
37,642 acres inside Keith County.
Most recent
March 13, 2026
Morrill Fire
645,316 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Morrill | 2026 | 37,642 | 645,316 |
| Unnamed | 2012 | 15,496 | 18,020 |
| Keith County Complex | 2012 | 9,166 | 13,544 |
| Unnamed | 2000 | 1,317 | 1,319 |
| Unnamed | 1989 | 1,545 | 1,545 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 59 days
Heavy smoke on 23 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
24.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 30 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
7 federal flood insurance claims since 1999, with $39,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood16
- Flood1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
September 21, 2013
South Platte River at Roscoe, 12.21 ft
3.21 feet above the 9.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 16, 2015
South Platte River at Roscoe, 11.09 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| North Platte River near Keystone | 6.0 | 7.57 ft | 0 |
| South Platte River at Roscoe | 9.0 | 12.21 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 151 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 16 months.
151
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
53
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
57
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
July 2026
−6.38, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
16 months
June 1910 to September 1911.
Latest month
September 2026
−4.58, extreme drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
3 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1990; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
2
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 16, 2007
Magnitude 3.0
11 km WSW of Maywood, Nebraska; 38.1 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
April 16, 2007
Magnitude 3.0
11 km WSW of Maywood, Nebraska; 38.1 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
972 events in the National Weather Service record, 825 of them since 1996.
327
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
45
Hail, 2 inches or larger
243
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
45
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
10
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 26, 2009
4.25 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 7, 2003
105 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 6 | 0 |
| Dust storms and dust devils | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 23, 2024Tornado$3.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
A brief, but significant, tornado developed in the Lakeview Subdivision and traveled to the northeast. Multiple dwellings suffered damage, including a large pole barn destroyed and single family homes with roof or exterior wall loss. Multiple trees were also downed.
- Jul 21, 2003Hail$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Hail initially struck the west side of Ogallala and then moved southeast across the town with numerous cars and boats sustaining severe body damage and broken windshields. Vinyl siding on homes were also damaged and windows broken.
- Jul 19, 2024Hail$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Golf ball to tennis ball sized hail reported on the west side of Ogallala.
- Jun 30, 2026Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm wind gusts between 80 and 90 MPH occurred near Kingsley Dam. Several campers were overturned at Beach Area 5 Campground. Eight minor injuries were reported with none hospitalized. The strong winds led to severe beach erosion between Beach Area 5 and Beach Area 12 Campgrounds. Some campers parked on the shoreline were swallowed up by the lake due to the erosion. Damage reports are from Broadcast Media and Emergency Management.
- Jul 1, 2012Drought, Keith$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Severe drought conditions (D2), which began the month of June, intensified to extreme drought conditions (D3) by the end of the month. Pastures that make up close to 54 percent of the land use in Keith County (2007 Census USDA) was rated 69% poor or very poor. The lack of rain limited grazing capacity as the departure from normal precipitation reached below 3 inches. Crop producers began silage of dryland corn. On July 23rd all counties in Nebraska were approved for CRP Emergency Haying and Grazing. The drought continued into August.
- Oct 18, 2012Wildfire, Keith$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A wildfire started about one mile north of Interstate 80 near Paxton that was fanned by high winds. The high winds caused the wildfire to quickly spread southeast, crossing Interstate 80 and then burning for an additional 12 miles southeast into northeast Perkins County. The wildfire reached up to 1.5 miles wide. The wildfire destroyed two occupied homes, one abandoned home and various outbuildings were destroyed as well. In addition to building structures the wildfire destroyed several pieces of farm implements, while several power poles and culverts were damaged. The area burned was estimated at 10,000 acres of farm flat and rolling hills. Three firemen developed eye problems…
- Jul 6, 2002Flash Flood$800,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tropical-like system moved into Southwest Nebraska Friday night and Saturday. Thunderstorms formed along a stationary front and persisted over the same area . Total rainfall was from 8 to 11 inches. Flood waters began to inundate hotels and businesses along Interstate 80 in Ogallala at 7 AM MST. One bridge and numerous roads were damaged or washed out. One person was killed 4 miles west of Ogallala at 759 AM MST as a bridge approach collapsed on Interstate 80. There were 64 homes with water damage. Forty of the homes sustained minor damage while the remaining 24 were total losses or sustained major damage.
- Jun 21, 2026Thunderstorm Wind$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm wind gusts, estimated at 80 MPH, destroyed sheds and outbuildings and damaged several roofs. Pivot irrigation systems were also overturned at this location.
- May 23, 2024Tornado$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado touched down near road M5 south and Road West 40 in southwestern Keith county where it damaged power poles, snapped several trees off and destroyed a 5000 bushel grain bin. The tornado traveled to the east, overturning two center pivot irrigation systems approximately a quarter mile east of the initial touchdown point. The tornado continued east, damaging outbuildings and overturning a third pivot. The tornado traveled further east, overturning a semi trailer, damaging a shelter belt and striping shingles and siding off a house at a farmstead. The tornado then tracked northeast, where it flipped a fourth center pivot, and damaged outbuildings at a farmstead. The…
- Jul 19, 1999Tornado$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado touched down briefly 4 miles southwest of Ogallala where its intensity was F0. The tornado then lifted and touched down again in the southeast part of Ogallala as an F1 and travelled northwest through a mobile home park destroying two trailers and damaging ten others. It then crossed Highway 61 and struck Indian Hills Manor breaking all the windows on the east side of the building and taking the roof off WEL-Life, a senior residence near Indian Hills. It then hit two homes, taking the roof off one and removing the garage from the other.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Ogallala, 1.5 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.
- All-time high
- 115°FJul 24, 1940
- All-time low
- −36°FDec 22, 1989
- Warmest night
- 87°FJun 20, 1893
- Coldest day
- −11°FFeb 3, 1989
- Wettest day
- 6.50 inJul 7, 2002
- Snowiest day
- 16.0 inMar 28, 1980
- Hottest year
- 1938mean 54.4°F
- Coldest year
- 1993mean 46.4°F
- Wettest year
- 191538.77 in
- Driest year
- 20226.13 in
- Snowiest season
- 66.6 in1979-80
Median first snow
November 12
Earliest: September 28, 1945
Median last snow
April 5
Latest: May 17, 1930
0 of 61 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Ogallala (USC00256200), 3,230 ft elevation, 1.5 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to October 27, 2026; 97.6% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
9 since 1953. The most recent: Morrill-Cottonwood Fire, March 13, 2026.
| Mar 13, 2026 | Fire | FM-5623-NE |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4808-NE |
| Apr 4, 2020 | Biological | DR-4521-NE |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3483-NE |
| Jun 29, 2018 | Snowstorm | DR-4375-NE |
| Aug 29, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1721-NE |
| Jan 7, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1674-NE |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3245-NE |
| May 16, 2001 | Severe Storm | DR-1373-NE |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Keith County stands among 93 counties in Nebraska and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 55 | 17 / 93 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 65,168 | 9 / 93 |
| Flood insurance claims | 7 | 44 / 93 |
| Flood insurance paid | $39,000 | 43 / 93 |
| Disaster declarations | 9 | 85 / 93 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 17 | 65 / 93 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 659 | 10 / 93 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 45 | 91 / 93 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $15.4 million | 43 / 93 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 151 | 68 / 93 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 24.5 | 79 / 93 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Arthur County | 9 | 0 |
| Deuel County | 31 | 0 |
| Garden County | 27 | 0 |
| Lincoln County | 110 | 0 |
| McPherson County | 15 | 0 |
| Perkins County | 41 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00256200.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.