Polk County
Population 5,270 (2025) 439 sq mi
Polk County has recorded 40 tornadoes since 1950, 30th most of 93 counties in Nebraska; the most recent was on August 14, 2024.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195040
At a glance
The record for Polk County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Strongest tornado
F5
May 5, 1964, 79.7 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
20
Most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, 2025
DetailsSnowiest season
65.0in
Winter of 1931-32
Tornadoes
About one every 1.9 years since 1950, 7 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 5, 1964
F5, 79.7 mile path
880 yards wide; 4 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Wednesday, August 14, 2024
EFU, 0.0 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 14, 2024 | EFU | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 21, 2024 | EF0 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF1 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF1 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2, 2021 | EF0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2014 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 20, 2011 | EF3 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 2011 | EF0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 2011 | EF0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2011 | EF1 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 2005 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2001 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2001 | F3 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2001 | F1 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 1993 | F3 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 15, 1992 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 29, 1991 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 1985 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 19, 1985 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1978 | F4 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 1978 | F4 | 31.2 | 1 | 0 |
| May 10, 1975 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 27, 1975 | F1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 1973 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 1973 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1971 | F1 | 47.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1971 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 1971 | F0 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 1969 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 16, 1969 | F0 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1968 | F2 | 6.4 | 2 | 0 |
| May 15, 1965 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 1964 | F5 | 79.7 | 50 | 4 |
| Jul 21, 1962 | F3 | 25.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 6, 1962 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 1959 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1956 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 9, 1955 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Polk County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 54 days
Heavy smoke on 22 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
26.5 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
17 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 36 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
6 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $29,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain30
- Flash Flood12
- Flood7
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
June 2, 1999
Clear Creek near Shelby, 8.65 ft
1.15 feet above the 7.5 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.
| Jun 2, 1999 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.65 | +1.15 |
| Aug 17, 2017 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.54 | +1.04 |
| Mar 14, 2019 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.39 | +0.89 |
| May 28, 2019 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.25 | +0.75 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.24 | +0.74 |
| Aug 19, 2015 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 8.16 | +0.66 |
| Mar 15, 2021 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.95 | +0.45 |
| Jun 13, 2010 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.90 | +0.40 |
| May 31, 2008 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.87 | +0.37 |
| Apr 8, 1998 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.78 | +0.28 |
| Jun 15, 2007 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.72 | +0.22 |
| May 1, 2016 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.63 | +0.13 |
| May 14, 2011 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.60 | +0.10 |
| May 6, 2001 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.40 | −0.10 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.08 | −0.42 |
| May 28, 1996 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 6.83 | −0.67 |
| May 26, 2020 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 6.81 | −0.69 |
| Jul 2, 2018 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 6.43 | −1.07 |
| Jun 17, 2014 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 6.40 | −1.10 |
| May 14, 2005 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 6.25 | −1.25 |
| May 4, 2022 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 5.80 | −1.70 |
| Jun 17, 2006 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 5.75 | −1.75 |
| May 29, 2012 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 5.62 | −1.88 |
| May 27, 2013 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 5.40 | −2.10 |
| Jun 5, 2004 | Clear Creek near Shelby | 5.13 | −2.37 |
River gauges
| Clear Creek near Shelby | 7.5 | 8.65 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 153 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 58 months.
153
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
99
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
43
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−7.21, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
58 months
June 1936 to March 1941.
Latest month
September 2026
−0.98, incipient dry spell
Last severe month: April 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.4 in 1902.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
4
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 28, 1902
Magnitude 4.4
Near Battle Creek, Nebraska; 43.4 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
November 18, 2010
Magnitude 3.3
4 km E of Octavia, Nebraska; 18.8 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jul 28, 1902 | 4.4 | 43.4 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
1
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by NE Univ of NE Lincoln (1).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
524 events in the National Weather Service record, 449 of them since 1996.
101
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
9
Hail, 2 inches or larger
82
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
109
Winter weather events since 1996
3
Heat events since 1996
12
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 12, 1956
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 11, 1960
92 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
| Dust storms and dust devils | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jun 20, 2011Tornado$4.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The second EF3 tornado of the day touched down approximately 4 miles east of Polk and continued north for nearly 10 miles before lifting approximately 6 miles west-northwest of Osceola. Damage was noted right at the start of the path, with a brick home on Highway 66 west of Polk suffering significant roof, window and tree damage, and a semi-truck and trailer were knocked over onto its side. About 2 miles north of Highway 66, a residence suffered minor tree damage and lost an outbuilding, and a combine was tossed about 100 yards into a field. As the tornado continued north, numerous power poles were snapped, irrigation pivots were overturned, and crops were stripped from the…
- Oct 9, 2001Tornado$1.8 million
National Weather Service narrative
A strong tornado entered Polk County from Hamilton County.
- Jul 9, 2013Heat, Polk$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Hundreds of heat-related cattle deaths occurred durring the afternoon hours on July 9th over portions of central Nebraska. This included areas of Dawson and Polk counties, and possibly other neighboring counties. Ranchers and feedlot operators typically do not reveal specifics and some do not report their losses at all, so exact numbers were not available. A spokesman for the Nebraska Cattlemen told the Lincoln Journal Star that the number of deaths across Nebraska was near what occurred in 2009, when casualties were near 4,000 head. Other reports confirmed that this was the worst loss of cattle since 2009. Each head was worth about $1,500, resulting in losses in the millions of…
- Jun 9, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms ripped south-central Nebraska with tornadoes, damaging winds and hail. A rain-wrapped tornado was sighted in western Valley county shortly after 7:30 pm by several storm chasers. The tornado blasted 2 farmsteads, one of which was abandoned. A total of 14 outbuildings were damaged or destroyed. The tornado was in the far western part of Valley county along the Comstock road. Another brief tornado was reported near Arcadia a short time later but no damage was confirmed.Elsewhere, vicious high winds over 70 mph did extensive damage north of Shelby in eastern Polk county. Several farmsteads sustained house, outbuilding, grain bin and tree damage. In one case, a garage…
- May 21, 2024Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A brief EF0 rated tornado skirted its way across northern Polk County in the early morning hours of May 21st. The tornado damaged trees, downed power lines and poles, and overturned several irrigation pivots. The peak wind was estimated to be 80 MPH.
- Dec 25, 2016High Wind, Polk$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The highest wind gust of 72 mph was measured at 7:32 p.m. by a mesonet site in Osceola. Other wind gusts included 67 mph nine miles west-northwest of Osceola, 65 mph one mile east-northeast of Shelby and 60 mph six miles west of Stromsburg. Strong sustained winds around 40 MPH or higher continued for a few hours across the area.
- May 27, 2019Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rainfall resulted in widespread flooding across Polk County. Clear Creek, Davis Creek and the Big Blue River were all out of their banks. The Clear Creek gauge, located in rural portions of Polk County north of Shelby, crested at 8.23 feet the afternoon of the 28th, and that was the 4th-highest crest on record. Numerous rural roads and bridges were covered in water. Due to the Davis Creek flooding, water covered a portion of Highway 81/92 just outside the west side of Osceola and threatened the highway as well as homes and property on the east side of town. To keep people from driving into Osceola, Highway 81/92 was closed approximately 3 miles east of town.
- Dec 30, 2006Ice Storm, Polk$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A wide variety of significant winter weather began impacting portions of south central Nebraska during the day on Friday (12/29) and continued through Saturday night (12/30), before exiting the area on Sunday (12/31). Freezing rain, sleet, and snow began Friday afternoon in portions of Dawson county, with snowfall amounts as high as 9 inches. By Friday night most of the precipitation had turned to sleet and freezing rain, pressing further east to around highway 281. This led to significant ice accumulations which continued through Saturday night. The areas just west of Grand Island and Hastings received significant ice accrual from the storm, with up to an inch of ice reported…
- Dec 15, 2021Tornado$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
This Polk County tornado touched down southeast of Polk and crossed Highway 66 about two miles east of town. The estimated maximum wind speed of 100 MPH was based upon multiple stretches of snapped power poles. Several irrigation pivots were overturned along and near its path.
- Dec 15, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
Straight-line winds in this area were estimated to be around 85 MPH. In addition to a few irrigation pivots being overturned, a large metal-framed structure with attached canopy at an area cattle lot suffered significant damage.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Osceola, 0.8 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1907.
- All-time high
- 116°F2 times, most recently Jul 25, 1936
- All-time low
- −31°FFeb 16, 2021
- Warmest night
- 92°FJul 25, 1936
- Coldest day
- −12°FFeb 1, 1917
- Wettest day
- 6.95 inAug 16, 2017
- Snowiest day
- 13.0 in2 times, most recently Nov 28, 1983
- Hottest year
- 1934mean 55.9°F
- Coldest year
- 2008mean 47.1°F
- Wettest year
- 197741.59 in
- Driest year
- 193613.21 in
- Snowiest season
- 65.0 in1931-32
Median first snow
November 18
Earliest: September 29, 1985
Median last snow
March 29
Latest: May 4, 1967
0 of 83 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Osceola (USC00256375), 1,662 ft elevation, 0.8 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1907 to October 3, 2026; 99.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
20 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, May 21, 2025.
| May 21, 2025 | Winter Storm | DR-4868-NE |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4808-NE |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4662-NE |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4641-NE |
| Apr 4, 2020 | Biological | DR-4521-NE |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3483-NE |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Flood | DR-4420-NE |
| Aug 1, 2017 | Severe Storm | DR-4325-NE |
| Jul 28, 2014 | Severe Storm | DR-4185-NE |
| Aug 12, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-4014-NE |
| Apr 21, 2010 | Flood | DR-1902-NE |
| Feb 25, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1878-NE |
| Jun 20, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1770-NE |
| Jan 7, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1674-NE |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3245-NE |
| Jul 21, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1480-NE |
| Nov 1, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1190-NE |
| Jul 19, 1993 | Flood | DR-998-NE |
| Apr 8, 1976 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-500-NE |
| Jul 18, 1967 | Flood | DR-228-NE |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Polk County stands among 93 counties in Nebraska and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 40 | 30 / 93 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 7 | 9 / 93 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 6 | 45 / 93 |
| Flood insurance paid | $29,000 | 47 / 93 |
| Disaster declarations | 20 | 22 / 93 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 49 | 21 / 93 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 216 | 79 / 93 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 109 | 28 / 93 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $17.4 million | 38 / 93 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 153 | 63 / 93 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 26.5 | 34 / 93 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 20 / 93 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Butler County | 38 | 0 |
| Hamilton County | 67 | 0 |
| Merrick County | 31 | 0 |
| Platte County | 37 | 0 |
| Seward County | 40 | 0 |
| York County | 49 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00256375.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.