Trumbull County
Population 198,972 (2025) 618 sq mi
Property owners in Trumbull County have filed 405 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 19th most of 88 counties in Ohio.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195023
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger2
- Major flood years since 19783
At a glance
The record for Trumbull County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Strongest tornado
F5
May 31, 1985, 47.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Hugo, 1989, 6.4 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 3.3 years since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 31, 1985
F5, 47.0 mile path
450 yards wide; 18 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Wednesday, April 17, 2024
EF0, 3.0 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 17, 2024 | EF0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 24, 2023 | EF0 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2021 | EF1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2019 | EF0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 2019 | EF1 | 13.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 8, 2019 | EF1 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 2018 | EF1 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2017 | EF1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 2012 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 13, 1994 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 1992 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 13, 1992 | F0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 22, 1990 | F0 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 1986 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F5 | 47.0 | 310 | 18 |
| May 31, 1985 | F4 | 56.2 | 125 | 16 |
| May 31, 1985 | F3 | 15.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1978 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1978 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 13, 1975 | F1 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 5, 1956 | F3 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Trumbull County: 10.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 22, 1989
Hugo, Tropical storm
6.4 miles at closest approach, winds near 41 mph.
Most recent
September 19, 2003
Isabel, Post-tropical
9.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 57 days
Heavy smoke on 18 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
15.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
15 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 30 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
405 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $3.7 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2003: 142 claims
$1.5 million paid.
2nd most
2013: 46 claims
$601,000 paid.
3rd most
1979: 36 claims
$102,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 44430 | 169 | $1.6 million |
| 44446 | 39 | $112,000 |
| 44485 | 36 | $257,000 |
| 44483 | 25 | $277,000 |
| 44420 | 24 | $261,000 |
| 44484 | 22 | $281,000 |
| 44505 | 15 | $106,000 |
| 44425 | 14 | $257,000 |
| 44470 | 11 | $58,000 |
| 44481 | 11 | $59,000 |
| 44438 | 10 | $136,000 |
| 44444 | 9 | $8,728 |
| 44450 | 8 | $125,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood41
- Flood31
- Heavy Rain2
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
March 26, 1913
Mahoning River at Leavittsburg, 24.00 ft
11.50 feet above the 12.5 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
March 8, 2022
Mahoning River at Leavittsburg, 14.03 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Eagle Creek (Trumbull Co) at Phalanx Station | 9.5 | 13.46 ft | 0 |
| Mahoning River at Leavittsburg | 12.5 | 24.00 ft | 10 |
| Mahoning River at Warren | 10.0 | 21.00 ft | 7 |
| Mosquito Creek at Mosquito Creek Lake | 903.3 | — | 0 |
| Mosquito Creek below Mosquito Creek Lake | 4.5 | — | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 96 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 21 months.
96
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
41
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
6
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
July 1934
−6.53, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
21 months
August 1933 to April 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
+1.67, slightly wet
Last severe month: December 1998.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
5 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.2 in 1998.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
22
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
5
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
2
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 25, 1998
The 1998 Pymatuning, Pennsylvania Earthquake; 6.8 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 30, 2024
Magnitude 3.0
2 km SSW of Maple Ridge, Ohio; 16.5 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jun 10, 2019 | 4.0 | 26.5 |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 4.0 | 8.6 |
| Sep 25, 1998 | 5.2 | 6.8 |
| Jan 31, 1986 | 5.0 | 13.1 |
| Mar 8, 1943 | 4.5 | 18.1 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
862 events in the National Weather Service record, 746 of them since 1996.
76
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
2
Hail, 2 inches or larger
321
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
74
Winter weather events since 1996
2
Heat events since 1996
11
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 16, 2011
2.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
November 15, 1955
91 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
| Dust storms and dust devils | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jul 21, 2003Flood, Trumbull$32.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy thunderstorm rains on the 21st caused the Mahoning River to go into flood. At Leavittsburg, the river went into flood around midnight on the 22nd and crested at 17.16 feet during the early morning hours of the 23rd. The river went back below the flood stage of 10 feet at 7 a.m. on the 24th. At Warren, the river when above the 10 foot flood stage at 6 a.m. on the 22nd and crested at 14.88 feet just after daybreak on the 23rd. The river went back below flood stage at 6 a.m. on the 24th. Flooding occurred along the river in Trumbull County. Extensive damage was done in Leavittsburg, Warren and Niles. Evacuations were conducted in all three of these cities. Most of Leavittsburg…
- Jul 21, 2003Flash Flood$25.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy thunderstorm rains fell on Trumbull County during the evening hours. This was the second round of heavy precipitation during the day. The southern portion of the county experienced devastating flooding. As much as seven inches of rain was reported on the 21st with the southern half of the county generally seeing four to six inches of rain. Three inches of rain was reported in Warren between 6:30 and 9:30 p.m. A new all time calender day rainfall record of 4.65 inches was established at the Youngstown-Warren Regional Airport in Vienna Township. Over 7 inches of rain fell in the southeastern corner of the County with several five inch reports in Warren and 4.60 inches measured…
- Jul 21, 2003Flash Flood$12.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms dumped two to four inches of rain on portions of Trumbull County during the afternoon hours. The most severe flooding occurred in Warren, Howland, Braceville and Brookfield Townships with many evacuations reported. 2.71 inches of rain fell in Southington by 2 p.m with 4.61 inches of rain in Brookfield by 3 p.m. A 10 year boy drowned on the northeast side of Warren around 2 p.m. when he was sucked into a culvert and became trapped. Many roads were washed out in Howland Township. Sev
- Jul 27, 2003Flash Flood$6.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms dumped two to three inches of rain on southern Trumbull County during the evening hours. Rainfall rates of nearly two inches per hour were reported. With the ground still saturated from flooding the previous week, small streams and creeks in the county quickly rose and flooded many areas. Communities in the southern portion of the county were again the hardest hit. Mud Run Creek left it's banks in Hubbard and flooded areas along Main Street and on the north side of town. The creek washed out a bridge on Bell Wick Road near Mount Everett Road. The creek rose several feet in less than 30 minutes and heavily damaged over 30 homes and businesses. Many other buildings…
- Sep 14, 2008High Wind, Trumbull$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
High winds associated with the remnants of Hurricane Ike began during the early evening hours of September 14th and continued through late evening. A peak measured gust of 61 mph was measured by an automated sensor at the Youngstown-Warren Regional Airport at 8:36 PM EDT. Damage in the county was extensive with thousands of trees and many utility poles downed. Widespread power outages occurred with some customers without power for several days. Homes and buildings were damaged throughout the county. The damage ranged from a few shingles torn off to significant structural damage caused by fallen trees landing on roofs. Numerous vehicles were damaged by fallen trees and limbs and…
- Sep 8, 2004Flash Flood$4.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Frances caused extensive flooding in Trumbull County. The worst flooding was reported in the eastern and central sections of the of the county where up to four inches of rainfall had fallen by late evening on September 8th. The rains continued into the 9th with another two to four inches reported in some areas before the rain finally ended around daybreak. Rainfall totals from the event included: 3.36 inches at Mosquito Creek State Park; 3.60 inches at Newton Falls; 3.85 inches in Leavittsburg; 4.45 inches at the Youngstown-Warren Regional Airport in Vienna Township and 9.40 inches at Brookfield. The Cortland area was…
- Jul 20, 2019Flash Flood$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Kinsman Lake in northern Trumbull County saw an estimated 5 to 6 inches of rainfall during the early morning hours of the 20th. A Flash Flood Warning was issued at 741 AM on the morning of the 20th due to an increase in rainfall rates peaking between 7 and 715 am around 4 inches per hour. The nine acre lake was overwhelmed by runoff and the earthen dam on the south side of the lake was overtopped by 2 to 4 feet of water as estimated by Ohio Department of Natural Resources. The dam eroded and broke around 811 AM. Immediately downstream of the dam the basement wall of home collapsed, and agricultural fields sustained significant erosion. In all the washed out bridge left 55 people…
- Aug 8, 2013Flash Flood$2.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
The flash flooding on August 8th put most of the Newton Falls Community Park under water along with several homes and businesses. State Route 534 along with several other roads were closed including Crossroads with Warren Ravenna Road, Taft Avenue and Wilson Avenue, had water standing as high as the mailbox of one residence. The storm sewer systems were overwhelmed causing backups into hundreds of homes and businesses' basements.
- Dec 22, 2004Winter Storm, Trumbull$1.8 million
National Weather Service narrative
A potent winter storm affected northern Ohio on December 22nd and 23rd. Low pressure developed over eastern Texas early on the 22nd and then moved quickly northeast. The low eventually tracked across eastern Ohio during the morning hours of the 23rd after dumping nearly two feet of snow on portions of Ohio. The snow began in northeastern Ohio late on the morning of the 22nd and then intensified during the afternoon. Visibilities during the evening hours were near zero at times. After midnight, warmer air moved into the area and caused the snow to first mix with, and then change completely to freezing rain. Temperatures briefly climbed above freezing around daybreak on the 23rd…
- Mar 7, 2008Winter Storm, Trumbull$1.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
Snow began across the area during the morning hours of the 7th and continued through the day. During the afternoon hours, snow was light to moderate with visibilities dropping down to a half mile or less at times. The snow tapered to flurries during the evening hours of the 7th, and then mixed with some sleet and freezing rain later that evening. Only trace amounts of ice were reported during the evening hours. Through the remainder of the overnight hours, precipitation changed back to snow across northern areas. Across southern locations of the county, snow continued to mix with sleet and freezing rain through the overnight and morning hours into the 8th. By early afternoon, the…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Youngstown-warren Regional Airport, 4.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1934.
- All-time high
- 103°FJul 10, 1936
- All-time low
- −22°FJan 19, 1994
- Warmest night
- 81°FAug 17, 1938
- Coldest day
- −6°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 4.65 inJul 21, 2003
- Snowiest day
- 17.2 inJan 24, 1948
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 53.4°F
- Coldest year
- 1980mean 46.2°F
- Wettest year
- 201154.01 in
- Driest year
- 196323.79 in
- Snowiest season
- 118.7 in2010-11
Median first snow
November 5
Earliest: October 2, 2003
Median last snow
April 10
Latest: May 16, 1956
0 of 84 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Youngstown-warren Regional Airport (USW00014852), 1,167 ft elevation, 4.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1934 to October 26, 2026; 99.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
12 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 31, 2020.
| Mar 31, 2020 | Biological | DR-4507-OH |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3457-OH |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Severe Storm | EM-3346-OH |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3250-OH |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1556-OH |
| Sep 23, 2003 | Other | EM-3187-OH |
| Aug 1, 2003 | Tornado | DR-1484-OH |
| Aug 4, 1992 | Severe Storm | DR-951-OH |
| Jun 6, 1990 | Severe Storm | DR-870-OH |
| Jun 3, 1985 | Tornado | DR-738-OH |
| Jan 26, 1978 | Snowstorm | EM-3055-OH |
| Jul 15, 1969 | Tornado | DR-266-OH |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Trumbull County stands among 88 counties in Ohio and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 23 | 26 / 88 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 4 | 4 / 88 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 1 | 25 / 88 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 405 | 19 / 88 |
| Flood insurance paid | $3.7 million | 26 / 88 |
| Disaster declarations | 12 | 65 / 88 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 74 | 46 / 88 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 564 | 7 / 88 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 74 | 42 / 88 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $120 million | 13 / 88 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 17 | 4 / 88 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 96 | 78 / 88 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 15.8 | 55 / 88 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 5 | 2 / 88 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Ashtabula County | 16 | 2 |
| Crawford County PA | 40 | 2 |
| Geauga County | 18 | 1 |
| Mahoning County | 18 | 1 |
| Mercer County PA | 24 | 2 |
| Portage County | 19 | 1 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00014852.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.