Lincoln County
Population 36,853 (2025) 570 sq mi
Lincoln County has recorded 45 tornadoes since 1950, 5th most of 95 counties in Tennessee; the most recent was on May 9, 2024.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195045
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger6
At a glance
The record for Lincoln County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
3
25th of 95 in Tennessee
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF5
April 27, 2011, 132.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Frederic, 1979, 9.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 1.7 years since 1950, 8 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 27, 2011
EF5, 132.0 mile path
2,200 yards wide; 72 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Thursday, May 9, 2024
EF1, 10.2 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 9, 2024 | EF1 | 10.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2024 | EF1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2024 | EF1 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2024 | EF1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2024 | EF1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2024 | EF1 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | EF3 | 12.0 | 5 | 1 |
| Mar 24, 2023 | EF2 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 16, 2019 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 9, 2019 | EF0 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2014 | EF3 | 26.8 | 0 | 2 |
| Apr 28, 2014 | EF2 | 9.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 17, 2013 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 19, 2013 | EF1 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 30, 2013 | EF1 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2, 2012 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF5 | 132.0 | 145 | 72 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF2 | 25.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2009 | EF1 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 14, 2007 | EF1 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 2007 | EF0 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2006 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2006 | F0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2006 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7, 2006 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 30, 2004 | F1 | 23.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 2003 | F3 | 1.6 | 2 | 0 |
| Dec 16, 2000 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 24, 1997 | F2 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1988 | F2 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 16, 1985 | F2 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 1984 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 22, 1984 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1980 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 6, 1977 | F0 | 9.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 1974 | F4 | 27.5 | 121 | 11 |
| Apr 3, 1974 | F5 | 83.3 | 190 | 16 |
| May 27, 1973 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 19, 1973 | F1 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 6, 1971 | F1 | 39.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 12, 1967 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 14, 1953 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 29, 1952 | F4 | 2.0 | 150 | 2 |
| Feb 13, 1952 | F3 | 7.4 | 2 | 0 |
| Feb 13, 1952 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Lincoln County: 10.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 14, 1979
Frederic, Tropical storm
9.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 45 mph.
Most recent
October 29, 2020
Zeta, Tropical storm
78.4 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 49 days
Heavy smoke on 6 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.2 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
8 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 30 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
49 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $659,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
1990: 14 claims
$152,000 paid.
2nd most
2019: 5 claims
$215,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 37334 | 36 | $480,000 |
| 37144 | 7 | $112,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood59
- Flood7
- Heavy Rain1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
December 23, 1990
Elk River (TN) near Fayetteville, 29.52 ft
12.02 feet above the 17.5 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
February 6, 2020
Elk River (TN) near Fayetteville, 24.21 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Elk River (TN) near Fayetteville | 17.5 | 29.52 ft | 7 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 119 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.
119
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
47
Months in extreme drought
8%
Share of all months, severe or worse
51
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 2008
−6.02, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
17 months
July 1930 to November 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.34, mild drought
Last severe month: September 2008.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
39 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1959; none reached magnitude 4.
1
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
6
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
December 7, 2001
Magnitude 3.9
5 km SW of Pleasant Groves, Alabama; 20.1 miles away, 0.0 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
May 10, 2020
Magnitude 3.1
7 km SSE of Sewanee, Tennessee; 24.1 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
800 events in the National Weather Service record, 747 of them since 1996.
40
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
212
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
59
Winter weather events since 1996
43
Heat events since 1996
93
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
January 21, 2010
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 8, 2024
93 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 8 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 16, 2004High Wind, Lincoln$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
The remnants of Hurricane Ivan produced widespread tree damage across much of Lincoln, Franklin and into Moore counties. At least 100 trees and many power lines were blown down due to the sustained high winds associated with the remnants of Ivan.
- Jul 14, 2012Lightning$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning struck a three story home and ignited a fire that resulted in the home being totally destroyed.
- Jan 24, 1997Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Hot Rock area was hardest hit. 3 homes were totally destroyed and 9 more were damaged by the tornado. 14 outbuildings and one house trailer were damaged. Tornado path width and length are approximations.
- Jan 24, 2002Flash Flood$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Highway department reported 3 or 4 roads still closed. Streams were running bank full. Damage to roads and bridges placed at $150K. 8 people had to be evacuated.
- Jun 28, 2018Lightning$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning struck a home on Fox Wood Drive sparking a fire. The house was a total loss.
- Jun 30, 2023Thunderstorm Wind$80,000
National Weather Service narrative
A gust front from decaying severe thunderstorms produced widespread strong to severe level thunderstorm winds across the entire county from north to south. No less than 50 reports of wind damage were received due to the 50 to 60 mph wind gusts associated with this gust front. The wind damage consisted of numerous trees being knocked down, some very large, which also resulted in power transformers and power lines being knocked down. Many roadways were also blocked due to the fallen trees and limbs.
- Aug 3, 2011Thunderstorm Wind$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees and power lines were downed by a line of severe thunderstorms in the county. The locations around Fayetteville Tennessee where the most concentrated thunderstorm wind damage occurred included: Lewisburg highway, North Main Street, Kidd Highway, and Clay and Oak Streets.
- Dec 24, 2009High Wind, Lincoln$60,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees were blown down across the county. Particularly hard hit was the Elora community, where numerous trees were snapped or uprooted. At least one tree fell on a car.
- Jul 14, 2012Lightning$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning struck a home and ignited a fire, resulting in extensive damage.
- Feb 21, 1997Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several homes damaged. A barn was blown onto the roadway near HWY 50 near Louse Creek Rd.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Fayetteville Water Plant, 2.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1957.
- All-time high
- 107°FJun 29, 2012
- All-time low
- −26°FJan 30, 1966
- Warmest night
- 80°FAug 17, 2007
- Coldest day
- −1°FJan 21, 1985
- Wettest day
- 6.62 inMar 16, 1973
- Snowiest day
- 11.0 inJan 1, 1964
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 62.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1963mean 55.5°F
- Wettest year
- 198977.80 in
- Driest year
- 200730.08 in
- Snowiest season
- 20.5 in1963-64
Median first snow
January 7
Earliest: November 2, 1966
Median last snow
February 12
Latest: April 3, 1987
23 of 59 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Fayetteville Water Plant (USC00403074), 742 ft elevation, 2.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1957 to October 22, 2026; 98.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, February 6, 2026.
| Feb 6, 2026 | Winter Storm | DR-4898-TN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3635-TN |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3625-TN |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4514-TN |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3473-TN |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Flood | DR-4427-TN |
| May 9, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1979-TN |
| May 1, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1974-TN |
| Sep 5, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3217-TN |
| May 8, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1464-TN |
| Apr 5, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1408-TN |
| Jan 15, 1999 | Severe Storm | DR-1260-TN |
| Feb 28, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1010-TN |
| Mar 14, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3095-TN |
| Jan 4, 1991 | Flood | DR-889-TN |
| Apr 4, 1974 | Tornado | DR-424-TN |
| Mar 21, 1973 | Flood | DR-366-TN |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Lincoln County stands among 95 counties in Tennessee and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 45 | 5 / 95 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 8 | 2 / 95 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 3 | 25 / 95 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 49 | 43 / 95 |
| Flood insurance paid | $659,000 | 48 / 95 |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 81 / 95 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 67 | 16 / 95 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 402 | 13 / 95 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 59 | 44 / 95 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $2.6 million | 88 / 95 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 7 | 15 / 95 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 119 | 16 / 95 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.2 | 55 / 95 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 1 | 35 / 95 |
Neighbouring counties
| Bedford County | 22 | 3 |
| Franklin County | 37 | 2 |
| Giles County | 22 | 4 |
| Limestone County AL | 80 | 4 |
| Madison County AL | 95 | 3 |
| Marshall County | 22 | 3 |
| Moore County | 13 | 3 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00403074.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.