Auburndale

Population 21,369 (2025)

44 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Auburndale since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1928 (Category 1).

Hazard fingerprint for Auburndale Tornado: 94th percentile. Tropical: 96th percentile. Wildfire: 86th percentile. Flood: 24th percentile. Hail & wind: 26th percentile. Heat: 4th percentile. Cold: 91th percentile. Winter: 0th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 1950189
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger90
  • Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 198463
  • Major flood years since 1978, Polk County5

At a glance

Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Polk County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Polk County.

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

44

17 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950, within 25 mi

189

2 rated F3/EF3 or stronger

Details

Large wildfires within 25 mi

63

Largest: Stagecoach Complex, 2001

Details

Flood insurance claims

1,671

Polk County

$45.8 million paid since 1978

Details

Strongest tornado

F4

April 4, 1966, 135.8 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1928, 16.7 miles away

Federal disaster declarations

42

Most recent: Hurricane Milton, 2024

Details

Record high

102°F

Reached 3 times, most recently June 6, 2024

Details

Tornadoes

About 2 tornados a year since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

April 4, 1966

F4, 135.8 mile path

300 yards wide; 11 killed along the whole path.

Deadliest

February 22, 1998

25 killed, F3

150 injured along the whole path.

Most recent

Thursday, September 26, 2024

EF0, 1.1 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade, within 25 miles Doppler radar era² 1950s: 10 10 1960s: 20 20 1970s: 35 35 1980s: 34 34 1990s: 52 52 2000s: 20 20 2010s: 13 13 2020s: 5 5 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 13 F: 10 M: 19 A: 16 M: 25 J: 39 39 J: 20 A: 9 S: 13 O: 8 N: 7 D: 10 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes within 25 miles since 1950
Sep 26, 2024EF01.12500
Aug 4, 2024EF01.52500
Jul 23, 2024EF00.12500
Apr 11, 2021EF01.45000
Dec 16, 2020EF112.925000
Oct 18, 2019EF211.452500
Dec 20, 2018EF00.13010
Dec 20, 2018EF00.87500
Sep 10, 2017EF20.65000
Jun 1, 2016EF00.73000
Jun 24, 2012EF26.215000
Jun 24, 2012EF00.92500
Jul 7, 2011EF00.22000
Mar 31, 2011EF09.46000
Mar 31, 2011EF10.83000
Mar 31, 2011EF05.55000
Mar 11, 2010EF11.47000
Mar 11, 2010EF00.42000
Aug 12, 2009EF00.13000
May 12, 2009EF00.01500
Nov 30, 2008EF00.12000
Apr 15, 2007EF02.030000
Jun 24, 2006F00.34000
Jun 12, 2006F00.54000
Oct 23, 2005F01.05000
Jun 30, 2005F00.54000
Apr 23, 2005F17.015000
Sep 6, 2004F00.33000
Sep 4, 2004F03.65000
Aug 13, 2004F01.03000
Aug 13, 2004F01.03000
Feb 24, 2004F00.33000
May 24, 2003F00.23000
Aug 14, 2002F00.54000
Jul 25, 2002F01.04000
May 17, 2002F00.53300
Jul 30, 2000F00.2000
Jun 27, 2000F00.1000
Jun 27, 1999F00.3000
May 21, 1999F11.55000
May 19, 1999F01.55000
Jan 2, 1999F10.210000
Sep 25, 1998F00.53000
Sep 25, 1998F00.53000
Aug 6, 1998F00.13000
Feb 22, 1998F328.025015025
Feb 17, 1998F11.63000
Feb 16, 1998F01.53000
Dec 27, 1997F25.8150180
Dec 27, 1997F01.03000
Nov 13, 1997F00.21000
Oct 31, 1997F10.53000
Oct 31, 1997F14.02300
Oct 27, 1997F13.81000
Jun 11, 1997F00.11000
Jun 5, 1997F00.11000
May 28, 1997F00.11000
May 22, 1997F00.81000
Oct 7, 1996F06.01000
Oct 7, 1996F011.01000
Oct 7, 1996F052.01000
Mar 30, 1996F02.51000
Nov 8, 1995F01.27300
Jun 4, 1995F116.05000
Sep 19, 1994F00.11000
May 18, 1994F00.11000
May 18, 1994F00.11000
May 18, 1994F00.11000
May 16, 1994F00.11000
Apr 7, 1994F00.11000
Jan 3, 1994F01.01300
Mar 13, 1993F00.11000
Jan 4, 1993F00.11000
Dec 10, 1992F00.11000
Jun 28, 1992F00.11000
Jun 21, 1992F10.54000
Jul 17, 1991F00.11000
Jun 24, 1991F00.11000
Jun 1, 1991F00.11000
Apr 25, 1991F00.55000
Apr 25, 1991F00.54000
Apr 25, 1991F00.54000
Mar 18, 1991F00.53000
Mar 18, 1991F12.010020
Jan 19, 1991F00.84000
Aug 13, 1990F00.21000
Jul 11, 1990F00.11000
Jul 7, 1990F00.21000
Jun 22, 1990F00.21000
Jun 22, 1990F00.21000
Jun 10, 1989F00.21000
Jun 10, 1989F00.21000
Apr 13, 1989F00.21000
Nov 5, 1988F11.03000
Jun 22, 1988F11.03000
Jun 5, 1988F00.53020
Sep 1, 1987F11.03030
Aug 19, 1987F00.53000
Jun 29, 1987F02.03010
Jun 22, 1987F00.23000
May 7, 1987F01.03000
Mar 29, 1987F00.52000
Jul 5, 1986F01.03000
Jun 19, 1986F00.53000
May 9, 1986F00.53000
May 9, 1986F00.53000
Feb 11, 1986F10.51040
Feb 8, 1986F22.01000
Jul 1, 1984F00.53000
Sep 6, 1983F01.010000
Jul 25, 1983F10.53000
Jun 8, 1983F11.03020
Mar 24, 1983F10.88020
Feb 2, 1983F24.04020
Jul 31, 1982F10.31000
Jul 26, 1982F10.11000
Jun 18, 1982F10.51000
Jun 17, 1982F10.31000
Jun 15, 1982F01.01000
Apr 15, 1982F00.52000
Sep 16, 1981F01.02000
Jun 17, 1981F10.55000
Jun 13, 1981F10.53000
May 17, 1981F11.03000
Sep 24, 1979F00.12000
May 8, 1979F24.0200401
Mar 23, 1979F14.53060
Dec 1, 1978F20.63000
May 26, 1978F00.11300
Jan 8, 1978F210.010020
Jun 5, 1977F00.11300
Jun 27, 1976F00.12000
Jun 8, 1976F10.13000
May 16, 1976F00.31000
Sep 11, 1975F00.12000
May 27, 1975F09.27000
May 16, 1975F17.35000
May 9, 1975F12.55000
Apr 14, 1975F00.12300
Jun 18, 1974F10.21000
May 15, 1974F00.11000
May 6, 1974F12.02000
Apr 16, 1974F00.51020
Apr 3, 1973F10.22000
Mar 17, 1973F10.55000
Mar 17, 1973F20.32000
Mar 17, 1973F20.32010
Jan 28, 1973F214.010070
Jan 22, 1973F11.52000
Jul 13, 1972F10.25000
Jun 18, 1972F10.25040
Jun 18, 1972F10.35030
Nov 29, 1971F20.55000
Jul 28, 1971F10.32000
Jul 26, 1971F11.050000
Jul 2, 1971F01.05000
Mar 3, 1971F10.55000
Feb 3, 1970F10.11000
Jan 6, 1970F00.11000
Jul 14, 1969F10.11000
Jun 6, 1969F20.11000
Nov 11, 1968F157.21000
Nov 9, 1968F169.31030
Aug 13, 1968F10.11000
Jun 5, 1968F10.11000
Jan 24, 1968F00.11000
Dec 11, 1967F10.11000
Sep 10, 1966F10.11000
Apr 4, 1966F2123.315000
Apr 4, 1966F4135.830053011
Jul 2, 1964F20.11060
Jun 6, 1964F20.11000
Jan 12, 1964F14.72000
May 29, 1963F20.13020
Feb 19, 1963F20.21000
Feb 19, 1963F20.11000
Apr 12, 1961F114.610010
Mar 16, 1960F00.55000
Mar 15, 1960F11.010000
Jul 21, 1958F00.11000
Jan 21, 1958F10.21700
Jan 21, 1958F02.010000
May 16, 1957F00.115000
Mar 4, 1957F00.52000
Jul 2, 1956F00.11000
Apr 30, 1954F00.11000
Jan 9, 1953F29.2100120
Dec 18, 1951F20.115000
Dec 4, 1951F10.12700
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

44 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 17 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

September 17, 1928

Unnamed storm, Category 1

16.7 miles at closest approach, winds near 94 mph.

Most recent

October 10, 2024

Milton, Category 1

18.3 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 3 60s: 0 70s: 4 4 80s: 3 90s: 4 00s: 1 10s: 2 20s: 3 30s: 3 40s: 4 50s: 3 60s: 2 70s: 0 80s: 2 90s: 2 00s: 4 10s: 1 20s: 3 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Milton202418.3Category 193Category 5
Nicole20223.9Tropical storm60Category 1
Ian202249.9Category 182Category 5
Eta202093.8Tropical storm59Category 4
Irma201721.8Category 178Category 5
Julia201658.2Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Fay200868.2Tropical storm61Tropical storm
Ernesto200666.3Tropical storm40Category 1
Tammy200592.4Tropical storm48Tropical storm
Jeanne200412.0Category 175Category 3
Frances200415.8Tropical storm67Category 4
Charley200412.0Category 186Category 4
Gabrielle20014.0Tropical storm51Category 1
Jerry199513.8Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Erin19958.8Tropical storm58Category 2
Marco199068.8Tropical storm52Tropical storm
Keith198827.0Tropical storm45Category 1
Bob198586.1Tropical storm58Category 1
Isidore19845.6Tropical storm52Tropical storm
Unnamed198273.3Subtropical storm46Tropical storm
Dennis198153.6Tropical storm40Category 1
David197975.0Category 298Category 5
Gladys196864.0Category 192Category 2
Dolly196873.2Tropical storm40Category 1
Abby196835.4Tropical storm52Category 1
Unnamed196676.3Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Cleo196457.4Tropical storm52Category 4
Donna19604.2Category 178Category 4
Judith195990.4Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed195927.8Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed195667.1Tropical storm58Tropical storm
Hazel195371.8Category 174Category 1
How195181.8Tropical storm54Category 2
King195028.3Category 184Category 4
Easy195018.0Tropical storm66Category 3
Unnamed194915.0Category 178Category 4
Unnamed194772.1Tropical storm63Tropical storm
Unnamed194646.1Category 181Category 2
Unnamed19455.5Category 183Category 4
Unnamed194558.3Tropical storm69Category 2
Unnamed194423.6Category 190Category 4
Unnamed194192.6Tropical storm72Category 3
Unnamed193915.8Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed193780.8Tropical storm60Tropical storm
Unnamed193738.5Tropical storm49Tropical storm
Unnamed193675.9Tropical storm55Tropical storm
Unnamed193586.2Category 3124Category 5
Unnamed193312.0Tropical storm69Category 4
Unnamed193376.8Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed192816.7Category 194Category 5
Unnamed192895.4Tropical storm60Category 1
Unnamed19288.6Tropical storm49Category 2
Unnamed192698.8Category 3117Category 4
Unnamed192682.4Category 2104Category 4
Unnamed192566.1Post-tropical60Category 1
Unnamed192134.9Category 190Category 4
Unnamed192078.5Tropical storm60Category 1
Unnamed191613.0Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed191572.5Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed19107.4Tropical storm71Category 4
Unnamed19093.1Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed190494.7Tropical storm43Category 1
Unnamed190357.9Tropical storm62Category 1
Unnamed190185.6Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed189926.6Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed189717.2Tropical storm54Tropical storm
Unnamed189686.4Tropical storm45Category 2
Unnamed189412.0Category 178Category 3
Unnamed189219.2Tropical storm48Tropical storm
Unnamed188995.7Tropical storm52Category 1
Unnamed188819.1Tropical storm43Tropical storm
Unnamed188735.2Tropical storm43Category 1
Unnamed188671.8Category 181Category 1
Unnamed188591.8Category 194Category 2
Unnamed188077.4Category 181Category 1
Unnamed188022.3Tropical storm69Category 2
Unnamed187982.0Tropical storm66Category 1
Unnamed187859.0Category 192Category 2
Unnamed187689.8Category 192Category 3
Unnamed187494.1Category 181Category 1
Unnamed187363.6Category 2101Category 3
Unnamed187335.1Tropical storm54Tropical storm
Unnamed187218.0Tropical storm48Category 1
Unnamed187129.1Category 177Category 3
Unnamed187113.0Category 183Category 3
Unnamed187099.7Category 177Category 2
Unnamed186165.1Tropical storm61Category 1
Unnamed185913.5Category 189Category 1
Unnamed185962.9Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed18583.0Tropical storm58Category 2
Unnamed18524.2Tropical storm63Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

63 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.

Largest

February 22, 2001

Stagecoach Complex, 14,069 acres

4.1 miles from the city centre.

Most recent

May 17, 2022

New Wales (53) Fire

976 acres in total.

Acres burned by large fires within 25 miles, cumulative 1985: 8391986: 6701989: 1,1831991: 2,0821992: 2,0401993: 2,0371994: 5,5731995: 9,2041996: 1,2931997: 3,3211999: 3,1242000: 3,5372001: 15,6122003: 4,5982004: 8,0962006: 3,2532007: 8,8462008: 4,3212009: 3,2252012: 9412017: 9962020: 5212021: 1,1382022: 2,454 88,904 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
New Wales (53)202223.3976
Cr640 (53)202221.71,478
Calvin Lee Rd202122.1497
Henry George Road202122.2641
Powerline640202021.8521
South Waters201717.5996
Double Gate201220.6941
Vbs Command20095.2556
Unnamed200923.5583
Sink Hole200919.4812
New Wales East200921.61,274
Unnamed200817.8511
Unnamed200819.71,565
Unnamed200817.5675
Unnamed200821.9651
Unnamed200821.6919
Unnamed200724.4779
Unnamed200721.8702
Unnamed200716.2610
Unnamed200720.5975
Unnamed200722.3653
Unnamed200722.6927
Unnamed200718.8829
Unnamed200723.11,568
Unnamed200723.81,232
Kerry Tully200724.8571
Unnamed200623.11,259
Unnamed200616.1862
Unnamed200617.61,132
Unnamed200421.9625
Unnamed200423.51,138
Unnamed200423.11,210
Sweet Gum200419.71,889
Compressco Fire200422.6788
Unnamed200421.1839
Unnamed200419.61,607
Unnamed200322.6712
Unnamed200316.63,886
Unnamed200123.71,543
Stagecoach Complex20014.114,069
Unnamed200018.92,350
Unnamed200016.71,187
Unnamed199919.81,468
Unnamed199921.81,656
Unnamed199715.3830
Unnamed199721.51,450
Unnamed199717.61,041
Unnamed19966.0692
Unnamed199617.7601
Unnamed199518.53,729
Unnamed199521.55,475
Unnamed199414.81,368
Unnamed199418.32,174
Unnamed199417.32,031
Unnamed199317.02,037
Unnamed19924.9667
Unnamed199222.01,373
Unnamed199121.5871
Unnamed199121.8504
Unnamed199120.8707
Unnamed198913.11,183
Unnamed198622.3670
Unnamed198522.8839
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 13 days

Heavy smoke on 1 day in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

2.8 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

0 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 2 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 11 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 1 2016: 1 2017: 0 2018: 1 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 3 2022: 8 2023: 13 13 2024: 2 2025: 0 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the city centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

1,671 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $45.8 million paid.

Flood insurance figures are for Polk County, the county that contains Auburndale.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1979: 17 1988: 10 1991: 11 1994: 10 1995: 26 1997: 20 1998: 51 1999: 6 2001: 8 2002: 30 2003: 15 2004: 418 418 2005: 75 2008: 10 2009: 7 2010: 9 2011: 23 2012: 11 2013: 8 2014: 10 2015: 12 2016: 17 2017: 252 2019: 7 2020: 11 2021: 5 2022: 146 2023: 12 2024: 396 2025: 5 197919972003201020152021
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2004: 418 claims

$3.7 million paid.

2nd most

2024: 396 claims

$27.8 million paid.

3rd most

2017: 252 claims

$7.2 million paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
33810308$15.2 million
34759148$450,000
33809127$5.4 million
33844124$917,000
33898109$2.6 million
3388481$1.1 million
3381170$3.3 million
3388066$429,000
3380160$1.8 million
3382357$606,000
3381557$5.4 million
3381354$1.1 million
3388147$323,000
3383046$998,000
3386846$528,000
3380537$1.1 million
3380334$1.2 million
3384333$592,000
3386022$316,000
3381220$681,000
3385917$118,000
3384116$270,000
3383715$40,000
3385314$260,000
3385010$67,000
338979$384,000
338278$88,000
338497$101,000
338386$23,000
338966$40,000
338555$409

Flood events since 1996

  • Flood30
  • Heavy Rain17
  • Flash Flood8

1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

River gauges in Polk County, the county that contains Auburndale.

Most severe crest

September 12, 2004

Peace River at SR 60 Bartow, 11.13 ft

3.13 feet above the 8.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

October 2, 2022

Peace River at SR 60 Bartow, 10.80 ft

Major flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Sep 12, 2004Peace River at SR 60 Bartow11.13+3.13Major
Sep 13, 1960Peace River at SR 60 Bartow11.01+3.01Major
Sep 29, 2022Peace River at Fort Meade81.00+3.00Major
Sep 12, 2004Peace River at Fort Meade80.84+2.84Major
Oct 2, 2022Peace River at SR 60 Bartow10.80+2.80Major
Sep 11, 2017Peace River at Fort Meade79.84+1.84Major
Jun 22, 1959Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.73+1.73Moderate
Mar 20, 1960Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.72+1.72Moderate
Sep 17, 2017Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.48+1.48Moderate
Aug 2, 1960Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.16+1.16Minor
Mar 22, 1959Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.07+1.07Minor
Feb 23, 1998Peace River at SR 60 Bartow9.03+1.03Minor
Oct 11, 1953Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.97+0.97Minor
Mar 24, 1998Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.85+0.85Minor
Oct 15, 2024Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.84+0.84Minor
Aug 12, 1995Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.83+0.83Minor
Sep 18, 1959Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.80+0.80Minor
Sep 30, 1994Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.75+0.75Minor
Jul 14, 1959Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.73+0.73Minor
Dec 18, 2002Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.70+0.70Minor
Oct 4, 1979Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.66+0.66Minor
Aug 17, 2019Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.64+0.64Minor
Sep 29, 1998Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.62+0.62Minor
Aug 27, 2004Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.53+0.53Minor
Sep 24, 1947Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.52+0.52Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Peace River at Fort Meade78.081.00 ftSep 29, 20223
Peace River at SR 60 Bartow8.011.13 ftSep 12, 20043
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 126 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.

The drought index is for Polk County, the county that contains Auburndale.

126

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

35

Months in extreme drought

8%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

August 2026

−5.60, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

17 months

February 2000 to June 2001.

Latest month

September 2026

−5.56, extreme drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 1 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 3 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 0 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 4 1928: 3 1929: 0 1930: 0 1931: 0 1932: 8 1933: 2 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 1 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 1 1950: 1 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 0 1956: 3 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 3 1962: 6 1963: 0 1964: 0 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 1 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 2 1972: 2 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 2 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 1 1981: 8 1982: 1 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 5 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 1 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 1 1999: 7 2000: 11 11 2001: 6 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 2 2007: 10 2008: 6 2009: 2 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 1 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 2 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 7 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 3 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the city centre in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.

Severe weather and other events

1,028 events in the National Weather Service record for Polk County, 742 of them since 1996.

126

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

10

Hail, 2 inches or larger

118

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

0

Winter weather events since 1996

1

Heat events since 1996

51

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

March 30, 1996

4.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

September 6, 1989

104 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning42750Jun 15, 2018
Dense fog and smoke54738Jan 9, 2008

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Aug 13, 2004High Wind, Polk$674 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The collective effects of Hurricane Charley in southwest and west central Florida during August 13th resulted in 8 direct fatalities, 16 indirect fatalities, 792 injuries, eight tornadoes, an eight foot storm surge in Lee County, an estimated $11.2 billion in property damage (estimated to be about twice that of the insured damage), and $460 million in crop damage. The fast movement of Hurricane Charley limited rain fall totals to 4 to 6 inches along the track of the hurricane's eye wall. River flooding of one to three feet above flood stage was found on area rivers south of Interstate 4. In Hardee County there were 6 injuries, zero fatalities, and damage was estimated at $750…

  2. Sep 25, 2004High Wind, Polk$250 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Hurricane Jeanne followed the nearly the same path across Florida as Hurricane Frances three weeks earlier and was the unprecedented fourth hurricane to damage Florida during the 2004 hurricane season. The hurricane moved ashore along the east coast of Florida near Stuart late on September 25th with an eye 30 to 40 miles across. Jeanne took a course north of Lake Okeechobee and decreased to a tropical storm in eastern Polk County around 9 AM EDT on the 26th. The center of Jeanne curved north of Tampa Bay during the afternoon and travelled north along the coastal counties before exiting north through Levy County around 10 PM. In Highlands County there were 140 homes destroyed and…

  3. Sep 5, 2004High Wind, Polk$94.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Hurricane Frances made landfall just after midnight on September 5th near Vero Beach as a Category 2 storm. The hurricane continued to move slowly west northwestward across central Florida to near Bartow by 2 pm, and just northeast of Tampa by 8 pm, when it was downgraded to a tropical storm. It then emerged back into the Gulf of Mexico near Hudson shortly before midnight. Hurricane Frances took almost 24 hours to move through the Florida peninsula. Frances continued northwestward through the northern gulf of Mexico, making a second landfall on the afternoon of September 6th in the Florida big bend near Tallahassee as a tropical storm. The damage totals listed were caused by trees…

  4. Sep 10, 2017Hurricane (Typhoon), Polk$69.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    In Polk County, the highest wind reported from Hurricane Irma was a gust to 75 knots at the APRS station AR663 near Bartow. Rainfall was generally around 6 inches or greater, with the highest rain total being 17.61 inches at the CWOP station E1114 in Davenport. The wind resulted in damage to numerous homes and businesses, as well as knocking over trees and power lines. Most notably, the wind removed a 7 story tall section of facade from the Winter Haven Senior Living Center. Polk County Emergency Management reported that 96 homes or businesses were destroyed by Irma, 1604 sustained major damage, 7710 had minor damage, and an additional 18537 were affected.||The total property…

  5. Sep 28, 2022Tropical Storm, Polk$50.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    The highest wind reported in Polk County was a gust to 78 mph in Bartow at 1:58 AM EST on September 29. Rainfall generally ranged from 6 to 12 inches, with a maximum total of 12 inches reported in Frostproof. The Peace River in Bartow reached its third highest level on record at 10.8 feet at 6 AM EST on October 2. 192 structures received major damage, 789 received minor damage, with another 1500 structures affected. There were 2 fatalities directly attributed to Hurricane Ian by the medical examiner.

  6. Mar 30, 1996Hail$24.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Hail, most the size of baseballs and few the size of softballs, severely damaged the roofs and knocked out windows in nearly 600 homes in Lake Wales. The local fire station reported hail covered the ground nearly six inches deep during the peak of the hailstorm which lasted 15 minutes. Most of the damage was on the north side of homes and buildings. Estimated damage to homes and businesses was nearly $15 million dollars.Hail severely damaged the surfaces and knocked out the windshields of up to 3,000 vehicles in the Lake Wales area. Hail damage to vehicles was estimated at nearly $9 million dollars.Several trees were stripped of leaves and small branches by mostly baseball sized…

  7. Oct 18, 2019Tornado$10.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A long, continuous path of damage was found in western Polk County from a tornado, causing extensive EF-2 damage. An NWS survey and subsequent Civil Air Patrol aerial survey found numerous homes and businesses with damage to roofs, fascia, awnings, and screen enclosures, as well as fences and trees knocked down. One home was completely destroyed. Kathleen Middle School sustained significant roof damage, with rain water and sprinkler systems causing additional water damage. A camper was lifted into a residence near the middle school. The tornado crossed Interstate 4, overturning a tractor trailer. No injuries were reported.

  8. Dec 27, 1997Tornado$6.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A strong F2 tornado touched down in the Lake Region mobile home park along U.S. Highway 27 and County Road 544 in Polk county. Several mobile homes sustained major to severe damage. Residents of Haines City who heard the tornado described that the sound resembled a high-pitched whine.The F2 tornado moved northeast and travelled across U.S. Highway 27 and caused significant wall and roof damage to several well built wood, mixed brick and mobile homes over mainly south and east Haines City from County Road 544 northeast to County Road 580. The Boone Middle School over eastern Haines City had heavy damage to a main building while eleven portable classrooms were destroyed or heavily…

  9. Mar 9, 1998Tornado$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado (F0) touched down in rural semi-wooded swampland, seven miles southeast of Lake Wales in Southwest Polk County. Ground survey indicated that the tornado moved northeast across Lake-In-The-Water Road and caused sporadic minor damage to the roofs of a few homes and downed trees and branches in the Oakwood Drive subdivision. The tornado continued northeast, widened to 250 yards and intensified to F2 strength where it destroyed or severely damaged several structures along Doherty Drive.Two mobile homes that took a direct hit from the F2 tornado along Doherty Drive were completely disintegrated with only frame rails and tie downs intact. Meanwhile, in close proximity to the…

  10. Jul 1, 2005Flood, Polk$1.6 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    June rainfall of 14 to 18 inches in eastern Polk County had increased lake water levels from Lake Wales to Frostproof. The water levels were already high after three hurricanes moved over the area in 2004. Some lake levels have risen 10 feet during the last 12 months. About 107 manufactured homes have been lost to the flooding. About 175 of the 700 homes at Saddlebag Lake were surrounded by water. The county has begun pumping operations in an attempt to lower lake levels. There are no natural outlets for most of the lakes in eastern Polk County.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Winter Haven Gilbert Airport, 4.2 miles from the city centre, with records from 1996.

All-time high
102°F3 times, most recently Jun 6, 2024
All-time low
21°FJan 4, 2010
Warmest night
82°FJul 21, 2005
Coldest day
42°FJan 9, 2010
Wettest day
6.21 inSep 10, 2017
Hottest year
2019mean 76.6°F
Coldest year
2010mean 71.6°F
Wettest year
200261.77 in
Driest year
199928.27 in
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Winter Haven Gilbert Airport 72° 51° 2.0 Jan 76° 54° 1.9 Feb 80° 58° 2.2 Mar 84° 63° 2.2 Apr 90° 69° 2.6 May 92° 73° 6.9 Jun 93° 75° 6.6 Jul 92° 75° 6.3 Aug 90° 74° 5.1 Sep 86° 68° 2.0 Oct 79° 59° 1.4 Nov 74° 55° 1.9 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1997: 16 1998: 41 1999: 16 2000: 19 2001: 13 2002: 6 2003: 3 2004: 29 2005: 24 2006: 11 2007: 31 2008: 10 2009: 25 2010: 46 2011: 43 2012: 12 2013: 5 2014: 26 2015: 34 2016: 39 2017: 42 2018: 20 2019: 54 2020: 46 2021: 18 2023: 34 2024: 65 65 2025: 47 199720072017
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 27.7.

Station Winter Haven Gilbert Airport (USW00012876), 143 ft elevation, 4.2 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1996 to October 27, 2026; 97.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

42 since 1953. The most recent: Hurricane Milton, October 11, 2024.

Declarations for Polk County.

Federal disaster declarations
Oct 11, 2024HurricaneHurricane MiltonMajor disasterDR-4834-FL
Oct 7, 2024HurricaneHurricane MiltonEmergencyEM-3622-FL
Aug 10, 2024Tropical StormHurricane DebbyMajor disasterDR-4806-FL
Aug 3, 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm DebbyEmergencyEM-3605-FL
Aug 31, 2023HurricaneHurricane IdaliaMajor disasterDR-4734-FL
Aug 28, 2023Tropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaEmergencyEM-3596-FL
Dec 13, 2022HurricaneHurricane NicoleMajor disasterDR-4680-FL
Nov 8, 2022Tropical StormTropical Storm NicoleEmergencyEM-3587-FL
Sep 29, 2022HurricaneHurricane IanMajor disasterDR-4673-FL
Sep 24, 2022HurricaneTropical Storm IanEmergencyEM-3584-FL
Mar 25, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4486-FL
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3432-FL
Aug 30, 2019HurricaneHurricane DorianEmergencyEM-3419-FL
Sep 10, 2017HurricaneHurricane IrmaMajor disasterDR-4337-FL
Sep 5, 2017HurricaneHurricane IrmaEmergencyEM-3385-FL
Apr 22, 2017FireIndian Lake Estates FireFire managementFM-5180-FL
Oct 6, 2016HurricaneHurricane MatthewEmergencyEM-3377-FL
Jul 3, 2012Severe StormTropical Storm DebbyMajor disasterDR-4068-FL
Aug 24, 2008Severe StormTropical Storm FayMajor disasterDR-1785-FL
Aug 21, 2008Severe StormTropical Storm FayEmergencyEM-3288-FL
Mar 26, 2007Fire53 Big Pine FireFire managementFM-2684-FL
Oct 24, 2005HurricaneHurricane WilmaMajor disasterDR-1609-FL
Sep 5, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3220-FL
Sep 26, 2004HurricaneHurricane JeanneMajor disasterDR-1561-FL
Sep 16, 2004HurricaneHurricane IvanMajor disasterDR-1551-FL
Sep 4, 2004HurricaneHurricane FrancesMajor disasterDR-1545-FL
Aug 13, 2004HurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disasterDR-1539-FL
Mar 18, 2001FireFl - Lakeland Complex FireFire managementFM-2353-FL
Feb 5, 2001FreezingSevere FreezeMajor disasterDR-1359-FL
May 20, 2000FireLakeland District FireFire managementFM-2300-FL
Oct 20, 1999HurricaneFl-Hurricane Irene-Dr-ReqMajor disasterDR-1306-FL
Oct 15, 1999HurricaneTropical Storm Irene - FloridaEmergencyEM-3150-FL
Apr 27, 1999FireFl-Fires 04/15/99EmergencyEM-3139-FL
Apr 21, 1999FireFl-Fires 04/13/99Fire managementFM-2259-FL
Jun 18, 1998FireExtreme Fire HazardMajor disasterDR-1223-FL
Jan 6, 1998Severe StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1195-FL
Mar 13, 1993TornadoTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingMajor disasterDR-982-FL
Jan 15, 1990FreezingSevere FreezeMajor disasterDR-851-FL
Mar 18, 1985FreezingSevere FreezeMajor disasterDR-732-FL
Mar 29, 1984FreezingFreezing TemperaturesMajor disasterDR-698-FL
May 15, 1979Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disasterDR-586-FL
Jan 31, 1977FreezingSevere Winter WeatherMajor disasterDR-526-FL

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00012876.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.