Carrboro

Population 20,962 (2025)

21 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Carrboro since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1893 (Category 1).

Hazard fingerprint for Carrboro Tornado: 39th percentile. Tropical: 72th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 83th percentile. Hail & wind: 86th percentile. Heat: 47th percentile. Cold: 9th percentile. Winter: 58th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195053
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger49
  • Major flood years since 1978, Orange County5

At a glance

Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Orange County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Orange County.

Flood insurance claims

568

Orange County

$36.4 million paid since 1978

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

21

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950, within 25 mi

53

3 rated F3/EF3 or stronger

Details

Strongest tornado

F4

November 27, 1988, 83.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1893, 38.5 miles away

Federal disaster declarations

26

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Record high

107°F

Reached 2 times, most recently July 19, 1902

Details

Record low

−8°F

January 21, 1985

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 1.4 years since 1950, 3 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

November 27, 1988

F4, 83.0 mile path

400 yards wide; 4 killed along the whole path.

Deadliest

April 16, 2011

6 killed, EF3

103 injured along the whole path.

Most recent

Sunday, July 6, 2025

EF1, 0.2 mile path

Within the past year.

Tornadoes by decade, within 25 miles Doppler radar era² 1950s: 3 3 1960s: 3 3 1970s: 6 6 1980s: 5 5 1990s: 9 9 2000s: 9 9 2010s: 6 6 2020s: 12 12 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 2 F: 1 M: 9 A: 6 M: 10 10 J: 3 J: 10 A: 1 S: 6 O: 2 N: 2 D: 1 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes within 25 miles since 1950
Jul 6, 2025EF10.225000
Jul 6, 2025EF10.617500
Jul 6, 2025EF11.410000
Jul 6, 2025EF11.015000
Sep 27, 2024EF10.65000
Sep 26, 2024EF00.35000
May 23, 2022EF01.510000
May 6, 2022EF13.540000
Mar 31, 2022EF10.210000
May 10, 2021EF11.220000
Mar 18, 2021EF14.220000
Apr 13, 2020EF14.544000
Apr 19, 2019EF210.160000
Apr 19, 2019EF11.915000
Feb 24, 2016EF10.43000
May 15, 2014EF10.815000
Apr 16, 2011EF365.25001036
Oct 27, 2010EF12.95000
Aug 27, 2008EF02.610000
May 14, 2006F00.55000
Jan 14, 2005F00.35000
Sep 27, 2004F04.05000
Sep 17, 2004F00.52500
Sep 8, 2004F00.52500
May 31, 2003F00.21000
Jun 1, 2001F00.12500
Jun 19, 2000F00.12000
May 7, 1998F11.53000
Mar 20, 1998F00.23000
Mar 20, 1998F00.13000
Jul 12, 1996F04.510000
Mar 27, 1994F00.11000
Jan 28, 1994F00.11000
Mar 27, 1993F00.53000
Nov 23, 1992F35.51,200102
Mar 29, 1991F226.030000
Jul 16, 1989F10.13000
Jun 28, 1989F10.12300
May 5, 1989F28.710000
Nov 27, 1988F483.04001544
Apr 4, 1984F21.76740
Jul 27, 1977F10.11000
Jul 21, 1977F10.11000
May 7, 1977F01.02300
Dec 31, 1975F00.11000
Jul 13, 1975F10.11010
Mar 19, 1975F12.06710
Jul 11, 1967F11.02700
May 14, 1967F00.11000
Oct 7, 1965F26.12700
Sep 29, 1959F10.11000
Mar 18, 1956F20.310000
Apr 5, 1952F26.930000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

21 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 13, 1893

Unnamed storm, Category 1

38.5 miles at closest approach, winds near 90 mph.

Most recent

September 23, 2023

Ophelia, Tropical storm

92.3 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 1 60s: 1 70s: 1 80s: 6 6 90s: 3 00s: 2 10s: 0 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 1 50s: 1 60s: 0 70s: 1 80s: 0 90s: 1 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 1 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Ophelia202392.3Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Elsa202124.5Tropical storm52Category 1
Claudette202157.6Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Zeta202088.0Tropical storm52Category 3
Isaias202075.1Tropical storm69Category 1
Nestor201941.4Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Michael20188.4Tropical storm54Category 5
Andrea201355.6Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Hanna200857.5Tropical storm52Category 1
Alberto200664.2Post-tropical40Tropical storm
Isabel200393.9Category 175Category 5
Earl199874.8Post-tropical58Category 2
Fran199613.4Tropical storm60Category 3
Bertha199697.8Tropical storm72Category 3
Bob198564.3Tropical storm40Category 1
Diana198488.5Tropical storm46Category 4
David197959.7Tropical storm46Category 5
Agnes197291.0Tropical storm44Category 1
Alma197026.7Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed196558.8Post-tropical41Tropical storm
Isbell196483.2Post-tropical40Category 3
Brenda196099.7Tropical storm61Tropical storm
Flossy195699.0Post-tropical58Category 1
Diane195528.2Tropical storm60Category 2
Hazel195444.3Post-tropical92Category 4
Able195261.3Tropical storm46Category 2
Unnamed195289.1Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed194984.9Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194786.0Post-tropical40Tropical storm
Unnamed19455.9Tropical storm49Category 4
Unnamed194429.7Post-tropical51Category 4
Unnamed194451.5Tropical storm49Category 1
Unnamed193532.6Tropical storm55Category 5
Unnamed192916.4Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed192879.5Category 175Category 5
Unnamed192488.5Post-tropical69Category 1
Unnamed191674.8Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed191563.1Tropical storm44Category 1
Unnamed191353.6Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed191270.4Post-tropical40Tropical storm
Unnamed190439.8Tropical storm67Category 1
Unnamed190268.4Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed190216.4Tropical storm43Tropical storm
Unnamed189937.0Tropical storm71Category 2
Unnamed189616.9Category 181Category 3
Unnamed189498.4Tropical storm69Category 3
Unnamed189338.5Category 190Category 3
Unnamed189374.6Tropical storm43Category 4
Unnamed189353.4Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed18897.3Tropical storm46Category 2
Unnamed188814.4Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed188642.1Tropical storm44Category 2
Unnamed188628.4Tropical storm40Category 2
Unnamed18856.0Tropical storm46Tropical storm
Unnamed188354.1Tropical storm49Category 3
Unnamed188221.4Tropical storm46Category 3
Unnamed187844.0Tropical storm60Category 2
Unnamed187731.1Post-tropical58Category 3
Unnamed187698.6Category 183Category 3
Unnamed187477.2Tropical storm67Category 1
Unnamed186733.6Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed185910.7Tropical storm49Category 1
Unnamed185454.4Tropical storm48Category 3
Unnamed185178.7Tropical storm46Category 3
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped within 25 miles since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 41 days

Heavy smoke on 6 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

9.6 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

8 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 4 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 2 2016: 1 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 4 2021: 17 2022: 11 2023: 41 41 2024: 7 2025: 8 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the city centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

568 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $36.4 million paid.

Flood insurance figures are for Orange County, the county that contains Carrboro.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1982: 8 1993: 7 1995: 16 1996: 49 1999: 5 2000: 54 2008: 10 2013: 75 2015: 9 2016: 15 2018: 89 2019: 9 2024: 8 2025: 177 177 198220002018
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2025: 177 claims

$21.1 million paid.

2nd most

2018: 89 claims

$5.5 million paid.

3rd most

2013: 75 claims

$4.6 million paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
27514316$26.2 million
27517134$4.6 million
2751045$2.6 million
2751643$1.6 million
2727820$1.3 million

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood76
  • Flood4
  • Heavy Rain3

1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

River gauges in Orange County, the county that contains Carrboro.

Most severe crest

September 6, 1996

Bolin Creek at Village Drive, 23.10 ft

8.10 feet above the 15.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

July 6, 2025

Cane Creek near Carrboro, 9.74 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Sep 6, 1996Bolin Creek at Village Drive23.10+8.10Major
Jun 29, 1973Bolin Creek at Village Drive22.67+7.67Major
Feb 2, 1973Bolin Creek at Village Drive22.19+7.19Major
Sep 6, 1996Eno River at Hillsborough21.13+5.13Major
Jul 6, 2025Cane Creek near Carrboro9.74+3.74Moderate
Sep 6, 1996Cane Creek near Carrboro7.90+1.90Moderate
Sep 17, 2018Morgan Creek near White Cross9.87+1.87Moderate
Apr 13, 2019Cane Creek near Carrboro7.83+1.83Moderate
Sep 12, 1996Bolin Creek at Village Drive16.00+1.00Moderate
Sep 17, 2018Booker Creek near Chapel Hill17.61+3.61Minor
Aug 8, 2024Morgan Creek near Chapel Hill12.75+1.75Minor
Sep 27, 2024Morgan Creek near Chapel Hill12.09+1.09Minor
Sep 27, 2024Morgan Creek near White Cross8.72+0.72Minor
Mar 4, 1993Cane Creek near Carrboro6.39+0.39Minor
May 15, 2025Morgan Creek near Chapel Hill11.37+0.37Minor
Feb 17, 1998Cane Creek near Carrboro6.15+0.15Minor
May 14, 2025Morgan Creek near White Cross8.09+0.09Minor
Jul 16, 1989Cane Creek near Carrboro6.04+0.04Minor
Aug 8, 2024Morgan Creek near White Cross8.04+0.04Minor
Sep 27, 2024Cane Creek near Carrboro6.02+0.02Minor
Jan 9, 2024Cane Creek near Carrboro6.000.00Minor
Apr 29, 1997Eno River at Hillsborough15.83−0.17Action
Oct 11, 2018Morgan Creek near White Cross7.23−0.77Action
Sep 17, 2018Eno River at Hillsborough14.86−1.14Below flood stage
Oct 11, 2018Cane Creek near Carrboro4.27−1.73Below flood stage

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Bolin Creek at Village Drive15.023.10 ftSep 6, 19963
Booker Creek at SR 1751 near Chapel Hill12.08.44 ftJan 9, 20240
Booker Creek near Chapel Hill14.017.61 ftSep 17, 20180
Cane Creek near Carrboro6.09.74 ftJul 6, 20250
Eno River at Hillsborough16.021.13 ftSep 6, 19961
Morgan Creek near Chapel Hill11.012.75 ftAug 8, 20240
Morgan Creek near White Cross8.09.87 ftSep 17, 20180
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 77 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 9 months.

The drought index is for Orange County, the county that contains Carrboro.

77

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

19

Months in extreme drought

5%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

January 1942

−5.61, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

9 months

August 1941 to April 1942.

Latest month

September 2026

−4.20, extreme drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 1 1913: 0 1914: 0 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 4 1922: 0 1923: 1 1924: 0 1925: 6 1926: 8 8 1927: 4 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 0 1931: 2 1932: 2 1933: 3 1934: 2 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 5 1942: 4 1943: 1 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 2 1952: 0 1953: 1 1954: 1 1955: 0 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 0 1964: 0 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 2 1977: 2 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 4 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 6 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 1 2007: 5 2008: 2 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 2 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes and landslides

3 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1981; none reached magnitude 4.

0

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

0

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

March 4, 1981

Magnitude 2.8

6 km E of Randleman, North Carolina; 37.3 miles away, 0.6 miles deep.

  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Mapped landslides

Landslides mapped in Orange County.

4

Landslides mapped, probable or better

2

With a recorded date

1

Source inventory

Mapped by NC GS (4).

  1. Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.

USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

592 events in the National Weather Service record for Orange County, 525 of them since 1996.

45

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

1

Hail, 2 inches or larger

250

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

79

Winter weather events since 1996

8

Heat events since 1996

2

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

May 14, 1967

2.75 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

April 26, 1986

79 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning1021May 23, 2022

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Jul 6, 2025Flash Flood$30.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    There were numerous reports of stranded/submerged vehicles, washed out roadways, apartments and residential homes flooded, and law enforcement performed multiple water rescues, including one at Camelot Village. Total estimated damages may have exceeded 30 million across Orange County.

  2. Sep 17, 2018Flood$26.4 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Torrential rainfall of 6 to 10 inches caused widespread flooding across the county, which caused flooding along the Eno River and other creeks and streams throughout the county. Additionally, water held in Jordan Lake from rainfall in its headwaters resulted in flooding along the lake into far southeast portions of the county. Flooding damaged approximately 276 structures throughout the county, destroying 1 and resulting in $26.4 million in property damage. Numerous roads were closed due to flooding. Numerous homes and businesses were flooded as well. While final losses on crops are not yet tallied, estimates around $5 million or more are possible.

  3. Jul 23, 2000Flash Flood$6.4 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Flooding of streets and buldings was reported countywide, especially in Chapel Hill and Carrboro. The Eastgate Shopping center was damaged, as well as several apartments and homes. A bridge was washed out on Piney Mountain Rd.

  4. Jun 30, 2013Flash Flood$3.6 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Heavy rain (4-5 inches) resulted in extensive flooding in the city of Chapel Hill. The first floor of the Town Hall flooded and may be closed for up to a year for repairs. Franklin Street saw widespread flooding, with water above the windows of cars in several locations and some businesses also being impacted. Several buildings on the University of North Carolina had water in them, including the bottom floor of Granville Tower. Another area of the city that experienced flooding was the East Gate Shopping Center, where water entered several businesses and stranded many cars in the parking lot. One hard hit residential areas was along Estes Drive near Highway 15-501, where the…

  5. Mar 6, 2014Ice Storm, Orange$2.7 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    One quarter to one half of an inch of ice from freezing rain resulted in widespread downed trees and power-lines. Additionally, snowfall of 1 to 1.5 inches fell across the county.

  6. Apr 19, 2019Tornado$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado initially touched down in the White Cross area and Leslie Drive area of southwest Orange County. Considerable tree damage occurred in this area, including the snapping and splitting of healthy large-trunk trees. Subsequent damage to vehicles and homes occurred as the trees fell. Given the magnitude and nature of the damage, wind speeds were estimated at 110 mph. The tornado then tracked north-northeast eventually crossing Dodsons Cross Road, Dairlyland Road, Arthur Minnis Road, and Borland Roads, all while producing similar tree damage. The tornado finally began to lift and/or dissipate near Hillsborough just north of I-40 near exit 261, but not before producing…

  7. Dec 11, 2008Lightning$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Lightning struck a home in Chapel Hill and caught fire. The house burned to the ground when the lightning got into the gas lines of the home.

  8. Oct 29, 2020Strong Wind, Orange$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Frequent wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph resulted in scattered to numerous trees and power lines down across Orange County, including some on homes. Numerous customers lost power in Orange County as a result of the strong winds.

  9. Feb 25, 2015Winter Storm, Orange$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Snowfall/sleet amounts of 5 to 8 inches fell across the county. The heavy wet snow caused widespread power outages from falling trees and power lines. At the peak of the storm, over 7,000 customers were without power in the county.

  10. Jul 2, 2002Lightning$880,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Lightning started at least three house fires around Chapel Hill. The worst damage was sustained at a condominium complex on Copperline Drive.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Chapel Hill 2 W, 1.3 miles from the city centre, with records from 1891.

All-time high
107°F2 times, most recently Jul 19, 1902
All-time low
−8°FJan 21, 1985
Warmest night
80°F2 times, most recently Jul 20, 1946
Coldest day
8°FFeb 13, 1899
Wettest day
8.00 inJul 7, 2025
Snowiest day
12.0 in2 times, most recently Dec 17, 1930
Hottest year
1921mean 63.9°F
Coldest year
1978mean 55.4°F
Wettest year
192967.92 in
Driest year
194130.19 in
Snowiest season
21.3 in1979-80
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Chapel Hill 2 W 32°F 51° 29° 3.7 Jan 55° 32° 3.2 Feb 63° 38° 4.1 Mar 72° 47° 3.8 Apr 79° 56° 3.9 May 86° 65° 3.7 Jun 90° 69° 5.3 Jul 88° 68° 4.7 Aug 82° 62° 5.5 Sep 72° 49° 3.2 Oct 63° 38° 3.1 Nov 54° 33° 4.1 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 4 1977: 29 1978: 4 1980: 17 1982: 0 1984: 0 1985: 12 1986: 24 1987: 23 1988: 33 33 1989: 9 1990: 19 1991: 15 1992: 4 1993: 17 1994: 4 1995: 7 1996: 6 1997: 13 1998: 17 1999: 25 2000: 2 2001: 4 2002: 29 2003: 2 2004: 3 2005: 10 2006: 9 2007: 28 2008: 11 2009: 4 2010: 26 2011: 19 2012: 15 2013: 0 2014: 7 2015: 9 2016: 10 2019: 20 2020: 6 2021: 6 2022: 6 2023: 5 2024: 14 2025: 7 19761989199920092021
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 11.2.
Snowfall by winter 1962: 7.5 in 1963: 0.5 in 1964: 13.0 in 1965: 0.0 in 1966: 1.0 in 1968: 12.0 in 1970: 3.0 in 1971: 5.5 in 1973: 4.0 in 1974: 0.0 in 1975: 0.0 in 1976: 3.5 in 1979: 21.3 in 21.3 1980: 7.6 in 1981: 0.6 in 1982: 5.3 in 1983: 5.0 in 1984: 6.5 in 1985: 1.5 in 1986: 13.1 in 1987: 7.9 in 1988: 8.1 in 1989: 3.5 in 1990: 0.0 in 1991: 0.0 in 1992: 2.1 in 1993: 4.3 in 1994: 0.8 in 1995: 12.3 in 1996: 0.3 in 1998: 0.0 in 1999: 18.2 in 2000: 3.7 in 2001: 0.0 in 2002: 4.5 in 2003: 11.4 in 2004: 0.4 in 2005: 0.0 in 2006: 0.0 in 2007: 0.0 in 2008: 0.0 in 2009: 0.0 in 19621975198719982008
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

January 8

Earliest: November 10, 1987

Median last snow

February 11

Latest: April 19, 1983

15 of 60 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Chapel Hill 2 W (USC00311677), 500 ft elevation, 1.3 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1891 to October 28, 2026; 96.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

26 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.

Declarations for Orange County.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 24, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3637-NC
Sep 11, 2025Tropical DepressionTropical Depression ChantalMajor disasterDR-4889-NC
Sep 26, 2024Tropical StormHurricane HeleneEmergencyEM-3617-NC
Aug 6, 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm DebbyEmergencyEM-3608-NC
Oct 1, 2022HurricaneHurricane IanEmergencyEM-3586-NC
Aug 2, 2020HurricaneHurricane IsaiasEmergencyEM-3534-NC
Mar 25, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4487-NC
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3471-NC
Sep 3, 2019HurricaneHurricane DorianEmergencyEM-3423-NC
Jan 31, 2019HurricaneTropical Storm MichaelMajor disasterDR-4412-NC
Sep 14, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceMajor disasterDR-4393-NC
Sep 10, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3401-NC
Oct 7, 2016HurricaneHurricane MatthewEmergencyEM-3380-NC
Mar 31, 2014Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormMajor disasterDR-4167-NC
Sep 5, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3222-NC
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1490-NC
Mar 27, 2003Severe Ice StormIce StormMajor disasterDR-1457-NC
Dec 12, 2002Severe Ice StormSevere Ice StormMajor disasterDR-1448-NC
Jan 31, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormMajor disasterDR-1312-NC
Sep 16, 1999HurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disasterDR-1292-NC
Sep 15, 1999HurricaneHurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergencyEM-3146-NC
Sep 6, 1996HurricaneHurricane FranMajor disasterDR-1134-NC
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96Major disasterDR-1087-NC
Mar 17, 1993SnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormEmergencyEM-3110-NC
Aug 11, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3049-NC
Mar 2, 1977SnowstormDrought & FreezingEmergencyEM-3033-NC

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00311677.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.