Culpeper
Population 22,074 (2025)
12 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Culpeper since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 1).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195057
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger23
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19844
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Culpeper County. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Culpeper County.
Strongest tornado
F4
September 24, 2001, 10.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 45.1 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 1.3 years since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
September 24, 2001
F4, 10.0 mile path
75 yards wide.
Most recent
Thursday, August 8, 2024
EF1, 6.9 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 2024 | EF0 | 4.8 | 5 | 0 |
| May 5, 2017 | EF1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2011 | EF1 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2008 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF1 | 9.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2006 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2006 | F0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F3 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 2, 2004 | F1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2003 | F0 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 2003 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 6, 2002 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F4 | 10.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 2001 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 2000 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1999 | F1 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1999 | F1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 10, 1997 | F1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 10, 1997 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1994 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 22, 1992 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F3 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F2 | 1.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 14, 1980 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 19, 1978 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 19, 1977 | F1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 12, 1976 | F2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 21, 1976 | F3 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 17, 1965 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1962 | F2 | 22.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 1960 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
45.1 miles at closest approach, winds near 94 mph.
Most recent
October 29, 2020
Zeta, Post-tropical
47.6 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Zeta | 2020 | 47.6 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 82.0 | Tropical storm |
| Hanna | 2008 | 84.5 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 70.4 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 40.1 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 99.6 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 47.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1963 | 90.5 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 16.3 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 83.6 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 28.9 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 8.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 14.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 50.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 56.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 75.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 34.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 46.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 54.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 19.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 73.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 3.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 60.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 96.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 55.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 43.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 75.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 16.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 11.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 84.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 7.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 94.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 45.1 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 79.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 94.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 32.6 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
4 large fires burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
October 26, 2023
Quaker Run Fire, 4,047 acres
17.8 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
March 20, 2024
Rocky Branch Fire
1,019 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Rocky Branch | 2024 | 23.1 | 1,019 |
| Quaker Run | 2023 | 17.8 | 4,047 |
| Neighbor Mtn Fire | 2012 | 24.2 | 1,985 |
| Smith Run Fire | 2011 | 24.4 | 1,911 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 51 days
Heavy smoke on 13 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
12.1 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
43 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $722,000 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Culpeper County, the county that contains Culpeper.
Most claims in one year
1996: 6 claims
$41,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 22701 | 30 | $601,000 |
| 22733 | 9 | $121,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood101
- Flash Flood55
- Heavy Rain14
4 deaths recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Culpeper County, the county that contains Culpeper.
Most severe crest
June 28, 1995
Rapidan River near Culpeper, 30.40 ft
17.40 feet above the 13.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 14, 2025
Hazel River at Rixeyville, 20.35 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Hazel River at Rixeyville | 16.0 | 31.80 ft | 8 |
| Rapidan River near Culpeper | 13.0 | 30.40 ft | 9 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 84 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 13 months.
The drought index is for Culpeper County, the county that contains Culpeper.
84
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
15
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
11
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−5.98, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
13 months
July 1930 to July 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.87, moderate drought
Last severe month: August 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
6 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.
11
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
6
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 23, 2011
11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 38.9 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 25, 2012
Magnitude 3.0
13 km S of Louisa, Virginia; 39.0 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 25, 2011 | 4.5 | 36.2 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 4.2 | 38.5 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 5.8 | 38.9 |
| Dec 9, 2003 | 4.5 | 48.4 |
| Aug 17, 1984 | 4.2 | 45.0 |
| Apr 9, 1918 | 4.6 | 26.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
887 events in the National Weather Service record for Culpeper County, 845 of them since 1996.
37
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
213
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
144
Winter weather events since 1996
56
Heat events since 1996
52
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 4, 1996
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 25, 2004
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 1 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 100 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Feb 14, 2003Winter Storm, Culpeper$2.1 million
National Weather Service narrative
A complex storm system produced copious amounts of wintery precipitation across the northern third of Virginia between the evening of the 14th and midday on the 18th. The first batch of precipitation fell between the evening of the 14th and the evening of the 15th in the form of light to moderate snow or rain. The second batch of precipitation fell between midnight on the 16th through midday on the 17th in the form of heavy snow or sleet. The third batch of precipitation on the back side of the storm fell between the evening of the 17th and midday on the 18th in the form of scattered snow showers. After the precipitation came to an end, record breaking snow and sleet accumulations…
- Sep 24, 2001Tornado$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado damaged several buildings and destroyed one home before crossing into Fauquier County. Two people were injured when the tornado damaged a trailer park.
- Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Culpeper$1.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Sep 17, 2004Tornado$850,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado touched down in Mitchells along Route 615. The tornado moved over several out buildings and homes. At least 12 homes sustained moderate to severe damage. Numerous trees were uprooted, and a shed was picked up off its foundation by the storm.
- Sep 6, 1996Flood, Culpeper$350,000
National Weather Service narrative
The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…
- Jun 22, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Hundreds of trees, branches, and wires blew down across northern Culpeper County between Amissville, Jeffersonton, and Rixeyville between 4:40 and 4:50 PM. Minor damage to farm buildings was reported, as well. This was part of the same destructive thunderstorm cluster that affected Fauquier County. Peak winds were estimated to be up to around 75 MPH in this area.
- Jun 6, 2025Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees blew down in the Rapidan and Locust Dale areas. A few trees fell onto houses. Damage was reported at the Rapidan Volunteer Fire Department.
- May 26, 2024Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
The National Weather Service conducted a ground survey of storm damage in the Rixeyville area that occurred on Sunday night, May 26, 2024. NWS Doppler Weather Radar in Sterling, Virginia showed a rotating severe thunderstorm that developed a tornado. Radar also showed a tornado damage signature due to lofted debris from the tornado as it was occurring. The tornado touched down along VA-714 Dunkard Church|Road, a third of a mile west of VA-729 Eggbornsville Road in rural, northwest Culpeper County. Several trees were snapped and uprooted in multiple directions. The tornado proceeded east-northeast and crossed VA-729 Eggbornsville Road. In this area, two dozen trees were noted to be…
- Sep 6, 1996Flash Flood$240,000
- Sep 17, 2004Tornado$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado touched down north of Culpeper near Catalpa. The tornado blew down branches from severaltrees. It blew in a garage door and the roof was blown off the garage and off part of the house.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Piedmont Rsch Station, 18.1 miles from the city centre, with records from 1946.
- All-time high
- 106°F2 times, most recently Jul 1, 1959
- All-time low
- −11°FFeb 5, 1996
- Warmest night
- 81°FJul 2, 1955
- Coldest day
- 12°F2 times, most recently Jan 20, 1994
- Wettest day
- 7.85 inJun 22, 1972
- Snowiest day
- 18.0 inMar 6, 1962
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 59.0°F
- Coldest year
- 2014mean 52.5°F
- Wettest year
- 199663.47 in
- Driest year
- 196330.37 in
- Snowiest season
- 57.0 in1995-96
Median first snow
December 10
Earliest: October 10, 1979
Median last snow
March 11
Latest: April 13, 1957
3 of 67 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Piedmont Rsch Station (USC00446712), 520 ft elevation, 18.1 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1946 to October 27, 2026; 98.7% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
23 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
Declarations for Culpeper County.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4644-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Nov 4, 2011 | Earthquake | DR-4042-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Jul 1, 1995 | Severe Storm | DR-1059-VA |
| Apr 11, 1994 | Severe Storm | DR-1021-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Oct 10, 1972 | Flood | DR-359-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00446712.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.