Manassas Park

Population 16,560 (2025)

12 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Manassas Park since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 1).

Hazard fingerprint for Manassas Park Tornado: 0th percentile. Tropical: 53th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 99th percentile. Hail & wind: 97th percentile. Heat: 0th percentile. Cold: 0th percentile. Winter: 0th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195087
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger26
  • Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19841

At a glance

Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Manassas Park city. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Manassas Park city.

Flood insurance claims

5

Manassas Park city

$9,145 paid since 1978

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

12

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950, within 25 mi

87

6 rated F3/EF3 or stronger

Details

Large wildfires within 25 mi

1

Largest: Nco, 1999

Details

Strongest tornado

F4

April 28, 2002, 38.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 20.6 miles away

Federal disaster declarations

14

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Record high

105°F

July 22, 2011

Details

Tornadoes

About one tornado a year since 1950, 6 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

April 28, 2002

F4, 38.0 mile path

650 yards wide; 3 killed along the whole path.

Most recent

Thursday, August 8, 2024

EF1, 6.9 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade, within 25 miles Doppler radar era² 1950s: 4 4 1960s: 1 1 1970s: 5 5 1980s: 7 7 1990s: 13 13 2000s: 27 27 2010s: 24 24 2020s: 6 6 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 1 F: 1 M: 4 A: 13 M: 6 J: 11 J: 10 A: 7 S: 21 21 O: 11 N: 2 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes within 25 miles since 1950
Aug 8, 2024EF16.915000
Jun 5, 2024EF18.815000
Mar 31, 2022EF00.15000
Mar 31, 2022EF00.13000
Jul 1, 2021EF14.312500
Feb 7, 2020EF03.425000
Apr 19, 2019EF04.110000
Jul 24, 2018EF00.210000
Aug 11, 2017EF01.410000
Apr 6, 2017EF01.62510
Apr 6, 2017EF04.95000
Apr 6, 2017EF03.22500
Apr 6, 2017EF00.97500
Apr 6, 2017EF00.97500
Apr 6, 2017EF00.95000
Jun 20, 2015EF02.110000
Oct 15, 2014EF02.37500
May 16, 2014EF00.47500
Jun 13, 2013EF020.115000
Jun 1, 2012EF00.65000
Oct 13, 2011EF02.95000
Oct 13, 2011EF01.67500
Oct 13, 2011EF02.77500
Oct 13, 2011EF06.07500
Apr 27, 2011EF01.17500
Apr 27, 2011EF15.812500
Apr 27, 2011EF03.35000
Apr 16, 2011EF04.15000
Mar 10, 2011EF04.97500
Mar 10, 2011EF14.47500
Jul 23, 2008EF01.43000
Jun 4, 2008EF05.415000
Jun 4, 2008EF04.015000
Aug 30, 2005F15.030000
Sep 17, 2004F215.020010
Sep 17, 2004F13.57500
Sep 17, 2004F24.025000
Sep 17, 2004F112.020000
Sep 17, 2004F16.010000
Sep 17, 2004F213.020000
Sep 17, 2004F28.015000
Sep 17, 2004F39.020020
Sep 8, 2004F05.515000
Sep 8, 2004F10.810000
Sep 8, 2004F21.520000
Sep 8, 2004F15.015000
Nov 5, 2003F04.07500
Nov 5, 2003F09.07510
Jul 9, 2003F00.57500
Jul 9, 2003F110.010000
May 7, 2003F15.07500
Apr 28, 2002F438.06501223
Sep 24, 2001F114.010020
Sep 24, 2001F011.07500
Sep 24, 2001F16.07500
Sep 24, 2001F410.07520
May 22, 2001F01.05000
Jun 18, 1997F04.03000
May 25, 1997F01.07300
Jul 19, 1996F02.05000
Jun 24, 1996F220.020010
Jun 24, 1996F01.010000
Oct 14, 1995F00.74000
Oct 5, 1995F11.510000
May 18, 1995F00.55000
Sep 27, 1993F00.21300
Sep 27, 1993F23.010020
Jul 14, 1993F00.51700
Aug 4, 1992F12.07300
Oct 18, 1990F00.11000
Jul 21, 1987F00.25000
Jul 12, 1987F11.52300
Oct 13, 1983F21.04000
Oct 13, 1983F01.01700
Oct 13, 1983F00.31000
Jul 28, 1981F20.12700
Jun 3, 1980F22.710000
Sep 5, 1979F20.55020
Sep 5, 1979F317.930061
Jun 20, 1978F21.05000
Jan 26, 1978F30.7250101
Apr 1, 1973F39.8100370
Aug 9, 1969F20.11000
Sep 7, 1954F13.81000
May 17, 1953F15.91000
Aug 31, 1952F10.17000
Aug 31, 1952F12.010000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 23, 1878

Unnamed storm, Category 1

20.6 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.

Most recent

July 9, 2021

Elsa, Tropical storm

94.5 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 0 60s: 0 70s: 2 80s: 0 90s: 3 3 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 2 50s: 3 60s: 0 70s: 0 80s: 0 90s: 0 00s: 0 10s: 0 20s: 0 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Elsa202194.5Tropical storm55Category 1
Zeta202050.6Post-tropical52Category 3
Isaias202062.3Tropical storm68Category 1
Sandy201287.8Post-tropical60Category 3
Hanna200873.0Tropical storm52Category 1
Ernesto200640.0Post-tropical46Category 1
Isabel200375.8Tropical storm60Category 5
Bertha199679.5Tropical storm69Category 3
Danielle199291.9Tropical storm44Tropical storm
David197964.1Tropical storm46Category 5
Diane195524.8Tropical storm44Category 2
Connie195549.4Tropical storm60Category 4
Hazel19547.0Post-tropical84Category 4
Able195220.1Tropical storm55Category 2
Unnamed194929.7Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194540.3Post-tropical40Category 4
Unnamed194455.1Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194342.0Tropical storm48Tropical storm
Unnamed193423.1Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed193313.9Tropical storm63Category 4
Unnamed192933.3Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed192817.5Post-tropical52Category 5
Unnamed192878.1Post-tropical48Category 2
Unnamed191511.8Tropical storm47Category 1
Unnamed190491.2Tropical storm69Category 1
Unnamed190269.0Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed190294.3Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed189938.1Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed189663.6Tropical storm71Category 3
Unnamed189339.8Tropical storm44Tropical storm
Unnamed189335.8Category 175Category 3
Unnamed189316.0Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188875.2Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed188533.7Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed188295.9Tropical storm52Category 3
Unnamed187820.6Category 192Category 2
Unnamed187783.9Post-tropical63Category 3
Unnamed18769.4Tropical storm67Category 3
Unnamed187487.4Tropical storm58Category 1
Unnamed187284.7Tropical storm46Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

1 large fire burned within 25 miles since 1984.

Largest

April 14, 1999

Nco Fire, 818 acres

14.9 miles from the city centre.

Most recent

April 14, 1999

Nco Fire

818 acres in total.

Acres burned by large fires within 25 miles, cumulative 1999: 818 818 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
Nco199914.9818
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 49 days

Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

11.8 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

12 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 1 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 4 2015: 7 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 3 2020: 6 2021: 24 2022: 9 2023: 49 49 2024: 11 2025: 12 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the city centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

5 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $9,145 paid.

Flood insurance figures are for Manassas Park city, the county that contains Manassas Park.

Federal flood insurance claims by year
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
201115$9,145

Flood events since 1996

  • Heavy Rain5
  • Flash Flood2
  • Flood1

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 148 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.

The drought index is for Manassas Park city, the county that contains Manassas Park.

148

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

50

Months in extreme drought

9%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

February 1931

−7.07, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

28 months

June 2024 to September 2026.

Latest month

September 2026

−3.22, severe drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 1 1896: 2 1897: 1 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 1 1911: 1 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 3 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 9 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 3 1942: 4 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 4 1955: 2 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 0 1964: 1 1965: 2 1966: 6 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 4 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 5 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 3 1986: 7 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 5 1992: 2 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 3 1999: 7 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 7 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 6 2008: 4 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 3 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 2 2017: 7 2018: 3 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 6 2024: 7 2025: 12 12 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

10 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1974; none reached magnitude 4.

2

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

0

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

July 16, 2010

Magnitude 3.6

5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland; 34.0 miles away, 4.4 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 17, 2016

Magnitude 3.0

3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 43.3 miles away.

  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

14 events in the National Weather Service record for Manassas Park city, 14 of them since 1996.

3

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

0

Hail, 2 inches or larger

0

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

0

Winter weather events since 1996

0

Heat events since 1996

0

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

August 3, 2002

1.00 inches

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Apr 5, 2000Strong Wind$10,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Five construction workers were seriously injured by debris.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Washington Dulles International Airport, 11.4 miles from the city centre, with records from 1960.

All-time high
105°FJul 22, 2011
All-time low
−18°FJan 22, 1984
Warmest night
81°FJul 16, 2026
Coldest day
6°FJan 19, 1994
Wettest day
10.67 inJun 21, 1972
Snowiest day
22.5 inFeb 11, 1983
Hottest year
2024mean 58.9°F
Coldest year
1976mean 51.9°F
Wettest year
201866.74 in
Driest year
200727.02 in
Snowiest season
73.2 in2009-10
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Washington Dulles International Airport 32°F 43° 25° 2.9 Jan 47° 27° 2.6 Feb 56° 34° 3.1 Mar 67° 44° 3.3 Apr 75° 53° 4.9 May 84° 62° 4.2 Jun 88° 67° 4.1 Jul 86° 66° 3.6 Aug 80° 59° 3.9 Sep 69° 46° 3.5 Oct 57° 36° 2.7 Nov 47° 29° 3.2 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 1 1977: 11 1978: 4 1979: 3 1980: 21 1981: 3 1982: 4 1983: 13 1984: 0 1985: 11 1986: 15 1987: 14 1988: 21 1989: 2 1990: 3 1991: 21 1992: 2 1993: 23 23 1994: 6 1995: 12 1996: 0 1997: 8 1998: 12 1999: 17 2000: 0 2001: 3 2002: 15 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 5 2006: 9 2007: 17 2008: 3 2009: 5 2010: 19 2011: 15 2012: 15 2013: 2 2014: 1 2015: 0 2016: 17 2017: 1 2018: 3 2019: 13 2020: 10 2021: 10 2022: 4 2023: 10 2024: 23 2025: 7 19761986199620062016
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 8.1.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 10.6 in 1977: 27.4 in 1978: 40.6 in 1979: 26.8 in 1980: 4.4 in 1981: 29.5 in 1982: 39.2 in 1983: 22.4 in 1984: 14.8 in 1985: 18.1 in 1986: 42.7 in 1987: 16.7 in 1988: 9.9 in 1989: 29.2 in 1990: 14.6 in 1991: 6.7 in 1992: 30.3 in 1993: 19.4 in 1994: 14.0 in 1995: 61.9 in 1996: 17.8 in 1997: 5.9 in 1998: 20.2 in 1999: 23.2 in 2000: 12.9 in 2001: 2.6 in 2002: 50.1 in 2003: 17.4 in 2004: 17.3 in 2005: 14.1 in 2006: 14.7 in 2007: 6.5 in 2008: 8.0 in 2009: 73.2 in 73.2 2010: 12.6 in 2011: 3.7 in 2012: 12.7 in 2013: 52.8 in 2014: 36.9 in 2015: 34.3 in 2016: 7.3 in 2017: 11.9 in 2018: 26.5 in 2019: 2.9 in 2020: 12.0 in 2021: 15.8 in 2022: 0.4 in 2023: 11.7 in 2024: 15.5 in 2025: 13.6 in 19761986199620062016
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 10

Earliest: October 10, 1979

Median last snow

March 14

Latest: April 12, 1973

0 of 63 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Washington Dulles International Airport (USW00093738), 294 ft elevation, 11.4 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 27, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

14 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Declarations for Manassas Park city.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Jul 27, 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disasterDR-4072-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Feb 16, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1874-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Mar 27, 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disasterDR-1458-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093738.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.