Manassas Park
Population 16,560 (2025)
12 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Manassas Park since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 1).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195087
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger26
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19841
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Manassas Park city. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Manassas Park city.
Strongest tornado
F4
April 28, 2002, 38.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 20.6 miles away
Tornadoes
About one tornado a year since 1950, 6 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 28, 2002
F4, 38.0 mile path
650 yards wide; 3 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Thursday, August 8, 2024
EF1, 6.9 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | EF1 | 8.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2022 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2022 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 1, 2021 | EF1 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 7, 2020 | EF0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 19, 2019 | EF0 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 2018 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 11, 2017 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 20, 2015 | EF0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 15, 2014 | EF0 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 2014 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2013 | EF0 | 20.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 2012 | EF0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF0 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF1 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF0 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16, 2011 | EF0 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2011 | EF0 | 4.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2011 | EF1 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2008 | EF0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF0 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 2005 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 15.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 12.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 13.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F3 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 5, 2003 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 5, 2003 | F0 | 9.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 9, 2003 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 9, 2003 | F1 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 2003 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F4 | 38.0 | 122 | 3 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F1 | 14.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F0 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F4 | 10.0 | 2 | 0 |
| May 22, 2001 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1997 | F0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 25, 1997 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 19, 1996 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1996 | F2 | 20.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1996 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 14, 1995 | F0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 1995 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1995 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 1993 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27, 1993 | F2 | 3.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 1993 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 4, 1992 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 21, 1987 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 12, 1987 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 1981 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 3, 1980 | F2 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F2 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F3 | 17.9 | 6 | 1 |
| Jun 20, 1978 | F2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 26, 1978 | F3 | 0.7 | 10 | 1 |
| Apr 1, 1973 | F3 | 9.8 | 37 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1969 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 7, 1954 | F1 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 17, 1953 | F1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 31, 1952 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 31, 1952 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
20.6 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
94.5 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 94.5 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 50.6 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 62.3 | Tropical storm |
| Sandy | 2012 | 87.8 | Post-tropical |
| Hanna | 2008 | 73.0 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 40.0 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 75.8 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 79.5 | Tropical storm |
| Danielle | 1992 | 91.9 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 64.1 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 24.8 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 49.4 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 7.0 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 20.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 29.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 40.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 55.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 42.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 23.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 13.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 33.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 17.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 78.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 11.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 91.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 69.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 94.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 38.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 63.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 39.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 35.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 16.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 75.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 33.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 95.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 20.6 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 83.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 9.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1874 | 87.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1872 | 84.7 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
1 large fire burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
April 14, 1999
Nco Fire, 818 acres
14.9 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
April 14, 1999
Nco Fire
818 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Nco | 1999 | 14.9 | 818 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 49 days
Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
5 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $9,145 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Manassas Park city, the county that contains Manassas Park.
Claims by ZIP code
| 20111 | 5 | $9,145 |
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain5
- Flash Flood2
- Flood1
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 148 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 28 months.
The drought index is for Manassas Park city, the county that contains Manassas Park.
148
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
50
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
February 1931
−7.07, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
28 months
June 2024 to September 2026.
Latest month
September 2026
−3.22, severe drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
10 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1974; none reached magnitude 4.
2
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 16, 2010
Magnitude 3.6
5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland; 34.0 miles away, 4.4 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 17, 2016
Magnitude 3.0
3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 43.3 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
14 events in the National Weather Service record for Manassas Park city, 14 of them since 1996.
3
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
0
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
0
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
0
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
August 3, 2002
1.00 inches
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 5, 2000Strong Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
Five construction workers were seriously injured by debris.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Washington Dulles International Airport, 11.4 miles from the city centre, with records from 1960.
- All-time high
- 105°FJul 22, 2011
- All-time low
- −18°FJan 22, 1984
- Warmest night
- 81°FJul 16, 2026
- Coldest day
- 6°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 10.67 inJun 21, 1972
- Snowiest day
- 22.5 inFeb 11, 1983
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 58.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1976mean 51.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201866.74 in
- Driest year
- 200727.02 in
- Snowiest season
- 73.2 in2009-10
Median first snow
December 10
Earliest: October 10, 1979
Median last snow
March 14
Latest: April 12, 1973
0 of 63 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Washington Dulles International Airport (USW00093738), 294 ft elevation, 11.4 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 27, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
14 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
Declarations for Manassas Park city.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Mar 27, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1458-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093738.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.