Carroll County
Population 15,419 (2025) 445 sq mi
Property owners in Carroll County have filed 57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 61st most of 102 counties in Illinois.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195021
At a glance
The record for Carroll County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
21
70th of 102 in Illinois
Fewer than the typical Illinois county, which has had 30
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
January 24, 1967, 7.4 mile path
Snowiest season
77.5in
Winter of 1978-79
Tornadoes
About one every 3.6 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
January 24, 1967
F3, 7.4 mile path
77 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, July 15, 2024
EF1, 29.8 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 15, 2024 | EF1 | 29.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | EF1 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 31, 2023 | EF1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2020 | EF1 | 12.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 2015 | EF1 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 2014 | EF1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 12, 2013 | EF2 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 |
| May 19, 2013 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 14, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 14, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 14, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19, 1988 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 29, 1984 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 11, 1975 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 24, 1967 | F3 | 7.4 | 12 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 1961 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 26, 1959 | F2 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 1956 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 18, 1955 | F2 | 9.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 1950 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Carroll County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 70 days
Heavy smoke on 19 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
26.4 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
20 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 39 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
57 federal flood insurance claims since 1981, with $807,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
2010: 18 claims
$389,000 paid.
2nd most
2011: 14 claims
$165,000 paid.
3rd most
2001: 8 claims
$167,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 61074 | 45 | $576,000 |
| 61053 | 7 | $120,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood31
- Flood19
- Heavy Rain9
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 163 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 14 months.
163
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
92
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
14
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
June 1934
−7.29, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
14 months
December 1922 to January 1924.
Latest month
September 2026
+1.89, slightly wet
Last severe month: December 2012.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1972.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
1
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
2
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 15, 1972
Magnitude 4.0
8 km SSW of Amboy, Illinois; 25.6 miles away, 6.8 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
September 2, 1999
Magnitude 3.5
8 km W of Amboy, Illinois; 19.4 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Sep 15, 1972 | 4.0 | 25.6 |
| Nov 12, 1934 | 4.0 | 34.7 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
609 events in the National Weather Service record, 545 of them since 1996.
41
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
4
Hail, 2 inches or larger
177
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
162
Winter weather events since 1996
4
Heat events since 1996
25
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 26, 1978
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 23, 1996
104 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 11 | 0 |
| Debris flows | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jul 24, 2010Flash Flood$10.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
After about a foot of rain in 2 days, creek and small river basins rose rapidly Saturday morning. Numerous rural roads throughout the county suffered from washouts and excessive erosion. Near Argo Fay, Johnson Creek overflowed its banks and closed Big Cut Road.||In Mount Carroll, flooding of the Waukarusa River forced evacuations of about 80 homes, mainly on or near Mill Street. The local fire chief estimated that 80% of Mount Carroll residences had water in their basements.||The Plum River overflowed its banks between Lake Carroll and Savanna, causing extensive and severe damage. Just west of Lake Carroll, a farm house on Polsgrove Road flooded. The resident of the home described…
- Jul 23, 2010Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains of 3 to 9 inches fell across Carroll County during the late evening hours of July 22 and through the morning hours of July 23 resulting in flash flooding of much of the county. Several roads across the county, especially the northern half, were closed due to the flash flooding. The Shannon area received over 8 inches of rain during the night and was in need of sludge pumps to assist with the flooding issues in the area. Areas that had never flooded before were flooded.
- May 4, 2003High Wind, Carroll$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
numerous reports of limbs & power lines down
- Jun 23, 1996Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds destroyed a large warehouse.
- Apr 5, 2010Thunderstorm Wind$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts estimated to be 70 mph caused a west-facing wall of a church to collapse in Milledgeville, IL around 858 pm April 5. In addition, several 3 foot diameter trees were blown down. Numerous power lines were also knocked down resulting in a power outage to much of the town. Most of the damage was across the northwest part of town and extended about 0.5 miles to the north.
- Jul 28, 2011Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A large breach in the Portland Avenue Levee on the Plum River caused some flash flooding in parts of Savanna, IL during the evening of July 28 and early morning hours of July 29.
- Apr 17, 2013Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several rounds of heavy rains resulted in some flash flooding of much of Carroll County during the afternoon hours of April 17.
- Jul 27, 2011Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Torrential rains of 2 to 5 inches caused some flash flooding across the northern half of Carroll County during the late evening of July 27 and morning of July 28. Several streets in the town of Savanna were flooded forcing the evacuations of 80 residents. Portions of Mount Carroll along the Plum River were also flooded. Both railroad yards in the town were also underwater.
- Apr 18, 2011Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Water from snow-melt in the upper Midwest moved south through the Mississippi River basin causing major flooding along the Mississippi River.||The snowfall was well above normal for the 2010-11 winter in much of Minnesota and Wisconsin. Minneapolis, MN recorded 86.6 inches of snow, which is 30 inches above normal. Snowfall in eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, and northeast Missouri totaled 35 to 65 inches, which was 10 to 20 inches above normal.||The snow-melt flood crest reached Dubuque on April 19 and was finally south of the Burlington area by April 25. The crest levels ranked 4th through 8th depending on the location, when compared to historical crests.||Bellevue surpassed its…
- Jul 5, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous limbs down; house under construction had roof torn off
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Mount Carroll, 2.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1897.
- All-time high
- 108°FJul 12, 1936
- All-time low
- −38°FJan 31, 2019
- Warmest night
- 84°FJul 20, 1930
- Coldest day
- −12°FDec 25, 1983
- Wettest day
- 6.96 inJun 4, 2002
- Snowiest day
- 12.5 inFeb 10, 1960
- Hottest year
- 1921mean 52.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1989mean 42.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201553.71 in
- Driest year
- 190117.31 in
- Snowiest season
- 77.5 in1978-79
Median first snow
November 22
Earliest: September 26, 1942
Median last snow
March 30
Latest: May 11, 1966
0 of 115 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Mount Carroll (USC00115901), 708 ft elevation, 2.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1897 to October 27, 2026; 97.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
16 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 26, 2020.
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4489-IL |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3435-IL |
| Sep 19, 2019 | Flood | DR-4461-IL |
| May 10, 2013 | Flood | DR-4116-IL |
| Mar 17, 2011 | Snowstorm | DR-1960-IL |
| Aug 19, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1935-IL |
| Mar 13, 2008 | Snowstorm | EM-3283-IL |
| Sep 7, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3230-IL |
| May 9, 2001 | Flood | DR-1368-IL |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-997-IL |
| Jun 30, 1981 | Severe Storm | DR-643-IL |
| Jan 16, 1979 | Snowstorm | EM-3068-IL |
| Jun 10, 1974 | Flood | DR-438-IL |
| Apr 26, 1973 | Flood | DR-373-IL |
| Jun 6, 1969 | Flood | DR-262-IL |
| Apr 25, 1965 | Tornado | DR-194-IL |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Carroll County stands among 102 counties in Illinois and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 21 | 70 / 102 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 65 / 102 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 57 | 61 / 102 |
| Flood insurance paid | $807,000 | 53 / 102 |
| Disaster declarations | 16 | 23 / 102 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 59 | 43 / 102 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 251 | 52 / 102 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 162 | 3 / 102 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $15.9 million | 45 / 102 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 163 | 13 / 102 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 26.4 | 1 / 102 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 2 | 71 / 102 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Clinton County IA | 55 | 0 |
| Jackson County IA | 29 | 0 |
| Jo Daviess County | 21 | 0 |
| Ogle County | 33 | 0 |
| Stephenson County | 21 | 0 |
| Whiteside County | 44 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00115901.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.