Carroll County

Population 15,419 (2025) 445 sq mi

Property owners in Carroll County have filed 57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 61st most of 102 counties in Illinois.

Hazard fingerprint for Carroll County Tornado: 61th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 68th percentile. Hail & wind: 68th percentile. Heat: 25th percentile. Cold: 75th percentile. Winter: 85th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195021

At a glance

The record for Carroll County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

57

61st of 102 in Illinois

$807,000 paid since 1981

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

21

70th of 102 in Illinois

Fewer than the typical Illinois county, which has had 30

Details

Strongest tornado

F3

January 24, 1967, 7.4 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

16

Most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, 2020

Details

Record high

108°F

July 12, 1936

Details

Record low

−38°F

January 31, 2019

Details

Snowiest season

77.5in

Winter of 1978-79

Costliest event since 1996

$10.0M

Flash Flood, July 24, 2010

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 3.6 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

January 24, 1967

F3, 7.4 mile path

77 yards wide.

Most recent

Monday, July 15, 2024

EF1, 29.8 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 4 4 1960s: 2 2 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 2 2 1990s: 1 1 2000s: 3 3 2010s: 4 4 2020s: 4 4 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 1 F: 0 M: 2 A: 3 M: 3 J: 8 8 J: 2 A: 0 S: 2 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950
Jul 15, 2024EF129.810000
Mar 31, 2023EF111.020000
Mar 31, 2023EF11.05000
May 23, 2020EF112.23000
Apr 9, 2015EF18.35000
Jun 29, 2014EF12.260000
Jun 12, 2013EF26.688010
May 19, 2013EF00.15000
Jun 14, 2003F00.15000
Jun 14, 2003F00.15000
Jun 14, 2003F00.15000
May 12, 1999F00.11000
Sep 19, 1988F00.11000
Apr 29, 1984F11.01000
Jul 11, 1975F00.11000
Jan 24, 1967F37.477120
Jun 7, 1961F00.11000
Sep 26, 1959F23.34000
Jun 17, 1956F12.01000
Apr 18, 1955F29.07700
Jun 13, 1950F10.11000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Carroll County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 70 days

Heavy smoke on 19 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

26.4 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

20 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 39 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 10 2012: 17 2013: 12 2014: 11 2015: 19 2016: 6 2017: 10 2018: 17 2019: 13 2020: 27 2021: 48 2022: 21 2023: 70 70 2024: 32 2025: 20 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

57 federal flood insurance claims since 1981, with $807,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 2001: 8 2010: 18 18 2011: 14 2001
Claims per year since 1981. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2010: 18 claims

$389,000 paid.

2nd most

2011: 14 claims

$165,000 paid.

3rd most

2001: 8 claims

$167,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
6107445$576,000
610537$120,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood31
  • Flood19
  • Heavy Rain9

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 163 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 14 months.

163

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

92

Months in extreme drought

10%

Share of all months, severe or worse

14

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

June 1934

−7.29, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

14 months

December 1922 to January 1924.

Latest month

September 2026

+1.89, slightly wet

Last severe month: December 2012.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 3 1896: 3 1897: 4 1898: 5 1899: 0 1900: 1 1901: 6 1902: 4 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 6 1911: 7 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 1 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 3 1921: 7 1922: 1 1923: 12 12 1924: 1 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 0 1931: 8 1932: 0 1933: 1 1934: 8 1935: 0 1936: 2 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 2 1940: 12 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 0 1956: 1 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 10 1964: 8 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 3 1976: 8 1977: 6 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 7 1989: 7 1990: 0 1991: 2 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 6 2006: 2 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 6 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.0 in 1972.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

1

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

2

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

September 15, 1972

Magnitude 4.0

8 km SSW of Amboy, Illinois; 25.6 miles away, 6.8 miles deep.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

September 2, 1999

Magnitude 3.5

8 km W of Amboy, Illinois; 19.4 miles away.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Sep 15, 19724.025.66.88 km SSW of Amboy, Illinois
Nov 12, 19344.034.7—1 km ESE of Moline, Illinois
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

609 events in the National Weather Service record, 545 of them since 1996.

41

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

4

Hail, 2 inches or larger

177

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

162

Winter weather events since 1996

4

Heat events since 1996

25

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

July 26, 1978

3.00 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 23, 1996

104 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning400Apr 5, 2010
Dense fog and smoke1100Nov 21, 2012
Debris flows100Jul 21, 2003

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Jul 24, 2010Flash Flood$10.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    After about a foot of rain in 2 days, creek and small river basins rose rapidly Saturday morning. Numerous rural roads throughout the county suffered from washouts and excessive erosion. Near Argo Fay, Johnson Creek overflowed its banks and closed Big Cut Road.||In Mount Carroll, flooding of the Waukarusa River forced evacuations of about 80 homes, mainly on or near Mill Street. The local fire chief estimated that 80% of Mount Carroll residences had water in their basements.||The Plum River overflowed its banks between Lake Carroll and Savanna, causing extensive and severe damage. Just west of Lake Carroll, a farm house on Polsgrove Road flooded. The resident of the home described…

  2. Jul 23, 2010Flash Flood$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Heavy rains of 3 to 9 inches fell across Carroll County during the late evening hours of July 22 and through the morning hours of July 23 resulting in flash flooding of much of the county. Several roads across the county, especially the northern half, were closed due to the flash flooding. The Shannon area received over 8 inches of rain during the night and was in need of sludge pumps to assist with the flooding issues in the area. Areas that had never flooded before were flooded.

  3. May 4, 2003High Wind, Carroll$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    numerous reports of limbs & power lines down

  4. Jun 23, 1996Thunderstorm Wind$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorm winds destroyed a large warehouse.

  5. Apr 5, 2010Thunderstorm Wind$750,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Wind gusts estimated to be 70 mph caused a west-facing wall of a church to collapse in Milledgeville, IL around 858 pm April 5. In addition, several 3 foot diameter trees were blown down. Numerous power lines were also knocked down resulting in a power outage to much of the town. Most of the damage was across the northwest part of town and extended about 0.5 miles to the north.

  6. Jul 28, 2011Flash Flood$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A large breach in the Portland Avenue Levee on the Plum River caused some flash flooding in parts of Savanna, IL during the evening of July 28 and early morning hours of July 29.

  7. Apr 17, 2013Flash Flood$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Several rounds of heavy rains resulted in some flash flooding of much of Carroll County during the afternoon hours of April 17.

  8. Jul 27, 2011Flash Flood$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Torrential rains of 2 to 5 inches caused some flash flooding across the northern half of Carroll County during the late evening of July 27 and morning of July 28. Several streets in the town of Savanna were flooded forcing the evacuations of 80 residents. Portions of Mount Carroll along the Plum River were also flooded. Both railroad yards in the town were also underwater.

  9. Apr 18, 2011Flood$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Water from snow-melt in the upper Midwest moved south through the Mississippi River basin causing major flooding along the Mississippi River.||The snowfall was well above normal for the 2010-11 winter in much of Minnesota and Wisconsin. Minneapolis, MN recorded 86.6 inches of snow, which is 30 inches above normal. Snowfall in eastern Iowa, northwest Illinois, and northeast Missouri totaled 35 to 65 inches, which was 10 to 20 inches above normal.||The snow-melt flood crest reached Dubuque on April 19 and was finally south of the Burlington area by April 25. The crest levels ranked 4th through 8th depending on the location, when compared to historical crests.||Bellevue surpassed its…

  10. Jul 5, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Numerous limbs down; house under construction had roof torn off

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Mount Carroll, 2.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1897.

All-time high
108°FJul 12, 1936
All-time low
−38°FJan 31, 2019
Warmest night
84°FJul 20, 1930
Coldest day
−12°FDec 25, 1983
Wettest day
6.96 inJun 4, 2002
Snowiest day
12.5 inFeb 10, 1960
Hottest year
1921mean 52.8°F
Coldest year
1989mean 42.9°F
Wettest year
201553.71 in
Driest year
190117.31 in
Snowiest season
77.5 in1978-79
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Mount Carroll 32°F 31° 11° 1.6 Jan 36° 14° 1.8 Feb 48° 26° 2.5 Mar 61° 36° 4.1 Apr 72° 48° 4.5 May 82° 58° 5.6 Jun 85° 61° 5.1 Jul 83° 59° 4.0 Aug 78° 51° 3.4 Sep 65° 39° 3.1 Oct 49° 28° 2.2 Nov 36° 18° 2.2 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1976: 185 1977: 149 1978: 171 1979: 165 1980: 169 1981: 172 1982: 151 1983: 153 1984: 159 1985: 157 1986: 167 1987: 164 1988: 204 1989: 216 216 1990: 160 1991: 162 1992: 140 1993: 177 1994: 166 1995: 154 1996: 173 1997: 156 1998: 129 1999: 155 2000: 139 2001: 133 2002: 164 2003: 150 2004: 128 2005: 163 2006: 150 2007: 142 2008: 144 2009: 145 2010: 145 2011: 149 2012: 144 2013: 166 2014: 170 2015: 155 2016: 147 2017: 136 2018: 179 2019: 158 2020: 145 2021: 133 2022: 163 2023: 139 2024: 124 2025: 137 19761986199620062016
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 148.7.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 27.8 in 1977: 50.5 in 1978: 77.5 in 77.5 1979: 35.5 in 1980: 22.2 in 1981: 55.3 in 1982: 15.2 in 1983: 37.9 in 1984: 34.3 in 1985: 38.9 in 1986: 21.0 in 1987: 27.1 in 1988: 22.2 in 1989: 18.5 in 1991: 22.9 in 1992: 32.1 in 1993: 58.0 in 1994: 33.4 in 1995: 25.2 in 1996: 43.8 in 1997: 22.9 in 1998: 28.1 in 1999: 29.1 in 2000: 34.2 in 2001: 16.7 in 2002: 18.2 in 2004: 23.8 in 2005: 23.6 in 2006: 27.3 in 2007: 64.9 in 2008: 38.4 in 2009: 40.9 in 2010: 51.2 in 2012: 30.6 in 2013: 61.0 in 2014: 24.3 in 2015: 21.9 in 2016: 20.4 in 2017: 43.9 in 2018: 49.3 in 2019: 32.9 in 2020: 42.0 in 2021: 21.7 in 2022: 42.2 in 2023: 30.9 in 2024: 12.6 in 2025: 23.5 in 19761986199720082019
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 22

Earliest: September 26, 1942

Median last snow

March 30

Latest: May 11, 1966

0 of 115 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Mount Carroll (USC00115901), 708 ft elevation, 2.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1897 to October 27, 2026; 97.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

16 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 26, 2020.

Federal disaster declarations
Mar 26, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4489-IL
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3435-IL
Sep 19, 2019FloodSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4461-IL
May 10, 2013FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4116-IL
Mar 17, 2011SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1960-IL
Aug 19, 2010Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1935-IL
Mar 13, 2008SnowstormRecord Snow and Near Record SnowEmergencyEM-3283-IL
Sep 7, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3230-IL
May 9, 2001FloodFloodingMajor disasterDR-1368-IL
Jul 9, 1993FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-997-IL
Jun 30, 1981Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding & TornadoesMajor disasterDR-643-IL
Jan 16, 1979SnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsEmergencyEM-3068-IL
Jun 10, 1974FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-438-IL
Apr 26, 1973FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-373-IL
Jun 6, 1969FloodFloodingMajor disasterDR-262-IL
Apr 25, 1965TornadoTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-194-IL

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Carroll County stands among 102 counties in Illinois and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19502170 / 1021,514 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger165 / 1021,281 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims5761 / 1021,584 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$807,00053 / 1021,577 / 3,143
Disaster declarations1623 / 1022,158 / 3,143
Flood events since 19965943 / 1021,200 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199625152 / 1021,562 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19961623 / 102472 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$15.9 million45 / 1021,645 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189516313 / 102677 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years26.41 / 102486 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900271 / 1021,151 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Clinton County IA5500180
Jackson County IA290042
Jo Daviess County2100343
Ogle County3300308
Stephenson County2100193
Whiteside County4400287

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00115901.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.