Carlisle County
Population 4,747 (2025) 190 sq mi
Property owners in Carlisle County have filed 3 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 106th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19507
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger2
At a glance
The record for Carlisle County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
7
79th of 120 in Kentucky
Fewer than the typical Kentucky county, which has had 10
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF2
March 14, 2019, 16.7 mile path
Tornadoes
About one every 11 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
March 14, 2019
EF2, 16.7 mile path
300 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, April 2, 2025
EF2, 9.7 mile path
Within the past year.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 2, 2025 | EF2 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 2019 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23, 2019 | EF1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 14, 2019 | EF2 | 16.7 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2013 | EF1 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 2011 | EF2 | 4.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2006 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Carlisle County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 tropical cyclones passed within 100 miles since 1851, none within 50.
Most recent
October 26, 2019
Olga, Post-tropical
0.0 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 60 days
Heavy smoke on 7 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
18.2 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
11 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 36 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
3 federal flood insurance claims since 1997, with $15,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flood43
- Flash Flood30
- Heavy Rain5
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 157 of 1,581 months since 1895 (10%); the longest spell lasted 18 months.
157
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
51
Months in extreme drought
10%
Share of all months, severe or worse
41
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−5.82, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
18 months
July 1930 to December 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
+1.62, slightly wet
Last severe month: April 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
22 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.8 in 1990.
13
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
94
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
22
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 26, 1990
Magnitude 4.8
4 km SE of Chaffee, Missouri; 31.7 miles away, 0.6 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
December 9, 2024
Magnitude 3.0
4 km W of Howardville, Missouri; 31.2 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jun 2, 2005 | 4.0 | 47.5 |
| Jun 6, 2003 | 4.0 | Inside |
| Feb 5, 1994 | 4.2 | 29.7 |
| May 3, 1991 | 4.5 | 39.4 |
| Sep 26, 1990 | 4.8 | 31.7 |
| Sep 28, 1987 | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Jun 13, 1987 | 4.1 | 34.9 |
| Jun 13, 1975 | 4.3 | 33.6 |
| May 13, 1974 | 4.3 | 13.7 |
| Jan 7, 1974 | 4.1 | 42.7 |
| Mar 3, 1963 | 4.7 | 49.6 |
| Feb 2, 1962 | 4.2 | 34.8 |
| Aug 19, 1934 | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| Mar 22, 1922 | 4.6 | 35.6 |
| Mar 22, 1922 | 4.8 | 35.6 |
| Dec 7, 1915 | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Oct 23, 1909 | 4.5 | 21.2 |
| Oct 27, 1908 | 4.0 | 6.7 |
| Sep 28, 1908 | 4.0 | 27.6 |
| Nov 27, 1903 | 4.3 | 27.6 |
| Nov 4, 1903 | 4.7 | 27.0 |
| Nov 4, 1903 | 4.6 | 27.6 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
668 events in the National Weather Service record, 651 of them since 1996.
14
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
82
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
96
Winter weather events since 1996
86
Heat events since 1996
60
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 8, 1974
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
March 9, 2006
100 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 93 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jan 26, 2009Ice Storm, Carlisle$10.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
This historic, prolonged ice storm was called the biggest disaster in modern Kentucky history by the governor of Kentucky. The storm produced at least one inch of ice across western Kentucky. Locally very destructive icing around 1.5 inches occurred from the Mississippi River counties east across Paducah and Madisonville to Owensboro. This resulted in unprecedented damage to utility infrastructure in western Kentucky. One hundred percent of residents in the hardest-hit counties from the Mississippi River to Madisonville were affected by power outages. A utility company serving areas from Ballard to Livingston Counties reported that 20 percent of its system had to be rebuilt. The…
- Sep 14, 2008High Wind, Carlisle$2.2 million
National Weather Service narrative
Frequent wind gusts from 60 to nearly 80 mph caused widespread damage in western Kentucky. The low pressure center that was the remnant of Hurricane Ike raced northeast at 40 to 50 mph across Missouri and Illinois. The center passed between Carbondale and St. Louis on its way toward the northeastern states. The rapid speed of the low pressure system contributed to this high wind event. ||Several counties reported hundreds of structures sustained roof and siding damage. Other counties reported dozens of damaged structures. The county of Crittenden alone estimated 1,500 homes sustained some degree of wind damage. Extensive tree damage occurred. Thousands of trees were uprooted and…
- Apr 23, 2011Tornado$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The brunt of the damage occurred in the downtown area of Bardwell. One steel building was destroyed. Entire walls were demolished on older two-story brick buildings used as businesses. Several of the damaged buildings were deemed a total loss and were demolished. Approximately thirty large trees were uprooted, and about a hundred smaller trees were broken off or uprooted. More than a dozen wooden power poles were broken off. Two-by-six and two-by-four boards were driven into steel rooftops, walls of homes, and into the ground. Rooftops (including decking) were partially or completely torn off twenty homes and businesses. About fifty windows were blown out. Debris from the brick…
- Feb 16, 2025Flood$950,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flash flooding on the 15th transitioned to areal flooding early on the 16th and continued through the 17th. Extensive damage to numerous county roads occurred, along with damage to culverts and shoulders.
- Jul 19, 2023Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Historic flash flooding struck parts of far western Kentucky. Among the hardest hit counties was Graves County, which had not completely recovered from a catastrophic tornado in December of 2021. The city of Mayfield, which bore the brunt of the December 2021 tornado, experienced catastrophic flooding that inundated dozens of homes, businesses, schools, and various other institutions. The governor of Kentucky visited the city of Mayfield to tour the damage. Some smaller communities suffered catastrophic damage, such as Arlington in Carlisle County, where multiple homes were flooded. Swiftly moving water through Arlington prompted water rescues from emergency services. Widespread…
- Jan 3, 2000Flash Flood$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms during the early morning hours produced 3 to 5 inches of rain, which saturated the ground. Another round of storms arrived during the late afternoon, producing another inch or two of rain in an hour. These heavy rainfall rates, up to 1.3 inches in 15 minutes in Carlisle County, triggered flash flooding. Road and bridge damage was significant. Two bridges were washed out in Ballard County, including one over Kentucky 358. In the Lovelaceville area of Ballard County, a creek overflowed, threatening homes and prompting the closure of U.S. Highway 62. In Carlisle County, where seven to eight roads were closed at one point, most of the damage was to bridge pilings and…
- May 1, 2011Flood$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Record flooding occurred along the Mississippi River. The river gages at both Cairo, Illinois and New Madrid, Missouri measured record high levels exceeding the 1937 record flood. The activation of the New Madrid Floodway by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers on May 2 spared Carlisle County from an even higher crest. With the detonation of the Mississippi River levee at Birds Point, Missouri, the Mississippi River began to drop. Historic flooding of the Mississippi River inundated many low-lying areas. Portions of U.S. Highway 51 were closed due to flooding.
- Mar 9, 2006Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service damage survey indicated a macroburst with peak winds from 90 to 100 MPH caused major damage. Hundreds of trees were blown down countywide, including at least 90 which landed on roads. One tree fell on an occupied car, trapping the occupants. A barn was blown onto a car, but the occupants escaped uninjured. A grain bin was blown onto Highway 849 just east of Kirbyton. There was major structural damage to a couple of buildings near Bardwell. Countywide, there was widespread minor structural damage and shingles blown off. Numerous older barns were flattened or destroyed. A cattle trailer was pushed 3 feet. The damage swath was about 14.5 miles long and 7…
- Oct 31, 2013Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
The damage began just south of the intersection of U.S. Highway 62 and County Road 1015. At that location, a very large but shallow-rooted tree was uprooted. A glass door to a home was destroyed. This home along with other homes in the immediate area had minor roof and siding damage. A mobile home was blown off its foundation. Two sheds were destroyed. Further northeast, along the south side of U.S. Highway 62, there were several homes with shingles missing and one home with the garage door blown in. On the north side of Highway 62, a large well-built barn sustained partial roof loss. Following U.S. Highway 62 northeast, there were many trees snapped or uprooted, large branches…
- Apr 30, 1997Thunderstorm Wind$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm moved from west to east across Carlisle County, producing wind damage and large hail from west of Bardwell to Cunningham. Trees were blown down in Bardwell and Cunningham by winds estimated between 70 and 75 MPH. Two homes in Bardwell and two homes in Cunningham received extensive damage. Several other homes had minor damage. Many power lines were down. A camper, storage shed, and barn were damaged.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Paducah, 17.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1949.
- All-time high
- 108°FJun 29, 2012
- All-time low
- −15°FJan 20, 1985
- Warmest night
- 82°FJul 16, 1980
- Coldest day
- 1°FJan 20, 1985
- Wettest day
- 7.49 inSep 5, 1985
- Snowiest day
- 14.0 inDec 22, 2004
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 61.7°F
- Coldest year
- 1958mean 55.6°F
- Wettest year
- 201174.85 in
- Driest year
- 196328.20 in
- Snowiest season
- 35.7 in1977-78
Median first snow
December 22
Earliest: October 29, 1993
Median last snow
February 26
Latest: April 20, 2021
3 of 75 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Paducah (USW00003816), 506 ft elevation, 17.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1949 to October 26, 2026; 99.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
27 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| May 23, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4875-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4860-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4804-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4428-KY |
| Apr 26, 2018 | Flood | DR-4361-KY |
| May 4, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1976-KY |
| May 11, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1912-KY |
| May 29, 2009 | Severe Storm | DR-1841-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| Oct 9, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1802-KY |
| Feb 21, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1746-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Feb 8, 2005 | Snowstorm | DR-1578-KY |
| Jun 3, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1471-KY |
| Jan 10, 2000 | Tornado | DR-1310-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Feb 24, 1989 | Flood | DR-821-KY |
| May 11, 1973 | Flood | DR-381-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Carlisle County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 7 | 79 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 3 | 106 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $15,000 | 109 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 27 | 53 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 78 | 48 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 188 | 61 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 96 | 28 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $18.7 million | 38 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 157 | 11 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 18.2 | 2 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 22 | 3 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 13 | 2 / 120 |
Neighbouring counties
| Ballard County | 22 | 1 |
| Graves County | 42 | 1 |
| Hickman County | 15 | 1 |
| McCracken County | 29 | 1 |
| Mississippi County MO | 27 | 1 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00003816.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.