Casey County
Population 16,205 (2025) 444 sq mi
Property owners in Casey County have filed 24 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 77th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19507
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
At a glance
The record for Casey County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
7
79th of 120 in Kentucky
Fewer than the typical Kentucky county, which has had 10
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
3
6th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
April 3, 1974, 21.1 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1888, 27.3 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 11 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 3, 1974
F3, 21.1 mile path
10 yards wide; 1 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Sunday, July 2, 2023
EF1, 0.1 mile path
3 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 2, 2023 | EF1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 29, 2012 | EF2 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2009 | EF2 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 2007 | EF1 | 13.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 10, 2002 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 28, 1997 | F1 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 1974 | F3 | 21.1 | 98 | 1 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Casey County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1888
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
27.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 53 mph.
Most recent
September 27, 2024
Helene, Remnant low
13.9 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 54 days
Heavy smoke on 9 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
14.2 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
9 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 30 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
24 federal flood insurance claims since 2010, with $3.0 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2010: 12 claims
$1.8 million paid.
2nd most
2021: 7 claims
$997,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 42539 | 24 | $3.0 million |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood26
- Flood14
- Heavy Rain1
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 146 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.
146
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
40
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
January 1931
−6.59, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
17 months
January 1941 to May 1942.
Latest month
September 2026
+0.58, incipient wet spell
Last severe month: December 2023.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
12 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1980; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
5
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 17, 2004
Magnitude 3.7
8 km ESE of Corbin, Kentucky; 44.8 miles away, 0.8 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
December 28, 2025
Magnitude 3.1
11 km ENE of Lancaster, Kentucky; 22.8 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
35
Landslides mapped, probable or better
7
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by KY GS (35).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
288 events in the National Weather Service record, 263 of them since 1996.
38
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
138
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
23
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 1, 2002
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
February 6, 2008
96 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 1 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 16, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
DES reported an 8 mile path of destruction resulted from severe thunderstorm winds. 16 structures received major damage, while 35 received minor damage. Losses were estimated at 5 million dollars.
- Mar 1, 1997Flood, Casey$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
In between 3 and 8 inches of rain fell in less than 24 hours causing many streets across these counties to be under water. Larue, Casey and Taylor counties were given financial aid as they were declared disaster areas.
- Sep 13, 2020Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
Cale Brown Road was closed at Caney Fork due to a bridge being out due to flooding.
- Mar 28, 1997Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
An F1 tornado destroyed a large part of a farm near Riffe and also damaged a few houses and destroyed several barns on a 10 mile path to Gilpin. Many trees and power lines were also down. Damage to the farm alone was at $150,100. The tornado appeared to skip in spots across south central Casey county. This tornado was produced by the same supercell that produced the F3 tornado that moved across Cane Valley and Pellyton in northern Adair county.
- Apr 28, 2002Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Ten barns were damaged or destroyed around the county. There was structural damage to a house near Bethel Ridge. A house and barn were damaged near Yosemite.
- Feb 6, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A barn was destroyed and several others were heavily damaged norhteast of Middleburg on Highway 198. Several large pine trees were snapped on a golf course on Short Town Road.
- Feb 24, 2018Thunderstorm Wind$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
NWS Storm Survey found damage consistent of straight line winds in northern Casey County. A porch awning was ripped off a home and thrown over the roof into a free standing antenna. A breezeway also had damage to its ceiling and a door was pushed inward off the frame. Downstream, a fifth wheel RV was knocked over, falling into some dirt. Part of the house roof ended up downstream a quarter mile, where a forest along a downhill slope showed several trees snapped.
- Apr 27, 2016Hail$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Warm moist air originating in the Gulf of Mexico interacted with a stationary boundary across central Kentucky, resulting in several rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours April 26 and April 27. Damaging winds, large hail and flooding were the primary impacts.
- Apr 3, 2007Tornado$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado touched down four miles northwest of Dunnville and skipped along the tops of ridges, exiting Casey County near Mintonville. The worst damage, near the upper bound of EF1 around 105 mph, was done to a large barn that was moved 30 feet off it���s 8��� high cement block foundation, with nearly 2/3 of the foundation collapsing. This was near the initial touchdown location. Damage to a well-constructed home southwest of Mintonville also was rated high-end EF1, with estimated winds of 105 mph, just before the tornado exited the county.
- May 27, 2017Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Casey Emergency Manager reported that Highway 70 was closed to mudslides.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Crab Orchard 6 N, 29.8 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1979.
- All-time high
- 105°F2 times, most recently Jun 30, 2012
- All-time low
- −24°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 79°FJul 12, 2025
- Coldest day
- 0°FJan 18, 1994
- Wettest day
- 4.48 inJan 1, 2022
- Snowiest day
- 12.0 inJan 22, 2016
- Hottest year
- 2007mean 59.7°F
- Coldest year
- 1980mean 53.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201873.40 in
- Driest year
- 200533.78 in
- Snowiest season
- 24.0 in2021-22
Median first snow
December 20
Earliest: November 15, 1992
Median last snow
February 15
Latest: April 18, 1983
2 of 27 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Crab Orchard 6 N (USC00151890), 1,025 ft elevation, 29.8 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1979 to September 30, 2026; 89.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
34 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, May 29, 2026.
| May 29, 2026 | Winter Storm | DR-4913-KY |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| May 23, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4875-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Flood | DR-4663-KY |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Flood | DR-4595-KY |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4592-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4428-KY |
| May 12, 2015 | Flood | DR-4218-KY |
| May 11, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1912-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| Feb 21, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1746-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Jun 10, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1523-KY |
| Mar 14, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1454-KY |
| May 7, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1414-KY |
| Apr 29, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1216-KY |
| Mar 3, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1207-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Jun 13, 1995 | Tornado | DR-1055-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3104-KY |
| Jan 29, 1991 | Flood | DR-893-KY |
| Feb 24, 1989 | Flood | DR-821-KY |
| May 15, 1984 | Severe Storm | DR-705-KY |
| Dec 12, 1978 | Flood | DR-568-KY |
| Jun 5, 1970 | Flood | DR-288-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Casey County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 7 | 79 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 55 / 120 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 3 | 6 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 24 | 77 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $3.0 million | 34 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 34 | 22 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 41 | 92 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 187 | 62 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 23 | 111 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $7.0 million | 65 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 146 | 22 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 14.2 | 70 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Adair County | 13 | 3 |
| Boyle County | 12 | 3 |
| Lincoln County | 12 | 3 |
| Marion County | 12 | 3 |
| Pulaski County | 27 | 2 |
| Russell County | 9 | 3 |
| Taylor County | 13 | 3 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00151890.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.