Estill County
Population 13,962 (2025) 253 sq mi
Property owners in Estill County have filed 42 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 60th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19508
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
- Wildfire burn scars since 19844
- Major flood years since 19781
At a glance
The record for Estill County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
3,621
23rd of 120 in Kentucky
4 large fires; the largest was Unnamed, 1999
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
8
76th of 120 in Kentucky
Fewer than the typical Kentucky county, which has had 10
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
3
6th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
June 9, 1961, 2.6 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1888, 30.1 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 9.5 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 9, 1961
F3, 2.6 mile path
150 yards wide; 1 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Saturday, January 1, 2022
EF1, 1.1 mile path
4 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jan 1, 2022 | EF1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2009 | EF1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2009 | EF1 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2009 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 2004 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 1996 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 3, 1977 | F2 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 9, 1961 | F3 | 2.6 | 63 | 1 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Estill County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1888
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
30.1 miles at closest approach, winds near 52 mph.
Most recent
September 27, 2024
Helene, Remnant low
69.2 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
3,621 acres burned in 4 large fires since 1984, equal to 2.2% of the land.
Largest
November 12, 1999
Unnamed Fire, 1,779 acres
1,778 acres inside Estill County.
Most recent
November 7, 2022
Pitts Road Fire
773 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Pitts Road | 2022 | 772 | 773 |
| Little Doe Creek | 2010 | 611 | 611 |
| Unnamed | 1999 | 1,778 | 1,779 |
| Unnamed | 1999 | 458 | 628 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 52 days
Heavy smoke on 10 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
13.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
11 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 33 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
42 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $1.1 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2021: 25 claims
$822,000 paid.
2nd most
2025: 9 claims
$188,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 40336 | 33 | $901,000 |
| 40472 | 8 | $195,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood74
- Flash Flood64
- Heavy Rain13
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
March 2, 2021
Kentucky River near Ravenna, 40.30 ft
19.30 feet above the 21.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
April 5, 2025
Kentucky River near Ravenna, 32.02 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Kentucky River near Ravenna | 21.0 | 40.30 ft | 12 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 89 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 18 months.
89
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
34
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
4
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−6.79, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
18 months
June 1930 to November 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−0.67, incipient dry spell
Last severe month: May 2000.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.0 in 1980.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
11
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
4
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 27, 1980
2 km SW of Sharpsburg, Kentucky; 23.7 miles away, 6.2 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
December 28, 2025
Magnitude 3.1
11 km ENE of Lancaster, Kentucky; 18.1 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Sep 6, 1988 | 4.4 | 16.0 |
| Sep 6, 1988 | 4.6 | 21.6 |
| Jul 27, 1980 | 5.0 | 23.7 |
| Jan 19, 1976 | 4.0 | 45.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
191
Landslides mapped, probable or better
8
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by KY GS (191).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
594 events in the National Weather Service record, 576 of them since 1996.
27
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
233
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
70
Winter weather events since 1996
7
Heat events since 1996
12
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
March 31, 1993
2.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
March 1, 2017
104 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 3 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 1 | 0 |
| Debris flows | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 31, 2004Flood, Estill$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
On the afternoon of May 30th, a warm front was draped across eastern Kentucky. With extremely moist and unstable air, this boundary helped spark the beginning of a most unusual event for eastern Kentucky, and for that matter, for the country. Countless supercell thunderstorms developed along this boundary for hours on end, causing widespread tree damage and damage to structures. Flash flooding was also occurring with these storms which contained torrential rain. Unfortunately for eastern Kentucky, this was not the end to the severe weather or the flooding. Later in the night, mostly in the early hours of May 31st, a potent cold front burst through, bringing destruction to most if…
- Jun 1, 2004Flood, Estill$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
This event is actually a continuation of a flooding event which started on May 31st. Many roads were washed out, homes destroyed, and automobiles ruined. Some people were stranded in their own homes and had to be rescued.
- Jun 10, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service storm survey team concluded that a microburst downed 20 to 30 trees and snapped off a radio tower near Furnace.
- Apr 20, 1996Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Downburst winds and an embedded F1 tornado damaged 40 homes and 20 barns on a 5 mile path from Red Lick to Barnes Mountain. The Barnes Mountain area recieved the worst damage. The DES reported 3 homes were destroyed with pieces of the homes blown into the valley. There was also severe damage to farm machinery, and 12 barns were destroyed. No injuries were reported.
- May 11, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A Ravenna grade school had its roof blown off. Also in Ravenna, a porch was blown off of a mobile home. Large trees and power lines were down across the county. Large trees were down along Kentucky Highway 52, Sand Hill Road, Cedar Grove Road, Regis Road, Nolan Hill, Blue Run Road, and Possum Run. The wind gust estimate was reported by a trained spotter.
- Feb 28, 2011Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees were blown down around the county between about 7 and 10 am. Four to five thousand people were without power during the morning hours.
- Oct 9, 2009Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
An EF-1 tornado touched down near Sang Branch or about one half mile east of Jinks and had an intermittent path of about 3.75 miles in length. The tornado lifted in the vicinity of Wagersville just east of Station Camp Creek and west of Kentucky Hwy 89 at about 347 pm EDT. Numerous trees, both hard and soft wood, were uprooted. A motor home was overturned along the damage path and a small barn was lifted with the roof being blown off.
- Apr 11, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees were blown down on Stacy Lane, Worrells Road, Richmond Road, Blackburn Road, and Regis Road. A power line was also blown down on Blackburn Road and a tree was blown onto a trailer. Thunderstorm wind damage occurred countywide.
- Feb 16, 2003Flood, Estill$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A bridge was washed out on Congleton Bridge Hollow Road off of Highway 851
- Feb 28, 2011Thunderstorm Wind$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees and power lines were blown down county wide. Areas affected included Ravenna, Wagersville, McKee, Cow Creek, and Richmond Rd. Power outages were also reported across the county.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Crab Orchard 6 N, 28.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1979.
- All-time high
- 105°F2 times, most recently Jun 30, 2012
- All-time low
- −24°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 79°FJul 12, 2025
- Coldest day
- 0°FJan 18, 1994
- Wettest day
- 4.48 inJan 1, 2022
- Snowiest day
- 12.0 inJan 22, 2016
- Hottest year
- 2007mean 59.7°F
- Coldest year
- 1980mean 53.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201873.40 in
- Driest year
- 200533.78 in
- Snowiest season
- 24.0 in2021-22
Median first snow
December 20
Earliest: November 15, 1992
Median last snow
February 15
Latest: April 18, 1983
2 of 27 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Crab Orchard 6 N (USC00151890), 1,025 ft elevation, 28.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1979 to September 30, 2026; 89.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
38 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| May 23, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4875-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4860-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4848-KY |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4804-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Flood | DR-4595-KY |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4592-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4428-KY |
| Apr 12, 2018 | Flood | DR-4358-KY |
| Aug 12, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4239-KY |
| May 12, 2015 | Flood | DR-4218-KY |
| May 1, 2015 | Flood | DR-4217-KY |
| Apr 30, 2015 | Snowstorm | DR-4216-KY |
| May 4, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1976-KY |
| May 11, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1912-KY |
| May 29, 2009 | Severe Storm | DR-1841-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| Feb 21, 2008 | Severe Storm | DR-1746-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Jun 10, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1523-KY |
| Jun 3, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1471-KY |
| Mar 14, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1454-KY |
| Apr 4, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1407-KY |
| Aug 15, 2001 | Severe Storm | DR-1388-KY |
| Mar 3, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1207-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3104-KY |
| May 15, 1984 | Severe Storm | DR-705-KY |
| Dec 12, 1978 | Flood | DR-568-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Estill County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 8 | 76 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 55 / 120 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 3 | 6 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 3,621 | 23 / 120 |
| Flood insurance claims | 42 | 60 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $1.1 million | 57 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 38 | 15 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 151 | 9 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 320 | 14 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 70 | 54 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $6.4 million | 66 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 12 | 8 / 120 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 89 | 103 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 13.8 | 81 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 4 | 35 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Clark County | 7 | 3 |
| Jackson County | 3 | 3 |
| Lee County | 2 | 3 |
| Madison County | 19 | 3 |
| Powell County | 7 | 3 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00151890.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.