Harlan County
Population 24,725 (2025) 466 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 42,892 acres of Harlan County since 1984, 7th most of 120 counties in Kentucky; the largest was the Unnamed Fire in 1987.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19502
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger5
- Wildfire burn scars since 198426
- Major flood years since 19784
At a glance
The record for Harlan County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
42,892
7th of 120 in Kentucky
26 large fires; the largest was Unnamed, 1987
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
2
109th of 120 in Kentucky
Fewer than the typical Kentucky county, which has had 10
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
1
78th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF0
April 3, 2007, 1.2 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Frederic, 1979, 43.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 38 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 3, 2007
EF0, 1.2 mile path
50 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
EF0, 1.2 mile path
19 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 3, 2007 | EF0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 2007 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Harlan County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 14, 1979
Frederic, Tropical storm
43.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 40 mph.
Most recent
September 27, 2024
Helene, Tropical storm
66.1 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
42,892 acres burned in 26 large fires since 1984, equal to 14% of the land.
Largest
November 5, 1987
Unnamed Fire, 9,086 acres
400 acres inside Harlan County.
Most recent
November 7, 2023
Baker Branch Fire
898 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Baker Branch | 2023 | 6 | 898 |
| Spruce Pine | 2022 | 40 | 649 |
| Little Shepherds Trail | 2018 | 492 | 539 |
| Jericol | 2016 | 532 | 533 |
| Abner Br | 2016 | 803 | 806 |
| Little Shepherd Trail | 2016 | 6,741 | 6,753 |
| Bobs Rock | 2010 | 559 | 612 |
| Unnamed | 2006 | 944 | 944 |
| Highsplint | 2005 | 1,003 | 1,001 |
| Unnamed | 2005 | 1,090 | 1,090 |
| Unnamed | 2001 | 828 | 828 |
| Unnamed | 2000 | 3,192 | 3,760 |
| Unnamed | 2000 | 2,199 | 2,199 |
| Unnamed | 2000 | 1,186 | 1,188 |
| Unnamed | 2000 | 626 | 626 |
| Unnamed | 1999 | 674 | 673 |
| Unnamed | 1988 | 1,478 | 1,479 |
| Knox | 1987 | 2,452 | 2,452 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 400 | 9,086 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 1,068 | 1,335 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 10,994 | 15,137 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 510 | 511 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 661 | 661 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 2,600 | 2,604 |
| Unnamed | 1987 | 1,776 | 3,790 |
| Poorvalley | 1986 | 26 | 628 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 49 days
Heavy smoke on 7 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
11 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 27 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
443 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $2.4 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1984: 141 claims
$324,000 paid.
2nd most
2002: 116 claims
$1.2 million paid.
3rd most
1991: 42 claims
$140,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 40831 | 109 | $589,000 |
| 40806 | 72 | $261,000 |
| 40854 | 52 | $99,000 |
| 40824 | 46 | $488,000 |
| 40823 | 38 | $167,000 |
| 40828 | 28 | $168,000 |
| 40820 | 18 | $222,000 |
| 40873 | 18 | $91,000 |
| 11 | $34,000 | |
| 40819 | 10 | $47,000 |
| 40801 | 7 | $4,347 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood32
- Flood25
- Heavy Rain9
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
April 4, 1977
Cumberland River at Baxter, 34.20 ft
18.20 feet above the 16.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
February 16, 2025
Cumberland River at Baxter, 24.50 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Cumberland River at Baxter | 16.0 | 34.20 ft | 17 |
| Poor Fork Cumberland River at Cumberland | 12.0 | 15.88 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 85 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 15 months.
85
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
17
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
3
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
December 2007
−4.45, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
15 months
August 2007 to October 2008.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.79, mild drought
Last severe month: October 2008.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
8 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.5 in 1928.
6
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
25
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
8
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
November 2, 1928
Magnitude 4.5
5 km S of Greeneville, Tennessee; 46.9 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 20, 2020
Magnitude 3.8
2 km NE of Fincastle, Tennessee; 35.3 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Nov 10, 2012 | 4.2 | 10.0 |
| Aug 17, 1990 | 4.0 | 1.2 |
| Apr 10, 1989 | 4.3 | 45.2 |
| Jan 19, 1976 | 4.0 | 18.1 |
| Sep 7, 1956 | 4.1 | 23.6 |
| Jan 1, 1954 | 4.3 | 14.0 |
| Nov 2, 1928 | 4.5 | 46.9 |
| Mar 28, 1913 | 4.1 | 34.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
246
Landslides mapped, probable or better
97
With a recorded date
2
Source inventories
Mapped by KY GS (237), NASA (9).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
509 events in the National Weather Service record, 490 of them since 1996.
43
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
6
Hail, 2 inches or larger
132
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
166
Winter weather events since 1996
2
Heat events since 1996
14
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 23, 1968
5.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
April 28, 2014
90 mph
More event types since 1996
| Dense fog and smoke | 1 | 0 |
| Debris flows | 2 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Feb 6, 2020Flood$5.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A local newspaper and citizens reported a couple of mobile homes being swept into the Cumberland River outside of Harlan as the river overspilled its banks. Approximately 70 homes were reported to have been impacted by flood waters across the county. Various streets, especially northeast of Harlan, were closed due to flood waters, including Kentucky Highway 413 from U.S. Highway 421 to Kentucky Highway 522. Portions of U.S. Highway 119 were also closed around Loyall and Baxter near the Cumberland River as major flood stage was reached. This forced the closure of flood gates in Harlan.
- Apr 17, 2013Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A foot of water was flowing over May Street. A couple of mudslides and a flooded business were reported in the Middle of Harlan as well. Substantial damage was done to roads across the county, mainly from urban and small stream flooding and from ditches washing out.
- Apr 3, 2007Tornado$700,000
National Weather Service narrative
An EF0 tornado with estimated winds at 75 mph, a path length of 1 mile and a path width of 50 yards snapped numerous large trees, destroyed an old barn, and damaged a few outbuildings and roofs.
- Jun 21, 2016Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Law enforcement reported several instances of significant flash flooding between Bledsoe and Baxter. Radar estimates and rain gauges indicated 3 to 6 inches of rain fell across Harlan County, with one cooperative observer 3 miles north of Harlan measuring 6.02 inches of rain. Considerable property damage was incurred, including that to between 75 to 100 homes as well as several fences and yards. Some homes in Bledsoe ended up with 3 to 4 feet of water inside of them. Roads and small bridges along U.S. Highway 421 were washed away as creeks spilled over their banks. Roads were further hampered by a rock/mud slide at U.S. Highway 119 and Sukey Ridge Rd outside of Baxter. The…
- Feb 10, 2018Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous roads in Cranks, Evarts, and Harlan and elsewhere around the county were closed or impassable due to flooding. A written state of emergency was declared for Harlan County during the height of the flooding.
- Feb 16, 2003Flood, Harlan$366,000
National Weather Service narrative
At 0900 EST, February 16, the Cumberland River crested at 20.0 feet at Baxter, which is 4.0 feet above flood stage.
- Apr 17, 2013Flash Flood$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Clusters of thunderstorms formed over central Kentucky and then pushed eastward into east Kentucky during the morning hours of April 17th. The thunderstorms produced isolated wind damage early in the morning in Letcher County, but the bigger impacts were from flash flooding later in the morning. Flash flooding was reported in Estill, Owsley, Bell, and Harlan Counties, but the worst of it occurred in Clay and Knox Counties. Several people had to be rescued from the rising waters in the Brightshade area of Clay County and along Highway 223 near Scalf in Knox County.
- Oct 17, 2006High Wind, Harlan$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Roofs off of several homes and businesses. Windows blown in in Cumberland. Hundreds of trees blown down. Power lines down all over. Several people had to be rescued from homes.
- May 11, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous reports were received of downed trees and power lines. The State Police reported that at least 50 trees had fallen across roads as a result of thunderstorm wind gusts.
- Mar 17, 2002Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains that fell on March 17 and March 18 caused several evacuations as well as numerous road closures across much of Harlan County. 12 hour rainfall amounts exceeded three inches.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Tazewell, 33.1 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1966.
- All-time high
- 103°F2 times, most recently Jul 1, 2012
- All-time low
- −24°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 73°F4 times, most recently Jul 20, 2025
- Coldest day
- −2°FJan 21, 1985
- Wettest day
- 6.32 inApr 17, 1998
- Snowiest day
- 10.0 in2 times, most recently Feb 12, 1985
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 57.6°F
- Coldest year
- 1976mean 50.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201172.14 in
- Driest year
- 198837.04 in
- Snowiest season
- 40.2 in1977-78
Median first snow
December 14
Earliest: October 31, 1993
Median last snow
March 9
Latest: April 24, 2005
1 of 58 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Tazewell (USC00408868), 1,365 ft elevation, 33.1 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1966 to October 22, 2026; 99.4% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
33 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4860-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4848-KY |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4804-KY |
| May 9, 2023 | Flood | DR-4711-KY |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Flood | DR-4663-KY |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Flood | DR-4595-KY |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4592-KY |
| Apr 24, 2020 | Severe Storm | DR-4540-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4428-KY |
| Apr 12, 2018 | Flood | DR-4358-KY |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Fire | FM-5166-KY |
| May 12, 2015 | Flood | DR-4218-KY |
| Apr 30, 2015 | Snowstorm | DR-4216-KY |
| May 4, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1976-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Jun 10, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1523-KY |
| Jul 2, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1475-KY |
| Apr 4, 2002 | Severe Storm | DR-1407-KY |
| Nov 2, 2001 | Fire | FM-2385-KY |
| Nov 4, 2000 | Fire | FM-2349-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3104-KY |
| May 15, 1984 | Severe Storm | DR-705-KY |
| Apr 6, 1977 | Flood | DR-529-KY |
| Jun 5, 1970 | Flood | DR-288-KY |
| Feb 2, 1970 | Flood | DR-282-KY |
| Mar 27, 1967 | Flood | DR-226-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Harlan County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 2 | 109 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 1 | 78 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 42,892 | 7 / 120 |
| Flood insurance claims | 443 | 17 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.4 million | 38 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 33 | 27 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 66 | 63 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 233 | 41 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 166 | 4 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $9.2 million | 57 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 17 | 5 / 120 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 85 | 112 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 11.7 | 119 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 8 | 11 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 6 | 4 / 120 |
Neighbouring counties
| Bell County | 7 | 2 |
| Lee County VA | 8 | 0 |
| Leslie County | 3 | 2 |
| Letcher County | 2 | 2 |
| Perry County | 2 | 2 |
| Wise County VA | 3 | 1 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00408868.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.