Warren County
Population 149,375 (2025) 542 sq mi
Property owners in Warren County have filed 124 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 38th most of 120 counties in Kentucky.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195032
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
- Major flood years since 19781
At a glance
The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
2
47th of 120 in Kentucky
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
April 3, 1974, 31.1 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1888, 5.5 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 2.4 years since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 3, 1974
F3, 31.1 mile path
10 yards wide; 3 killed along the whole path.
Deadliest
December 11, 2021
16 killed, EF3
63 injured along the whole path.
Most recent
Sunday, May 26, 2024
EF1, 40.0 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 26, 2024 | EF1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 9, 2023 | EF1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 1, 2022 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 11, 2021 | EF2 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 11, 2021 | EF3 | 29.3 | 63 | 16 |
| Dec 11, 2021 | EF3 | 28.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 3, 2020 | EF2 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 24, 2018 | EF1 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 1, 2017 | EF1 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 30, 2013 | EF2 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 2, 2012 | EF1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 26, 2010 | EF1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 11, 2009 | EF1 | 17.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 15, 2005 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 24, 2000 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1997 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 1, 1997 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1995 | F2 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1995 | F2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1995 | F2 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 15, 1994 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 22, 1991 | F2 | 39.0 | 12 | 1 |
| Jul 26, 1984 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 11, 1983 | F1 | 0.2 | 6 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 1974 | F3 | 31.1 | 57 | 3 |
| Jun 20, 1973 | F1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1973 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 15, 1971 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 1971 | F3 | 27.4 | 0 | 1 |
| May 26, 1968 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 22, 1958 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 3, 1957 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 18.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
2 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1888
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
5.5 miles at closest approach, winds near 55 mph.
Most recent
September 14, 1979
Frederic, Tropical storm
59.1 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 57 days
Heavy smoke on 6 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
14.4 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
10 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 33 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
124 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $2.4 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2010: 26 claims
$579,000 paid.
2nd most
1998: 21 claims
$217,000 paid.
3rd most
2025: 13 claims
$1.0 million paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 42101 | 59 | $1.7 million |
| 42104 | 39 | $353,000 |
| 42103 | 15 | $173,000 |
| 42274 | 5 | $55,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood55
- Flood48
- Heavy Rain1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
January 8, 1913
Barren River at Bowling Green, 52.20 ft
24.20 feet above the 28.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
April 4, 2025
Barren River at Bowling Green, 35.76 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Barren River at Bowling Green | 28.0 | 52.20 ft | 3 |
| Drakes Creek near Alvaton | 24.0 | 42.12 ft | 1 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 135 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 23 months.
135
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
42
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
January 1931
−6.06, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
23 months
July 1999 to May 2001.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.70, mild drought
Last severe month: April 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
14 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1973; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
March 23, 1980
Magnitude 3.3
2 km ESE of Fordsville, Kentucky; 31.1 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
May 29, 2023
Magnitude 3.0
6 km W of Calhoun, Kentucky; 46.0 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
8
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by KY GS (8).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
633 events in the National Weather Service record, 538 of them since 1996.
83
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
8
Hail, 2 inches or larger
284
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
25
Winter weather events since 1996
1
Heat events since 1996
3
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 18, 1969
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 11, 2000
104 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 16, 1998Hail$510 million
National Weather Service narrative
A large classic supercell thunderstorm moved from northern Logan county through central parts of Warren, Barren and Metcalfe counties and then into western Adair county. A swath of large hail accompanied the storm across Logan and Warren counties and correlated well with maximum KLVX WSR-88D composite reflectivities. Many places along the route of the storm reported baseball size hail. Bowling Green was particularly devastated by the storm with incredible damage to all area car lots, all police cars, homes and Western Kentucky University. Every car dealership and rent-a-car lot had all of their cars totaled. In all, 8,300 homes, 900 mobile homes, 4,000 vehicles, 37 businesses, and…
- Mar 1, 1997Flood, Warren$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
4 to 9 inches of rain fell in less than 24 hours causing widespread flooding and/or flash flooding resulting in numerous water covered and closed roads, evacuations and rescues. Most of these counties were declared disaster areas and given federal assistance. The exceptions were Clinton, Cumberland, Garrard, Green, Lincoln, Madison and Marion. Many homes and businesses were effected during the flooding and flash flooding. Damage amounts include flooding and flash flooding totals over the 2 day period.
- May 2, 2010Flood$750,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Barren River at Bowling Green crested at 43.7 feet around 315 PM EST on May 3. Flood stage at Bowling Green is 28 feet. Moderate flooding occurs at this level, which is about 1.3 feet below the major flood stage. Several homes were flooded, the Beech Bend Racetrack was flooded, as were the approaches to the Kentucky 185 bridge.
- Nov 15, 2005Tornado$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
A supercell thunderstorm developed over northern Tennessee and moved into south central Kentucky during the early evening hours of November 15. It produced multiple, short-lived tornado touchdowns along its path, which stretched for nearly 25 miles across three counties. The third and final touchdown was in Warren County in the Woodburn area. The tornado was on the ground for approximately a mile, and did F1 damage to at least three businesses, six homes, and numerous barns and outbuildings.
- Jan 30, 2013Tornado$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
An EF-2 tornado touched down just to the east of Interstate 65 around 3 miles southwest of Smith's Grove. After damaging several outbuildings, it encountered a set of 4 grain silos just to the south of Glasgow Road. It destroyed all 4 silos and threw their remains several hundred yards to the east. The tornado stayed on the ground for 3 miles, eventually crossing Interstate 65 just south of Smith's Grove. This tornado overturned a semi-trailer on the interstate. Before lifting up just to the east of Smith's Grove, it destroyed an older wooden barn and a large well constructed dairy barn, ripping steel I-beams out of their concrete base, scattering its roof, and collapsing its…
- Mar 1, 2017Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
The NWS in conjunction with Warren County Emergency Management determined a high end EF-1 tornado touched down in southeastern Warren County, east of I-65 near Claypool community. Several structures, residences, and barns saw extensive damage along Cemetery Rd and Martinsville Ford Road. The tornado tracked for approximately 3 miles, was 125 yards at its widest point, and had peak estimated wind speed of 110 mph.
- Feb 24, 2018Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
The tornado touched down near the intersection of Hays Pondsville Rd and FH Roundtree Rd, destroying a small metal shed, overturning a trailer, flattening a fence, and causing minor roof damage to a home. The very narrow tornado - only 30 to 50 yards wide - continued northeast, uprooting trees and damaging outbuildings on neighboring property, including breaking out all of the windows of one building. The path continued northeast over open countryside, snapping tree limbs of several trees. It then tore the porch off the east side of a home on the south side of Highway 68-80, depositing debris into nearby woods. ||Crossing 68-80, the tornado did its greatest damage, tearing a very…
- Mar 3, 2020Tornado$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Most of the damage was around the southeastern portion of the Alvaton community, east of Bowling Green. Several trees were either uprooted or pushed over, facing from the west-southwest to the east-northeast just west of Highway 231 on Fairview Road. The wind swath was about 200 yards wide. Just east of Highway 231 a large 40 x 60 storage barn for a camper had its roof partially lifted downwind to the east northeast. The metal siding was flung up to 150 yards into the trees. The tree damage continued along Alvaton- Scottsville Road into Marble Gate Ct. Several homes sustained roof damage, with several porches partially lifted up causing structural damage. One home on Marble Gate…
- Jan 29, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorm winds caused structural damage to several homes at the Hidden River Estates off Elrod Road. The roof was blown off one home, and several other homes had extensive roof damage.
- Jul 22, 2019Lightning$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning caused a structure fire on the 400 block of Cambridge Grove Circle.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Bowling Green Warren County Airport, 0.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1893.
- All-time high
- 113°FJul 28, 1930
- All-time low
- −21°F2 times, most recently Jan 24, 1963
- Warmest night
- 81°F4 times, most recently Jul 6, 2022
- Coldest day
- −1°FFeb 9, 1899
- Wettest day
- 6.15 inDec 7, 1924
- Snowiest day
- 18.0 inMar 9, 1960
- Hottest year
- 1921mean 63.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1958mean 55.1°F
- Wettest year
- 197976.56 in
- Driest year
- 193030.50 in
- Snowiest season
- 48.0 in1959-60
Median first snow
December 23
Earliest: October 31, 1993
Median last snow
February 25
Latest: April 21, 2021
1 of 91 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Bowling Green Warren County Airport (USW00093808), 523 ft elevation, 0.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1893 to October 26, 2026; 99.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
26 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 24, 2026.
| Jan 24, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3633-KY |
| May 23, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4875-KY |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4864-KY |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3626-KY |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Severe Storm | EM-3624-KY |
| Jul 23, 2024 | Severe Storm | DR-4804-KY |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Severe Storm | DR-4702-KY |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Tornado | DR-4630-KY |
| Dec 11, 2021 | Tornado | EM-3575-KY |
| Apr 23, 2021 | Flood | DR-4595-KY |
| Mar 28, 2020 | Biological | DR-4497-KY |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3469-KY |
| May 11, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1912-KY |
| Feb 5, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1818-KY |
| Jan 28, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3302-KY |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3231-KY |
| Aug 6, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1537-KY |
| Apr 29, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1216-KY |
| Mar 4, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1163-KY |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1089-KY |
| Mar 16, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1018-KY |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3104-KY |
| Mar 29, 1975 | Flood | DR-461-KY |
| Apr 4, 1974 | Tornado | DR-420-KY |
| May 10, 1971 | Tornado | DR-305-KY |
| Jul 15, 1969 | Flood | DR-265-KY |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Warren County stands among 120 counties in Kentucky and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 32 | 6 / 120 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 4 | 9 / 120 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 2 | 47 / 120 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 124 | 38 / 120 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.4 million | 37 / 120 |
| Disaster declarations | 26 | 61 / 120 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 104 | 23 / 120 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 384 | 7 / 120 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 25 | 106 / 120 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $517 million | 1 / 120 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 4 | 27 / 120 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 135 | 42 / 120 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 14.4 | 64 / 120 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Allen County | 9 | 4 |
| Barren County | 21 | 3 |
| Butler County | 10 | 2 |
| Edmonson County | 10 | 2 |
| Logan County | 24 | 2 |
| Simpson County | 17 | 3 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093808.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.