Arenac County

Population 15,068 (2025) 363 sq mi

Arenac County has recorded 9 tornadoes since 1950, 51st most of 83 counties in Michigan; the most recent was on August 28, 2018.

Hazard fingerprint for Arenac County Tornado: 33th percentile. Tropical: 7th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 32th percentile. Hail & wind: 24th percentile. Heat: 13th percentile. Cold: 46th percentile. Winter: 39th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 19509
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1
  • Major flood years since 19782

At a glance

The record for Arenac County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tornadoes since 1950

9

51st of 83 in Michigan

Fewer than the typical Michigan county, which has had 13

Details

Flood insurance claims

119

22nd of 83 in Michigan

$2.1 million paid since 1980

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

1

Most of any of Michigan’s 83 counties

None at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

April 24, 1993, 7.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

TS

Tropical storm Connie, 1955, 24.0 miles away

Federal disaster declarations

11

Most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, 2020

Details

Record high

100°F

Reached 4 times, most recently August 9, 2001

Details

Record low

−28°F

February 1, 1994

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 8.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

April 24, 1993

F2, 7.0 mile path

440 yards wide.

Most recent

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

EF1, 0.9 mile path

8 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 2 2 1980s: 0 1990s: 3 3 2000s: 2 2 2010s: 2 2 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 1 M: 1 J: 0 J: 5 5 A: 2 S: 0 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Arenac County since 1950
Aug 28, 2018EF10.95000
Aug 28, 2018EF00.44000
Jul 9, 2007EF00.58000
May 12, 2000F02.02000
Jul 2, 1997F13.015010
Jul 13, 1995F25.01000
Apr 24, 1993F27.044030
Jul 8, 1977F11.54010
Jul 4, 1977F22.59010
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Arenac County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

August 14, 1955

Connie, Tropical storm

24.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 43 mph.

Most recent

September 14, 2008

Ike, Post-tropical

97.4 miles at closest approach.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Ike200897.4Post-tropical58Category 4
Connie195524.0Tropical storm43Category 4
Unnamed19410.0Post-tropical54Category 3
Unnamed193247.6Post-tropical49Category 1
Unnamed19236.9Post-tropical40Tropical storm
Unnamed190031.3Post-tropical64Category 4
Unnamed189262.5Post-tropical58Tropical storm
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 76 days

Heavy smoke on 23 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

25.9 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

30 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 7 2012: 8 2013: 7 2014: 17 2015: 13 2016: 2 2017: 12 2018: 18 2019: 13 2020: 14 2021: 44 2022: 15 2023: 76 76 2024: 35 2025: 30 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

119 federal flood insurance claims since 1980, with $2.1 million paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1986: 30 1990: 6 2004: 5 2018: 12 2020: 40 40 1986
Claims per year since 1980. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2020: 40 claims

$1.4 million paid.

2nd most

1986: 30 claims

$79,000 paid.

3rd most

2018: 12 claims

$391,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
4865870$872,000
4870324$307,000
4865914$657,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flood12
  • Flash Flood2

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

April 14, 2026

Rifle River near Sterling, 11.64 ft

5.64 feet above the 6.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

April 14, 2026

Rifle River near Sterling, 11.64 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Apr 14, 2026Rifle River near Sterling11.64+5.64Moderate
Apr 1, 2025Rifle River near Sterling9.15+3.15Minor
Mar 24, 2022Rifle River near Sterling7.74+1.74Minor
Apr 11, 2013Rifle River near Sterling7.73+1.73Minor
Apr 6, 2023Rifle River near Sterling6.75+0.75Minor
Mar 12, 2021Rifle River near Sterling4.72−1.28Below flood stage
Mar 9, 2024Rifle River near Sterling4.54−1.46Below flood stage

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Rifle River near Sterling6.011.64 ftApr 14, 20260
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 116 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 14 months.

116

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

31

Months in extreme drought

7%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

June 1977

−6.00, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

14 months

December 1963 to January 1965.

Latest month

September 2026

+2.12, moderately wet

Last severe month: June 2021.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 2 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 0 1902: 2 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 3 1909: 1 1910: 7 1911: 4 1912: 0 1913: 1 1914: 7 1915: 5 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 2 1931: 8 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 5 1935: 0 1936: 5 1937: 0 1938: 2 1939: 1 1940: 2 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 3 1946: 1 1947: 0 1948: 3 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 0 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 5 1959: 1 1960: 0 1961: 2 1962: 0 1963: 4 1964: 12 12 1965: 1 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 1 1977: 7 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 1 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 4 1999: 3 2000: 3 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 3 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 2 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 3 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.

Severe weather and other events

197 events in the National Weather Service record, 174 of them since 1996.

28

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

3

Hail, 2 inches or larger

41

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

54

Winter weather events since 1996

2

Heat events since 1996

9

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

September 26, 1998

3.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

May 12, 2004

69 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning100Jul 15, 2010

Costliest events since 1996

  1. May 18, 2020Flood$4.4 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Widespread areal flooding developed on the 18th, and persisted for several days. Most creeks and rivers in Arenac County rose out of their banks. Many roads across the county were closed at various times, including M-13 south of Standish. The Rifle River near Sterling reached a new record flood stage of 15.65 feet on the afternoon of the 19th. Some structures along the River River and Parmalee Creek were partially submerged. The Forest Lake area was evacuated due to rising water. Hundreds of homes were flooded in the Standish area. Flooding along the Lake Huron coastline was worsened by lakeshore flooding thanks to onshore winds.

  2. Aug 28, 2018Thunderstorm Wind$75,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Four homes suffered wind damage, with roofing and windows damaged by fallen trees.

  3. Aug 28, 2018Tornado$70,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado with estimated maximum winds of 100 mph briefly touched down a couple of miles south of Au Gres, and just west of the Point Au Gres Campground. The tornado lifted near near the Lake Huron shoreline. Dozens of mature hardwood trees were snapped and uprooted. An RV at the campground was destroyed by fallen trees. One person was briefly trapped, but was not injured.

  4. Apr 11, 2013Ice Storm, Arenac$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A large and complex low pressure system lifted toward the southern and western Great Lakes region, bumping into high pressure over northern Ontario and Quebec. The high helped anchor cold air in place at low levels, while warm and moist air surged in aloft ahead of the low. This resulted in a wide mix of wintry precipitation, developing on the afternoon of the 11th, and ending late that night. Eastern Upper Michigan was far enough north to get mostly snow, with up to nine inches measured in Pickford. In northern Lower, snow transitioned to sleet and freezing rain, and in some places to just rain before dwindling. Ice amounts were substantial near Saginaw Bay, with 3/4 of an inch…

  5. May 20, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$45,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Trees were downed in Sterling, while the roof was blown off of a home in Standish.

  6. Aug 28, 2018Tornado$45,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado with estimated maximum winds of 85 mph briefly touched down along the Rifle River, about 4 miles northeast of Sterling. A number of hardwood and softwood trees were knocked over or snapped, damaging a few structures in the process.

  7. Jun 6, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$34,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Trees and power lines were downed. A pickup truck was damaged by falling trees. A large barn roof was ripped off, and was deposited onto a nearby residence.

  8. May 23, 2004Flood, Arenac$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Southbound I-75 was closed near Alger, when a culvert was partially washed out. Many rivers exceeded bankfull, including the Rifle, Au Gres, and Pine Rivers. Several roads in eastern Arenac County were under several feet of water, including Santiago and Twining Roads.

  9. Jun 10, 2020Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Numerous trees and power lines were downed in multiple locations in and just east of Standish. Power lines were also downed in and on the east side of Omer.

  10. May 27, 2012Thunderstorm Wind$27,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A large tree fell onto two RV's at the Big Bend Campground on Conrad Rd, near Omer. One RV was destroyed, the other suffered only minor damage. Four campers inside one of the trailers were injured, thankfully none of them seriously.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Standish 4NE, 2.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1895.

All-time high
100°F4 times, most recently Aug 9, 2001
All-time low
−28°FFeb 1, 1994
Warmest night
85°FJun 26, 1943
Coldest day
−3°FJan 19, 1994
Wettest day
4.48 inMay 19, 2020
Snowiest day
13.0 in2 times, most recently Feb 2, 2011
Hottest year
2024mean 49.0°F
Coldest year
1989mean 42.6°F
Wettest year
198543.79 in
Driest year
195817.43 in
Snowiest season
74.1 in1978-79
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Standish 4NE 32°F 29° 14° 1.5 Jan 33° 14° 1.6 Feb 42° 23° 2.0 Mar 55° 32° 2.8 Apr 66° 43° 3.4 May 77° 54° 3.1 Jun 81° 58° 3.1 Jul 79° 56° 3.3 Aug 73° 48° 2.4 Sep 60° 38° 2.9 Oct 47° 29° 1.9 Nov 35° 21° 1.8 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1976: 167 1977: 168 1978: 185 1980: 182 1981: 178 1982: 157 1983: 170 1984: 174 1985: 159 1986: 177 1989: 180 1990: 159 1991: 157 1993: 169 1994: 158 1996: 180 1997: 188 188 1998: 133 1999: 165 2000: 165 2001: 151 2002: 171 2003: 164 2004: 156 2005: 166 2006: 150 2007: 166 2008: 174 2009: 169 2010: 155 2011: 158 2016: 140 2017: 131 2018: 172 2019: 148 2020: 163 2021: 151 2022: 150 2023: 144 2024: 129 2025: 157 19761989200120112025
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 157.5.
Snowfall by winter 1977: 65.5 in 1978: 74.1 in 74.1 1979: 37.0 in 1980: 39.0 in 1981: 44.8 in 1982: 29.7 in 1983: 27.8 in 1984: 67.0 in 1985: 53.0 in 1986: 34.3 in 1997: 32.8 in 1999: 3.0 in 2000: 27.6 in 2001: 34.4 in 2002: 12.5 in 2003: 60.4 in 2004: 50.8 in 2005: 45.5 in 2006: 29.1 in 2007: 64.4 in 2008: 64.9 in 2009: 17.5 in 2010: 66.3 in 2016: 40.7 in 2017: 43.5 in 2018: 58.5 in 2019: 41.8 in 2020: 35.8 in 2021: 42.4 in 2022: 51.8 in 2023: 30.0 in 2024: 45.0 in 2025: 39.4 in 1977199720082023
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 20

Earliest: October 17, 1952

Median last snow

April 5

Latest: May 5, 1954

0 of 57 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Standish 4NE (USC00207820), 615 ft elevation, 2.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1895 to October 27, 2026; 87.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

11 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, July 9, 2020.

Federal disaster declarations
Jul 9, 2020Dam/Levee BreakSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4547-MI
Mar 27, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4494-MI
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3455-MI
Sep 7, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3225-MI
Jun 30, 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1527-MI
Jan 27, 1999SnowstormMi - Severe Weather 1/2 /99EmergencyEM-3137-MI
Sep 18, 1986FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-774-MI
Jan 27, 1978SnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsEmergencyEM-3057-MI
Mar 2, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3035-MI
Apr 12, 1973FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-371-MI
Dec 1, 1972FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-363-MI

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Arenac County stands among 83 counties in Michigan and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 1950951 / 832,326 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi11 / 831,473 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims11922 / 831,197 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$2.1 million17 / 831,145 / 3,143
Disaster declarations1131 / 832,727 / 3,143
Flood events since 19961438 / 832,764 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 19968966 / 832,836 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19965481 / 831,857 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$5.2 million58 / 832,365 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189511645 / 831,872 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years25.942 / 83554 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 19000——
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Bay County1510515
Gladwin County101031
Iosco County1319,11381
Ogemaw County1715,6970

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00207820.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.