Arenac County
Population 15,068 (2025) 363 sq mi
Arenac County has recorded 9 tornadoes since 1950, 51st most of 83 counties in Michigan; the most recent was on August 28, 2018.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19509
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger1
- Major flood years since 19782
At a glance
The record for Arenac County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
9
51st of 83 in Michigan
Fewer than the typical Michigan county, which has had 13
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
1
Most of any of Michigan’s 83 counties
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
April 24, 1993, 7.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Connie, 1955, 24.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 8.4 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 24, 1993
F2, 7.0 mile path
440 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, August 28, 2018
EF1, 0.9 mile path
8 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 28, 2018 | EF1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 28, 2018 | EF0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 9, 2007 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 2000 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2, 1997 | F1 | 3.0 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 13, 1995 | F2 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 24, 1993 | F2 | 7.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 1977 | F1 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 4, 1977 | F2 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Arenac County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 14, 1955
Connie, Tropical storm
24.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 43 mph.
Most recent
September 14, 2008
Ike, Post-tropical
97.4 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 76 days
Heavy smoke on 23 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
25.9 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
30 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
119 federal flood insurance claims since 1980, with $2.1 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2020: 40 claims
$1.4 million paid.
2nd most
1986: 30 claims
$79,000 paid.
3rd most
2018: 12 claims
$391,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 48658 | 70 | $872,000 |
| 48703 | 24 | $307,000 |
| 48659 | 14 | $657,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood12
- Flash Flood2
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
April 14, 2026
Rifle River near Sterling, 11.64 ft
5.64 feet above the 6.0 ft flood stage; moderate flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
April 14, 2026
Rifle River near Sterling, 11.64 ft
Moderate flooding.
| Apr 14, 2026 | Rifle River near Sterling | 11.64 | +5.64 |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Rifle River near Sterling | 9.15 | +3.15 |
| Mar 24, 2022 | Rifle River near Sterling | 7.74 | +1.74 |
| Apr 11, 2013 | Rifle River near Sterling | 7.73 | +1.73 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Rifle River near Sterling | 6.75 | +0.75 |
| Mar 12, 2021 | Rifle River near Sterling | 4.72 | −1.28 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Rifle River near Sterling | 4.54 | −1.46 |
River gauges
| Rifle River near Sterling | 6.0 | 11.64 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 116 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 14 months.
116
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
31
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
June 1977
−6.00, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
14 months
December 1963 to January 1965.
Latest month
September 2026
+2.12, moderately wet
Last severe month: June 2021.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.
Severe weather and other events
197 events in the National Weather Service record, 174 of them since 1996.
28
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
41
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
54
Winter weather events since 1996
2
Heat events since 1996
9
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
September 26, 1998
3.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 12, 2004
69 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 18, 2020Flood$4.4 million
National Weather Service narrative
Widespread areal flooding developed on the 18th, and persisted for several days. Most creeks and rivers in Arenac County rose out of their banks. Many roads across the county were closed at various times, including M-13 south of Standish. The Rifle River near Sterling reached a new record flood stage of 15.65 feet on the afternoon of the 19th. Some structures along the River River and Parmalee Creek were partially submerged. The Forest Lake area was evacuated due to rising water. Hundreds of homes were flooded in the Standish area. Flooding along the Lake Huron coastline was worsened by lakeshore flooding thanks to onshore winds.
- Aug 28, 2018Thunderstorm Wind$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Four homes suffered wind damage, with roofing and windows damaged by fallen trees.
- Aug 28, 2018Tornado$70,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado with estimated maximum winds of 100 mph briefly touched down a couple of miles south of Au Gres, and just west of the Point Au Gres Campground. The tornado lifted near near the Lake Huron shoreline. Dozens of mature hardwood trees were snapped and uprooted. An RV at the campground was destroyed by fallen trees. One person was briefly trapped, but was not injured.
- Apr 11, 2013Ice Storm, Arenac$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
A large and complex low pressure system lifted toward the southern and western Great Lakes region, bumping into high pressure over northern Ontario and Quebec. The high helped anchor cold air in place at low levels, while warm and moist air surged in aloft ahead of the low. This resulted in a wide mix of wintry precipitation, developing on the afternoon of the 11th, and ending late that night. Eastern Upper Michigan was far enough north to get mostly snow, with up to nine inches measured in Pickford. In northern Lower, snow transitioned to sleet and freezing rain, and in some places to just rain before dwindling. Ice amounts were substantial near Saginaw Bay, with 3/4 of an inch…
- May 20, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$45,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees were downed in Sterling, while the roof was blown off of a home in Standish.
- Aug 28, 2018Tornado$45,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado with estimated maximum winds of 85 mph briefly touched down along the Rifle River, about 4 miles northeast of Sterling. A number of hardwood and softwood trees were knocked over or snapped, damaging a few structures in the process.
- Jun 6, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$34,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees and power lines were downed. A pickup truck was damaged by falling trees. A large barn roof was ripped off, and was deposited onto a nearby residence.
- May 23, 2004Flood, Arenac$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Southbound I-75 was closed near Alger, when a culvert was partially washed out. Many rivers exceeded bankfull, including the Rifle, Au Gres, and Pine Rivers. Several roads in eastern Arenac County were under several feet of water, including Santiago and Twining Roads.
- Jun 10, 2020Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees and power lines were downed in multiple locations in and just east of Standish. Power lines were also downed in and on the east side of Omer.
- May 27, 2012Thunderstorm Wind$27,000
National Weather Service narrative
A large tree fell onto two RV's at the Big Bend Campground on Conrad Rd, near Omer. One RV was destroyed, the other suffered only minor damage. Four campers inside one of the trailers were injured, thankfully none of them seriously.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Standish 4NE, 2.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1895.
- All-time high
- 100°F4 times, most recently Aug 9, 2001
- All-time low
- −28°FFeb 1, 1994
- Warmest night
- 85°FJun 26, 1943
- Coldest day
- −3°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 4.48 inMay 19, 2020
- Snowiest day
- 13.0 in2 times, most recently Feb 2, 2011
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 49.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1989mean 42.6°F
- Wettest year
- 198543.79 in
- Driest year
- 195817.43 in
- Snowiest season
- 74.1 in1978-79
Median first snow
November 20
Earliest: October 17, 1952
Median last snow
April 5
Latest: May 5, 1954
0 of 57 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Standish 4NE (USC00207820), 615 ft elevation, 2.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1895 to October 27, 2026; 87.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
11 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms and Flooding, July 9, 2020.
| Jul 9, 2020 | Dam/Levee Break | DR-4547-MI |
| Mar 27, 2020 | Biological | DR-4494-MI |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3455-MI |
| Sep 7, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3225-MI |
| Jun 30, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1527-MI |
| Jan 27, 1999 | Snowstorm | EM-3137-MI |
| Sep 18, 1986 | Flood | DR-774-MI |
| Jan 27, 1978 | Snowstorm | EM-3057-MI |
| Mar 2, 1977 | Drought | EM-3035-MI |
| Apr 12, 1973 | Flood | DR-371-MI |
| Dec 1, 1972 | Flood | DR-363-MI |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Arenac County stands among 83 counties in Michigan and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 9 | 51 / 83 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 1 | 1 / 83 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 119 | 22 / 83 |
| Flood insurance paid | $2.1 million | 17 / 83 |
| Disaster declarations | 11 | 31 / 83 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 14 | 38 / 83 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 89 | 66 / 83 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 54 | 81 / 83 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $5.2 million | 58 / 83 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 116 | 45 / 83 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 25.9 | 42 / 83 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Bay County | 15 | 1 |
| Gladwin County | 10 | 1 |
| Iosco County | 13 | 1 |
| Ogemaw County | 17 | 1 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00207820.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.