Luce County

Population 6,339 (2025) 899 sq mi

Large wildfires have burned 39,068 acres of Luce County since 1984, more than any other of Michigan's 83 counties; the largest was the Duck Lake Fire in 2012.

Hazard fingerprint for Luce County Tornado: 10th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 68th percentile. Flood: 5th percentile. Hail & wind: 10th percentile. Heat: 19th percentile. Cold: 78th percentile. Winter: 93th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 19504
  • Wildfire burn scars since 19842

At a glance

The record for Luce County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Acres burned since 1984

39,068

Most of any of Michigan’s 83 counties

2 large fires; the largest was Duck Lake, 2012

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

4

73rd of 83 in Michigan

Fewer than the typical Michigan county, which has had 13

Details

Flood insurance claims

1

74th of 83 in Michigan

$5,511 paid since 2001

Details

Strongest tornado

F1

August 22, 1977, 1.5 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

5

Most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, 2020

Details

Record high

98°F

Reached 2 times, most recently July 7, 1988

Details

Record low

−36°F

February 17, 1979

Details

Snowiest season

332.8in

Winter of 1976-77

Tornadoes

About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

August 22, 1977

F1, 1.5 mile path

60 yards wide.

Most recent

Friday, July 8, 2016

EF0, 0.2 mile path

10 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 0 1970s: 1 1 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 0 2000s: 0 2010s: 2 2 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 0 M: 2 2 J: 0 J: 1 A: 1 S: 0 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Luce County since 1950
Jul 8, 2016EF00.27500
May 23, 2011EF02.45000
May 1, 1983F00.11000
Aug 22, 1977F11.56000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Luce County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

39,068 acres burned in 2 large fires since 1984, equal to 6.8% of the land.

Largest

May 23, 2012

Duck Lake Fire, 21,471 acres

21,444 acres inside Luce County.

Most recent

May 23, 2012

Duck Lake Fire

21,471 acres in total.

Acres burned since 1984, cumulative 2007: 17,6242012: 21,445 39,068 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned inside the county (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
Duck Lake201221,44421,471
Sleeper Lake200717,62317,614
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 78 days

Heavy smoke on 27 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

27.8 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

28 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 45 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 9 2012: 14 2013: 6 2014: 15 2015: 20 2016: 8 2017: 15 2018: 23 2019: 15 2020: 10 2021: 45 2022: 15 2023: 78 78 2024: 41 2025: 28 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

1 federal flood insurance claims since 2001, with $5,511 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year
Claims per year since 2001. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Flood events since 1996

  • Heavy Rain6
  • Flood1

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

May 10, 1960

Tahquamenon River near Paradise, 10.26 ft

0.26 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.

Highest river crests above flood stage
May 10, 1960Tahquamenon River near Paradise10.26+0.26Minor
Apr 25, 1985Tahquamenon River near Paradise10.07+0.07Minor
May 4, 1972Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.96−0.04Action
Apr 19, 2023Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.95−0.05Action
Apr 25, 2019Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.90−0.10Action
May 4, 2014Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.66−0.34Action
Apr 23, 1971Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.59−0.41Action
Apr 19, 2002Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.55−0.45Action
Apr 21, 2008Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.48−0.52Below flood stage
Apr 17, 2022Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.43−0.57Below flood stage
Apr 26, 1957Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.43−0.57Below flood stage
Apr 10, 1988Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.42−0.58Below flood stage
Apr 21, 1977Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.33−0.67Below flood stage
Apr 26, 1979Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.28−0.72Below flood stage
Apr 18, 1976Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.17−0.83Below flood stage
Apr 10, 1986Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.17−0.83Below flood stage
Apr 18, 2001Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.17−0.83Below flood stage
Apr 27, 1996Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.10−0.90Below flood stage
Apr 23, 2003Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.09−0.91Below flood stage
Apr 22, 1969Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.09−0.91Below flood stage
Apr 29, 1982Tahquamenon River near Paradise9.03−0.97Below flood stage
Apr 22, 1974Tahquamenon River near Paradise8.92−1.08Below flood stage
May 2, 2013Tahquamenon River near Paradise8.91−1.09Below flood stage
Apr 17, 1991Tahquamenon River near Paradise8.87−1.13Below flood stage
Apr 21, 2015Tahquamenon River near Paradise8.82−1.18Below flood stage

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Tahquamenon River near Paradise10.010.26 ftMay 10, 19600
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 199 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.

199

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

54

Months in extreme drought

13%

Share of all months, severe or worse

Lowest reading

January 1931

−5.64, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

17 months

August 1930 to December 1931.

Latest month

September 2026

−3.59, severe drought

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 7 1896: 4 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 3 1901: 0 1902: 4 1903: 1 1904: 0 1905: 1 1906: 6 1907: 4 1908: 2 1909: 4 1910: 11 1911: 3 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 2 1915: 5 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 2 1920: 0 1921: 2 1922: 0 1923: 2 1924: 1 1925: 6 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 5 1931: 12 12 1932: 0 1933: 3 1934: 8 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 5 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 2 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 3 1948: 9 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 0 1954: 0 1955: 6 1956: 4 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 2 1963: 6 1964: 0 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 4 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 5 1988: 2 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 1 1998: 12 1999: 5 2000: 6 2001: 1 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 7 2006: 9 2007: 7 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 2 2011: 0 2012: 1 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 1 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.

Severe weather and other events

407 events in the National Weather Service record, 396 of them since 1996.

20

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

4

Hail, 2 inches or larger

37

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

267

Winter weather events since 1996

3

Heat events since 1996

28

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

June 30, 2018

4.00 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

August 21, 2003

75 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Rip currents110Jul 24, 2024
Lightning110Jul 18, 2013
Dense fog and smoke400Jun 4, 2013
Seiches100May 30, 2011

Costliest events since 1996

  1. May 20, 2012Wildfire, Luce$12.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Lightning from a line of thunderstorms ignited The Duck Lake Wildfire 14 miles north of Newberry on the evening of the 20th. Strong south winds gusting over 30 mph on the 24th quickly fanned the fire and caused it to spread rapidly toward the Lake Superior shore forcing mandatory evacuations for people in the Pike Lake, Bodi Lake, Culhane Lake and Little Lake Harbor areas. The 21,069 acre wildfire, the third largest in modern Michigan history, burned 136 structures (including one store and one motel) before it was fully contained in mid-June. No injuries or deaths occurred from the fire. Road closures included County Road 414 east from the intersection with County Road 410 and…

  2. Jun 30, 2018Hail$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Rangers at Muskallonge Lake State Park reported tennis ball sized hail with numerous camper roofs destroyed. All 159 campsites at the park sustained hail damage to campers, cars and other property. Seven park vehicles were significantly damaged, and the roofs of several buildings in the park, including the park headquarters building, will probably need to be replaced. Time of the report was estimated by radar.

  3. Jul 18, 2013Lightning$70,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A house fire caused by a lightning strike resulted in the death of a 79-year-old man. The fire was reported by a storm spotter located one mile away, and it was confirmed by local media.

  4. Jul 18, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Fifty trees were knocked down at Muskallonge Lake State Park. Some trees fell on campers, tents, and outbuildings, but no injuries were reported.

  5. Sep 3, 2010High Wind, Luce$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Strong winds knocked down approximately 50 large trees at Muskallonge State Park on the evening of the 3rd and forced the evacuation of 343 people to Tahquamenon Area Schools in Newberry or to local motels. Trees fell on campers and blocked roads forcing park officials to close the park at 930 pm that evening. Campers were allowed to return to the park on the afternoon of the 4th.

  6. Aug 2, 2007Wildfire, Luce$40,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    On August 2, a lightning strike ignited a wildfire over the Lake Superior State Forest in Luce County during a period of moderate to extreme drought conditions. The Sleeper Lake Fire grew to more than 15,000 acres within a week and eventually swept across 28 square miles, consuming more than 18,000 acres of forests and wetlands before it was fully contained in late August. ||It was the third largest wildfire in Michigan's recorded history. The equipment and personnel costs for fighting the fire were estimated at approximately $6 million at the time of this report. No major injuries were reported.

  7. Dec 18, 2022Winter Weather, Luce$35,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Moderate snow and poor road conditions contributed to a fatal two-vehicle crash near McMillan in Lakefield Township on the morning of the 18th. At 9:50 am MSP troopers responded to a two-vehicle crash near the intersection of Highway M-28 and County Road 444 in Lakefield Township. A 19-year-old man from Newberry was driving east on M-28 when his Ford F-250 truck crossed the center line and collided with a Chrysler minivan driven by a 64-year-old woman from Newberry. The woman was pronounced dead at the scene of the crash. The man was taken to Helen Newberry Joy Hospital for non-life-threatening injuries and released. The MSP was assisted at the scene of the accident by the MDNR,…

  8. Nov 10, 1998High Wind, Luce$25,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    On the 23rd anniversary of the 1975 storm that sank the Edmond Fitzgerald on Lake Superior, a deep low pressure system (central pressure 28.41 inches of mercury) developed over the central plains and tracked northeast across western Lake Superior. Strong winds spread over Michigan's Upper Peninsula with sustained speeds of 30 to 40 mph and gusts as high as 87 mph. A gust of 94 mph was recorded by the Ontonagon County Road Commission. Damage was reported across the region with business signs blown down and roofs damaged as well as damage to homes, vehicles, utility poles, power lines and transformers from falling trees and branches. The strong winds even blew away a city's holiday…

  9. Nov 13, 2019Winter Storm, Luce$20,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An estimated 12 inches of wet, heavy lake enhanced snow fell at the Cobblestone Bar & Grill in McMillan in approximately nine hours. An estimated seven inches of snow fell in Newberry with numerous traffic accidents reported.

  10. Nov 27, 2019Winter Storm, Luce$20,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The observer in Newberry measured nine inches of wet, heavy snow in less than 12 hours. The dense snow combined with northerly winds gusting to 30 to 35 mph at times caused damage to trees and some power lines. Businesses were closed on the 27th due to the storm.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Tahquamenon Falls Sp, 24.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1968.

All-time high
98°F2 times, most recently Jul 7, 1988
All-time low
−36°FFeb 17, 1979
Warmest night
73°FJul 7, 1988
Coldest day
−7°FMar 3, 2003
Wettest day
3.87 inAug 29, 1969
Snowiest day
16.1 inJan 8, 2004
Hottest year
2024mean 43.6°F
Coldest year
2014mean 35.5°F
Wettest year
201953.55 in
Driest year
197229.08 in
Snowiest season
332.8 in1976-77
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Tahquamenon Falls Sp 32°F 23° 9° 3.6 Jan 26° 7° 2.7 Feb 35° 13° 2.5 Mar 47° 25° 2.8 Apr 62° 37° 2.4 May 72° 46° 3.1 Jun 77° 51° 3.0 Jul 75° 50° 2.9 Aug 68° 44° 3.7 Sep 54° 34° 4.2 Oct 41° 26° 3.5 Nov 29° 16° 3.7 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Nights at or below freezing per year 1976: 208 1977: 194 1978: 192 1979: 196 1980: 203 1981: 211 1984: 198 1985: 201 1995: 177 1997: 205 1999: 179 2000: 188 2002: 203 2003: 190 2004: 198 2006: 194 2008: 181 2009: 207 2010: 191 2011: 189 2014: 202 2015: 198 2016: 199 2017: 203 2018: 205 2019: 209 2020: 216 216 2021: 185 2022: 197 2023: 189 2024: 179 2025: 198 1976199920142024
Nights at or below freezing each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 195.9.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 332.8 in 332.8 1977: 164.4 in 1978: 206.6 in 1979: 128.9 in 1980: 162.0 in 1981: 179.5 in 1982: 139.3 in 1983: 147.1 in 1985: 231.3 in 1988: 180.6 in 1994: 142.0 in 1995: 200.6 in 1996: 199.3 in 1997: 84.0 in 1998: 130.9 in 1999: 166.8 in 2000: 195.7 in 2001: 184.0 in 2002: 208.5 in 2003: 183.3 in 2004: 135.7 in 2005: 163.9 in 2007: 200.5 in 2008: 211.9 in 2009: 124.9 in 2010: 121.6 in 2011: 85.3 in 2012: 201.3 in 2013: 199.5 in 2014: 174.1 in 2015: 149.7 in 2016: 169.7 in 2017: 164.4 in 2018: 163.5 in 2019: 173.1 in 2020: 96.2 in 2021: 174.2 in 2022: 176.0 in 2023: 113.9 in 2024: 232.0 in 2025: 212.2 in 19761994200420152025
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

November 4

Earliest: October 1, 2003

Median last snow

April 17

Latest: May 13, 1971

0 of 47 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Tahquamenon Falls Sp (USC00208043), 745 ft elevation, 24.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1968 to October 5, 2026; 95.3% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

5 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 27, 2020.

Federal disaster declarations
Mar 27, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4494-MI
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3455-MI
Sep 7, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3225-MI
Jan 27, 1978SnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsEmergencyEM-3057-MI
Mar 2, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3035-MI

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Luce County stands among 83 counties in Michigan and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 1950473 / 832,697 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 198439,0681 / 83515 / 3,143
Flood insurance claims174 / 832,799 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$5,51172 / 832,757 / 3,143
Disaster declarations579 / 833,081 / 3,143
Flood events since 1996762 / 832,999 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 19968169 / 832,876 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19962679 / 83207 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$13.4 million51 / 831,766 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 18951993 / 83314 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years27.813 / 83366 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 19000——
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Alger County6007
Chippewa County711,9216
Mackinac County507406
Schoolcraft County308,2862

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00208043.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.