Luce County
Population 6,339 (2025) 899 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 39,068 acres of Luce County since 1984, more than any other of Michigan's 83 counties; the largest was the Duck Lake Fire in 2012.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19504
- Wildfire burn scars since 19842
At a glance
The record for Luce County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
39,068
Most of any of Michigan’s 83 counties
2 large fires; the largest was Duck Lake, 2012
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
4
73rd of 83 in Michigan
Fewer than the typical Michigan county, which has had 13
DetailsStrongest tornado
F1
August 22, 1977, 1.5 mile path
Snowiest season
332.8in
Winter of 1976-77
Tornadoes
About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
August 22, 1977
F1, 1.5 mile path
60 yards wide.
Most recent
Friday, July 8, 2016
EF0, 0.2 mile path
10 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 8, 2016 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 23, 2011 | EF0 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1, 1983 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 22, 1977 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Luce County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
39,068 acres burned in 2 large fires since 1984, equal to 6.8% of the land.
Largest
May 23, 2012
Duck Lake Fire, 21,471 acres
21,444 acres inside Luce County.
Most recent
May 23, 2012
Duck Lake Fire
21,471 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Duck Lake | 2012 | 21,444 | 21,471 |
| Sleeper Lake | 2007 | 17,623 | 17,614 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 78 days
Heavy smoke on 27 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
27.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
28 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 45 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
1 federal flood insurance claims since 2001, with $5,511 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain6
- Flood1
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
May 10, 1960
Tahquamenon River near Paradise, 10.26 ft
0.26 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.
River gauges
| Tahquamenon River near Paradise | 10.0 | 10.26 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 199 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 17 months.
199
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
54
Months in extreme drought
13%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
January 1931
−5.64, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
17 months
August 1930 to December 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−3.59, severe drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.
Severe weather and other events
407 events in the National Weather Service record, 396 of them since 1996.
20
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
4
Hail, 2 inches or larger
37
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
267
Winter weather events since 1996
3
Heat events since 1996
28
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 30, 2018
4.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
August 21, 2003
75 mph
More event types since 1996
| Rip currents | 1 | 1 |
| Lightning | 1 | 1 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 4 | 0 |
| Seiches | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 20, 2012Wildfire, Luce$12.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning from a line of thunderstorms ignited The Duck Lake Wildfire 14 miles north of Newberry on the evening of the 20th. Strong south winds gusting over 30 mph on the 24th quickly fanned the fire and caused it to spread rapidly toward the Lake Superior shore forcing mandatory evacuations for people in the Pike Lake, Bodi Lake, Culhane Lake and Little Lake Harbor areas. The 21,069 acre wildfire, the third largest in modern Michigan history, burned 136 structures (including one store and one motel) before it was fully contained in mid-June. No injuries or deaths occurred from the fire. Road closures included County Road 414 east from the intersection with County Road 410 and…
- Jun 30, 2018Hail$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Rangers at Muskallonge Lake State Park reported tennis ball sized hail with numerous camper roofs destroyed. All 159 campsites at the park sustained hail damage to campers, cars and other property. Seven park vehicles were significantly damaged, and the roofs of several buildings in the park, including the park headquarters building, will probably need to be replaced. Time of the report was estimated by radar.
- Jul 18, 2013Lightning$70,000
National Weather Service narrative
A house fire caused by a lightning strike resulted in the death of a 79-year-old man. The fire was reported by a storm spotter located one mile away, and it was confirmed by local media.
- Jul 18, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Fifty trees were knocked down at Muskallonge Lake State Park. Some trees fell on campers, tents, and outbuildings, but no injuries were reported.
- Sep 3, 2010High Wind, Luce$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Strong winds knocked down approximately 50 large trees at Muskallonge State Park on the evening of the 3rd and forced the evacuation of 343 people to Tahquamenon Area Schools in Newberry or to local motels. Trees fell on campers and blocked roads forcing park officials to close the park at 930 pm that evening. Campers were allowed to return to the park on the afternoon of the 4th.
- Aug 2, 2007Wildfire, Luce$40,000
National Weather Service narrative
On August 2, a lightning strike ignited a wildfire over the Lake Superior State Forest in Luce County during a period of moderate to extreme drought conditions. The Sleeper Lake Fire grew to more than 15,000 acres within a week and eventually swept across 28 square miles, consuming more than 18,000 acres of forests and wetlands before it was fully contained in late August. ||It was the third largest wildfire in Michigan's recorded history. The equipment and personnel costs for fighting the fire were estimated at approximately $6 million at the time of this report. No major injuries were reported.
- Dec 18, 2022Winter Weather, Luce$35,000
National Weather Service narrative
Moderate snow and poor road conditions contributed to a fatal two-vehicle crash near McMillan in Lakefield Township on the morning of the 18th. At 9:50 am MSP troopers responded to a two-vehicle crash near the intersection of Highway M-28 and County Road 444 in Lakefield Township. A 19-year-old man from Newberry was driving east on M-28 when his Ford F-250 truck crossed the center line and collided with a Chrysler minivan driven by a 64-year-old woman from Newberry. The woman was pronounced dead at the scene of the crash. The man was taken to Helen Newberry Joy Hospital for non-life-threatening injuries and released. The MSP was assisted at the scene of the accident by the MDNR,…
- Nov 10, 1998High Wind, Luce$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
On the 23rd anniversary of the 1975 storm that sank the Edmond Fitzgerald on Lake Superior, a deep low pressure system (central pressure 28.41 inches of mercury) developed over the central plains and tracked northeast across western Lake Superior. Strong winds spread over Michigan's Upper Peninsula with sustained speeds of 30 to 40 mph and gusts as high as 87 mph. A gust of 94 mph was recorded by the Ontonagon County Road Commission. Damage was reported across the region with business signs blown down and roofs damaged as well as damage to homes, vehicles, utility poles, power lines and transformers from falling trees and branches. The strong winds even blew away a city's holiday…
- Nov 13, 2019Winter Storm, Luce$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
An estimated 12 inches of wet, heavy lake enhanced snow fell at the Cobblestone Bar & Grill in McMillan in approximately nine hours. An estimated seven inches of snow fell in Newberry with numerous traffic accidents reported.
- Nov 27, 2019Winter Storm, Luce$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
The observer in Newberry measured nine inches of wet, heavy snow in less than 12 hours. The dense snow combined with northerly winds gusting to 30 to 35 mph at times caused damage to trees and some power lines. Businesses were closed on the 27th due to the storm.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Tahquamenon Falls Sp, 24.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1968.
- All-time high
- 98°F2 times, most recently Jul 7, 1988
- All-time low
- −36°FFeb 17, 1979
- Warmest night
- 73°FJul 7, 1988
- Coldest day
- −7°FMar 3, 2003
- Wettest day
- 3.87 inAug 29, 1969
- Snowiest day
- 16.1 inJan 8, 2004
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 43.6°F
- Coldest year
- 2014mean 35.5°F
- Wettest year
- 201953.55 in
- Driest year
- 197229.08 in
- Snowiest season
- 332.8 in1976-77
Median first snow
November 4
Earliest: October 1, 2003
Median last snow
April 17
Latest: May 13, 1971
0 of 47 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Tahquamenon Falls Sp (USC00208043), 745 ft elevation, 24.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1968 to October 5, 2026; 95.3% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
5 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 27, 2020.
| Mar 27, 2020 | Biological | DR-4494-MI |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3455-MI |
| Sep 7, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3225-MI |
| Jan 27, 1978 | Snowstorm | EM-3057-MI |
| Mar 2, 1977 | Drought | EM-3035-MI |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Luce County stands among 83 counties in Michigan and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 4 | 73 / 83 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 39,068 | 1 / 83 |
| Flood insurance claims | 1 | 74 / 83 |
| Flood insurance paid | $5,511 | 72 / 83 |
| Disaster declarations | 5 | 79 / 83 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 7 | 62 / 83 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 81 | 69 / 83 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 267 | 9 / 83 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $13.4 million | 51 / 83 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 199 | 3 / 83 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 27.8 | 13 / 83 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Alger County | 6 | 0 |
| Chippewa County | 7 | 1 |
| Mackinac County | 5 | 0 |
| Schoolcraft County | 3 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00208043.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.