Bates County

Population 16,512 (2025) 837 sq mi

Bates County has recorded 28 tornadoes since 1950, 43rd most of 115 counties in Missouri; the most recent was on April 27, 2024.

Hazard fingerprint for Bates County Tornado: 43th percentile. Tropical: 0th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 24th percentile. Hail & wind: 36th percentile. Heat: 69th percentile. Cold: 50th percentile. Winter: 32th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195028

At a glance

The record for Bates County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Tornadoes since 1950

28

43rd of 115 in Missouri

About as many as the typical Missouri county

Details

Flood insurance claims

25

74th of 115 in Missouri

$646,000 paid since 1998

Details

Strongest tornado

F3

May 4, 1977, 29.8 mile path

Federal disaster declarations

23

Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2023

Details

Record high

117°F

July 14, 1954

Details

Record low

−26°F

December 23, 1989

Details

Snowiest season

39.1in

Winter of 1954-55

Costliest event since 1996

$7.0M

Heavy Rain, June 28, 2007

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 2.7 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

May 4, 1977

F3, 29.8 mile path

500 yards wide; 2 killed along the whole path.

Most recent

Saturday, April 27, 2024

EF1, 10.1 mile path

2 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 3 3 1960s: 5 5 1970s: 3 3 1980s: 1 1 1990s: 2 2 2000s: 6 6 2010s: 3 3 2020s: 5 5 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 1 M: 3 A: 10 10 M: 6 J: 3 J: 1 A: 1 S: 1 O: 0 N: 1 D: 1 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Bates County since 1950
Apr 27, 2024EF110.125000
Apr 27, 2024EF12.515000
Apr 26, 2024EF01.15000
Apr 26, 2024EF00.85000
Jun 4, 2020EF01.84000
May 16, 2015EF10.910000
Apr 7, 2015EF00.62000
May 11, 2011EF08.55000
Jun 5, 2008EF00.35000
Apr 27, 2007EF01.12500
Feb 28, 2007EF112.910000
Mar 12, 2006F226.0450131
Mar 12, 2006F016.422000
May 26, 2004F01.02500
May 17, 1995F15.07300
Nov 29, 1991F10.84300
May 20, 1982F23.010000
May 4, 1977F329.8500152
Sep 4, 1973F12.05010
Jul 2, 1972F02.71700
Apr 4, 1969F218.720010
Jun 11, 1968F00.110000
Apr 21, 1967F10.11000
Apr 16, 1967F13.85000
Apr 22, 1964F00.11000
Dec 4, 1956F24.520020
Aug 3, 1953F00.21000
Mar 31, 1953F10.21000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Bates County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 63 days

Heavy smoke on 16 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

22.7 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

17 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 32 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 15 2012: 19 2013: 12 2014: 8 2015: 12 2016: 2 2017: 9 2018: 6 2019: 8 2020: 18 2021: 51 2022: 24 2023: 63 63 2024: 29 2025: 17 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

25 federal flood insurance claims since 1998, with $646,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 2007: 6 6 2007
Claims per year since 1998. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2007: 6 claims

$319,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
6473014$226,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood20
  • Flood6
  • Heavy Rain1

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

October 5, 1986

Osage River near Schell City, 51.50 ft

21.50 feet above the 30.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

March 21, 2021

Osage River near Schell City, 35.15 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Oct 5, 1986Osage River near Schell City51.50+21.50Major
Jul 4, 2007Osage River near Schell City48.83+18.83Major
May 29, 2019Osage River near Schell City44.53+14.53Moderate
Jun 13, 1995Osage River near Schell City39.00+9.00Moderate
Jun 13, 2019Osage River near Schell City38.69+8.69Moderate
Feb 26, 1985Osage River near Schell City38.26+8.26Moderate
May 5, 2017Osage River near Schell City38.07+8.07Moderate
Jul 28, 1993Osage River near Schell City37.80+7.80Moderate
Oct 9, 1998Osage River near Schell City36.00+6.00Moderate
Nov 26, 1992Osage River near Schell City35.70+5.70Moderate
Mar 21, 2021Osage River near Schell City35.15+5.15Moderate
May 4, 2009Osage River near Schell City34.98+4.98Minor
May 11, 2019Osage River near Schell City34.40+4.40Minor
Apr 7, 1988Osage River near Schell City34.00+4.00Minor
Jan 8, 2005Osage River near Schell City33.60+3.60Minor
May 9, 2022Osage River near Schell City33.26+3.26Minor
Mar 25, 2012Osage River near Schell City33.21+3.21Minor
Sep 17, 2008Osage River near Schell City33.20+3.20Minor
May 9, 1999Osage River near Schell City33.20+3.20Minor
Mar 8, 2004Osage River near Schell City33.00+3.00Minor
Mar 17, 1990Osage River near Schell City32.99+2.99Minor
May 28, 2015Osage River near Schell City32.91+2.91Minor
Feb 25, 1997Osage River near Schell City32.86+2.86Minor
May 16, 2010Osage River near Schell City32.82+2.82Minor
Jun 30, 2021Osage River near Schell City32.70+2.70Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Osage River near Schell City30.051.50 ftOct 5, 19862
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 124 of 1,581 months since 1895 (8%); the longest spell lasted 18 months.

124

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

55

Months in extreme drought

8%

Share of all months, severe or worse

22

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

August 1934

−6.65, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

18 months

July 1953 to December 1954.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.36, mild drought

Last severe month: August 2012.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 1 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 5 1902: 4 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 0 1910: 0 1911: 0 1912: 0 1913: 5 1914: 1 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 7 1918: 12 12 1919: 2 1920: 0 1921: 0 1922: 0 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 0 1931: 1 1932: 1 1933: 2 1934: 8 1935: 0 1936: 6 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 4 1940: 6 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 8 1954: 12 1955: 0 1956: 6 1957: 2 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 5 1964: 3 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 1 1977: 4 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 6 1981: 4 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 5 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 1 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 1 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 1 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

6 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1931; none reached magnitude 4.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

3

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

0

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

August 9, 1931

Magnitude 3.8

6 km WSW of Kansas City, Kansas; 43.3 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

May 18, 2005

Magnitude 3.3

Missouri; 5.4 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 1 1 2000: 0 2001: 1 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 1 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 0 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

476 events in the National Weather Service record, 416 of them since 1996.

125

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

13

Hail, 2 inches or larger

118

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

45

Winter weather events since 1996

17

Heat events since 1996

10

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

May 27, 2017

4.25 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 15, 2009

90 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning100Jun 16, 2009

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Jun 28, 2007Heavy Rain$7.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A total of 14.75 inches of rain was reported over a three day period. Major flooding of the Marais Des Cygnes River was reported across the southern part of the county. Damage was reported to many homes and businesses, as well as to railroad tracks and roads. Agricultural losses were significant.

  2. May 8, 2003Hail$6.8 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Large hail damaged 1,100 homes and 750 cars.

  3. Jan 30, 2002Ice Storm, Bates$580,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A long-lived major ice and snow storm blasted much of northwest, northern and central Missouri from late Tuesday, January 29th, until Thursday, January 31st. Ice accumulations of over an inch were observed from the Kansas City metropolitan area, east and north through Moberly Missouri. At one point 409,504 total customers were without electrical power in the CWA, with some residents without power up to two weeks. For the Kansas City area, the ice storm was ranked as the worst ever. Further north across northern Missouri, heavy snow fell generally along and north of a line, from St. Joseph to Trenton to Kirksville. Snow accumulations ranged from 8 to 14 inches.

  4. Mar 12, 2006Tornado$400,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Tornado crossed into Bates county from Linn county Kansas at 1424 CST...2 miles west-southwest of Amsterdam. The F0 tornado caused damage to several buildings in Amsterdam. The tornado then continued northeast over rural areas with damage limited to trees. The tornado then lifted 1 mile northwest of Adrian at 1442 CST.

  5. Mar 12, 2006Hail$75,000
  6. Feb 28, 2007Tornado$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    The supercell thunderstorm which earlier had produced an EF4 tornado in Linn county Kansas, moved east-northeast into Bates county and spawned another tornado, EF1 in intensity, 3 miles east southeast of Amsterdam at 8:27 PM CST and then traveled over rural areas to the northeast, before lifting 3 miles west of Adrian at 8:37 PM CST. Major damage to one residence was noted, along with minor damage to other outbuildings. Trees and power poles were downed as well.

  7. Jun 5, 2008Tornado$25,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Brief EF0 tornado touchdown at 2215CST in Foster. Damage was to trees and several roofs in a 2 block area. Several of the trees fell|on vehicles.

  8. May 8, 2003Hail$25,000
  9. Mar 12, 2006Hail$25,000
  10. Mar 8, 2009Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Thunderstorms with winds gusting to an estimated 70 mph, caused large trees to be uprooted. There was also damage to shingles and siding on several homes. A large window was blown out of a residential home, and three power poles and their power lines were downed.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Butler 4W, 2.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1946.

All-time high
117°FJul 14, 1954
All-time low
−26°FDec 23, 1989
Warmest night
85°FJul 15, 1980
Coldest day
−1°F2 times, most recently Feb 16, 2021
Wettest day
8.67 inJun 11, 1981
Snowiest day
19.0 inDec 29, 1954
Hottest year
1953mean 59.4°F
Coldest year
1979mean 52.2°F
Wettest year
201963.98 in
Driest year
198022.08 in
Snowiest season
39.1 in1954-55
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Butler 4W 32°F 41° 20° 1.7 Jan 46° 23° 1.9 Feb 58° 33° 3.0 Mar 68° 43° 4.5 Apr 76° 54° 5.9 May 85° 64° 6.0 Jun 90° 69° 4.2 Jul 89° 66° 3.8 Aug 82° 58° 3.9 Sep 70° 45° 3.5 Oct 57° 34° 2.6 Nov 45° 25° 1.9 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 11 1977: 8 1979: 1 1980: 67 67 1981: 6 1983: 38 1984: 19 1985: 12 1986: 8 1987: 19 1988: 37 1989: 0 1990: 22 1991: 35 1992: 1 1993: 9 1994: 2 1995: 23 1996: 5 1998: 28 2000: 36 2001: 33 2002: 40 2003: 35 2004: 3 2005: 20 2006: 25 2007: 12 2008: 8 2009: 6 2010: 14 2011: 33 2012: 46 2013: 8 2014: 7 2015: 7 2016: 6 2017: 4 2018: 12 2019: 5 2020: 3 2021: 8 2022: 22 2023: 15 2024: 8 2025: 2 19761988200020102020
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 16.1.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 19.1 in 1979: 12.9 in 1980: 4.5 in 1982: 4.1 in 1984: 21.2 in 1985: 8.3 in 1986: 21.5 in 1988: 0.0 in 1989: 3.3 in 1991: 0.0 in 1992: 11.5 in 1993: 0.4 in 1994: 1.5 in 1995: 1.0 in 1996: 0.1 in 1997: 0.0 in 1998: 0.0 in 1999: 0.0 in 2000: 11.0 in 2001: 5.2 in 2002: 26.6 in 2003: 10.8 in 2004: 4.0 in 2005: 5.4 in 2006: 27.1 in 2007: 10.0 in 2008: 8.3 in 2009: 36.1 in 36.1 2013: 11.2 in 2014: 10.3 in 2015: 0.5 in 2016: 0.6 in 2017: 5.0 in 2018: 15.7 in 2019: 13.3 in 2020: 12.1 in 2021: 16.3 in 2022: 3.8 in 2023: 3.6 in 2024: 12.4 in 2025: 6.3 in 19761992200220152025
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 13

Earliest: October 27, 2020

Median last snow

February 28

Latest: April 21, 2021

5 of 62 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Butler 4W (USC00231145), 790 ft elevation, 2.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1946 to October 27, 2026; 96.1% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

23 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 21, 2023.

Federal disaster declarations
Sep 21, 2023Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4741-MO
Jul 9, 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4552-MO
Mar 26, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4490-MO
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3482-MO
Jul 9, 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4451-MO
Aug 7, 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4238-MO
Mar 23, 2011Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-1961-MO
Feb 3, 2011Severe StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3317-MO
Jan 30, 2009Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3303-MO
Jun 25, 2008Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1773-MO
Dec 12, 2007Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsEmergencyEM-3281-MO
Jun 11, 2007Severe StormSevere Storms and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1708-MO
Mar 16, 2006Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1631-MO
Sep 10, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3232-MO
Jun 11, 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1524-MO
May 6, 2003Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1463-MO
Feb 6, 2002Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormMajor disasterDR-1403-MO
Jun 2, 1995Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingMajor disasterDR-1054-MO
Jul 9, 1993FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-995-MO
May 24, 1990FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-867-MO
Oct 14, 1986FloodSevere Storms & FloodingMajor disasterDR-779-MO
Sep 24, 1976DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3017-MO
Apr 19, 1973Severe StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disasterDR-372-MO

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Bates County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19502843 / 1151,087 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger168 / 1151,281 / 3,143
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi0——
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims2574 / 1151,978 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$646,00065 / 1151,676 / 3,143
Disaster declarations2378 / 1151,054 / 3,143
Flood events since 19962799 / 1152,222 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199628046 / 1151,336 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 19964595 / 1152,085 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$15.0 million52 / 1151,689 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage257 / 1151,260 / 3,143
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189512458 / 1151,634 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years22.741 / 115809 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 19000——
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Cass County4100328
Henry County1902,0851
Linn County KS1401,6501
Miami County KS230027
St. Clair County2507,5470
Vernon County300012

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00231145.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.