Cascade County
Population 85,029 (2025) 2,698 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 56,148 acres of Cascade County since 1984, 37th most of 56 counties in Montana; the largest was the Harris Mtn Fire in 2021.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195013
- Wildfire burn scars since 198411
- Major flood years since 19783
At a glance
The record for Cascade County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
56,148
37th of 56 in Montana
11 large fires; the largest was Harris Mtn, 2021
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
June 30, 1975, 0.1 mile path
Tornadoes
About one every 5.8 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 30, 1975
F2, 0.1 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Wednesday, July 5, 2000
F0, 1.0 mile path
26 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 5, 2000 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 3, 1998 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 5, 1988 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 26, 1980 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 3, 1978 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 3, 1978 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 3, 1978 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 1, 1977 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30, 1975 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1963 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1961 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 1958 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Cascade County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
56,148 acres burned in 11 large fires since 1984, equal to 3.3% of the land.
Largest
July 23, 2021
Harris Mtn Fire, 31,769 acres
31,511 acres inside Cascade County.
Most recent
July 23, 2021
Harris Mtn Fire
31,769 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Harris Mtn | 2021 | 31,511 | 31,769 |
| Balsinger | 2021 | 8,205 | 8,309 |
| Stuckey Rd Ma | 2019 | 4,076 | 4,073 |
| Mission Road | 2012 | 3,372 | 3,373 |
| Meriwether | 2007 | 38 | 18,849 |
| Novak | 2007 | 1,551 | 1,606 |
| Unit 6 | 2007 | 1,136 | 1,137 |
| Square Butte | 2006 | 1,018 | 1,017 |
| Lost Fork-Monarch Complex (Monarch) | 2001 | 1,818 | 1,814 |
| Beartooth Complex | 1990 | 2,242 | 13,454 |
| Lick Creek | 1988 | 1,177 | 1,177 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 54 days
Heavy smoke on 35 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
29.3 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
18 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 40 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
257 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $855,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
1981: 60 claims
$99,000 paid.
2nd most
2011: 46 claims
$212,000 paid.
3rd most
1997: 41 claims
$67,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 59404 | 135 | $244,000 |
| 59405 | 31 | $133,000 |
| 59483 | 21 | $294,000 |
| 59401 | 20 | $35,000 |
| 59412 | 20 | $79,000 |
| 7 | $1,239 | |
| 59443 | 6 | $39,000 |
| 59487 | 6 | $15,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Heavy Rain37
- Flood17
- Flash Flood15
2 deaths recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
June 4, 1953
Smith River (MT) at Truly, 22.50 ft
13.50 feet above the 9.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 27, 2019
Sun River near Simms, 9.15 ft
Moderate flooding.
| Jun 4, 1953 | Smith River (MT) at Truly | 22.50 | +13.50 |
| Mar 19, 1969 | Sun River near Vaughn | 13.66 | +7.66 |
| Mar 11, 1989 | Sun River near Vaughn | 12.77 | +6.77 |
| Mar 17, 1978 | Sun River near Vaughn | 12.42 | +6.42 |
| Jun 9, 1964 | Sun River near Simms | 13.70 | +6.20 |
| Jun 19, 1967 | Sun River near Vaughn | 11.80 | +5.80 |
| Jun 13, 1997 | Sun River near Vaughn | 11.45 | +5.45 |
| May 15, 1976 | Sun River near Vaughn | 11.41 | +5.41 |
| Jun 20, 1975 | Sun River near Simms | 12.48 | +4.98 |
| Jun 13, 1958 | Sun River near Vaughn | 10.92 | +4.92 |
| May 22, 1991 | Sun River near Vaughn | 10.55 | +4.55 |
| Jun 16, 1943 | Sun River near Vaughn | 10.48 | +4.48 |
| May 22, 1957 | Sun River near Vaughn | 10.33 | +4.33 |
| May 27, 1980 | Sun River near Vaughn | 10.14 | +4.14 |
| May 27, 1962 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.99 | +3.99 |
| Jun 21, 2018 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.64 | +3.64 |
| Jun 24, 1938 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.56 | +3.56 |
| Jun 1, 1953 | Missouri River near Ulm | 17.00 | +3.50 |
| Jun 18, 1950 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.50 | +3.50 |
| Jun 8, 1934 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.50 | +3.50 |
| Jun 20, 2018 | Sun River near Simms | 10.75 | +3.25 |
| May 22, 1954 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.15 | +3.15 |
| Jun 18, 1982 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.07 | +3.07 |
| Jun 7, 1995 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.05 | +3.05 |
| May 30, 1971 | Sun River near Vaughn | 9.01 | +3.01 |
River gauges
| Belt Creek near Monarch | 6.5 | 7.74 ft | 0 |
| Missouri River near Ulm | 13.5 | 17.00 ft | 1 |
| Muddy Creek at Vaughn | 12.0 | 9.64 ft | 0 |
| Smith River (MT) at Truly | 9.0 | 22.50 ft | 1 |
| Sun River near Simms | 7.5 | 13.70 ft | 3 |
| Sun River near Vaughn | 6.0 | 13.66 ft | 20 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 186 of 1,581 months since 1895 (12%); the longest spell lasted 29 months.
186
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
90
Months in extreme drought
12%
Share of all months, severe or worse
Lowest reading
August 1961
−6.82, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
29 months
March 2000 to July 2002.
Latest month
September 2026
−3.46, severe drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
17 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 6.1 in 1935.
10
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
146
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
17
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
6
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
October 18, 1935
The 1935 Helena, Montana Earthquakes (Mainshock); 22.9 miles away, 9.3 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
September 18, 2026
Magnitude 3.7
7 km NNW of Black Eagle, Montana; inside the county.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jan 29, 2026 | 4.2 | Inside |
| Jul 17, 2017 | 4.0 | 31.3 |
| Jul 6, 2017 | 4.4 | 33.1 |
| Jul 6, 2017 | 4.0 | 35.7 |
| Jul 6, 2017 | 5.0 | 39.3 |
| Jul 6, 2017 | 5.8 | 33.0 |
| Jan 30, 2016 | 4.3 | 24.6 |
| Jul 19, 2002 | 4.0 | 47.3 |
| Nov 10, 2000 | 4.0 | 36.5 |
| Apr 8, 2000 | 4.1 | 40.0 |
| Mar 17, 1983 | 4.2 | 30.6 |
| Mar 7, 1966 | 4.8 | 42.4 |
| Nov 28, 1935 | 5.0 | 23.8 |
| Oct 31, 1935 | 5.9 | 25.8 |
| Oct 18, 1935 | 6.1 | 22.9 |
| Oct 12, 1935 | 5.9 | 23.8 |
| Feb 29, 1928 | 4.9 | 30.3 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
1,280 events in the National Weather Service record, 1,149 of them since 1996.
181
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
18
Hail, 2 inches or larger
277
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
242
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
25
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 7, 2022
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 8, 2002
100 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 3 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Jun 19, 2003Flash Flood$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm moved northeast across Central Cascade County during the evening hours of the 19th. One to two inches of rain fell in 30 minutes as the storm moved through. Flash flooding did occur in the towns of Sand Coulee and Tracy. Water flooded 25 homes and left roadways filled with mud and debris.
- May 7, 2024Blizzard, Little Belt And Highwood Mountains$114,000
National Weather Service narrative
MT DOT sensor at Monarch Canyon showed visibility at or below one-quarter mile for at least 7 hours (Power failed at that point). US-89 was closed from Armington Junction to White Sulphur Springs early morning May 8. The Onion Park Snotel estimated 28 inches new snow with rates of 2 inches per hour. Elsewhere, the Porphyry Peak RAWS reported sustained winds averaging 25 mph, with gusts into the 50's mph before the sensor failed at 1005 PM MDT May 7. A widespread power outage affected much of the zone through Wednesday morning. End time is estimated given lack of observations after late evening of the 7th. The Monarch Fire Department reported 48 inches storm total snow by noon…
- Jun 3, 2005Flood, Cascade$80,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains fell over portions of Cascade and Chouteau counties the weekend of June 3rd through the 5th. Some areas received an estimated 6 to 12 inches of rain. Seven bridges were washed out in the Highwood area of Chouteau County which resulted in many people being stranded and over 30 property owners warned about the rising waters. Additionally, several campers were stranded at camp sites that became flooded. In Cascade County, over 200 feet of Willow Creek Road was washed out. Power poles were knocked down in both counties resulting in 9-1-1 emergency communications being out in Chouteau County.
- May 17, 2023Flood$60,000
National Weather Service narrative
BTCM8, Belt Creek near Monarch, crested at 6.79 feet on May 17th. Water levels resulted in strong currents that claimed the lives of two men visiting from Canada. The two men went into the fast moving water to retrieve their dog. The dog made it to shore, but the two men were pulled downstream and ultimately drowned. Water levels also flooded a portion of Sluice Boxes State Park's entrance parking lot as well as fields and yards from Sluice Boxes northward to Armington. A house in Neihart was flooded near the area were O'Brien Creek enters Belt Creek.
- Jun 19, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$60,000
National Weather Service narrative
A severe thunderstorm produced an estimated 70 mph wind gust at Sun River. A mobile home was destroyed.
- Jun 5, 2023Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Water and debris rushed across several areas of Wilson Butte Road resulted in damage and impacts. Water flowed out of the rockier boulder terrain on the east side of the road, crossed the road with water depth being 2 to 3 feet deep at times. Water and debris entered at least two homes. One culvert was completely washed out with drainage pipes unearthed. Some wheat crops were flattened. NWS Employee that lives along the road had water enter their basement. Wilson Butte Road was impassable for approximately an hour.
- Jan 16, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
Roof torn off mobile home...trailer tipped over...power outages.
- Jul 3, 1998Tornado$28,000
- Mar 8, 2026High Wind, Cascade County Below 5000Ft$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous weather stations reported high wind gusts with a few also reporting high sustained winds over the span of 3 to 7 hours. The highest wind gust was measured at Montana mesonet station Sun River SE of 73 mph, and also measured an average sustained wind of 49 mph from 8:55am to 4:40 pm MST. The public and the Great Falls Airport ASOS reported reduced visibility due to blowing dust. Multiple reports of fences, trees and powerline damages across the city of Great Falls. A roof was blown off of Lincoln Elementary School in Great Falls.
- Apr 27, 2003Strong Wind, Cascade$20,000
National Weather Service narrative
A strong wind gust caused a camper trailer to be blown over, as the vehicle was traveling north on Interstate 15 near Dearborn.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Great Falls Airport, 3.8 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1937.
- All-time high
- 106°F2 times, most recently Aug 24, 1969
- All-time low
- −43°FDec 29, 1968
- Warmest night
- 76°FJul 13, 1953
- Coldest day
- −26°FDec 29, 1968
- Wettest day
- 2.87 inAug 23, 2014
- Snowiest day
- 16.5 inApr 20, 1973
- Hottest year
- 1987mean 48.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1996mean 40.2°F
- Wettest year
- 197525.24 in
- Driest year
- 19529.02 in
- Snowiest season
- 117.5 in1988-89
Median first snow
October 9
Earliest: August 22, 1992
Median last snow
May 5
Latest: June 12, 1969
0 of 89 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Great Falls Airport (USW00024143), 3,667 ft elevation, 3.8 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1937 to October 26, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
7 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 31, 2020.
| Mar 31, 2020 | Biological | DR-4508-MT |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3476-MT |
| Jun 17, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1996-MT |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3253-MT |
| Aug 30, 2000 | Fire | DR-1340-MT |
| May 27, 1981 | Flood | DR-640-MT |
| Jun 28, 1975 | Flood | DR-472-MT |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Cascade County stands among 56 counties in Montana and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 13 | 13 / 56 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 56,148 | 37 / 56 |
| Flood insurance claims | 257 | 2 / 56 |
| Flood insurance paid | $855,000 | 8 / 56 |
| Disaster declarations | 7 | 50 / 56 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 69 | 3 / 56 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 791 | 4 / 56 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 242 | 16 / 56 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $752,000 | 34 / 56 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 25 | 2 / 56 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 186 | 18 / 56 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 29.3 | 28 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 17 | 20 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 10 | 15 / 56 |
Neighbouring counties
| Chouteau County | 17 | 0 |
| Judith Basin County | 18 | 0 |
| Lewis and Clark County | 6 | 0 |
| Meagher County | 3 | 0 |
| Teton County | 4 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00024143.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.