Musselshell County
Population 5,582 (2025) 1,869 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 293,106 acres of Musselshell County since 1984, 12th most of 56 counties in Montana; the largest was the Hawk Creek Fire in 1984.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19506
- Wildfire burn scars since 198422
- Major flood years since 19781
At a glance
The record for Musselshell County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
293,106
12th of 56 in Montana
22 large fires; the largest was Hawk Creek, 1984
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
May 4, 1986, 0.1 mile path
Snowiest season
110.5in
Winter of 2017-18
Tornadoes
About one every 13 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 4, 1986
F2, 0.1 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, July 8, 2013
EF0, 0.5 mile path
13 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 8, 2013 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2004 | F0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 20, 1999 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 1992 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 1986 | F2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Musselshell County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
293,106 acres burned in 22 large fires since 1984, equal to 25% of the land.
Largest
August 25, 1984
Hawk Creek Fire, 157,824 acres
106,520 acres inside Musselshell County.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Peterson Fire
5,017 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Peterson | 2021 | 5,012 | 5,017 |
| North Delphia | 2021 | 1,427 | 1,430 |
| Bobcat | 2020 | 30,487 | 30,661 |
| North Delphia | 2017 | 3,767 | 3,768 |
| Sunset | 2015 | 1,222 | 1,223 |
| Wilson | 2012 | 3,495 | 3,496 |
| Delphia | 2012 | 40,396 | 40,412 |
| Dahl | 2012 | 21,448 | 21,452 |
| Hawk Creek | 2012 | 1,302 | 1,305 |
| Bascomb Road | 2012 | 13 | 1,273 |
| Dunn Mtn. Assist | 2008 | 27,830 | 105,537 |
| Willow Creek | 2006 | 1,466 | 1,467 |
| Majerus Road | 2006 | 1,262 | 1,264 |
| Anderson Drainage | 2004 | 493 | 1,345 |
| Average Bad Day | 2000 | 1,378 | 1,379 |
| Unnamed | 1999 | 2,023 | 2,159 |
| Horse Thie | 1999 | 4,767 | 4,768 |
| Fishel Creek | 1999 | 28,610 | 28,621 |
| Willow 1 | 1999 | 117 | 1,859 |
| Burnt Shed | 1998 | 6,392 | 6,392 |
| Corey Flats | 1988 | 3,670 | 3,672 |
| Hawk Creek | 1984 | 106,520 | 157,824 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 61 days
Heavy smoke on 37 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
28.9 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
19 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 38 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
60 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $1.2 million paid.
Most claims in one year
2011: 28 claims
$916,000 paid.
2nd most
1979: 23 claims
$167,000 paid.
3rd most
2014: 5 claims
$114,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 59072 | 60 | $1.2 million |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood26
- Flood9
- Heavy Rain4
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
May 26, 2011
Musselshell River near Roundup, 14.78 ft
4.78 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
June 1, 2018
Musselshell River near Roundup, 11.58 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Musselshell River at Musselshell | 11.0 | 13.23 ft | 3 |
| Musselshell River near Roundup | 10.0 | 14.78 ft | 9 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 88 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 11 months.
88
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
28
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
1
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1961
−6.49, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
11 months
May 1931 to March 1932.
Latest month
September 2026
+0.83, incipient wet spell
Last severe month: November 2021.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.1 in 2007.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
4
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
November 25, 2007
Magnitude 4.1
12 km SSW of Grass Range, Montana; 13.4 miles away, 1.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
July 21, 2023
Magnitude 3.2
Eastern Montana; 43.8 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Nov 25, 2007 | 4.1 | 13.4 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
500 events in the National Weather Service record, 482 of them since 1996.
161
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
14
Hail, 2 inches or larger
43
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
87
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
2
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
June 26, 1996
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 2, 2001
92 mph
More event types since 1996
| Debris flows | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 23, 2011Flood$6.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Persistent heavy rainfall combined with snowmelt in the mountains resulted in extensive and significant flooding along the Musselshell River and its tributaries, including the Roundup area where record flows were observed. The Musselshell River at the gauge at Roundup crested at a record of 14.78 feet on May 26th. As the water on the Musselshell rose quickly on the 26th, floodwaters quickly inundated the town of Roundup. Portions of Highways 12 and 87 were closed in and around Roundup with up to 8 feet of water covering the roads in spots. This completely cut off the town from surrounding areas for several days. Homes and businesses in Roundup were inundated by flood waters with…
- Jul 3, 1998Flash Flood$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A slow moving thunderstorm with heavy rain caused water to run over roads on the east end of Roundup. Over one inch of rain fell during a ten minute period. The Roundup Tribune reported that several basements were flooded.
- May 20, 1999Tornado$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
Eyewitnesses reported seeing a funnel cloud pass over Roundup, and a tornado touchdown north of US12 1 mile east of Roundup. Several trees were downed, a chicken shed was demolished and several sections of wood fencing were destroyed.
- Aug 14, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
A strong thunderstorm downed several trees and a few power lines in and around Roundup.
- Jul 3, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$3,000
National Weather Service narrative
2.00 inch hail reported along with broken windows. A hay bale was blown 50 yards.
- Aug 14, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$1,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts to 60 mph damaged several large construction signs.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Flatwillow 4 Ene, 28.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1913.
- All-time high
- 111°FJul 12, 2026
- All-time low
- −48°FDec 18, 1924
- Warmest night
- 76°FAug 6, 1961
- Coldest day
- −23°FJan 28, 1916
- Wettest day
- 4.54 inSep 18, 2024
- Snowiest day
- 18.0 inApr 28, 1970
- Hottest year
- 1988mean 49.6°F
- Coldest year
- 1916mean 40.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201822.88 in
- Driest year
- 19314.85 in
- Snowiest season
- 110.5 in2017-18
Median first snow
October 25
Earliest: September 8, 1962
Median last snow
April 12
Latest: June 8, 1950
0 of 102 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Flatwillow 4 Ene (USC00243013), 3,290 ft elevation, 28.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1913 to October 18, 2026; 94.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
15 since 1953. The most recent: Flooding, October 11, 2023.
| Oct 11, 2023 | Flood | DR-4745-MT |
| Sep 2, 2020 | Fire | FM-5344-MT |
| Mar 31, 2020 | Biological | DR-4508-MT |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3476-MT |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Flood | DR-4405-MT |
| Oct 9, 2014 | Severe Storm | DR-4198-MT |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Flood | DR-4172-MT |
| Jul 10, 2013 | Flood | DR-4127-MT |
| Jun 26, 2012 | Fire | FM-2988-MT |
| Jun 17, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1996-MT |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3253-MT |
| Aug 30, 2000 | Fire | DR-1340-MT |
| Jul 26, 1999 | Fire | FM-2266-MT |
| Jul 25, 1997 | Severe Storm | DR-1183-MT |
| Aug 22, 1977 | Drought | EM-3050-MT |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Musselshell County stands among 56 counties in Montana and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 6 | 28 / 56 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 293,106 | 12 / 56 |
| Flood insurance claims | 60 | 10 / 56 |
| Flood insurance paid | $1.2 million | 6 / 56 |
| Disaster declarations | 15 | 6 / 56 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 39 | 14 / 56 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 338 | 32 / 56 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 87 | 40 / 56 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $6.2 million | 13 / 56 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 12 | 4 / 56 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 88 | 56 / 56 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 28.9 | 31 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 37 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Fergus County | 28 | 0 |
| Golden Valley County | 0 | 0 |
| Petroleum County | 8 | 0 |
| Rosebud County | 12 | 0 |
| Yellowstone County | 21 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00243013.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.