Rosebud County
Population 8,253 (2025) 5,008 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 810,814 acres of Rosebud County since 1984, more than any other of Montana's 56 counties; the largest was the Richard Spring Fire in 2021.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195012
- Wildfire burn scars since 198477
At a glance
The record for Rosebud County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
810,814
Most of any of Montana’s 56 counties
77 large fires; the largest was Richard Spring, 2021
DetailsStrongest tornado
F1
June 14, 1980, 0.1 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
15
Most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, 2026
DetailsSnowiest season
92.5in
Winter of 2017-18
Tornadoes
About one every 6.3 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
June 14, 1980
F1, 0.1 mile path
10 yards wide.
Most recent
Saturday, May 31, 2014
EF0, 0.1 mile path
12 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 31, 2014 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 15, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 15, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 24, 1996 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Jul 2, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 2, 1993 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 21, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 19, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 14, 1980 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Rosebud County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
810,814 acres burned in 77 large fires since 1984, equal to 25% of the land.
Largest
August 8, 2021
Richard Spring Fire, 168,686 acres
168,763 acres inside Rosebud County.
Most recent
August 22, 2024
Chalky Point Fire
1,458 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Chalky Point | 2024 | 332 | 1,458 |
| Remington | 2024 | 89,171 | 192,465 |
| Mcghee | 2024 | 19,164 | 19,154 |
| Otter Road | 2024 | 1,690 | 2,169 |
| Wall | 2022 | 1,973 | 1,974 |
| Coal Bank | 2021 | 6,016 | 6,015 |
| Lame Deer | 2021 | 169 | 5,471 |
| Richard Spring | 2021 | 168,763 | 168,686 |
| Rough Draw | 2021 | 2,601 | 2,604 |
| Slough Grass | 2021 | 6,849 | 9,385 |
| Fourmile | 2021 | 3,859 | 5,186 |
| Whitten | 2021 | 1,345 | 1,347 |
| Rice | 2020 | 6,261 | 15,878 |
| Snider | 2020 | 5,825 | 33,231 |
| Oil | 2020 | 3,278 | 3,281 |
| Acorn Flats | 2020 | 5,355 | 5,353 |
| Black Butte | 2020 | 1,398 | 1,396 |
| Victor | 2019 | 1,167 | 1,169 |
| Cut Across | 2019 | 1,854 | 1,857 |
| Snider | 2017 | 6,241 | 6,316 |
| Sartin Draw | 2017 | 99 | 91,520 |
| Mitchell | 2017 | 1,193 | 1,193 |
| 1026 | 2017 | 8,387 | 8,383 |
| Cottonwood | 2017 | 1,965 | 1,961 |
| Turtle | 2017 | 1,643 | 1,642 |
| Witten | 2017 | 27,938 | 27,927 |
| Lee Creek | 2017 | 4,050 | 4,046 |
| Griffin Gulch | 2016 | 1,505 | 1,505 |
| Butte | 2016 | 1,608 | 1,607 |
| Harris | 2016 | 3,047 | 3,046 |
| Wall | 2016 | 1,647 | 1,645 |
| Reservation Creek | 2015 | 1,167 | 1,169 |
| Richards Coulee | 2015 | 1,914 | 1,915 |
| Chalky Butte | 2015 | 3,369 | 3,368 |
| Charlie | 2015 | 2,533 | 2,534 |
| Muddy Creek Two | 2015 | 1,665 | 2,066 |
| Slough | 2015 | 3,531 | 3,529 |
| Bringoff | 2015 | 1,556 | 4,171 |
| Montgomery | 2014 | 9,222 | 9,223 |
| Eagle Creek | 2012 | 4,518 | 4,517 |
| Sweeney | 2012 | 11,235 | 12,638 |
| Juniper | 2012 | 4,162 | 4,160 |
| Chalky | 2012 | 106,496 | 132,639 |
| Beaver | 2012 | 1,500 | 1,501 |
| Little Breed | 2012 | 576 | 2,430 |
| Emile | 2012 | 2,076 | 2,075 |
| Powerline | 2012 | 5,352 | 5,350 |
| Ash Creek | 2012 | 88,261 | 253,270 |
| Bascomb Road | 2012 | 1,259 | 1,273 |
| Boss Ribs | 2011 | 4,493 | 4,489 |
| Black Springs Complex | 2011 | 1,228 | 19,466 |
| Powder River Complex (Salesbury) | 2007 | 2,156 | 2,155 |
| Sand Creek | 2006 | 2,434 | 2,432 |
| Horton | 2006 | 13,088 | 25,091 |
| Sawmill Gulch | 2005 | 1,913 | 1,913 |
| Lacey Gulch | 2004 | 2,468 | 2,531 |
| Craig Ii | 2003 | 9,878 | 9,875 |
| Swain | 2003 | 2,857 | 7,755 |
| Rez Creek | 2003 | 1,177 | 1,176 |
| Littlehawk | 2003 | 128 | 27,920 |
| Booth | 2003 | 225 | 1,840 |
| Stag | 2000 | 29,984 | 62,348 |
| Garfield | 1998 | 3,025 | 3,021 |
| South Fork | 1998 | 1,261 | 1,261 |
| Colbert | 1996 | 1,048 | 1,788 |
| Scarfaceii | 1996 | 1,147 | 1,146 |
| Rosebud Creek | 1996 | 22,525 | 25,159 |
| Baby Dean | 1994 | 12,173 | 61,933 |
| Grierson | 1994 | 4,111 | 7,986 |
| Kirby | 1988 | 9,372 | 14,250 |
| Espy | 1988 | 5,933 | 5,929 |
| Slick | 1988 | 9,594 | 9,743 |
| Airpatrol | 1988 | 4,070 | 4,069 |
| County | 1988 | 1,168 | 1,168 |
| Earlybird | 1988 | 21,729 | 21,717 |
| Cow Creek | 1986 | 1,196 | 1,196 |
| Lake Creek | 1984 | 3,617 | 3,613 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2021: 66 days
Heavy smoke on 41 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
30.4 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
23 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 36 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
12 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $15,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 59327 | 9 | $11,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood16
- Flood12
- Heavy Rain3
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
May 31, 2019
Tongue River at Birney Day School near Birney, 9.49 ft
2.49 feet above the 7.0 ft flood stage; minor flooding by today’s categories.
River gauges
| Tongue River at Birney Day School near Birney | 7.0 | 9.49 ft | 0 |
| Yellowstone River at Forsyth | 14.0 | 14.53 ft | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 141 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 19 months.
141
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
57
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
2
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1988
−6.96, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
19 months
June 1936 to December 1937.
Latest month
September 2026
+0.76, incipient wet spell
Last severe month: March 2022.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
2 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.1 in 2007.
4
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
9
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
2
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
November 25, 2007
Magnitude 4.1
12 km SSW of Grass Range, Montana; 46.2 miles away, 1.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
July 6, 2021
Magnitude 3.6
27 km SSE of Melstone, Montana; 7.9 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 22, 2009 | 4.0 | 8.7 |
| Nov 25, 2007 | 4.1 | 46.2 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
832 events in the National Weather Service record, 778 of them since 1996.
207
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
29
Hail, 2 inches or larger
201
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
130
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
2
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
July 11, 1965
6.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 8, 2002
104 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- May 21, 2011Flood$225,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rainfall caused rivers and streams to rise significantly resulting in some flooding. High water caused difficult passage on the road going into the town of Rosebud and water covered Highway 12 in the Hammond Valley. At the height of the flooding, Highway 12 was closed due to flooding from Ingomar to Forsyth. ||The Yellowstone River at Forsyth went above flood stage with minor lowland flooding reported from May 22nd through May 29th. The river crested at 12.35 feet on the 24th and 12.18 feet on the 28th.||Damage estimates based on FEMA reviews and Individual Assistance approvals.
- Aug 12, 2003Wildfire, Southern Rosebud$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
Craig II/Windmill ComplexCause: Lightning StrikeBegin Date: August 12, 2003End Date: August 24, 2003Acres Burned: 9000Structural Loss: 3Cost: 200,000K
- Jul 17, 1998Wildfire$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A wildfire which was believed to have been set by lightning burned 1850 acres on the Northern Cheyenne Reservation.
- May 26, 2010Flash Flood$130,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms producing heavy rains (on what was already saturated ground from thunderstorms the previous day) produced flash flooding over portions of Southwestern Custer County and Northwestern Powder river County. Smaller creeks flooded and Highway 566 was closed from Birney to Ashland due to water and debris running over the road. Road damage was reported throughout Custer County.
- Jul 9, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
- Jul 5, 1998Lightning$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
Lightning hit a high voltage power line causing a one hour power outage in the Forsyth area.
- Jul 4, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
A blowing tree branch severed a high voltage power line cutting off power to most of the Forsyth area for 90 minutes.
- Jul 9, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$5,000
National Weather Service narrative
Roof damaged. Wind rolled horse trailer 70 yards
- Aug 22, 1998Hail$5,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several trees were reported damaged by hail and thunderstorm wind gusts.
- Aug 23, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$1,000
National Weather Service narrative
Some windows were damaged at a residence.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Colstrip, 1.2 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1927.
- All-time high
- 111°FAug 6, 1961
- All-time low
- −50°FFeb 15, 1936
- Warmest night
- 79°FJul 10, 1974
- Coldest day
- −20°FFeb 2, 1989
- Wettest day
- 3.77 inJun 17, 1944
- Snowiest day
- 16.0 inApr 4, 1997
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 51.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1951mean 42.0°F
- Wettest year
- 201625.04 in
- Driest year
- 19795.84 in
- Snowiest season
- 92.5 in2017-18
Median first snow
November 2
Earliest: September 14, 1934
Median last snow
April 16
Latest: June 1, 1951
0 of 56 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Colstrip (USC00241905), 3,218 ft elevation, 1.2 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1927 to September 27, 2026; 95.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
15 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds, April 7, 2026.
| Apr 7, 2026 | Straight-Line Winds | DR-4902-MT |
| Sep 30, 2021 | Fire | DR-4623-MT |
| Aug 10, 2021 | Fire | FM-5406-MT |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Fire | FM-5345-MT |
| Mar 31, 2020 | Biological | DR-4508-MT |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3476-MT |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Flood | DR-4172-MT |
| Jul 10, 2013 | Flood | DR-4127-MT |
| Aug 2, 2012 | Fire | DR-4074-MT |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Fire | FM-2989-MT |
| Jun 17, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1996-MT |
| Sep 13, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3253-MT |
| Aug 30, 2000 | Fire | DR-1340-MT |
| Oct 14, 1986 | Flood | DR-777-MT |
| May 29, 1978 | Flood | DR-558-MT |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Rosebud County stands among 56 counties in Montana and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 12 | 15 / 56 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 810,814 | 1 / 56 |
| Flood insurance claims | 12 | 22 / 56 |
| Flood insurance paid | $15,000 | 36 / 56 |
| Disaster declarations | 15 | 6 / 56 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 31 | 21 / 56 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 591 | 10 / 56 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 130 | 28 / 56 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $797,000 | 33 / 56 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 141 | 31 / 56 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 30.4 | 21 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 2 | 33 / 56 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 4 | 20 / 56 |
Neighbouring counties
| Big Horn County | 11 | 0 |
| Custer County | 10 | 0 |
| Garfield County | 12 | 0 |
| Musselshell County | 6 | 0 |
| Petroleum County | 8 | 0 |
| Powder River County | 18 | 0 |
| Treasure County | 3 | 0 |
| Yellowstone County | 21 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00241905.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.