McMullen County
Population 544 (2025) 1,140 sq mi
17 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of McMullen County since 1851, 4 of them at hurricane strength; the strongest was an unnamed storm in 1886 (Category 2).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19506
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger33
At a glance
The record for McMullen County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
6
240th of 254 in Texas
Fewer than the typical Texas county, which has had 35
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
May 10, 1959, 13.8 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 2
Hurricane (unnamed), 1886, 31.7 miles away
Federal disaster declarations
17
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2026
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 13 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 10, 1959
F2, 13.8 mile path
150 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, April 30, 2007
EF0, 0.5 mile path
19 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 30, 2007 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 13, 1978 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 10, 1959 | F2 | 13.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 20, 1956 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 20, 1956 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 20, 1956 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within McMullen County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
17 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 4 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 20, 1886
Unnamed storm, Category 2
31.7 miles at closest approach, winds near 98 mph.
Most recent
August 22, 2023
Harold, Tropical storm
43.5 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Harold | 2023 | 43.5 | Tropical storm |
| Beta | 2020 | 93.6 | Tropical storm |
| Harvey | 2017 | 56.1 | Tropical storm |
| Bill | 2015 | 91.3 | Tropical storm |
| Hermine | 2010 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Dolly | 2008 | 51.6 | Tropical storm |
| Claudette | 2003 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Frances | 1998 | 47.8 | Tropical storm |
| Allen | 1980 | 51.6 | Category 1 |
| Fern | 1971 | 59.2 | Tropical storm |
| Celia | 1970 | 0.0 | Category 1 |
| Candy | 1968 | 62.5 | Tropical storm |
| Beulah | 1967 | 39.0 | Tropical storm |
| Carla | 1961 | 88.5 | Category 1 |
| Alice | 1954 | 61.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 83.4 | Category 3 |
| Unnamed | 1942 | 40.0 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1936 | 11.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 39.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1919 | 29.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 16.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1913 | 6.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1910 | 73.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 64.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 52.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 31.7 | Category 2 |
| Unnamed | 1880 | 75.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1875 | 62.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1869 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1866 | 38.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1857 | 75.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1851 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 27 days
Heavy smoke on 3 days in 2011, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
8.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
3 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 12 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
2 federal flood insurance claims since 2002, with $642 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood22
- Flood7
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
September 24, 1967
Nueces River near Tilden, 26.57 ft
12.57 feet above the 14.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
July 28, 2026
Nueces River near Tilden, 23.12 ft
Major flooding.
| Sep 24, 1967 | Nueces River near Tilden | 26.57 | +12.57 |
| Sep 10, 2002 | San Miguel Creek near Tilden | 31.48 | +10.48 |
| Jun 1, 1935 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.70 | +9.70 |
| Oct 18, 2013 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.50 | +9.50 |
| Jul 19, 2002 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.45 | +9.45 |
| Oct 16, 2003 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.18 | +9.18 |
| Sep 18, 2002 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.14 | +9.14 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nueces River near Tilden | 23.12 | +9.12 |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Nueces River near Tilden | 22.85 | +8.85 |
| Jul 10, 2002 | Frio River at Tilden | 30.06 | +8.06 |
| Sep 11, 2002 | Frio River at Tilden | 30.03 | +8.03 |
| Jul 1, 1942 | Nueces River near Tilden | 22.00 | +8.00 |
| Jun 28, 1997 | Frio River at Tilden | 29.80 | +7.80 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Frio River at Tilden | 29.70 | +7.70 |
| Jul 7, 2007 | Nueces River near Tilden | 21.60 | +7.60 |
| Oct 5, 2017 | Nueces River near Tilden | 21.19 | +7.19 |
| Jun 9, 1987 | Frio River at Tilden | 29.18 | +7.18 |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Nueces River near Tilden | 21.04 | +7.04 |
| Sep 10, 2002 | Nueces River near Tilden | 20.87 | +6.87 |
| May 30, 2015 | Nueces River near Tilden | 20.65 | +6.65 |
| Aug 15, 1980 | Nueces River near Tilden | 20.62 | +6.62 |
| Jul 11, 2002 | Nueces River near Tilden | 20.57 | +6.57 |
| Jul 2, 2002 | San Miguel Creek near Tilden | 27.57 | +6.57 |
| May 22, 1982 | Nueces River near Tilden | 20.43 | +6.43 |
| Jun 5, 1987 | Frio River at Tilden | 28.41 | +6.41 |
River gauges
| Frio River at Tilden | 22.0 | 30.06 ft | 10 |
| Nueces River near Tilden | 14.0 | 26.57 ft | 21 |
| San Miguel Creek near Tilden | 21.0 | 31.48 ft | 4 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 204 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 32 months.
204
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
63
Months in extreme drought
13%
Share of all months, severe or worse
93
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
March 2026
−5.64, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
32 months
July 1954 to February 1957.
Latest month
September 2026
−4.03, extreme drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
7 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.8 in 2011.
11
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
96
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
7
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
October 20, 2011
Magnitude 4.8
14 km SSW of Falls City, Texas; 21.6 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
October 20, 2026
Magnitude 3.2
20 km ESE of Pleasanton, Texas; 17.8 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jan 29, 2025 | 4.6 | 41.0 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 4.5 | 27.9 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 4.3 | 28.1 |
| Sep 14, 2023 | 4.1 | 39.7 |
| May 1, 2018 | 4.0 | 28.9 |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 4.8 | 21.6 |
| Apr 9, 1993 | 4.1 | 17.0 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
209 events in the National Weather Service record, 195 of them since 1996.
23
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
14
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
6
Winter weather events since 1996
11
Heat events since 1996
6
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 3, 2020
3.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
March 16, 1998
69 mph
More event types since 1996
| Dense fog and smoke | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 16, 2010Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms with very heavy rainfall trained for much of the night across northern McMullen county, dumping up to 10-15 inches of rainfall and producing widespread flash flooding. Highways 16, 72, and 99 were all closed near Tilden due to flooded roads. A portion of FM 3445 was washed out and a vehicle swept into the high water. A successful high water rescue was performed.
- Oct 2, 2017Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
The flood wave continued to produce major river flooding along the Nueces River as it moved downstream through McMullen County during the first couple of weeks of October. Roads near the river were flooded. Hunting cabins, pump jacks, tank batteries, and irrigation pumps were flooded.
- Oct 18, 2013Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Farm and ranch equipment were inundated by major flooding along the Nueces River. Some oil field equipment were flooded also.
- May 10, 2013Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
High winds blew down four power poles and caused damage to a garage northeast of the community of Cross.
- May 23, 2017Hail$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
Spotter submitted picture of tennis ball sized hail.
- Nov 7, 2016Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees were blown down by winds estimated to be around 60 mph.
- Apr 30, 2007Thunderstorm Wind$5,000
National Weather Service narrative
Power poles snapped along F.M. 624 roughly 8 miles west of Hwy 16.
- Mar 31, 2013Hail$5,000
National Weather Service narrative
NWS storm survey observed dented road signs from hail along U. S. Highway 16.
- May 10, 2013Hail$2,000
National Weather Service narrative
Spotter reported quarter sized hail occurred northeast of Cross.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Choke Canyon Dam, 16.6 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1983.
- All-time high
- 112°FSep 6, 2000
- All-time low
- 11°FDec 26, 1983
- Warmest night
- 82°F4 times, most recently Jun 5, 2024
- Coldest day
- 27°FFeb 16, 2021
- Wettest day
- 7.94 inJul 17, 1990
- Snowiest day
- 6.0 inDec 25, 2004
- Hottest year
- 2025mean 75.2°F
- Coldest year
- 2007mean 69.6°F
- Wettest year
- 200745.60 in
- Driest year
- 20116.23 in
- Snowiest season
- 6.0 in2004-05
30 of 32 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Choke Canyon Dam (USC00411720), 230 ft elevation, 16.6 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1983 to October 23, 2026; 99.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 1, 2026.
| Sep 1, 2026 | Flood | DR-4935-TX |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4586-TX |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3554-TX |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Hurricane | EM-3530-TX |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4485-TX |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3458-TX |
| Jun 29, 2010 | Hurricane | EM-3313-TX |
| Mar 14, 2008 | Fire | EM-3284-TX |
| Jan 11, 2006 | Fire | DR-1624-TX |
| Sep 24, 2005 | Hurricane | DR-1606-TX |
| Sep 21, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3261-TX |
| Sep 2, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3216-TX |
| Jul 17, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1479-TX |
| Jul 4, 2002 | Flood | DR-1425-TX |
| Aug 26, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1239-TX |
| Sep 10, 1993 | Drought | EM-3113-TX |
| Sep 28, 1967 | Hurricane | DR-232-TX |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where McMullen County stands among 254 counties in Texas and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 6 | 240 / 254 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 17 | 57 / 254 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 4 | 42 / 254 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 2 | 194 / 254 |
| Flood insurance paid | $642 | 214 / 254 |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 171 / 254 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 29 | 185 / 254 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 44 | 252 / 254 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 6 | 238 / 254 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $257,000 | 252 / 254 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 35 | 17 / 254 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 204 | 97 / 254 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 8.6 | 188 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 7 | 35 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 11 | 31 / 254 |
Neighbouring counties
| Atascosa County | 17 | 19 |
| Duval County | 18 | 26 |
| La Salle County | 9 | 15 |
| Live Oak County | 36 | 26 |
| Webb County | 9 | 19 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00411720.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.