Fairfax city
Population 26,772 (2025) 6 sq mi
Property owners in Fairfax city have filed 53 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 71st most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19501
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger30
At a glance
The record for Fairfax city in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
1
105th of 133 in Virginia
Fewer than the typical Virginia county, which has had 5
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
12
74th of 133 in Virginia
2 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F0
October 13, 1983, 1.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 10.2 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 76 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
October 13, 1983
F0, 1.0 mile path
17 yards wide.
Most recent
Thursday, October 13, 1983
F0, 1.0 mile path
43 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Oct 13, 1983 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Fairfax city: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
12 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
10.2 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
91.3 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 91.3 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 52.8 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 56.1 | Tropical storm |
| Sandy | 2012 | 79.5 | Post-tropical |
| Hanna | 2008 | 68.8 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 30.7 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 83.6 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 73.4 | Tropical storm |
| Danielle | 1992 | 81.6 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 66.1 | Tropical storm |
| Brenda | 1960 | 98.0 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 24.5 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 39.5 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 13.0 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 18.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 33.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 35.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 53.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 32.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 19.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 10.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 27.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 22.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 78.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 6.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 86.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 72.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 93.6 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 32.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 69.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 28.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 42.6 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 12.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 71.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 99.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 99.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 37.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 96.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 10.2 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 79.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 15.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1874 | 81.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1872 | 78.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1863 | 93.1 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 49 days
Heavy smoke on 11 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
12.1 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 28 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
53 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $940,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
2011: 18 claims
$536,000 paid.
2nd most
2006: 7 claims
$266,000 paid.
3rd most
2008: 5 claims
$75,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 22030 | 38 | $553,000 |
| 22031 | 14 | $382,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood18
- Heavy Rain11
- Flash Flood6
- Coastal Flood1
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 116 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 13 months.
116
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
46
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
10
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−7.13, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
13 months
July 1930 to July 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.99, moderate drought
Last severe month: August 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
13 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1974; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
2
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
July 16, 2010
Magnitude 3.6
5 km NNW of Barnesville, Maryland; 27.6 miles away, 4.4 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 17, 2016
Magnitude 3.0
3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 41.7 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
496 events in the National Weather Service record, 494 of them since 1996.
4
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
17
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
175
Winter weather events since 1996
65
Heat events since 1996
49
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 23, 1999
1.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 14, 2004
69 mph
More event types since 1996
| Storm surge and tide | 1 | 0 |
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 70 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 18, 2003Tropical Storm, Fairfax$18.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
On September 18, 2003, Hurricane Isabel made landfall on the North Carolina Coast. Its huge wind field was already piling water up into the southern Chesapeake Bay. By the time Isabel moved into central Virginia, it had weakened and was downgraded to a tropical storm. Isabel's eye tracked well west of the bay, but the storm's 40 to 60 mph sustained winds pushed a bulge of water northward up the bay and its tributaries producing a record storm surge. The Virginia western shore counties of the Chesapeake Bay and the tidal tributaries of the Potomac, Rappahannock and other smaller rivers, experienced a storm surge which reached 5 to 9 feet above normal tides. In many locations,…
- Apr 23, 1999Hail$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…
- Jan 19, 1996Flood, Fairfax$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
***River Flooding***High dewpoint temperatures melted most of the snow on the ground within 12 hours. The snow pack had a liquid equivalent between 2 to 3 inches. Snowmelt, combined with 1 to 3 inches of rain (some locations received nearly 5 inches), caused the worst regional flooding in over 10 years. River flooding began during the flood/flash flood event along the headwaters of all basins and continued downstream through the 22nd. Crests ranged from 3 to 21 feet above flood stage.High water caused millions of dollars in damage, closed roads, destroyed homes and businesses, and forced the evacuation of several towns. Four people were rescued by the National Park Service and…
- Nov 13, 2003Strong Wind, Fairfax$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A strong cold front moved through the region early on the 13th, leaving behind frigid temperatures and strong winds. Widespread damage due to downed trees and power lines resulted. In Northern Virginia at least two people were injured. In Loudoun county, a student in Sterling was hit by a falling tree while waiting for the school bus, and a Leesburg man was struck by a large falling tree limb. A tractor trailer truck was overturned on Highway 81 in Shenandoah county. The driver was not injured. A poultry house was completely destroyed in Harrisonburg, and a bill board was blown down at the Winchester Regional Airport. At the height of the storm about 150,000 homes and business in…
- Oct 29, 2012High Wind, Fairfax$600,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts of 58-63 mph were measured at Ft. Belvoir. There were trees down county wide. Sixty houses were damaged due to fallen trees and eighteen of them were inhabitable. One tree fell into a retention pond at a water treatment plant that caused damage.
- Sep 7, 1996Flood, Fairfax$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…
- Feb 12, 2006Heavy Snow, Fairfax$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A historic snowstorm occurred between February 11-12 across the Mid-Atlantic. Storm total snowfall across much of Northern and Central Virginia ranged generally between 8-14 inches. The highest snowfall totals occurred in the Northern Virginia suburbs of Washington, DC, where reports ranged up to 15 inches. There were also isolated reports of significant drifting of snow, mainly in and near Albemarle County. Finally, there were several instances of downed powerlines and trees due to the heavy snow. This caused significant power outages in some areas. Total power outages were reported to be around 300,000 customers around the Washington/Baltimore region. Amtrak reported major…
- Mar 31, 1997Strong Wind, Fairfax$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A nor'easter, languishing off the middle Atlantic coast, produced sustained winds between 25 and 40 mph with gusts to 50 mph or higher over much of northern Virginia. The winds caused scattered damage to buildings under construction, roofs, and trees and power lines. In Fairfax Co (VAZ053), damage included a partial unroofing of the Pickwick shopping facility in Centreville. Several businesses were closed during the cleanup, with one of the businesses, a video store, condemned. In Vienna, two partially constructed town homes sustained damage. One of the homes was nearly destroyed, and the other had its top level collapse.There were several damage reports from Arlington Co…
- Aug 27, 2011Tropical Storm, Fairfax$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
About 100 trees were down. Most of the damage was in Springfield, Merrifield, Kingtowne, Annandale, and McLean. Numerous roads were closed due to downed trees and power lines. About 81,000 power outages were reported.
- Jan 14, 2006High Wind, Fairfax$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Very strong winds developed on the 14th due to a strengthening low pressure system off the Mid Atlantic Coast and a fast moving cold front that passed through the region early in the day. Widespread damages and power outages occurred, with newspaper reports indicating tens of thousands without power for an extended period of time.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Washington Dulles International Airport, 9.7 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1960.
- All-time high
- 105°FJul 22, 2011
- All-time low
- −18°FJan 22, 1984
- Warmest night
- 81°FJul 16, 2026
- Coldest day
- 6°FJan 19, 1994
- Wettest day
- 10.67 inJun 21, 1972
- Snowiest day
- 22.5 inFeb 11, 1983
- Hottest year
- 2024mean 58.9°F
- Coldest year
- 1976mean 51.9°F
- Wettest year
- 201866.74 in
- Driest year
- 200727.02 in
- Snowiest season
- 73.2 in2009-10
Median first snow
December 10
Earliest: October 10, 1979
Median last snow
March 14
Latest: April 12, 1973
0 of 63 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Washington Dulles International Airport (USW00093738), 294 ft elevation, 9.7 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 28, 2026; 100.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Mar 27, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1458-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Fairfax city stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 1 | 105 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 12 | 74 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 2 | 35 / 133 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 53 | 71 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $940,000 | 67 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 105 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 36 | 103 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 81 | 109 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 175 | 19 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $25.4 million | 28 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 116 | 14 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 12.1 | 13 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Fairfax County | 22 | 14 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USW00093738.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built November 1, 2026.