Frederick County
Population 99,955 (2025) 413 sq mi
Property owners in Frederick County have filed 57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 66th most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195011
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger16
At a glance
The record for Frederick County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
13
67th of 133 in Virginia
2 at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
September 17, 2004, 5.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 48.3 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 6.9 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
September 17, 2004
F2, 5.0 mile path
125 yards wide.
Most recent
Thursday, April 28, 2011
EF0, 4.3 mile path
15 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF0 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2008 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 30, 1998 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 16, 1998 | F1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 18, 1997 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13, 1994 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2, 1962 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 13, 1961 | F2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Frederick County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
13 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
48.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.
Most recent
October 29, 2020
Zeta, Post-tropical
83.7 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Zeta | 2020 | 83.7 | Post-tropical |
| Sandy | 2012 | 51.1 | Post-tropical |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 71.4 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 32.3 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 3.3 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 15.3 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 65.7 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 35.5 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 22.6 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 12.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 80.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 92.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 67.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 10.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 48.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 74.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 12.2 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 92.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 33.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 98.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 80.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 8.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 38.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 7.1 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 28.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 44.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 6.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 48.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 46.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 24.1 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 51 days
Heavy smoke on 13 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
12.1 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $552,000 paid.
Most claims in one year
2018: 7 claims
$147,000 paid.
2nd most
2004: 6 claims
$76,000 paid.
3rd most
1978: 5 claims
$42,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 22603 | 18 | $191,000 |
| 22601 | 16 | $218,000 |
| 22602 | 11 | $66,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood116
- Flash Flood34
- Heavy Rain6
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
October 1, 1942
Opequon Creek near Berryville, 18.40 ft
8.40 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
May 14, 2025
Opequon Creek near Berryville, 13.21 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester | 16.0 | 27.00 ft | 0 |
| Hogue Creek near Hayfield | 8.0 | 9.71 ft | 0 |
| Opequon Creek near Berryville | 10.0 | 18.40 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 106 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 15 months.
106
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
34
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
11
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−6.58, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
15 months
October 1922 to December 1923.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.58, moderate drought
Last severe month: July 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.6 in 1918.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
3
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
April 9, 1918
Magnitude 4.6
6 km NE of Luray, Virginia; 21.8 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
January 17, 2016
Magnitude 3.0
3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 11.6 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Apr 9, 1918 | 4.6 | 21.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
1
Landslides mapped, probable or better
1
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by NASA (1).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
937 events in the National Weather Service record, 904 of them since 1996.
57
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
2
Hail, 2 inches or larger
233
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
209
Winter weather events since 1996
39
Heat events since 1996
51
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 23, 1999
3.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
June 4, 2008
100 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 12 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 65 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Apr 23, 1999Hail$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…
- Jan 19, 1996Flash Flood$2.0 million
- Apr 23, 1999Hail$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…
- Jul 21, 2026Tornado$1.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado descended on the 5100 block of Back Creek Road in High View, West Virginia. ||Once the tornado crossed the ridge into Virginia, notable tree damage occurred across the northernmost part of Wilde Acres, VA. Damage was first visible on Otter Trail and extended southeast with damage visible on each street until stopping near Fawn Drive.|While tree damage was visible throughout this path, the greatest concentration of damage was on Cardinal Drive. Trees were observed uprooted, snapped, or sheared off at the top. Considerable leaf and small branch debris was observed throughout the entire path.
- Feb 14, 2003Winter Storm, Frederick$1.4 million
National Weather Service narrative
A complex storm system produced copious amounts of wintery precipitation across the northern third of Virginia between the evening of the 14th and midday on the 18th. The first batch of precipitation fell between the evening of the 14th and the evening of the 15th in the form of light to moderate snow or rain. The second batch of precipitation fell between midnight on the 16th through midday on the 17th in the form of heavy snow or sleet. The third batch of precipitation on the back side of the storm fell between the evening of the 17th and midday on the 18th in the form of scattered snow showers. After the precipitation came to an end, record breaking snow and sleet accumulations…
- Sep 17, 2004Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado touched down in western Frederick County, Virginia on the 17th. The path of the storm was 9 miles long. It touched down about one mile east of Middletown and Interstate 81. Roof damage was noted to many barns and outbuildings. A large two story brick garage was nearly destroyed when its roof was blown off from strong F1 tornado winds. In the western end of the Stonebrook Farm Subdivision, an estimated 100 oak and other hardwood trees ranging from 18 to 36 inches in diameter topped or snapped 20 to 50 feet up from the base in roughly a 2 block area. One home was completely destroyed and over 100 others damaged due to falling trees.
- Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Frederick$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Jun 22, 2001Flash Flood$400,000
National Weather Service narrative
Shawneeland's only access road was washed out, numerous roads were flooded, Back Creek and Hogue Creek overflowed, and the Camp Rock Enon area was evacuated.
- Sep 17, 2004Tornado$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
An F2 tornado produced a nearly continuous path of damage for 5 miles in eastern Frederick County. It touched down west of Millwood Pike near the Winchester Airport. Three homes suffered roof damage, a detached two car garage was destroyed, a platform deck was blown away, an office trailer was overturned, and numerous trees along the track of the storm were uprooted or topped.
- Jun 26, 1997Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
National Weather Service narrative
A pre-frontal squall line moving into very unstable air produced several instances of straight-line wind damage, including some from in-storm downbursts and others along the gust front. The most intense damage occurred early in the event, in northeast Frederick Co. A strong downburst, containing estimated winds of 80 to 100 mph, produced a swath of damage approximately 1 mile wide and 4 miles long between Welltown and Stephenson. The heaviest structural damage occurred with the onset of the downburst at an industrial park located just north of the intersection of interstate 81, federal highway 11 and state route 37. Damage at the park included one steel-frame building (under…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Winchester 7 Se, 4.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1912.
- All-time high
- 107°F2 times, most recently Jul 17, 1988
- All-time low
- −18°FJan 19, 1994
- Warmest night
- 82°F2 times, most recently Jul 7, 1925
- Coldest day
- 5°FJan 11, 1982
- Wettest day
- 6.51 inOct 15, 1942
- Snowiest day
- 22.0 inMar 6, 1962
- Hottest year
- 1953mean 57.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1981mean 51.5°F
- Wettest year
- 201863.35 in
- Driest year
- 193017.15 in
- Snowiest season
- 71.0 in1960-61
Median first snow
December 15
Earliest: October 29, 2011
Median last snow
March 11
Latest: April 24, 1956
1 of 73 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Winchester 7 Se (USC00449186), 680 ft elevation, 4.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1912 to October 6, 2026; 87.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
19 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Nov 26, 2012 | Hurricane | DR-4092-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Mar 27, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1458-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 27, 1996 | Flood | DR-1098-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Frederick County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 11 | 29 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 13 | 67 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 2 | 35 / 133 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 57 | 66 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $552,000 | 78 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 19 | 82 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 156 | 15 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 364 | 17 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 209 | 11 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $14.3 million | 44 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 2 | 55 / 133 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 106 | 34 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 12.1 | 13 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 65 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Berkeley County WV | 14 | 13 |
| Clarke County | 10 | 12 |
| Hampshire County WV | 4 | 11 |
| Hardy County WV | 0 | 10 |
| Jefferson County WV | 7 | 13 |
| Morgan County WV | 2 | 11 |
| Shenandoah County | 5 | 10 |
| Warren County | 4 | 12 |
| Winchester city | 0 | 9 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00449186.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.