Frederick County

Population 99,955 (2025) 413 sq mi

Property owners in Frederick County have filed 57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 66th most of 133 counties in Virginia.

Hazard fingerprint for Frederick County Tornado: 35th percentile. Tropical: 53th percentile. Wildfire: 0th percentile. Flood: 93th percentile. Hail & wind: 87th percentile. Heat: 80th percentile. Cold: 91th percentile. Winter: 90th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195011
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger16

At a glance

The record for Frederick County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Flood insurance claims

57

66th of 133 in Virginia

$552,000 paid since 1978

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

13

67th of 133 in Virginia

2 at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

11

29th of 133 in Virginia

2.2 times the typical Virginia county

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

September 17, 2004, 5.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

Cat. 1

Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 48.3 miles away

Largest earthquake within 50 mi

4.6magnitude

April 9, 1918, 21.8 miles away

Details

Federal disaster declarations

19

Most recent: Severe Winter Storm, 2026

Details

Record high

107°F

Reached 2 times, most recently July 17, 1988

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 6.9 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

September 17, 2004

F2, 5.0 mile path

125 yards wide.

Most recent

Thursday, April 28, 2011

EF0, 4.3 mile path

15 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 2 2 1970s: 0 1980s: 0 1990s: 4 4 2000s: 4 4 2010s: 1 1 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 0 F: 0 M: 0 A: 3 M: 0 J: 4 4 J: 2 A: 0 S: 2 O: 0 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Frederick County since 1950
Apr 28, 2011EF04.317500
Jun 4, 2008EF00.510000
Apr 20, 2008EF00.54000
Sep 17, 2004F19.025020
Sep 17, 2004F25.012500
Jul 30, 1998F00.58000
Jun 16, 1998F13.510000
Jun 18, 1997F03.03000
Apr 13, 1994F00.53000
Jun 2, 1962F10.11000
Jul 13, 1961F20.11010
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Frederick County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

13 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

October 23, 1878

Unnamed storm, Category 1

48.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 92 mph.

Most recent

October 29, 2020

Zeta, Post-tropical

83.7 miles at closest approach.

Tropical cyclones within 50 miles by decade 50s: 0 60s: 0 70s: 2 80s: 1 90s: 3 3 00s: 0 10s: 1 20s: 0 30s: 1 40s: 1 50s: 2 60s: 0 70s: 1 80s: 0 90s: 0 00s: 1 10s: 0 20s: 0 50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s30s40s50s60s70s80s90s00s10s20s
Storms within 50 miles, by decade. Records before about 1900 miss storms that never reached land or ships.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Zeta202083.7Post-tropical52Category 3
Sandy201251.1Post-tropical55Category 3
Ernesto200671.4Post-tropical44Category 1
Isabel200332.3Tropical storm55Category 5
David19793.3Tropical storm46Category 5
Diane195515.3Tropical storm45Category 2
Connie195565.7Tropical storm55Category 4
Hazel195435.5Post-tropical84Category 4
Able195222.6Tropical storm55Category 2
Unnamed194912.9Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed194580.0Post-tropical40Category 4
Unnamed194492.3Tropical storm40Category 1
Unnamed194367.8Tropical storm40Tropical storm
Unnamed193410.8Post-tropical46Category 2
Unnamed193348.3Tropical storm60Category 4
Unnamed192974.2Post-tropical58Category 4
Unnamed192812.2Post-tropical48Category 5
Unnamed191592.3Post-tropical40Category 4
Unnamed191533.3Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed190298.4Post-tropical40Category 2
Unnamed189980.0Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed18968.5Post-tropical69Category 3
Unnamed189338.3Tropical storm41Tropical storm
Unnamed18937.1Category 174Category 3
Unnamed189328.3Tropical storm63Category 3
Unnamed188844.5Tropical storm48Category 3
Unnamed18856.3Post-tropical46Tropical storm
Unnamed187848.3Category 192Category 2
Unnamed187846.3Post-tropical58Category 2
Unnamed187624.1Tropical storm63Category 3
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 51 days

Heavy smoke on 13 days in 2023, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

12.1 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

12 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 29 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 2 2012: 4 2013: 0 2014: 4 2015: 6 2016: 0 2017: 1 2018: 1 2019: 4 2020: 8 2021: 26 2022: 9 2023: 51 51 2024: 9 2025: 12 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

57 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $552,000 paid.

Federal flood insurance claims by year 1978: 5 1979: 5 1996: 5 2004: 6 2018: 7 7 1978
Claims per year since 1978. Years with fewer than five claims are not shown.

Most claims in one year

2018: 7 claims

$147,000 paid.

2nd most

2004: 6 claims

$76,000 paid.

3rd most

1978: 5 claims

$42,000 paid.

Claims by ZIP code

Flood insurance claims by ZIP code
2260318$191,000
2260116$218,000
2260211$66,000

Flood events since 1996

  • Flood116
  • Flash Flood34
  • Heavy Rain6

1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

Most severe crest

October 1, 1942

Opequon Creek near Berryville, 18.40 ft

8.40 feet above the 10.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.

Most recent moderate or major crest

May 14, 2025

Opequon Creek near Berryville, 13.21 ft

Moderate flooding.

Highest river crests above flood stage
Oct 1, 1942Opequon Creek near Berryville18.40+8.40Major
May 16, 2014Opequon Creek near Berryville16.09+6.09Major
Sep 29, 2004Opequon Creek near Berryville13.57+3.57Moderate
May 18, 1988Opequon Creek near Berryville13.49+3.49Moderate
Jan 19, 1996Opequon Creek near Berryville13.30+3.30Moderate
May 14, 2025Opequon Creek near Berryville13.21+3.21Moderate
Jun 3, 2018Opequon Creek near Berryville13.12+3.12Moderate
Oct 30, 2012Opequon Creek near Berryville12.99+2.99Moderate
Nov 13, 1970Opequon Creek near Berryville12.82+2.82Moderate
Jun 22, 1972Opequon Creek near Berryville12.59+2.59Moderate
Oct 15, 1942Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester27.00+11.00Minor
Mar 17, 1936Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester25.00+9.00Minor
Sep 6, 1996Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester23.40+7.40Minor
Jun 22, 1972Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester23.19+7.19Minor
Aug 6, 1978Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester22.14+6.14Minor
Aug 18, 1955Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester20.49+4.49Minor
May 14, 2025Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester20.10+4.10Minor
Oct 30, 2012Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester18.76+2.76Minor
Jun 27, 2006Opequon Creek near Berryville12.09+2.09Minor
Apr 21, 1992Opequon Creek near Berryville12.00+2.00Minor
Sep 19, 2003Opequon Creek near Berryville11.71+1.71Minor
Sep 6, 1996Hogue Creek near Hayfield9.71+1.71Minor
May 17, 2018Opequon Creek near Berryville11.54+1.54Minor
Apr 17, 2011Opequon Creek near Berryville11.39+1.39Minor
Mar 13, 2010Opequon Creek near Berryville11.12+1.12Minor

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Cedar Creek (VA) near Winchester16.027.00 ftOct 15, 19420
Hogue Creek near Hayfield8.09.71 ftSep 6, 19960
Opequon Creek near Berryville10.018.40 ftOct 1, 19422
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 106 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 15 months.

106

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

34

Months in extreme drought

7%

Share of all months, severe or worse

11

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

January 1931

−6.58, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

15 months

October 1922 to December 1923.

Latest month

September 2026

−2.58, moderate drought

Last severe month: July 2026.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 1 1902: 0 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 0 1908: 0 1909: 1 1910: 6 1911: 7 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 1 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 0 1918: 0 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 1 1922: 6 1923: 12 12 1924: 0 1925: 0 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 6 1931: 10 1932: 3 1933: 0 1934: 0 1935: 0 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 0 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 0 1952: 0 1953: 2 1954: 4 1955: 0 1956: 0 1957: 0 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 0 1963: 0 1964: 0 1965: 4 1966: 8 1967: 0 1968: 0 1969: 2 1970: 0 1971: 0 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 4 1978: 0 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 1 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 5 1992: 2 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 2 1999: 8 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 2 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 1 2011: 2 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 2 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes and landslides

1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.6 in 1918.

0

Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973

3

Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973

1

Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900

0

Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900

Largest within 50 miles

April 9, 1918

Magnitude 4.6

6 km NE of Luray, Virginia; 21.8 miles away.

Most recent, magnitude 3 or more

January 17, 2016

Magnitude 3.0

3 km NE of Ranson, West Virginia; 11.6 miles away.

Earthquakes of magnitude 3 or more within 50 miles, by year 1973: 0 1974: 0 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 0 1978: 1 1 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 0 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 0 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 0 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 0 2007: 0 2008: 0 2009: 0 2010: 1 2011: 0 2012: 0 2013: 0 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 1 2017: 0 2018: 0 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 0 2023: 0 2024: 0 2025: 0 19731978198319881993199820032008201320182023
Per year, 1973 to 2025.

Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles

Earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
Apr 9, 19184.621.8—6 km NE of Luray, Virginia
  1. Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
  2. Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).

USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Mapped landslides

1

Landslides mapped, probable or better

1

With a recorded date

1

Source inventory

Mapped by NASA (1).

  1. Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.

USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.

Severe weather and other events

937 events in the National Weather Service record, 904 of them since 1996.

57

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

2

Hail, 2 inches or larger

233

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

209

Winter weather events since 1996

39

Heat events since 1996

51

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

April 23, 1999

3.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

June 4, 2008

100 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning1202Jun 14, 2008
Dense fog and smoke6500May 17, 2021

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Apr 23, 1999Hail$3.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…

  2. Jan 19, 1996Flash Flood$2.0 million
  3. Apr 23, 1999Hail$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A line of thunderstorms developed in West Virginia during the early afternoon and moved rapidly southeast across Northern Virginia. These storms produced very large hail in a 10 mile wide strip from Winchester in Frederick County to Woodbridge in Prince William County from 3:30 PM EDT to 5:00 PM EDT. Winds over 55 MPH also downed trees and power lines in Frederick and Clarke County between 3:30 PM EDT and 4:15 PM EDT. Frederick County spotters reported between 1 3/4 to 3 1/2 inch diameter hail. The rubber membrane roof of the War Memorial Building in Winchester was punctured by hail the size of golf balls, allowing heavy rain to fall inside the structure and cause significant…

  4. Jul 21, 2026Tornado$1.5 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado descended on the 5100 block of Back Creek Road in High View, West Virginia. ||Once the tornado crossed the ridge into Virginia, notable tree damage occurred across the northernmost part of Wilde Acres, VA. Damage was first visible on Otter Trail and extended southeast with damage visible on each street until stopping near Fawn Drive.|While tree damage was visible throughout this path, the greatest concentration of damage was on Cardinal Drive. Trees were observed uprooted, snapped, or sheared off at the top. Considerable leaf and small branch debris was observed throughout the entire path.

  5. Feb 14, 2003Winter Storm, Frederick$1.4 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A complex storm system produced copious amounts of wintery precipitation across the northern third of Virginia between the evening of the 14th and midday on the 18th. The first batch of precipitation fell between the evening of the 14th and the evening of the 15th in the form of light to moderate snow or rain. The second batch of precipitation fell between midnight on the 16th through midday on the 17th in the form of heavy snow or sleet. The third batch of precipitation on the back side of the storm fell between the evening of the 17th and midday on the 18th in the form of scattered snow showers. After the precipitation came to an end, record breaking snow and sleet accumulations…

  6. Sep 17, 2004Tornado$1.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado touched down in western Frederick County, Virginia on the 17th. The path of the storm was 9 miles long. It touched down about one mile east of Middletown and Interstate 81. Roof damage was noted to many barns and outbuildings. A large two story brick garage was nearly destroyed when its roof was blown off from strong F1 tornado winds. In the western end of the Stonebrook Farm Subdivision, an estimated 100 oak and other hardwood trees ranging from 18 to 36 inches in diameter topped or snapped 20 to 50 feet up from the base in roughly a 2 block area. One home was completely destroyed and over 100 others damaged due to falling trees.

  7. Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Frederick$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…

  8. Jun 22, 2001Flash Flood$400,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Shawneeland's only access road was washed out, numerous roads were flooded, Back Creek and Hogue Creek overflowed, and the Camp Rock Enon area was evacuated.

  9. Sep 17, 2004Tornado$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    An F2 tornado produced a nearly continuous path of damage for 5 miles in eastern Frederick County. It touched down west of Millwood Pike near the Winchester Airport. Three homes suffered roof damage, a detached two car garage was destroyed, a platform deck was blown away, an office trailer was overturned, and numerous trees along the track of the storm were uprooted or topped.

  10. Jun 26, 1997Thunderstorm Wind$250,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A pre-frontal squall line moving into very unstable air produced several instances of straight-line wind damage, including some from in-storm downbursts and others along the gust front. The most intense damage occurred early in the event, in northeast Frederick Co. A strong downburst, containing estimated winds of 80 to 100 mph, produced a swath of damage approximately 1 mile wide and 4 miles long between Welltown and Stephenson. The heaviest structural damage occurred with the onset of the downburst at an industrial park located just north of the intersection of interstate 81, federal highway 11 and state route 37. Damage at the park included one steel-frame building (under…

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Winchester 7 Se, 4.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1912.

All-time high
107°F2 times, most recently Jul 17, 1988
All-time low
−18°FJan 19, 1994
Warmest night
82°F2 times, most recently Jul 7, 1925
Coldest day
5°FJan 11, 1982
Wettest day
6.51 inOct 15, 1942
Snowiest day
22.0 inMar 6, 1962
Hottest year
1953mean 57.3°F
Coldest year
1981mean 51.5°F
Wettest year
201863.35 in
Driest year
193017.15 in
Snowiest season
71.0 in1960-61
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Winchester 7 Se 32°F 42° 21° 2.4 Jan 47° 24° 2.1 Feb 55° 29° 2.8 Mar 66° 39° 3.1 Apr 74° 49° 4.4 May 83° 58° 4.1 Jun 88° 63° 3.8 Jul 86° 61° 3.5 Aug 79° 54° 4.5 Sep 68° 42° 2.8 Oct 57° 32° 2.6 Nov 47° 25° 2.5 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1975: 0 1976: 0 1977: 11 1978: 2 1979: 0 1981: 2 1982: 0 1983: 15 1984: 5 1985: 7 1986: 7 1990: 6 1993: 15 1994: 4 1995: 5 1996: 2 1997: 6 1999: 17 2000: 0 2001: 1 2002: 10 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 4 2006: 6 2007: 5 2011: 12 2012: 13 2016: 7 2017: 1 2019: 11 2020: 9 2021: 8 2022: 3 2023: 10 2024: 19 19 1975198620022019
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 6.8.
Snowfall by winter 1976: 16.1 in 1977: 42.4 in 1978: 31.0 in 1979: 10.5 in 1981: 23.3 in 1982: 30.4 in 1983: 24.0 in 1984: 11.9 in 1985: 16.3 in 1986: 16.0 in 1987: 8.5 in 1993: 30.5 in 1994: 10.0 in 1995: 36.1 in 1996: 18.3 in 1997: 11.3 in 1998: 12.8 in 1999: 18.3 in 2000: 10.5 in 2001: 8.2 in 2002: 43.8 in 2003: 33.8 in 2004: 14.9 in 2005: 14.9 in 2006: 21.0 in 2007: 0.0 in 2011: 3.4 in 2012: 17.9 in 2013: 50.4 in 50.4 2015: 27.5 in 2016: 5.5 in 2017: 7.0 in 2018: 19.0 in 2019: 5.1 in 2020: 19.7 in 2021: 14.6 in 2023: 8.7 in 2025: 8.4 in 1976198720022016
Total snowfall each winter (July to June), last 50 winters.

Median first snow

December 15

Earliest: October 29, 2011

Median last snow

March 11

Latest: April 24, 1956

1 of 73 winters had no measurable snow.

Station Winchester 7 Se (USC00449186), 680 ft elevation, 4.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1912 to October 6, 2026; 87.8% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

19 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.

Federal disaster declarations
Jan 23, 2026Winter StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3631-VA
Apr 2, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4512-VA
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3448-VA
Sep 11, 2018HurricaneHurricane FlorenceEmergencyEM-3403-VA
Mar 7, 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disasterDR-4262-VA
Nov 26, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyMajor disasterDR-4092-VA
Oct 29, 2012HurricaneHurricane SandyEmergencyEM-3359-VA
Jul 27, 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disasterDR-4072-VA
Apr 27, 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disasterDR-1905-VA
Sep 12, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3240-VA
Sep 18, 2003HurricaneHurricane IsabelMajor disasterDR-1491-VA
Mar 27, 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disasterDR-1458-VA
Feb 28, 2000Severe StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-1318-VA
Sep 6, 1996HurricaneHurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disasterDR-1135-VA
Jan 27, 1996FloodFlooding, High Winds, and Wind Driven RainMajor disasterDR-1098-VA
Jan 13, 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disasterDR-1086-VA
Mar 25, 1993SnowstormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3112-VA
Jul 23, 1977DroughtDroughtEmergencyEM-3046-VA
Jun 23, 1972FloodTropical Storm AgnesMajor disasterDR-339-VA

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Frederick County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 19501129 / 1332,153 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi1367 / 133666 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi235 / 133454 / 3,143
Wildfire acres since 19840——
Flood insurance claims5766 / 1331,584 / 3,143
Flood insurance paid$552,00078 / 1331,735 / 3,143
Disaster declarations1982 / 1331,704 / 3,143
Flood events since 199615615 / 133258 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 199636417 / 133874 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 199620911 / 133304 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$14.3 million44 / 1331,721 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage255 / 1331,260 / 3,143
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189510634 / 1332,181 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years12.113 / 1332,143 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900165 / 1331,397 / 3,143
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Berkeley County WV14130312
Clarke County1012034
Hampshire County WV4110261
Hardy County WV0109,862188
Jefferson County WV7130143
Morgan County WV2110204
Shenandoah County5103,497205
Warren County4121,814370
Winchester city09017

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00449186.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.