Grayson County
Population 15,230 (2025) 442 sq mi
Property owners in Grayson County have filed 6 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 122nd most of 133 counties in Virginia.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 19504
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger14
- Wildfire burn scars since 19841
At a glance
The record for Grayson County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi
6
116th of 133 in Virginia
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
4
75th of 133 in Virginia
Fewer than the typical Virginia county, which has had 5
DetailsAcres burned since 1984
182
39th of 133 in Virginia
1 large fire; the largest was Merritt Ck, 2000
DetailsStrongest tornado
EF1
July 5, 2022, 2.2 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Hugo, 1989, 11.3 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 19 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
July 5, 2022
EF1, 2.2 mile path
150 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, July 5, 2022
EF1, 2.2 mile path
4 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Jul 5, 2022 | EF1 | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 23, 2017 | EF1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| May 6, 2009 | EF0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 1959 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Grayson County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
6 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
September 22, 1989
Hugo, Tropical storm
11.3 miles at closest approach, winds near 58 mph.
Most recent
October 29, 2020
Zeta, Tropical storm
3.5 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Zeta | 2020 | 3.5 | Tropical storm |
| Michael | 2018 | 81.1 | Tropical storm |
| Hugo | 1989 | 11.3 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 47.3 | Tropical storm |
| Able | 1952 | 46.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 17.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 71.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1932 | 41.7 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 41.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 21.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 98.8 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 54.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1889 | 93.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 67.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 73.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 57.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 81.1 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
182 acres burned in 1 large fire since 1984, equal to 0.1% of the land.
Largest
November 1, 2000
Merritt Ck Fire, 749 acres
182 acres inside Grayson County.
Most recent
November 1, 2000
Merritt Ck Fire
749 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Merritt Ck | 2000 | 182 | 749 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 43 days
Heavy smoke on 8 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
10.3 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
8 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 24 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
6 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $11,000 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood39
- Flood14
- Heavy Rain7
1 death recorded in flood events since 1996.
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
August 14, 1940
New River at Galax, 25.70 ft
16.70 feet above the 9.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
September 28, 2024
New River at Galax, 21.26 ft
Major flooding.
| Aug 14, 1940 | New River at Galax | 25.70 | +16.70 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | New River at Galax | 21.26 | +12.26 |
| Nov 6, 1977 | New River at Galax | 18.59 | +9.59 |
| Jan 15, 1995 | New River at Galax | 15.23 | +6.23 |
| Jan 18, 2010 | New River at Galax | 13.29 | +4.29 |
| Sep 22, 1989 | New River at Galax | 12.80 | +3.80 |
| Jun 5, 1992 | New River at Galax | 12.00 | +3.00 |
| Aug 17, 1994 | New River at Galax | 11.83 | +2.83 |
| May 21, 2020 | New River at Galax | 11.75 | +2.75 |
| Oct 12, 2018 | New River at Galax | 11.24 | +2.24 |
| Nov 19, 2003 | New River at Galax | 11.00 | +2.00 |
| May 28, 1973 | New River at Galax | 10.77 | +1.77 |
| Sep 30, 1959 | New River at Galax | 10.35 | +1.35 |
| Sep 17, 2018 | New River at Galax | 10.04 | +1.04 |
| Dec 7, 1950 | New River at Galax | 9.94 | +0.94 |
| Sep 18, 1945 | New River at Galax | 9.90 | +0.90 |
| Sep 22, 1979 | New River at Galax | 9.78 | +0.78 |
| Jan 31, 2013 | New River at Galax | 9.35 | +0.35 |
| Sep 18, 2004 | New River at Galax | 9.32 | +0.32 |
| Jan 19, 1996 | New River at Galax | 9.31 | +0.31 |
| Apr 13, 2020 | New River at Galax | 9.23 | +0.23 |
| Apr 5, 1957 | New River at Galax | 9.04 | +0.04 |
| Oct 2, 1929 | New River at Galax | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| Feb 24, 2019 | New River at Galax | 8.83 | −0.17 |
| Mar 13, 1963 | New River at Galax | 8.67 | −0.33 |
River gauges
| New River at Galax | 9.0 | 25.70 ft | 4 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 85 of 1,581 months since 1895 (5%); the longest spell lasted 14 months.
85
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
26
Months in extreme drought
5%
Share of all months, severe or worse
26
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−5.08, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
14 months
March 1988 to April 1989.
Latest month
September 2026
−2.33, moderate drought
Last severe month: July 2026.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
6 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.1 in 2020.
1
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
17
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
6
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 9, 2020
4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina; 13.5 miles away, 2.6 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
August 9, 2020
Magnitude 5.1
4 km SE of Sparta, North Carolina; 13.5 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 9, 2020 | 5.1 | 13.5 |
| Nov 23, 2006 | 4.3 | 39.5 |
| Nov 2, 2006 | 4.3 | 40.2 |
| Apr 10, 1989 | 4.3 | 41.7 |
| Apr 14, 1988 | 4.1 | 44.4 |
| Nov 19, 1969 | 4.5 | 44.8 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
465 events in the National Weather Service record, 456 of them since 1996.
34
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
0
Hail, 2 inches or larger
72
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
99
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
10
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 15, 2010
1.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 15, 2005
81 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 4 | 0 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 1 | 0 |
| Debris flows | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 27, 2024Flash Flood$23.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Considerable to catastrophic flash flooding occurred across Grayson County. This included at least 200 bridges or culverts that were completely washed out, making the roads impassible. Five large pipes were washed out in the county: three on Route 783 (Helton Creek Lane) and two on Route 749 (Cabin Creek).
- Sep 27, 2024High Wind, Grayson$15.5 million
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees were downed countywide by high winds associated with the remnants of Hurricane Helene, many of which fell into fences, structures, and roads, and resulted in several roads being blocked and many power outages. By late morning on Friday, over 10,700 customers were without power in the area. A 65 mph wind gust was recorded approximately four miles west of the town of Rugby at 7:40 AM. Agriculture damage totaled around $60 million across the county, and forestry damage totaled around $15 million. Christmas tree growers lost $281,250 and the dead trees will result in an additional $281,250 annually through 2031. The high winds also caused damage to agriculture…
- Sep 26, 2024Flood$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The New River near Galax (GAXV2) crested at 21.26 feet (108,000 cfs) at 10:15 PM EDT on Sept. 27th (28/0215 UTC) due to heavy rain associated with Tropical Cyclone Helene. This is the second highest crest in the history of this gage, only behind the flooding event of August 1940. This crest rates between a 100-year Average Recurrence Interval (ARI)(1% Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP)) and a 200-year ARI (0.5% AEP) per USGS StreamStats. The flooding was the result of between 10 and locally 20 inches of rain that fell across the upper New River basin between the 25th and 27th, with totals ranging anywhere from between a 200-year and more than a 1,000-year ARI per NOAA Atlas 14…
- Sep 26, 2024Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Little River at Peach Bottom (LPBV2) crested at 22.45 feet at 1815 UTC/2:15 EDT on Sept. 27th due to heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Helene. This stage-only gage was installed by the Virginia Dept. of Emergency Management during spring of 2024, so had no previously-documented flood crests to compare this event with. The flooding was the result of between 10 and locally 16 inches of rain that fell across the Little River basin between the 25th and 27th, with totals ranging anywhere from between a 200-year and more than a 1,000-year ARI per NOAA Atlas 14 Point Precipitation Frequency estimates. Downstream of the gage, much of Little River Road on the left bank was…
- May 16, 2010Flash Flood$300,000
National Weather Service narrative
Flash flooding washed out roads along Jerusalem Road and Elk Valley Road near Elk Creek. Damage values are estimated.
- Jan 19, 1996Flash Flood$250,000
- Apr 13, 2020Flood$186,000
National Weather Service narrative
The New River at Galax flooded with a crest of 9.36 feet (34,900 cfs) on the afternoon of the 13th. According to USGS data it was roughly a 5-year flood event (0.2 annual chance of occurrence). Several roads were flooded and there was some damage. Information on damage to roads and infrastructure provided by Virginia DOT.
- May 24, 2017Flood$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
In Grayson County at least eight roads were closed and up to six roads were damaged by flood waters. Winding Road near Fries was badly damaged. Several campgrounds along the New River were flooded although the New River near Galax (GAXV2) remained below flood stage, cresting at 6.21 feet (Action Stage - 7 ft.) early on the 25th. Damage estimates per VA DOT.
- Apr 1, 2023High Wind, Grayson$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Wind gusts downed trees and power lines throughout the county. Damage values are estimated.
- Oct 23, 2017Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A brief tornado touched down at 4:53PM (LST) in Grayson County near the Town of Providence on Twin Pond Lane. The tornado would travel about a third of a mile before lifting over Highway 94 near Mandolin Lane after being on the ground for only a minute. . Multiple residencies received some damage with one house being totaled by a tree falling through it and a barn being knocked down. Numerous trees were snapped or knocked over. No injuries were reported. The maximum path width was 150 yards and peak intensity was consistent with EF1 (86-110 MPH) damage.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Transou, 20 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1946.
- All-time high
- 94°FJul 14, 1954
- All-time low
- −24°FJan 21, 1985
- Warmest night
- 74°FJul 24, 1953
- Coldest day
- 1°FJan 21, 1985
- Wettest day
- 8.34 inSep 27, 2024
- Snowiest day
- 24.0 inJan 7, 1996
- Hottest year
- 1990mean 54.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1983mean 48.7°F
- Wettest year
- 201890.14 in
- Driest year
- 200734.22 in
- Snowiest season
- 52.2 in1982-83
Median first snow
December 8
Earliest: October 14, 1977
Median last snow
March 16
Latest: April 27, 1978
1 of 73 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Transou (USC00318694), 2,834 ft elevation, 20.0 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1946 to October 27, 2026; 98.2% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
21 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Severe Storm | DR-4863-VA |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Tropical Storm | DR-4831-VA |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tropical Storm | EM-3621-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Dec 18, 2018 | Hurricane | DR-4411-VA |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Hurricane | DR-4401-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Jan 27, 1996 | Flood | DR-1098-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 10, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1014-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Nov 12, 1977 | Flood | DR-543-VA |
| Jul 23, 1977 | Drought | EM-3046-VA |
| Apr 7, 1977 | Flood | DR-530-VA |
| Oct 15, 1976 | Drought | EM-3018-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Grayson County stands among 133 counties in Virginia and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 4 | 75 / 133 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 6 | 116 / 133 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 182 | 39 / 133 |
| Flood insurance claims | 6 | 122 / 133 |
| Flood insurance paid | $11,000 | 126 / 133 |
| Disaster declarations | 21 | 58 / 133 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 60 | 74 / 133 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 256 | 36 / 133 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 99 | 40 / 133 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $43.1 million | 18 / 133 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 4 | 40 / 133 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 85 | 101 / 133 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 10.3 | 117 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 6 | 16 / 133 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 1 | 18 / 133 |
Neighbouring counties
| Alleghany County NC | 3 | 6 |
| Ashe County NC | 1 | 3 |
| Carroll County | 6 | 8 |
| Galax city | 0 | 4 |
| Johnson County TN | 3 | 3 |
| Smyth County | 7 | 3 |
| Surry County NC | 10 | 11 |
| Washington County | 12 | 2 |
| Wythe County | 0 | 5 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00318694.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.