Fredericksburg
Population 30,393 (2025)
11 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Fredericksburg since 1851; the strongest at closest approach was an unnamed storm in 1878 (Category 1).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths within 25 miles since 195067
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger32
- Wildfire burn scars within 25 miles since 19841
At a glance
Tornado paths within 25 miles, tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles and wildfire perimeters within 25 miles of the city centre. Storm events, flood insurance claims and disaster declarations are for Fredericksburg city. Earthquakes within 50 miles, volcanoes within 100 miles and smoke days are measured from the city centre; river and tide gauges, tsunami and landslide records and the drought index are for Fredericksburg city.
Strongest tornado
F4
April 28, 2002, 38.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 1
Hurricane (unnamed), 1878, 20.2 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 1.1 years since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 28, 2002
F4, 38.0 mile path
650 yards wide; 3 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Thursday, August 8, 2024
EF1, 6.9 mile path
2 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | 1.7 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 2017 | EF1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2017 | EF0 | 2.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 20, 2015 | EF0 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2013 | EF0 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2013 | EF0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 13, 2013 | EF0 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2011 | EF0 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2011 | EF0 | 3.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 10, 2011 | EF1 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF1 | 9.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 4, 2008 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 2008 | EF2 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2008 | EF0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2006 | F0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2006 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2006 | F0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F3 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F0 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 17.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 8, 2004 | F2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| May 7, 2004 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2003 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2003 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10, 2003 | F0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 2002 | F4 | 38.0 | 122 | 3 |
| Sep 24, 2001 | F0 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 22, 2001 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 24, 1999 | F1 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9, 1999 | F1 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 17, 1998 | F1 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 27, 1995 | F1 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 14, 1995 | F0 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 1995 | F1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1994 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1994 | F0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1994 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 14, 1993 | F0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1990 | F3 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 26, 1988 | F0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13, 1983 | F2 | 1.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 5, 1979 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 26, 1978 | F3 | 0.7 | 10 | 1 |
| Aug 12, 1977 | F1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 8, 1977 | F1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 24, 1975 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1962 | F2 | 22.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Feb 18, 1960 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond this area.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
11 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 2 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
October 23, 1878
Unnamed storm, Category 1
20.2 miles at closest approach, winds near 94 mph.
Most recent
July 9, 2021
Elsa, Tropical storm
74.3 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Elsa | 2021 | 74.3 | Tropical storm |
| Zeta | 2020 | 25.0 | Post-tropical |
| Isaias | 2020 | 52.8 | Tropical storm |
| Nestor | 2019 | 99.6 | Post-tropical |
| Andrea | 2013 | 93.7 | Post-tropical |
| Hanna | 2008 | 55.0 | Tropical storm |
| Ernesto | 2006 | 42.7 | Post-tropical |
| Gaston | 2004 | 90.1 | Tropical storm |
| Isabel | 2003 | 59.7 | Tropical storm |
| Bertha | 1996 | 69.6 | Tropical storm |
| David | 1979 | 77.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1963 | 66.2 | Tropical storm |
| Brenda | 1960 | 91.0 | Tropical storm |
| Diane | 1955 | 45.7 | Tropical storm |
| Connie | 1955 | 59.3 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 19.9 | Post-tropical |
| Able | 1952 | 38.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1949 | 43.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 21.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 84.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1944 | 30.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1943 | 50.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 53.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1933 | 23.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 25.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 5.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 50.8 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 97.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 29.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1904 | 73.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 39.5 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 72.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1899 | 25.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 67.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 64.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 40.7 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 33.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1889 | 93.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 55.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 76.9 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 36.9 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1882 | 70.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 20.2 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1877 | 65.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 12.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1874 | 74.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1872 | 72.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1863 | 95.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1859 | 77.1 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
1 large fire burned within 25 miles since 1984.
Largest
April 14, 1999
Nco Fire, 818 acres
17.6 miles from the city centre.
Most recent
April 14, 1999
Nco Fire
818 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Nco | 1999 | 17.6 | 818 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 48 days
Heavy smoke on 10 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
11.7 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
12 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 30 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
44 federal flood insurance claims since 1979, with $259,000 paid.
Flood insurance figures are for Fredericksburg city, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
Most claims in one year
1979: 6 claims
$11,000 paid.
2nd most
1995: 6 claims
$52,000 paid.
3rd most
1996: 6 claims
$44,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 22401 | 44 | $259,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flood13
- Flash Flood9
- Heavy Rain7
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
River gauges in Fredericksburg city, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
Most severe crest
October 16, 1942
Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg, 25.90 ft
12.90 feet above the 13.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
June 23, 2018
Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg, 17.55 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Rappahannock River above Fredericksburg | 13.0 | 25.90 ft | 2 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 112 of 1,581 months since 1895 (7%); the longest spell lasted 12 months.
The drought index is for Fredericksburg city, the county that contains Fredericksburg.
112
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
41
Months in extreme drought
7%
Share of all months, severe or worse
12
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
February 1931
−6.18, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
12 months
August 1930 to July 1931.
Latest month
September 2026
−3.64, severe drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
4 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.8 in 2011.
11
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
4
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 23, 2011
11 km SSW of Mineral, Virginia; 36.4 miles away, 3.7 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
March 25, 2012
Magnitude 3.0
13 km S of Louisa, Virginia; 38.5 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Aug 25, 2011 | 4.5 | 35.7 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 4.2 | 36.8 |
| Aug 23, 2011 | 5.8 | 36.4 |
| Dec 9, 2003 | 4.5 | 49.3 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the city centre.
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
408 events in the National Weather Service record for Fredericksburg city, 404 of them since 1996.
8
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
1
Hail, 2 inches or larger
35
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
107
Winter weather events since 1996
73
Heat events since 1996
44
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
April 20, 2009
2.00 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 8, 2008
115 mph
More event types since 1996
| Storm surge and tide | 1 | 0 |
| Lightning | 7 | 1 |
| Dense fog and smoke | 49 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 18, 2003High Wind, Spotsylvania$7.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
By 9 pm on September 18, a rain band associated with Isabel had set up over the Shenandoah Valley and showers were training southward into the Blue Ridge Mountains on the east side of Augusta County. The rain gauge located at Upper Sherando had recorded over 6 inches of rain and more was to come. County officials quickly began evacuations of homes downstream. In all 350 people in the South River area would be evacuated and 21 of those ended up being by boat. Water flowed down the Black Creek at 60 mph washing out the bridge and several hundred feet of asphalt along Route 608. Four spillways to dams flooded causing damage but none of them failed. There was $125,000 damage to the…
- Jun 22, 2022Thunderstorm Wind$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A macroburst swept across the City of Fredericksburg between 2:20 and 2:30 PM with estimated peak wind gusts around 80 MPH. Hundreds of trees, tree limbs, and wires were blown down as a result. Numerous large trees were snapped, siding and shingles were removed from homes, and a shed was shifted off its foundation near Maury Stadium where a 92 MPH wind gust was measured at 4:24 PM at a height of 20 meters (twice as high as the standard observation height of 10 meters). Numerous trees and large tree limbs blew down near Belman Road and VA-3 Blue and Gray Parkway about a mile east of Lafayette Boulevard. Some trees fell onto homes.
- Jun 13, 2002Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trees and power lines were downed and three homes were damaged.
- Sep 6, 1996Flood, Spotsylvania$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
The rapid runoff produced by the heavy rains from Fran caused substantial, damaging, and in some cases record river flooding across much of the northern Virginia watershed from late on the 6th until early on the 10th. Flash flooding on the 6th rapidly became river flooding late on the 6th along the headwaters of the Potomac, Shenandoah, and Rappahannock River basins, and continued throughout the basins over the weekend and into early the following week. Crests at gaging points in these basins were similar to those in January 1996 across the Lower Main Stem of the Potomac. Levels were 1 to 5 feet higher across the Upper Main Stem Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers. The Shenandoah…
- Feb 14, 2003Winter Storm, Spotsylvania$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
A complex storm system produced copious amounts of wintery precipitation across the northern third of Virginia between the evening of the 14th and midday on the 18th. The first batch of precipitation fell between the evening of the 14th and the evening of the 15th in the form of light to moderate snow or rain. The second batch of precipitation fell between midnight on the 16th through midday on the 17th in the form of heavy snow or sleet. The third batch of precipitation on the back side of the storm fell between the evening of the 17th and midday on the 18th in the form of scattered snow showers. After the precipitation came to an end, record breaking snow and sleet accumulations…
- Jan 14, 2006High Wind, Spotsylvania$75,000
National Weather Service narrative
Very strong winds developed on the 14th due to a strengthening low pressure system off the Mid Atlantic Coast and a fast moving cold front that passed through the region early in the day. Widespread damages and power outages occurred, with newspaper reports indicating tens of thousands without power for an extended period of time.
- Jul 14, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Numerous trees blew down in the Morningside-Deerwood Drive area; some trees fell onto houses. Trees and wires blew down in the 2000 block of Lafayette Boulevard.
- Jun 22, 2018Flood$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
The tide gage on the Rappahannock River at Fredericksburg City Dock experienced significant freshwater inundation and exceeded the 13 foot flood stage during the indicated period. The peak level of 25.20 feet occurred around 8:30pm EST on June 23rd. Parking lots were flooded in Fredericksburg, with water within one foot of entering numerous buildings in the city. Significant flooding occurred near City Dock with water in two structures on the Fredericksburg side and at least one on the Stafford County side.
- Jun 12, 2026Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
There were numerous reports of trees and power linse blown down near Linden Avenue in the City of Fredericksburg.
- Jun 1, 2008Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
City of Fredericksburg Emergency Management reported trees and wires down. Some trees fell on cars.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Corbin, 9 miles from the city centre, with records from 1959.
- All-time high
- 104°FAug 21, 1983
- All-time low
- −11°FFeb 5, 1996
- Warmest night
- 79°FJul 17, 1980
- Coldest day
- 10°F2 times, most recently Jan 20, 1994
- Wettest day
- 7.45 inJun 22, 1972
- Snowiest day
- 15.0 inMar 6, 1962
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 59.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1966mean 54.0°F
- Wettest year
- 201864.50 in
- Driest year
- 198130.45 in
- Snowiest season
- 47.8 in1995-96
Median first snow
December 21
Earliest: October 11, 1979
Median last snow
February 28
Latest: April 9, 1982
1 of 52 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Corbin (USC00442009), 220 ft elevation, 9.0 miles from the city centre. Daily records from 1959 to October 8, 2026; 93.0% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
19 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storm, January 23, 2026.
Declarations for Fredericksburg city.
| Jan 23, 2026 | Winter Storm | EM-3631-VA |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Severe Storm | DR-4644-VA |
| Apr 2, 2020 | Biological | DR-4512-VA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3448-VA |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Hurricane | EM-3403-VA |
| Mar 7, 2016 | Snowstorm | DR-4262-VA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3359-VA |
| Jul 27, 2012 | Severe Storm | DR-4072-VA |
| Nov 4, 2011 | Earthquake | DR-4042-VA |
| Apr 27, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1905-VA |
| Feb 16, 2010 | Snowstorm | DR-1874-VA |
| Sep 12, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3240-VA |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1491-VA |
| Feb 28, 2000 | Severe Storm | DR-1318-VA |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Hurricane | DR-1135-VA |
| Jan 13, 1996 | Snowstorm | DR-1086-VA |
| Mar 10, 1994 | Snowstorm | DR-1014-VA |
| Mar 25, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3112-VA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-339-VA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00442009.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.