Caldwell County
Population 9,012 (2025) 426 sq mi
Property owners in Caldwell County have filed 1 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 105th most of 115 counties in Missouri.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195011
- Wildfire burn scars since 19841
At a glance
The record for Caldwell County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
11
105th of 115 in Missouri
Fewer than the typical Missouri county, which has had 25
DetailsAcres burned since 1984
897
32nd of 115 in Missouri
1 large fire; the largest was Highway E, 2012
DetailsStrongest tornado
F4
April 23, 1975, 11.4 mile path
Federal disaster declarations
24
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2021
DetailsSnowiest season
51.8in
Winter of 1961-62
Tornadoes
About one every 6.9 years since 1950, 2 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 23, 1975
F4, 11.4 mile path
400 yards wide; 1 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Sunday, October 24, 2021
EF1, 4.6 mile path
5 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Oct 24, 2021 | EF1 | 4.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2018 | EF0 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 16, 2015 | EF1 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 7, 2009 | EF0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 28, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dec 14, 1975 | F1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23, 1975 | F4 | 11.4 | 3 | 1 |
| Mar 8, 1974 | F1 | 27.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1971 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 24, 1967 | F0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 14, 1955 | F3 | 9.8 | 1 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Caldwell County: 1.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
No tropical storm or hurricane has tracked within 100 miles since records began in 1851.
Wildfire and smoke
897 acres burned in 1 large fire since 1984, equal to 0.3% of the land.
Largest
August 23, 2012
Highway E Fire, 895 acres
897 acres inside Caldwell County.
Most recent
August 23, 2012
Highway E Fire
895 acres in total.
Every large fire
| Highway E | 2012 | 897 | 895 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 70 days
Heavy smoke on 19 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
25.6 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
18 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 36 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
1 federal flood insurance claims since 1998, with $271 paid.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood13
- Flood9
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 138 of 1,581 months since 1895 (9%); the longest spell lasted 16 months.
138
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
56
Months in extreme drought
9%
Share of all months, severe or worse
19
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1934
−5.93, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
16 months
March 1956 to June 1957.
Latest month
September 2026
0.00, near normal
Last severe month: September 2018.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
4 earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more within 50 miles since 1931; none reached magnitude 4.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
1
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
0
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
August 9, 1931
Magnitude 3.8
6 km WSW of Kansas City, Kansas; 39.5 miles away.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
May 13, 1999
Magnitude 3.0
6 km WSW of Kansas City, Kansas; 39.5 miles away.
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
308 events in the National Weather Service record, 265 of them since 1996.
64
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
6
Hail, 2 inches or larger
70
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
42
Winter weather events since 1996
16
Heat events since 1996
10
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 24, 2004
4.25 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
April 13, 1998
86 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Jan 30, 2002Winter Storm, Caldwell$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
A long-lived major ice and snow storm blasted much of northwest, northern and central Missouri from late Tuesday, January 29th, until Thursday, January 31st. Ice accumulations of over an inch were observed from the Kansas City metropolitan area, east and north through Moberly Missouri. At one point 409,504 total customers were without electrical power in the CWA, with some residents without power up to two weeks. For the Kansas City area, the ice storm was ranked as the worst ever. Further north across northern Missouri, heavy snow fell generally along and north of a line, from St. Joseph to Trenton to Kirksville. Snow accumulations ranged from 8 to 14 inches.
- Jun 14, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$70,000
National Weather Service narrative
A storm survey team from the National Weather Service Office in Pleasant Hill, MO reported straight line wind damage in Polo and Braymer. Several sheds were damaged in Polo. On County Road KK along the southeast side of Braymer, a doublewide mobile home was destroyed. Diagonally across the street from the destroyed mobile home, a barn, a chicken house and a grain bin were destroyed on a farmsted. A horse on this property was killed by flying debris.
- May 24, 2004Hail$25,000
- Oct 4, 1998Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several outbuildings damaged and trees downed. wind speed estimated.
- Aug 18, 2005Thunderstorm Wind$25,000
- Sep 22, 2000Thunderstorm Wind$15,000
National Weather Service narrative
Law enforcement officials reported trees and power lines down, and minor damage to a building.
- May 8, 2021Thunderstorm Wind$15,000
National Weather Service narrative
Property owner near Cowgill reported a few 1 to 2 foot diameter trees down, along with some shingle damage to the roof of the home and a metal roof peeled back on the barn.
- Oct 24, 2021Tornado$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
This tornado developed just east of Interstate 35 in Clinton County, MO. It quickly crossed into Caldwell County, MO where it damaged several trees and a few buildings. The tornado dissipated just east of Goose Creek and State Route D.
- Sep 7, 2001Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
Building blown down next to grain silo. Numerous trees and power lines down. A propane tank was blown over. An ambulance was blown of the road.
- Jun 20, 2016Thunderstorm Wind$10,000
National Weather Service narrative
A large tree was reported down on a vehicle parked at a residence in Hamilton, Missouri.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Chillicothe 2S, 25.8 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1980.
- All-time high
- 110°FJul 8, 2012
- All-time low
- −26°FDec 23, 1989
- Warmest night
- 81°F2 times, most recently Jul 24, 2010
- Coldest day
- −9°FDec 22, 1989
- Wettest day
- 7.16 inAug 17, 2009
- Snowiest day
- 11.0 inApr 2, 1926
- Hottest year
- 2012mean 57.6°F
- Coldest year
- 2014mean 50.4°F
- Wettest year
- 199860.12 in
- Driest year
- 195320.07 in
- Snowiest season
- 51.8 in1961-62
Median first snow
December 9
Earliest: October 31, 2019
Median last snow
March 5
Latest: April 20, 2021
1 of 57 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Chillicothe 2S (USC00231580), 780 ft elevation, 25.8 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1980 to October 27, 2026; 98.6% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
24 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, September 1, 2021.
| Sep 1, 2021 | Severe Storm | DR-4612-MO |
| Mar 26, 2020 | Biological | DR-4490-MO |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3482-MO |
| Jul 9, 2019 | Severe Storm | DR-4451-MO |
| Aug 7, 2015 | Severe Storm | DR-4238-MO |
| Mar 23, 2011 | Severe Storm | DR-1961-MO |
| Feb 3, 2011 | Severe Storm | EM-3317-MO |
| Aug 17, 2010 | Severe Storm | DR-1934-MO |
| Jan 30, 2009 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3303-MO |
| Dec 27, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1736-MO |
| Dec 12, 2007 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3281-MO |
| Jun 11, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1708-MO |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3232-MO |
| Jun 11, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1524-MO |
| Feb 6, 2002 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-1403-MO |
| Oct 14, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1253-MO |
| Jul 9, 1993 | Flood | DR-995-MO |
| Jun 21, 1984 | Flood | DR-713-MO |
| Sep 24, 1976 | Drought | EM-3017-MO |
| May 3, 1975 | Tornado | DR-466-MO |
| Jun 10, 1974 | Flood | DR-439-MO |
| Nov 1, 1973 | Flood | DR-407-MO |
| Apr 19, 1973 | Severe Storm | DR-372-MO |
| Jul 27, 1965 | Flood | DR-203-MO |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Caldwell County stands among 115 counties in Missouri and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 11 | 105 / 115 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 2 | 47 / 115 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 897 | 32 / 115 |
| Flood insurance claims | 1 | 105 / 115 |
| Flood insurance paid | $271 | 107 / 115 |
| Disaster declarations | 24 | 68 / 115 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 22 | 106 / 115 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 152 | 94 / 115 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 42 | 104 / 115 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $431,000 | 110 / 115 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 138 | 28 / 115 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 25.6 | 12 / 115 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Carroll County | 17 | 0 |
| Clinton County | 26 | 0 |
| Daviess County | 21 | 0 |
| DeKalb County | 21 | 0 |
| Livingston County | 13 | 0 |
| Ray County | 34 | 0 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00231580.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.