Warren County
Population 37,038 (2025) 884 sq mi
Property owners in Warren County have filed 126 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, 61st most of 67 counties in Pennsylvania.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195019
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger3
At a glance
The record for Warren County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
19
22nd of 67 in Pennsylvania
36% more than the typical Pennsylvania county
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
1
64th of 67 in Pennsylvania
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F4
May 31, 1985, 29.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm Connie, 1955, 0.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 4 years since 1950, 4 of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 31, 1985
F4, 29.0 mile path
1,000 yards wide; 4 killed along the whole path.
Most recent
Sunday, April 14, 2019
EF2, 18.0 mile path
7 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Apr 14, 2019 | EF2 | 18.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2018 | EF1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2017 | EF0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2016 | EF1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 5, 2016 | EF1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 2013 | EF1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 28, 2013 | EF0 | 2.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 26, 2008 | EF1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 26, 2007 | EF1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2004 | F1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2002 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 9, 1999 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 22, 1985 | F1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F4 | 29.0 | 40 | 4 |
| May 31, 1985 | F3 | 17.0 | 8 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F1 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 31, 1985 | F4 | 28.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 2, 1971 | F3 | 29.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 15, 1970 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Warren County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
1 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 13, 1955
Connie, Tropical storm
0.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 52 mph.
Most recent
October 31, 2012
Sandy, Post-tropical
50.5 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Sandy | 2012 | 50.5 | Post-tropical |
| Isabel | 2003 | 43.7 | Post-tropical |
| Opal | 1995 | 31.5 | Post-tropical |
| Hugo | 1989 | 33.2 | Post-tropical |
| Connie | 1955 | 0.0 | Tropical storm |
| Hazel | 1954 | 53.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1928 | 0.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 99.3 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 0.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1896 | 3.4 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1893 | 63.5 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1885 | 92.1 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1878 | 0.0 | Post-tropical |
| Unnamed | 1876 | 57.5 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 58 days
Heavy smoke on 15 days in 2023, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
15.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
16 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 24 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
126 federal flood insurance claims since 1978, with $1.1 million paid.
Most claims in one year
1992: 21 claims
$304,000 paid.
2nd most
1998: 14 claims
$228,000 paid.
3rd most
1981: 13 claims
$17,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 16345 | 34 | $351,000 |
| 16365 | 32 | $390,000 |
| 16371 | 23 | $121,000 |
| 16340 | 8 | $15,000 |
| 16313 | 6 | $24,000 |
| 16329 | 6 | $44,000 |
| 16436 | 5 | $12,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood27
- Flood9
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
March 17, 1865
Allegheny River at Warren, 19.40 ft
5.40 feet above the 14.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
January 10, 1998
Conewango Creek at Russell, 10.80 ft
Major flooding.
River gauges
| Allegheny River at Warren | 14.0 | 19.40 ft | 6 |
| Central PA Dams Kinzua Dam on Allegheny River | 1,341.0 | — | 0 |
| Conewango Creek at Russell | 9.0 | 10.90 ft | 5 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 89 of 1,581 months since 1895 (6%); the longest spell lasted 13 months.
89
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
29
Months in extreme drought
6%
Share of all months, severe or worse
4
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
January 1931
−5.81, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
13 months
June 1934 to June 1935.
Latest month
September 2026
0.00, near normal
Last severe month: March 2000.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes and landslides
1 earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 5.2 in 1998.
0
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
1
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
1
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
1
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
September 25, 1998
The 1998 Pymatuning, Pennsylvania Earthquake; 41.2 miles away, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
September 25, 1998
Magnitude 5.2
The 1998 Pymatuning, Pennsylvania Earthquake; 41.2 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Sep 25, 1998 | 5.2 | 41.2 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Mapped landslides
3
Landslides mapped, probable or better
0
With a recorded date
1
Source inventory
Mapped by USGS Conterminous (3).
- Landslides mapped in the USGS compilation of landslide inventories across the United States (version 3.0, 2025), rated probable or better. The compilation joins inventories made by federal and state agencies for different purposes and areas, so the number mapped in a county reflects how closely it has been surveyed as much as how often its slopes fail. An area with few records may simply not have been mapped. Deaths are as recorded in the inventories; a slide listed in two inventories is counted once.
USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0, retrieved October 27, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
582 events in the National Weather Service record, 510 of them since 1996.
26
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
3
Hail, 2 inches or larger
241
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
108
Winter weather events since 1996
0
Heat events since 1996
22
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 31, 1985
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
July 26, 2008
92 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 1 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Sep 17, 2004Flood, Warren$50.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
The remnants of Hurricane Ivan moved north along the Appalachians during Friday, September 17th, and interacted with an approaching cold front, leading to a large swath of excessive rainfall across central Pennsylvania as the system weakened to a tropical depression. The rain began during Friday morning, and then became very heavy from Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches were common, with some localized amounts exceeding 8 inches within a 12 hour period. The heavy rainfall finally tapered off from west to east across central Pennsylvania late Friday night.As a result of this excessive rainfall, and antecedent heavy rainfall from the remnants of…
- Apr 14, 2019Tornado$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
A National Weather Service storm survey has confirmed an EF-2 tornado near Starbrick in Warren County Pennsylvania on April 14, 2019.||The tornado initially touched down on Thompsons Island, about 4 miles southwest of Starbrick and strengthened as it tracked northeast through Starbrick. The tornado reached peak intensity and produced the most significant damage (and strongest winds) in Starbrick. The Carter Lumber company sustained extensive damage along with several other nearby buildings.||The tornado continued northeast with fluctuating intensity through North Warren (Conewango Township) resulting in downed trees and damage to residential homes. Damage continued northeast…
- Jul 4, 2019Flash Flood$1.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
State Route 62 Flooded North of Tidioute.
- Jul 21, 2003Flash Flood$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
Heavy rains caused flash flooding in Warren County. An initial batch of rain began across the county during the mid afternoon. Later in the evening, another batch of heavy rain caused rapid flooding across the county. Most of the damage was in the towns of Tidioute and Tiona. Over 200 homes sustained water damage, with several sustaining damage to the foundation. Four personal bridges were destroyed. Water rose quickly along Tidioute Creek and McGuire Run, forcing the evacuation of 20 people.
- Jul 9, 1999Tornado$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
A small tornado touched down on State Route 3005 just across the Allegheny River south of Tidioute. The storm tracked east paralleling the road for about three miles crossing Red House Hill Road near McKean Corners. Damage was mostly to trees with one home having a chimney damaged. A broad area of downburst damage associated with the storm extended south from Red House Hill Road all the way to the Pennsylvania border along Route 3005 (Kelly Hill Road). Hundreds of trees were down, power poles were snapped off, and many hunting and recreational cabins in the area had some structural damage due to falling trees. This was a low F1 event with winds probably best estimated on the order…
- Jul 9, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$150,000
National Weather Service narrative
Downburst winds blew down dozens of trees. A tree fell on a car on route 27 just south of Garland, fatally injuring the 21 year old female driver, critically injuring the second female passenger, and seriously injuring the third. Close by another tree fell and completely smashed an unoccupied auto. Just to the east of Garland, a barn was partially unroofed and a silo was damaged.
- Jul 21, 2003Thunderstorm Wind$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms downed over 600 trees in the town of Cherry Grove. Sporadic tree damage occurred for about 5 miles to the east of Cherry Grove, to the town of Sheffield, where the same strong thunderstorm winds caused structural damage to a nursing home, the Ruth M. Smith Center. This forced the evacuation of the nursing home residents. A disaster declaration was made for Warren County.On August 6th, Governor Edward G. Rendell signed a Proclamation of Disaster Emergency to support recovery efforts in several northwestern Pennsylvania counties including Warren. Also, a request was made for a Presidential Declaration for a Major Disaster for the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania,…
- Sep 29, 1999High Wind, Warren$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A fast moving cold frong raced east across the area taking down trees, blocking roads, and interrupting power in many locations. Much of the damage was related to strong winds with the front, although in several locations thunder was also heard. In Cambria County, a tree was down on a police car in Belsamo. An entire stand of trees were cleared south of Lewistown. A tree was down on a car in Sunbury. A couple in Springettsburg Township near York thought a tornado had crossed their backyard when all of the trees were blown down. Many counties reported damage to trees in many locations, and highway crews were out overnight removing trees and debris in each of the counties.
- May 21, 2004Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms with heavy rain caused Flash Flooding in Warren county during the early morning hours of May 21. Hard hit were the towns of Chandlers Valley and Sugar Grove. In Sugar Grove, a business was flooded, ruining most of the inventory. Numerous water rescues were performed, and several vehicles were washed off Route 957. A community church was flooded in Chandlers Valley. A total of four families (9 people) were rescued by boat in the county. The Red Cross was activated and supplied food and blankets. Jones Hill road required a bridge replacement. Route 957 was closed to remove debris and washouts.
- Jun 5, 2016Tornado$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
The National Weather Service in State College PA has confirmed a tornado near North Warren in Warren County Pennsylvania on June 5, 2016.||The tornado developed in woods west of Route 62 before coming down a hillside into North Warren. It crossed Route 62 and strengthened to an EF-1 tornado moving through a heavily wooded area at a cemetery and between homes. All the trees were felled, many in a criss-cross pattern. Healthy hardwoods were uprooted. Other trees and softwoods were snapped. Minor damage occurred to homes protected by the much taller trees with just some shingles, flashing, and windows impacted by the wind. One guest house near Conewango Creek was destroyed when a…
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Warren, 4.3 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1896.
- All-time high
- 102°FJul 23, 2011
- All-time low
- −34°FFeb 11, 1979
- Warmest night
- 77°FJul 23, 2011
- Coldest day
- −4°F2 times, most recently Feb 9, 1934
- Wettest day
- 4.66 inOct 16, 1954
- Snowiest day
- 17.0 inJan 1, 1949
- Hottest year
- 1921mean 51.3°F
- Coldest year
- 1917mean 43.8°F
- Wettest year
- 200660.14 in
- Driest year
- 194127.74 in
- Snowiest season
- 128.5 in1977-78
Median first snow
November 9
Earliest: October 12, 1988
Median last snow
April 8
Latest: May 9, 1966
0 of 100 winters had no measurable snow.
Station Warren (USC00369298), 1,210 ft elevation, 4.3 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1896 to October 23, 2026; 99.5% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
10 since 1953. The most recent: Covid-19 Pandemic, March 30, 2020.
| Mar 30, 2020 | Biological | DR-4506-PA |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3441-PA |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Hurricane | EM-3356-PA |
| Sep 10, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3235-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Hurricane | DR-1557-PA |
| Sep 19, 2004 | Severe Storm | DR-1555-PA |
| Aug 23, 2003 | Severe Storm | DR-1485-PA |
| Jan 21, 1996 | Flood | DR-1093-PA |
| Mar 16, 1993 | Snowstorm | EM-3105-PA |
| Jun 23, 1972 | Flood | DR-340-PA |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Warren County stands among 67 counties in Pennsylvania and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 19 | 22 / 67 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 4 | 1 / 67 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 1 | 64 / 67 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 126 | 61 / 67 |
| Flood insurance paid | $1.1 million | 60 / 67 |
| Disaster declarations | 10 | 66 / 67 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 36 | 57 / 67 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 320 | 38 / 67 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 108 | 30 / 67 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $54.5 million | 24 / 67 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 11 | 20 / 67 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 89 | 32 / 67 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 15.8 | 3 / 67 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 1 | 30 / 67 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Cattaraugus County NY | 19 | 3 |
| Chautauqua County NY | 28 | 1 |
| Crawford County | 40 | 2 |
| Elk County | 16 | 3 |
| Erie County | 23 | 1 |
| Forest County | 10 | 2 |
| McKean County | 5 | 3 |
| Venango County | 13 | 2 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00369298.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Landslides USGS Landslide Inventories across the United States, version 3.0 (2025).
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.