Karnes County
Population 15,018 (2025) 748 sq mi
20 tropical storms and hurricanes have passed within 50 miles of Karnes County since 1851, 5 of them at hurricane strength; the strongest was an unnamed storm in 1886 (Category 2).
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195022
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger36
At a glance
The record for Karnes County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Tornadoes since 1950
22
179th of 254 in Texas
Fewer than the typical Texas county, which has had 35
DetailsStrongest tornado
F3
April 25, 1966, 0.1 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
Cat. 2
Hurricane (unnamed), 1886, 0.0 miles away
Tornadoes
About one every 3.5 years since 1950, one of them rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
April 25, 1966
F3, 0.1 mile path
100 yards wide.
Most recent
Tuesday, March 20, 2012
EF0, 0.2 mile path
14 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| Mar 20, 2012 | EF0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 23, 2004 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 15, 2001 | F1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 15, 2001 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 16, 1994 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 17, 1988 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 30, 1981 | F0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 9, 1980 | F1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1975 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21, 1967 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 20, 1967 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18, 1967 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8, 1967 | F2 | 8.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 25, 1966 | F3 | 0.1 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1965 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 18, 1965 | F1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1965 | F0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 15, 1960 | F2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 1959 | F1 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 3, 1958 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 11, 1957 | F0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 1955 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Karnes County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
20 passed within 50 miles since 1851; 5 at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 20, 1886
Unnamed storm, Category 2
0.0 miles at closest approach, winds near 108 mph.
Most recent
July 8, 2024
Beryl, Category 1
95.4 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
| Beryl | 2024 | 95.4 | Category 1 |
| Harold | 2023 | 97.7 | Tropical storm |
| Beta | 2020 | 46.9 | Tropical storm |
| Harvey | 2017 | 6.0 | Tropical storm |
| Bill | 2015 | 43.1 | Tropical storm |
| Hermine | 2010 | 15.1 | Tropical storm |
| Claudette | 2003 | 9.3 | Tropical storm |
| Bret | 1999 | 89.5 | Tropical storm |
| Frances | 1998 | 21.5 | Tropical storm |
| Delia | 1973 | 64.5 | Tropical storm |
| Fern | 1971 | 70.7 | Category 1 |
| Celia | 1970 | 34.3 | Category 2 |
| Candy | 1968 | 13.2 | Tropical storm |
| Beulah | 1967 | 92.5 | Tropical storm |
| Carla | 1961 | 34.8 | Category 1 |
| Ella | 1958 | 80.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1945 | 67.9 | Category 3 |
| Unnamed | 1942 | 5.4 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1936 | 5.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1934 | 35.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1932 | 86.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1929 | 7.4 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1921 | 99.4 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1919 | 85.4 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1916 | 78.3 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1915 | 100.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1913 | 68.1 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1902 | 17.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1888 | 81.3 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 13.8 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1886 | 0.0 | Category 2 |
| Unnamed | 1875 | 16.7 | Category 1 |
| Unnamed | 1869 | 31.2 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1866 | 6.7 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1854 | 70.0 | Tropical storm |
| Unnamed | 1851 | 22.7 | Tropical storm |
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
No large wildfire has been mapped here since satellite mapping began in 1984.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 31 days
Heavy smoke on 3 days in 2011, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
8.8 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
2 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 11 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
15 federal flood insurance claims since 1981, with $105,000 paid.
Claims by ZIP code
| 78119 | 11 | $31,000 |
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood75
- Flood18
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
Most severe crest
July 6, 2002
San Antonio River near Falls City, 38.43 ft
26.43 feet above the 12.0 ft flood stage; major flooding by today’s categories.
Most recent moderate or major crest
July 19, 2026
San Antonio River at SH 72 near Runge, 35.02 ft
Moderate flooding.
River gauges
| Cibolo Creek near Falls City | 17.0 | 39.86 ft | 21 |
| San Antonio River at SH 72 near Runge | 27.0 | 47.60 ft | 1 |
| San Antonio River near Falls City | 12.0 | 38.43 ft | 10 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 258 of 1,581 months since 1895 (16%); the longest spell lasted 32 months.
258
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
86
Months in extreme drought
16%
Share of all months, severe or worse
74
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
July 1956
−6.01, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
32 months
July 1954 to February 1957.
Latest month
September 2026
−4.26, extreme drought
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
7 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles since 1900; the largest was magnitude 4.8 in 2011.
156
Magnitude 2.5+ inside the county since 1973
103
Magnitude 3+ within 50 miles since 1973
7
Magnitude 4+ within 50 miles since 1900
0
Magnitude 5+ within 50 miles since 1900
Largest within 50 miles
October 20, 2011
Magnitude 4.8
14 km SSW of Falls City, Texas; inside the county, 3.1 miles deep.
Most recent, magnitude 3 or more
October 20, 2026
Magnitude 3.2
20 km ESE of Pleasanton, Texas; 5.8 miles away.
Every earthquake of magnitude 4 or more within 50 miles
| Jan 29, 2025 | 4.6 | Inside |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 4.5 | Inside |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 4.3 | Inside |
| Sep 14, 2023 | 4.1 | Inside |
| May 1, 2018 | 4.0 | Inside |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 4.8 | Inside |
| Apr 9, 1993 | 4.1 | 6.4 |
- Earthquakes of magnitude 2.5 or more in the USGS Comprehensive Catalog since 1900. Within 50 miles means the epicentre lies within 50 miles of the county boundary (or inside the county).
- Small earthquakes were under-recorded before the modern seismic networks of the 1970s and are still missed in remote areas, so early decades read low. Magnitudes are as the catalogue reports them and mix scales (moment, local and body-wave).
USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog, 1900 to present, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Severe weather and other events
290 events in the National Weather Service record, 240 of them since 1996.
34
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
2
Hail, 2 inches or larger
11
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
7
Winter weather events since 1996
6
Heat events since 1996
5
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
May 7, 1984
2.75 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 22, 2022
90 mph
Costliest events since 1996
- Oct 17, 1998Flood, Karnes$3.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Flooding along the San Antonio River, Cibolo Creek and Geronimo CreekIn Bexar County, the San Antonio River begins just below Olmos Dam where it merges with spring flow. Two new flood tunnels on the San Antonio River and Apache Creek respectively saved downtown San Antonio and homes and businesses below Brackenridge Golf Course to the old Lone Star Brewery from very serious flooding. At Loop 410 in San Antonio, the San Antonio River crested at 36.2 feet, where flood stage is 20 feet. Several homes just below Loop 410 had 10 feet of water over the slabs. At Elmendorf, the San Antonio crested at 64.6 feet, with flood stage at 35 feet. Flow escaped out of the deep canyon of the…
- Jul 15, 2003Tropical Storm, Karnes$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Former Hurricane Claudette, now Tropical Storm Claudette, produced widespread damage in Karnes County, knocking over hundreds of trees and power poles. Major damage was reported to14 homes, along with minor damage to another 237. Nearly every home in Kenedy reported some type of damage. Most of the damage was caused to roofs by a combination of high winds and falling trees. An unofficial weather station at a manufacturing plant in Kenedy recorded a peak wind gust of 106 mph. However, the wind instrument was blown over to the side prior to the recorded gust, making the report of uncertain reliability. The storm knocked over several dozen power poles and hundreds of people without…
- Oct 18, 1998Flash Flood$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the mid and upper levels by two nearly stationary hurricanes, Madeline near the tip of Baja Mexico, and Lester, anchored just off Acapulco, Mexico, and in the low levels by a strong flow from the Gulf of Mexico. A very moisture-rich environment was in place across South Central Texas as the event developed. Near 3 am CST, with the cold front still west of San Angelo,…
- Aug 16, 2007Flash Flood$200,000
National Weather Service narrative
The area of heaviest rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Erin in South Central Texas began in Karnes County. General rainfall over the county ranged from 3 to 5 inches with up to 7 inches near Helena. Most of the roads in Karnes County were closed Thursday afternoon, including FM887, SH119, and US80.
- Nov 15, 2001Tornado$120,000
National Weather Service narrative
A second and more intense Karnes County tornado touched down west of Karnes City near the Wilson County line. Rated F1, it destroyed a trailer, a metal barn, and literally hundreds of trees as it moved northeast for just over two miles.
- Oct 18, 1998Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the mid and upper levels by two nearly stationary hurricanes, Madeline near the tip of Baja Mexico, and Lester, anchored just off Acapulco, Mexico, and in the low levels by a strong flow from the Gulf of Mexico. A very moisture-rich environment was in place across South Central Texas as the event developed. Near 3 am CST, with the cold front still west of San Angelo,…
- Aug 30, 2001Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Showers and thunderstorms continued through the early morning over Karnes County. By mid-morning, rainfall across the county averaged 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals near 8 inches. By early afternoon the rain began to subside, but only after a general 3 to 5 inch soaking countywide, with up to 15 inches reported in the southeast part of the county. Road closures were widespread across the county with considerable damage to county bridges, roads and highways.
- Sep 5, 2001Flash Flood$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
Thunderstorms formed again in the mid afternoon over the eastern part of the Texas Hill Country and spread southeastward into the I-35 corridor from New Braunfels southward past San Antonio into the Pearsall area. With the soils saturated over nearly all of the South Central Texas area, flash flooding redeveloped as rain totals were generally 1 to 2 inches. Highest rain totals were 4 to 6 inches in southeast Medina County and southwest Bexar County Natalia to Von Ormy, 3 to 5 inches in northwest Wilson County, and totals of between 6 and 8 inches between Stockdale and Gonzales and Karnes City. Flooding that developed in the mid afternoon in the Stockdale area redeveloped with…
- May 17, 1999Thunderstorm Wind$80,000
National Weather Service narrative
Brief but widespread downbursts of severe winds blew down trees and knocked over power lines across all of the above listed counties. In DeWitt County, severe winds took roofs off homes in the Smiley area as well as between Cuero and Thomaston. Severe winds destroyed a mobile home near Pearsall, rolling it over 100 feet. In the Dilley area, the roof of a school building was damaged.
- Jul 19, 2009Thunderstorm Wind$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
Several power poles were blown down by thunderstorm winds near El Oso.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Beeville 5 Ne, 29.4 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1897.
- All-time high
- 111°FJul 9, 1939
- All-time low
- 8°FDec 25, 1983
- Warmest night
- 83°F4 times, most recently Oct 13, 2013
- Coldest day
- 21°FDec 23, 1989
- Wettest day
- 10.61 inSep 22, 1967
- Snowiest day
- 7.5 inFeb 14, 1895
- Hottest year
- 1911mean 74.0°F
- Coldest year
- 1979mean 67.6°F
- Wettest year
- 190349.13 in
- Driest year
- 20116.07 in
Station Beeville 5 Ne (USC00410639), 255 ft elevation, 29.4 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1897 to October 22, 2026; 95.9% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
16 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Winter Storms, February 19, 2021.
| Feb 19, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4586-TX |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3554-TX |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4485-TX |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3458-TX |
| Aug 25, 2017 | Hurricane | DR-4332-TX |
| Mar 14, 2008 | Fire | EM-3284-TX |
| Jan 11, 2006 | Fire | DR-1624-TX |
| Sep 24, 2005 | Hurricane | DR-1606-TX |
| Sep 21, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3261-TX |
| Sep 2, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3216-TX |
| Jul 17, 2003 | Hurricane | DR-1479-TX |
| Jul 4, 2002 | Flood | DR-1425-TX |
| Oct 21, 1998 | Flood | DR-1257-TX |
| Aug 26, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1239-TX |
| Sep 10, 1993 | Drought | EM-3113-TX |
| Sep 28, 1967 | Hurricane | DR-232-TX |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Karnes County stands among 254 counties in Texas and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 22 | 179 / 254 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 1 | 128 / 254 |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 20 | 46 / 254 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 5 | 38 / 254 |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance claims | 15 | 145 / 254 |
| Flood insurance paid | $105,000 | 165 / 254 |
| Disaster declarations | 16 | 185 / 254 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 93 | 60 / 254 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 42 | 253 / 254 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 7 | 230 / 254 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $6.4 million | 170 / 254 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 32 | 19 / 254 |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 258 | 20 / 254 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 8.8 | 181 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 7 | 35 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 156 | 5 / 254 |
Neighbouring counties
| Atascosa County | 17 | 19 |
| Bee County | 36 | 26 |
| DeWitt County | 15 | 23 |
| Goliad County | 20 | 25 |
| Gonzales County | 21 | 20 |
| Live Oak County | 36 | 26 |
| Wilson County | 19 | 19 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00410639.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.