Mills County
Population 4,580 (2025) 748 sq mi
Large wildfires have burned 10,291 acres of Mills County since 1984, 118th most of 254 counties in Texas; the largest was the Buffalo Creek Fire in 2020.
Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed
- Tornado damage paths since 195013
- Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger7
- Wildfire burn scars since 19845
At a glance
The record for Mills County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.
Acres burned since 1984
10,291
118th of 254 in Texas
5 large fires; the largest was Buffalo Creek, 2020
DetailsTornadoes since 1950
13
220th of 254 in Texas
Fewer than the typical Texas county, which has had 35
DetailsTropical cyclones within 50 mi
3
128th of 254 in Texas
None at hurricane strength since 1851
DetailsStrongest tornado
F2
May 12, 1982, 10.0 mile path
Strongest tropical cyclone
TS
Tropical storm (unnamed), 1886, 48.1 miles away
Federal disaster declarations
17
Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2024
DetailsTornadoes
About one every 5.8 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
Strongest
May 12, 1982
F2, 10.0 mile path
100 yards wide.
Most recent
Monday, May 20, 2013
EF0, 1.1 mile path
13 years ago.
Every recorded tornado
| May 20, 2013 | EF0 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 |
| May 15, 2013 | EF0 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 |
| May 5, 2006 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 26, 1999 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 5, 1998 | F1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan 5, 1998 | F0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13, 1991 | F0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1982 | F2 | 10.0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 12, 1982 | F1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 30, 1978 | F1 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 |
| May 13, 1975 | F0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1974 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 26, 1967 | F1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
- Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Mills County: 0.
- Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.
Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.
Strongest within 50 miles
August 21, 1886
Unnamed storm, Tropical storm
48.1 miles at closest approach, winds near 58 mph.
Most recent
September 6, 1973
Delia, Tropical storm
66.0 miles at closest approach.
Every storm within 100 miles
- Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.
National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.
Wildfire and smoke
10,291 acres burned in 5 large fires since 1984, equal to 2.1% of the land.
Largest
July 12, 2020
Buffalo Creek Fire, 3,633 acres
3,634 acres inside Mills County.
Most recent
March 14, 2022
3 Oaks Fire
3,301 acres in total.
Every large fire
| 3 Oaks | 2022 | 3,298 | 3,301 |
| Buffalo Creek | 2020 | 3,634 | 3,633 |
| Fm 2005 | 2018 | 1,465 | 1,462 |
| Center City | 2011 | 1,476 | 1,474 |
| Monaham Fire | 2006 | 416 | 1,481 |
- Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.
Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.
Smoke overhead
Smokiest year
2023: 26 days
Heavy smoke on 5 days in 2021, the most of any year.
Last 10 years
9.4 days a year
Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.
2025
2 days
Medium or heavy smoke. 8 so far in 2026.
- A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.
NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Floods and flood insurance
No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.
Flood events since 1996
- Flash Flood31
- Heavy Rain3
- Flood2
OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.
River crests
The National Weather Service sets flood stages for 1 gauge here but lists no crests for it.
River gauges
| Pecan Bayou near Mullin | 45.0 | — | 0 |
- Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.
NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.
Drought
In severe drought or worse for 207 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 18 months.
207
Months in severe drought or worse since 1895
82
Months in extreme drought
13%
Share of all months, severe or worse
93
Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996
Lowest reading
August 1918
−6.36, extreme drought
Longest severe spell
18 months
March 1954 to August 1955.
Latest month
September 2026
−1.55, mild drought
Last severe month: March 2025.
- The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.
NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.
Earthquakes
No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.
Severe weather and other events
390 events in the National Weather Service record, 330 of them since 1996.
89
Hail reports, 1 inch or larger
20
Hail, 2 inches or larger
30
Damaging gusts, 58 mph+
20
Winter weather events since 1996
40
Heat events since 1996
8
Cold events since 1996
Largest hail
October 17, 1993
4.50 inches
Strongest measured or estimated gust
May 31, 2007
70 mph
More event types since 1996
| Lightning | 2 | 0 |
Costliest events since 1996
- Feb 20, 1997Flash Flood$2.0 million
National Weather Service narrative
Six to eight inches of rain fell across the area causing numerous roads to flood. Sixty percent of the 485 miles of gravel roads across the county were washed away by flood waters.
- Aug 5, 2011Wildfire, Mills$1.1 million
National Weather Service narrative
A 1701-acre grass fire started in Center City along Hwy 84 by a car that likely blew a tire. The blaze began on the 5th, was contained on the 6th, and the fully controlled on the 8th. The fire burned two houses, 8 mobile homes, two sheds, several other barns, and some bales of round hay.
- Dec 5, 2013Winter Storm, Mills$500,000
National Weather Service narrative
According to the sheriff's office, up to 2 of ice and sleet accumulated in Mills County. Roads became covered in ice and several accidents due to vehicles sliding off the roadways were reported. The local police reported Highway 84 west of Evant was especially treacherous. Many tree branches and trees were broken or damaged from the weight of the ice.
- Feb 14, 2021Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Mills$490,000
National Weather Service narrative
Extreme cold gripped the county for several days. Overnight lows were near or below 20 degrees Fahrenheit almost all week. The period of February 15-16th was the coldest with low temperatures in the single digits to slightly below degrees Fahrenheit. The maximum temperature on the 15th was only in the teens. Wind chill values during the 14th-16th were between 5 to -20 degrees Fahrenheit most of the time. The cold temperatures resulted in an extreme amount of damage to pipes, infrastructure, and power.
- May 4, 2023Hail$100,000
National Weather Service narrative
A lingering upper trough provided several days of thunderstorm activity across the region, with a dryline providing focus for development each day from Thursday May 4 through Monday May 8. Several of these storms were severe with damaging winds and large hail.
- May 4, 2024Flash Flood$50,000
National Weather Service narrative
BNSF Railroad reported on their radio frequency that there was a track washout in the Goldthwaite area.
- May 15, 2013Hail$40,000
National Weather Service narrative
Trained spotters reported hail to the size of baseballs in the city of Caradan.
- Jan 5, 1998Tornado$40,000
National Weather Service narrative
A tornado severely damaged a mobile home.
- Mar 4, 2004Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
A mobile home was damaged by high winds and there were numerous reports of barns destroyed.
- Apr 13, 2014Hail$30,000
National Weather Service narrative
There were several broadcast media reports of golf ball sized hail near the community of Castor, in Mills County.
- Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.
NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.
Weather records
From Goldthwaite 1 Wsw, 3.1 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1960.
- All-time high
- 110°FAug 6, 1964
- All-time low
- −7°FDec 23, 1989
- Warmest night
- 84°FSep 14, 1984
- Coldest day
- 16°F2 times, most recently Dec 22, 1990
- Wettest day
- 8.32 inMay 5, 2024
- Snowiest day
- 10.0 inJan 23, 1926
- Hottest year
- 2023mean 67.8°F
- Coldest year
- 1976mean 62.9°F
- Wettest year
- 199745.19 in
- Driest year
- 195416.80 in
Station Goldthwaite 1 Wsw (USC00413614), 1,507 ft elevation, 3.1 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 18, 2026; 88.1% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.
NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.
Federal disaster declarations
17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, May 17, 2024.
| May 17, 2024 | Flood | DR-4781-TX |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | DR-4586-TX |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | EM-3554-TX |
| Mar 25, 2020 | Biological | DR-4485-TX |
| Mar 13, 2020 | Biological | EM-3458-TX |
| Jul 1, 2011 | Fire | DR-1999-TX |
| Mar 14, 2008 | Fire | EM-3284-TX |
| Jun 29, 2007 | Severe Storm | DR-1709-TX |
| Jan 11, 2006 | Fire | DR-1624-TX |
| Sep 24, 2005 | Hurricane | DR-1606-TX |
| Sep 21, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3261-TX |
| Sep 2, 2005 | Hurricane | EM-3216-TX |
| Sep 1, 1999 | Fire | EM-3142-TX |
| Aug 26, 1998 | Severe Storm | DR-1239-TX |
| Sep 10, 1993 | Drought | EM-3113-TX |
| Dec 26, 1991 | Flood | DR-930-TX |
| May 2, 1990 | Severe Storm | DR-863-TX |
This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).
OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.
How this compares
Where Mills County stands among 254 counties in Texas and 3,143 in the United States.
| Tornadoes since 1950 | 13 | 220 / 254 |
| Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger | 0 | — |
| Tropical cyclones within 50 mi | 3 | 128 / 254 |
| Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi | 0 | — |
| Wildfire acres since 1984 | 10,291 | 118 / 254 |
| Flood insurance claims | 0 | — |
| Flood insurance paid | $0 | — |
| Disaster declarations | 17 | 171 / 254 |
| Flood events since 1996 | 36 | 162 / 254 |
| Hail and wind events since 1996 | 125 | 198 / 254 |
| Winter storm events since 1996 | 20 | 165 / 254 |
| Reported damage since 1996 | $4.7 million | 187 / 254 |
| River crests at major flood stage | 0 | — |
| High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years | 0.0 | — |
| Months in severe drought since 1895 | 207 | 91 / 254 |
| Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years | 9.4 | 169 / 254 |
| Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 1900 | 0 | — |
| Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 1973 | 0 | — |
Neighbouring counties
| Brown County | 39 | 1 |
| Comanche County | 39 | 2 |
| Hamilton County | 26 | 4 |
| Lampasas County | 14 | 3 |
| San Saba County | 16 | 4 |
Sources and vintage
Every number on this page comes from these public records.
- Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
- Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
- Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
- Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
- Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
- Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00413614.
- River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
- Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
- Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.
Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.