Mills County

Population 4,580 (2025) 748 sq mi

Large wildfires have burned 10,291 acres of Mills County since 1984, 118th most of 254 counties in Texas; the largest was the Buffalo Creek Fire in 2020.

Hazard fingerprint for Mills County Tornado: 25th percentile. Tropical: 7th percentile. Wildfire: 48th percentile. Flood: 33th percentile. Hail & wind: 16th percentile. Heat: 80th percentile. Cold: 43th percentile. Winter: 14th percentile. TORTROPFIREFLOODSEVEREHEATCOLDWINTER

Hazard fingerprint Each spoke is this county’s percentile among U.S. counties where that hazard occurs. How it is computed

2026
  • Tornado damage paths since 195013
  • Tropical cyclone tracks within 100 miles since 1851, wider where stronger7
  • Wildfire burn scars since 19845

At a glance

The record for Mills County in eight numbers. Each links to its section below.

Acres burned since 1984

10,291

118th of 254 in Texas

5 large fires; the largest was Buffalo Creek, 2020

Details

Tornadoes since 1950

13

220th of 254 in Texas

Fewer than the typical Texas county, which has had 35

Details

Tropical cyclones within 50 mi

3

128th of 254 in Texas

None at hurricane strength since 1851

Details

Strongest tornado

F2

May 12, 1982, 10.0 mile path

Strongest tropical cyclone

TS

Tropical storm (unnamed), 1886, 48.1 miles away

Federal disaster declarations

17

Most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, 2024

Details

Record high

110°F

August 6, 1964

Details

Record low

−7°F

December 23, 1989

Details

Tornadoes

About one every 5.8 years since 1950, none rated F3/EF3 or stronger.

Strongest

May 12, 1982

F2, 10.0 mile path

100 yards wide.

Most recent

Monday, May 20, 2013

EF0, 1.1 mile path

13 years ago.

Tornadoes by decade Doppler radar era² 1950s: 0 1960s: 1 1 1970s: 3 3 1980s: 2 2 1990s: 4 4 2000s: 1 1 2010s: 2 2 2020s: 0 1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
Recorded tornadoes per decade. The 2020s are incomplete.
Tornadoes by month J: 2 F: 0 M: 1 A: 3 M: 6 6 J: 0 J: 0 A: 0 S: 0 O: 1 N: 0 D: 0 JFMAMJJASOND
By month of occurrence, all years.

Every recorded tornado

Tornadoes in Mills County since 1950
May 20, 2013EF01.110000
May 15, 2013EF03.45000
May 5, 2006F00.12500
Apr 26, 1999F00.1000
Jan 5, 1998F10.54000
Jan 5, 1998F00.13000
Apr 13, 1991F00.21000
May 12, 1982F210.010000
May 12, 1982F12.05000
Apr 30, 1978F15.91000
May 13, 1975F020.080000
Oct 31, 1974F10.11000
Mar 26, 1967F10.11000
  1. Injuries and deaths are for the tornado’s whole path, which may extend beyond the county. Deaths recorded within Mills County: 0.
  2. Weak tornadoes were under-recorded before Doppler radar coverage became national in the early 1990s, so earlier decades read low. Ratings use the Fujita scale before February 2007 and the Enhanced Fujita scale after.

Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, 1950 to 2025.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

3 passed within 50 miles since 1851; none at hurricane strength.

Strongest within 50 miles

August 21, 1886

Unnamed storm, Tropical storm

48.1 miles at closest approach, winds near 58 mph.

Most recent

September 6, 1973

Delia, Tropical storm

66.0 miles at closest approach.

Every storm within 100 miles

Tropical cyclones within 100 miles
Delia197366.0Tropical storm39Category 1
Carla196139.8Tropical storm48Category 4
Unnamed190262.0Tropical storm41Category 1
Unnamed190059.4Tropical storm63Category 4
Unnamed189747.5Tropical storm46Category 1
Unnamed188648.1Tropical storm58Category 4
Unnamed185178.3Tropical storm46Category 1
  1. Tropical storms and hurricanes (34 kt or more, still tropical) at closest approach. Post-tropical remnants with gale-force winds are listed but not counted. Direct: track within 50 miles; near: within 100 miles. Distance is measured to the county boundary for counties and to the city centre for cities, using positions interpolated hourly between HURDAT2 fixes.

National Hurricane Center HURDAT2, 1851 to 2025.

Wildfire and smoke

10,291 acres burned in 5 large fires since 1984, equal to 2.1% of the land.

Largest

July 12, 2020

Buffalo Creek Fire, 3,633 acres

3,634 acres inside Mills County.

Most recent

March 14, 2022

3 Oaks Fire

3,301 acres in total.

Acres burned since 1984, cumulative 2006: 4162011: 1,4762018: 1,4662020: 3,6342022: 3,299 10,291 acres 198519901995200020052010201520202025
Running total of acres burned inside the county (line) and each year’s acres (bars).

Every large fire

Large wildfires since 1984
3 Oaks20223,2983,301
Buffalo Creek20203,6343,633
Fm 200520181,4651,462
Center City20111,4761,474
Monaham Fire20064161,481
  1. Large fires mapped by the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity program since 1984: 1,000 acres or more in the West, 500 or more in the East. Prescribed burns are excluded. Acres here are the part of each perimeter inside this place.

Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (USGS and U.S. Forest Service), 1984 to 2026.

Smoke overhead

Smokiest year

2023: 26 days

Heavy smoke on 5 days in 2021, the most of any year.

Last 10 years

9.4 days a year

Medium or heavy smoke, 2016 to 2025.

2025

2 days

Medium or heavy smoke. 8 so far in 2026.

Days with medium or heavy smoke overhead, by year 2011: 15 2012: 13 2013: 5 2014: 1 2015: 2 2016: 0 2017: 6 2018: 3 2019: 2 2020: 10 2021: 22 2022: 18 2023: 26 26 2024: 5 2025: 2 201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Days each year on which a satellite-traced plume of medium or heavy smoke covered the county’s population centre, 2011 to 2025.
  1. A smoke day is a date on which a smoke plume traced by NOAA Hazard Mapping System analysts from satellite imagery covered this place's point (the county's population centre or the city centre). Counts here are of medium or heavy smoke. Since 2018 analysts have often drawn light smoke as one area over most of the continent, so light-smoke counts are not comparable from year to year. The plumes show smoke anywhere in the air above, not air quality at the ground, and smoke hidden by cloud is missed.

NOAA Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, 2011 to 2026, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Floods and flood insurance

No federal flood insurance claims are recorded for this county.

Flood events since 1996

  • Flash Flood31
  • Heavy Rain3
  • Flood2

OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026. NOAA Storm Events through 2026.

River crests

The National Weather Service sets flood stages for 1 gauge here but lists no crests for it.

River gauges

River gauges and their highest listed crests
Pecan Bayou near Mullin45.0——0
  1. Crests are the highest and the recent crests the National Weather Service lists for each river gauge in the county that has a flood stage, not every flood. Flood categories use each gauge's current flood stages; crests from before levees, dams or channel changes may not be comparable. Crests measured on an old datum are left out of the rankings.

NOAA National Water Prediction Service gauge records, retrieved October 30, 2026.

Drought

In severe drought or worse for 207 of 1,581 months since 1895 (13%); the longest spell lasted 18 months.

207

Months in severe drought or worse since 1895

82

Months in extreme drought

13%

Share of all months, severe or worse

93

Drought reports to the Weather Service since 1996

Lowest reading

August 1918

−6.36, extreme drought

Longest severe spell

18 months

March 1954 to August 1955.

Latest month

September 2026

−1.55, mild drought

Last severe month: March 2025.

Months in severe drought or worse, by year 1895: 0 1896: 0 1897: 0 1898: 0 1899: 0 1900: 0 1901: 7 1902: 10 1903: 0 1904: 0 1905: 0 1906: 0 1907: 1 1908: 0 1909: 7 1910: 6 1911: 5 1912: 0 1913: 0 1914: 0 1915: 0 1916: 0 1917: 9 1918: 9 1919: 0 1920: 0 1921: 2 1922: 2 1923: 0 1924: 0 1925: 8 1926: 0 1927: 0 1928: 0 1929: 0 1930: 3 1931: 0 1932: 0 1933: 0 1934: 4 1935: 1 1936: 0 1937: 0 1938: 0 1939: 0 1940: 0 1941: 0 1942: 0 1943: 2 1944: 0 1945: 0 1946: 0 1947: 0 1948: 0 1949: 0 1950: 0 1951: 6 1952: 10 1953: 0 1954: 10 1955: 10 1956: 12 12 1957: 2 1958: 0 1959: 0 1960: 0 1961: 0 1962: 1 1963: 3 1964: 0 1965: 0 1966: 0 1967: 6 1968: 0 1969: 0 1970: 0 1971: 2 1972: 0 1973: 0 1974: 1 1975: 0 1976: 1 1977: 3 1978: 5 1979: 0 1980: 0 1981: 0 1982: 0 1983: 0 1984: 5 1985: 0 1986: 0 1987: 0 1988: 0 1989: 0 1990: 0 1991: 0 1992: 0 1993: 0 1994: 0 1995: 0 1996: 2 1997: 0 1998: 0 1999: 0 2000: 6 2001: 0 2002: 0 2003: 0 2004: 0 2005: 0 2006: 9 2007: 2 2008: 1 2009: 2 2010: 0 2011: 9 2012: 1 2013: 1 2014: 0 2015: 0 2016: 0 2017: 0 2018: 2 2019: 0 2020: 0 2021: 0 2022: 10 2023: 8 2024: 0 2025: 1 18951905191519251935194519551965197519851995200520152025
Months each year with a Palmer index of −3 or lower, 1895 to 2025. Twelve means the whole year.
  1. The Palmer Drought Severity Index is computed by NOAA each month from the county's average temperature and precipitation, relative to the county's own climate. Zero is normal; -3 or lower is severe drought and -4 or lower extreme drought. It describes the long-term balance of moisture, not water supply or crop losses.

NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, 1895 to September 2026, issued October 6, 2026.

Earthquakes

No earthquake of magnitude 2.5 or more is recorded within 50 miles of the county in the USGS catalogue, which begins in 1900.

Severe weather and other events

390 events in the National Weather Service record, 330 of them since 1996.

89

Hail reports, 1 inch or larger

20

Hail, 2 inches or larger

30

Damaging gusts, 58 mph+

20

Winter weather events since 1996

40

Heat events since 1996

8

Cold events since 1996

Largest hail

October 17, 1993

4.50 inches

Strongest measured or estimated gust

May 31, 2007

70 mph

More event types since 1996

Other Storm Events types since 1996
Lightning201Jun 11, 2009

Costliest events since 1996

  1. Feb 20, 1997Flash Flood$2.0 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    Six to eight inches of rain fell across the area causing numerous roads to flood. Sixty percent of the 485 miles of gravel roads across the county were washed away by flood waters.

  2. Aug 5, 2011Wildfire, Mills$1.1 million
    National Weather Service narrative

    A 1701-acre grass fire started in Center City along Hwy 84 by a car that likely blew a tire. The blaze began on the 5th, was contained on the 6th, and the fully controlled on the 8th. The fire burned two houses, 8 mobile homes, two sheds, several other barns, and some bales of round hay.

  3. Dec 5, 2013Winter Storm, Mills$500,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    According to the sheriff's office, up to 2 of ice and sleet accumulated in Mills County. Roads became covered in ice and several accidents due to vehicles sliding off the roadways were reported. The local police reported Highway 84 west of Evant was especially treacherous. Many tree branches and trees were broken or damaged from the weight of the ice.

  4. Feb 14, 2021Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Mills$490,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Extreme cold gripped the county for several days. Overnight lows were near or below 20 degrees Fahrenheit almost all week. The period of February 15-16th was the coldest with low temperatures in the single digits to slightly below degrees Fahrenheit. The maximum temperature on the 15th was only in the teens. Wind chill values during the 14th-16th were between 5 to -20 degrees Fahrenheit most of the time. The cold temperatures resulted in an extreme amount of damage to pipes, infrastructure, and power.

  5. May 4, 2023Hail$100,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A lingering upper trough provided several days of thunderstorm activity across the region, with a dryline providing focus for development each day from Thursday May 4 through Monday May 8. Several of these storms were severe with damaging winds and large hail.

  6. May 4, 2024Flash Flood$50,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    BNSF Railroad reported on their radio frequency that there was a track washout in the Goldthwaite area.

  7. May 15, 2013Hail$40,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    Trained spotters reported hail to the size of baseballs in the city of Caradan.

  8. Jan 5, 1998Tornado$40,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A tornado severely damaged a mobile home.

  9. Mar 4, 2004Thunderstorm Wind$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    A mobile home was damaged by high winds and there were numerous reports of barns destroyed.

  10. Apr 13, 2014Hail$30,000
    National Weather Service narrative

    There were several broadcast media reports of golf ball sized hail near the community of Castor, in Mills County.

  1. Storm Events records before 1996 cover only tornadoes, thunderstorm wind and hail. Damage figures are as reported by the National Weather Service at the time, not adjusted for inflation.

NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026, issued October 26, 2026.

Weather records

From Goldthwaite 1 Wsw, 3.1 miles from the county’s population centre, with records from 1960.

All-time high
110°FAug 6, 1964
All-time low
−7°FDec 23, 1989
Warmest night
84°FSep 14, 1984
Coldest day
16°F2 times, most recently Dec 22, 1990
Wettest day
8.32 inMay 5, 2024
Snowiest day
10.0 inJan 23, 1926
Hottest year
2023mean 67.8°F
Coldest year
1976mean 62.9°F
Wettest year
199745.19 in
Driest year
195416.80 in
Average monthly high and low temperature and precipitation, last 30 years, Goldthwaite 1 Wsw 32°F 59° 35° 1.5 Jan 63° 39° 1.7 Feb 71° 46° 2.4 Mar 77° 54° 2.2 Apr 84° 62° 4.7 May 90° 69° 3.7 Jun 94° 72° 2.1 Jul 95° 72° 1.9 Aug 89° 67° 2.3 Sep 79° 56° 3.5 Oct 68° 46° 2.0 Nov 61° 37° 1.1 Dec Precipitation, inches
Average daily high and low by month, and average monthly precipitation, over the last 30 years.
Days reaching 95°F per year 1976: 7 1977: 59 1978: 51 1979: 18 1980: 83 1981: 17 1983: 34 1984: 59 1985: 59 1986: 19 1987: 8 1988: 26 1990: 28 1991: 9 1992: 3 1993: 31 1994: 31 1995: 17 1996: 23 1997: 21 1998: 52 1999: 42 2000: 70 2001: 49 2002: 8 2003: 36 2010: 46 2011: 113 113 2012: 59 2013: 50 2014: 29 2015: 50 2016: 33 2017: 27 2018: 65 2019: 49 2020: 45 2021: 25 2022: 84 2023: 85 2024: 43 19761987199820142024
Days reaching 95°F each complete year, last 50 years. Thirty-year average: 46.7.

Station Goldthwaite 1 Wsw (USC00413614), 1,507 ft elevation, 3.1 miles from the population centre. Daily records from 1960 to October 18, 2026; 88.1% of days in the last 30 years are complete. Records at a single station can differ from a city’s official threaded record, which may combine several stations.

NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily.

Federal disaster declarations

17 since 1953. The most recent: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, May 17, 2024.

Federal disaster declarations
May 17, 2024FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-4781-TX
Feb 19, 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormsMajor disasterDR-4586-TX
Feb 14, 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter StormEmergencyEM-3554-TX
Mar 25, 2020BiologicalCovid-19 PandemicMajor disasterDR-4485-TX
Mar 13, 2020BiologicalCovid-19EmergencyEM-3458-TX
Jul 1, 2011FireWildfiresMajor disasterDR-1999-TX
Mar 14, 2008FireWildfiresEmergencyEM-3284-TX
Jun 29, 2007Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disasterDR-1709-TX
Jan 11, 2006FireExtreme Wildfire ThreatMajor disasterDR-1624-TX
Sep 24, 2005HurricaneHurricane RitaMajor disasterDR-1606-TX
Sep 21, 2005HurricaneHurricane RitaEmergencyEM-3261-TX
Sep 2, 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergencyEM-3216-TX
Sep 1, 1999FireExtreme Fire HazardsEmergencyEM-3142-TX
Aug 26, 1998Severe StormTropical Storm CharleyMajor disasterDR-1239-TX
Sep 10, 1993DroughtExtreme Fire HazardEmergencyEM-3113-TX
Dec 26, 1991FloodSevere ThunderstormsMajor disasterDR-930-TX
May 2, 1990Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disasterDR-863-TX

This product uses the Federal Emergency Management Agency's OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA. The Federal Government or FEMA cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from the Agency's website(s).

OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, retrieved October 30, 2026. Statewide declarations are not listed.

How this compares

Where Mills County stands among 254 counties in Texas and 3,143 in the United States.

Ranks
Tornadoes since 195013220 / 2542,001 / 3,143
Tornadoes rated F3/EF3 or stronger0——
Tropical cyclones within 50 mi3128 / 2541,131 / 3,143
Hurricane-strength passes within 50 mi0——
Wildfire acres since 198410,291118 / 254794 / 3,143
Flood insurance claims0——
Flood insurance paid$0——
Disaster declarations17171 / 2542,018 / 3,143
Flood events since 199636162 / 2541,870 / 3,143
Hail and wind events since 1996125198 / 2542,588 / 3,143
Winter storm events since 199620165 / 2542,639 / 3,143
Reported damage since 1996$4.7 million187 / 2542,413 / 3,143
River crests at major flood stage0——
High tide flooding days a year, last 10 years0.0——
Months in severe drought since 189520791 / 254262 / 3,143
Medium or heavy smoke days a year, last 10 years9.4169 / 2542,717 / 3,143
Earthquakes M4+ within 50 mi since 19000——
Earthquakes M2.5+ in the county since 19730——

Neighbouring counties

Neighbouring counties
Brown County39116,481533
Comanche County3926,54812
Hamilton County2643,9662
Lampasas County1431,06743
San Saba County16441,90928

Sources and vintage

Every number on this page comes from these public records.

  • Tornadoes NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database, through 2025.
  • Tropical cyclones NOAA National Hurricane Center HURDAT2 (Atlantic; Northeast and Central Pacific), through 2025.
  • Wildfire USGS/USFS Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity, through 2026.
  • Storm events NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, through 2026.
  • Flood insurance OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims v3, refreshed August 4, 2026.
  • Declarations OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Weather records NOAA NCEI Global Historical Climatology Network Daily, station USC00413614.
  • River crests NOAA National Weather Service, National Water Prediction Service river gauges, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Drought NOAA NCEI nClimDiv county Palmer Drought Severity Index, through September 2026.
  • Smoke NOAA NESDIS Hazard Mapping System smoke analysis, retrieved October 30, 2026.
  • Earthquakes USGS ANSS Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog (ComCat), retrieved October 30, 2026.

Joins, thresholds and known limits are set out in the methodology. Found an error? Report it. Page built October 30, 2026.